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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

modogg said:
JerseyToughGuys said:
The Ref said:
I don't bet on sports all that often, but it's the playoffs so what the heck. Put a little on the Cinci and the Under, but for value I like this.....Future Wager 01/09/10 15:43 ET bet 10.00 to win 150.00 Result: Pending Jets vs Bengals - Player to score the 1st Touchdown (All Bets Action) Andre Caldwell (Bengals) 01/09/10(16:30 ET)+1500 Dont see the jets scoring much, Ocho is hurt/covered, and the jets run d is stout. I like the price.
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I don't bet on sports much either Ref...
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:thumbup: I think jersey's post here deserves more attn. Had me giggling today when i saw it.
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At the time this was a true statement, believe it or not.

 
The Ref said:
modogg said:
JerseyToughGuys said:
The Ref said:
I don't bet on sports all that often, but it's the playoffs so what the heck. Put a little on the Cinci and the Under, but for value I like this.....Future Wager 01/09/10 15:43 ET bet 10.00 to win 150.00 Result: Pending Jets vs Bengals - Player to score the 1st Touchdown (All Bets Action) Andre Caldwell (Bengals) 01/09/10(16:30 ET)+1500 Dont see the jets scoring much, Ocho is hurt/covered, and the jets run d is stout. I like the price.
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I don't bet on sports much either Ref...
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:thumbup: I think jersey's post here deserves more attn. Had me giggling today when i saw it.
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At the time this was a true statement, believe it or not.
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no i believe it. I remember when i found the original thread (at least i think it was the original one) and first found out about player props. Man those were some good times. but before that i barely bet on much for a few years and had thought i had slowed down from gambling

 
John Bender said:
Whatever sides you like this weekend, there's no reason not to parlay them with the Seahawks Moneyline to add a bit of value.

There's no angle in which Panthers come away with a win here right?

I think Seahawks -10.5 is going to be a large one for me. This is going to be a poop show.
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I'm going to keep betting their ML and rolling the profits into the next round until they win or I lose. Much better value than a futures bet.

Seattle -500 1u

 
@SI_PeterKing: RT @HairyBushLover: You're right Peter. @TessQuinlan is a rocket You mean the media star and former outfielder for the Montclair Bears?

:lmao:

 
Angry Beavers said:
ChainsawU said:
Since '06 the Pats' first playoff game of the season is 7-0 to the over against an average total of 47. During that same time the Pats' second playoff game of the season is 5-0 to the under against an average total of 50.
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I was wondering about these and wonder if these angles are worth anything at all:

Teams coming off a win in the first round as a dog of 3 or more? ( See Balt) link

Teams coming off a win in the first round after winning but not covering ( See Dallas) link (0-12 L12 as the underdog)

Teams that are double digit dogs ( see Carolina) link

I don't have a database to run these through but will do some digging on these over the next couple days. CS, Any thoughts on these? Good? Trash?
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Added links above. Things I like to pay attention to are the straight-up margin (SUm), against-the-spread margin (ATSm), O/U margin (OUm), line, and total. Also, if you need to, click on the blue headers to sort columns up or down. All day long on these with whatever you guys need, it is what I do for about two hours every morning anyway. These are good, let me know what else.

 
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After sweating UFC bets Saturday night I have just been ABOUT IT every day since. Still toxin-free since 11/28 and am reading this book by a dude named Chia called Taoist Secrets of Love: Cultivating Male Sexual Energy. I'm making some red beans and rice for the first time ever right now. Decided to go full-on vegetarian and ramp up/ride out the toxin-free streak all the way through until school starts again. The focus and mental clarity is worth it.

 
Thanks Saw! Was laying awake last night thinking about these. I may get a snow day tomorrow which will be perfect for doing some research while working from home!

 
Redwings ML -170 2u

wings have lost only twice in regulation at rexall in the last a million years.

ETA: points in 25 of 27 vs Oil

 
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ChainsawU said:
After sweating UFC bets Saturday night I have just been ABOUT IT every day since. Still toxin-free since 11/28 and am reading this book by a dude named Chia called Taoist Secrets of Love: Cultivating Male Sexual Energy. I'm making some red beans and rice for the first time ever right now. Decided to go full-on vegetarian and ramp up/ride out the toxin-free streak all the way through until school starts again. The focus and mental clarity is worth it.
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Nice man. :thumbup: I could learn from you,..

I'm now trying to quit drinking, now that tobacco habit is kicked.

Not forever, but just need to cut out the heavy and unnecessary stuff.

 
Is there anything better than having an absolutely terrible night and the only game you win is when your favorite team loses to the Avs. At home? UGH. That will leave a mark.

 
tjnc09 said:
UConn / South Florida o128

East Carolina / Cincinnati o117

Marquette / Georgetown o132.5

Michigan / Penn St. o126.5

St. Louis / George Washington o120

Texas A&M / Alabama o127.5

New Mexico / San Diego St o113.5

Pittsburgh / Boston College o122.5

1/4u
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tjnc09 said:
1/2u OK ST / Iowa ST o74.5 2h
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Gonna go ahead and mark NM SDST a loss. SD ST 1-12 from 3 pt land is not helping anything. 2-5-1 on game but got a chunk of that back with the 2H play using the same numbers. On to tomorrow.

 
gussy said:
Tuesday Pucks:

Sabes at NJ(-220)- Was surprised this line was this high. I do like the Devils here, as bad as they've been, the Sabe's have been absolutely dreadful lately. Only way to even consider it is Devils in a ML Parlay.

Bolts at Habs (-125)- Two of top teams in the East, kind of feels like TB is doing it with smoke and mirrors though. The Habs and Stars have been good to me lately and I'm going to keep riding them here at home. I also like under 5 1/2 here, but at -130 price is too steep.

Canes at Preds (-230)- Preds playing great, can confidently play them in a ML Parlay here, and I will look to do that.

Sharks at Wild (-160)- Another line that surprised me a bit. There's money to be made fading the Wild right now and +140 is a great price on SJ, but they are coming off a win at Winnipeg and honestly haven't been playing great either. Couldn't fault a guy for taking the Sharks here, but I'll Pass. I will be on the UNDER 5 at +115. Wild goalie play has been poor but Sharks aren't scoring right now and aren't giving up goals either. Good value there.

Avs (+204) at Hawks- As a Hawks fan I hate feeling like I have to play against them every game, but this is the 3rd game in a row where I'll either have played against them or leaned the other way. Hawks aren't playing much defense right now and Crow has been mediocre in net. I don't see any reason Avs are catching +204 here and I'll hold my nose and take a chance. Overtime is also very live here if you can get +300 or better.

Jackets at Stars (-175)-Stars continue to pay me and I'll keep riding the train. Have to put them in a parlay here at that price. Lot of people faded Jackets last game in Colorado on second night of back to back. I stayed away. Tonight's the night to go the other way. Jackets playing much better but I don't see them hanging in this one.

Blues at Yotes (+140)- I'll again look to take the plus money on the home dog here. Blues are not playing well and Yotes have been a little better despite inconsistent goalie play. Good price on the home dog. Another good game to look at the Overtime play at +300.

Wings at Oil (+155)-Can the Oilers win 2 in a row? I think so. Wings continue long road trip and have been playing pretty mediocre hockey. +155 seems high to me. Another hold your nose special. I also like a potential OT play here.

Isles at Nucks (-115) Great price on the home team here and I'll be playing them. Honestly thought this line would be closer to -130. Both teams have had surprising years, Nucks playing great defense right now.

Sens at Flyers-Still no line here. I like the Sens quite a bit in this one, if I can get OTT -1 1/2 at +200 or better I'll look to play it. I'm assuming it will be totaled at 5 which is a no play.

Habs -125

Sharks/Wild under 5 +115

Avs +204

Yotes +140

Oil +155

Nucks -115

Stars/Preds ML Parlay +125

Stars/Preds/Devils ML Parlay +228
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Absolutely dreadful night. Only went 1-2 on the 3 big dogs, but that was actually ok from a unit standpoint as I broke even there.

Should have waited on net assignments as surprisingly the Stars started Lindback over Lehtonen and screwed up both of my parlays. I think we learned that playing under in any game when there are Minnesota Wild goalies involved is probably a mistake. Sens lost on a shootout, so whatever. Going to be tough to play the Oil at all going forward. Wings looked sleepy tonight and still made the Oil look like a AAA hockey team. Oil hung in and then took a double minor with just under 4 minutes to go and gave up an own goal with .35 left. UGH. Even in situational spots, just don't know that you can play this team, especially against elite goalies. Look to bounce back tomorrow.

 
Quick look at Wednesday Pucks:

Caps (-110) at Leafs- I like the Caps here but I'd prefer them at plus money on the road. Leafs fired their coach today so who knows how they'll respond. They're one of the streakiest teams in the NHL and they aren't going well at all right now while the Caps are playing good hockey. I'll still PASS here.

Bruins (+145) at Pens- Do I dare? Pens still aren't right and we keep waiting for the Bruins to get right. I like the Pens addition of Perron but I think that number is too rich. Very well may take a shot on the Bruins. OT is live here but I doubt I'll see the +300 I'd want to play it.

Wings at Flames (-115)-Terrible spot for Wings here, 3rd game on quick West coast swing and 2nd of a back to back before they head back East for 3 more road games. Flames are playing good hockey and I will be on them in some way. If Gustavsson is in net I'll probably try the Flames at -1 1/2 with the big plus money, but I'm not averse to playing them at -115 at all.

Rangers (+115) at Ducks-Tough game to call. I feel like playing the Rangers at plus money against anybody right now is probably the right play but Ducks are so tough at home. My numbers all say Rangers but I'll wait to see if that line sneaks any higher and see how I'm feeling tomorrow.

 
Raider Nation said:
Which side of this teaser would you rather be on?

Dallas +12

GB Even
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The Greek twitter feed says that wiseguy money is on all of the dogs this weekend, including Ohio St. 59% of bettors have been on GB, but the line has moved slightly from -6.5 to -6, which seems to support that. It's reverse line movement, even if it's modest reverse line movement.

You're also only getting 5.5 points if you tease GB, as you lose half a point when you land on the 0.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Raider Nation said:
Which side of this teaser would you rather be on?

Dallas +12

GB Even
Click to expand...
The Greek twitter feed says that wiseguy money is on all of the dogs this weekend, including Ohio St. 59% of bettors have been on GB, but the line has moved slightly from -6.5 to -6, which seems to support that. It's reverse line movement, even if it's modest reverse line movement.

You're also only getting 5.5 points if you tease GB, as you lose half a point when you land on the 0.
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Keep in mind Ohio State just won a huge basketball game in OT, so that could affect them in football.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Raider Nation said:
Which side of this teaser would you rather be on?

Dallas +12

GB Even
Click to expand...
The Greek twitter feed says that wiseguy money is on all of the dogs this weekend, including Ohio St. 59% of bettors have been on GB, but the line has moved slightly from -6.5 to -6, which seems to support that. It's reverse line movement, even if it's modest reverse line movement.

You're also only getting 5.5 points if you tease GB, as you lose half a point when you land on the 0.
Click to expand...
I think the safest tease (and ML) is Denver. Cam could play the game of his life and Wilson could play poorly, and Carolina's defense is good enough to rise up for one afternoon. GB's run defense has been stout lately, but they have not faced anyone with an OL and RB like Dallas, so I could see an upset there as well. Also, there seems to be some legitimate concern about Rodgers' calf. His mobility in the pocket is a lot of what makes him great. And of course, Baltimore could - and has - upset New England in the playoffs. This has to be the last matchup the Patriots wanted in their first postseason game.

That brings us to Denver. Outside of Luck, Hilton and a couple of good defensive players, that is not an outstanding all-around football team. I'd be shocked if the Broncos don't take care of business. They like to pound the rock with Anderson now, and I don't see the Colts providing much resistance. And even if Peyton has to throw, Julius should have a big day as the Colts are one of the worst teams in defending tight ends.

 
gussy said:
Is there anything better than having an absolutely terrible night and the only game you win is when your favorite team loses to the Avs. At home? UGH. That will leave a mark.
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Worse when you bet against your fav team and they kill a nice payout on a big parlay. But I guess I deserve it. :kicksrock:

 
Raider Nation said:
Good Posting Judge said:
Raider Nation said:
Which side of this teaser would you rather be on?

Dallas +12

GB Even
Click to expand...
The Greek twitter feed says that wiseguy money is on all of the dogs this weekend, including Ohio St. 59% of bettors have been on GB, but the line has moved slightly from -6.5 to -6, which seems to support that. It's reverse line movement, even if it's modest reverse line movement.

You're also only getting 5.5 points if you tease GB, as you lose half a point when you land on the 0.
Click to expand...
I think the safest tease (and ML) is Denver. Cam could play the game of his life and Wilson could play poorly, and Carolina's defense is good enough to rise up for one afternoon. GB's run defense has been stout lately, but they have not faced anyone with an OL and RB like Dallas, so I could see an upset there as well. Also, there seems to be some legitimate concern about Rodgers' calf. His mobility in the pocket is a lot of what makes him great. And of course, Baltimore could - and has - upset New England in the playoffs. This has to be the last matchup the Patriots wanted in their first postseason game.

That brings us to Denver. Outside of Luck, Hilton and a couple of good defensive players, that is not an outstanding all-around football team. I'd be shocked if the Broncos don't take care of business. They like to pound the rock with Anderson now, and I don't see the Colts providing much resistance. And even if Peyton has to throw, Julius should have a big day as the Colts are one of the worst teams in defending tight ends.
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Why tease? Why not just play the spread?

 
Let's think about this for a sec, Ted. Why would somebody tease? Hmmm, very interesting. Here's the way I see it, Ted. Guy puts in a fancy tease 'cause he wants you to feel all warm and toasty inside, makes a man feel good. 'Course it does. Why shouldn't it? Ya figure you put that little tease under your pillow at night, the Tease Fairy might come by and leave a quarter, am I right, Ted? The point is, how do you know the fairy isn't a crazy glue sniffer? "Building model airplanes" says the little fairy; well, I'm not buying it. He sneaks into your house once, that's all it takes. The next thing you know, there's money missing off the dresser, and your daughter's knocked up. I seen it a hundred times.

 
ChainsawU said:
Let's think about this for a sec, Ted. Why would somebody tease? Hmmm, very interesting. Here's the way I see it, Ted. Guy puts in a fancy tease 'cause he wants you to feel all warm and toasty inside, makes a man feel good. 'Course it does. Why shouldn't it? Ya figure you put that little tease under your pillow at night, the Tease Fairy might come by and leave a quarter, am I right, Ted? The point is, how do you know the fairy isn't a crazy glue sniffer? "Building model airplanes" says the little fairy; well, I'm not buying it. He sneaks into your house once, that's all it takes. The next thing you know, there's money missing off the dresser, and your daughter's knocked up. I seen it a hundred times.
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You can stick your heads up the butchers ### but I'd rather take the cows word on it (+\-)

 
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