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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

I forget but does Tiger Fan subscribe to PM?

Someone pointed out to me today that for NFL playoffs they are 39-9 ATS lifetime including 9-1-1 2014 (4-0 last week)

 
A couple of years back I stumbled across a tout on twitter offering a 3-team NBA parlay for $25 with a guarantee of lifetime access to his plays if it lost. I don't know why, but I decided to check it out just for ####s. It lost, so I've had lifetime access to his plays for the last couple of years. I don't play everything or check his site every day, but if I see him on twitter with a play I'll usually follow it for small, because in general he has seemed to win more than lost, though nothing I would ever actually play for.

He would always play everything for 10, 20, or 30 units, with an occasional 50 and rarely 100 (ludicrous, I know). Well a few months ago he launched (or rebranded) a new site called SharksofVegas.com, and I noticed he got super aggressive with 100 unit plays, and then I saw on twitter he was offering a 1,000 unit play. I checked it out, and he had recommended, and lost, 5 straight 100 unit plays so he was obviously trying to get back ahead since he posts his record right on the site. It hit. His next six plays were all for 100u, and he went 1-5. Another 1000u play, another hit.

Next was a 500 unit play which lost, then it's almost like his brain tried to take back over because he made a 20 unit play (which lost). Then five straight 1000 unit plays which went 1-3-1. So right now on his site he has advertised that over the last 365 days he is -1,223 units. That cracks me up. I can't believe people pay these kind of guys actual money.

 
I played

Florida / South Carolina o123 (now 125)

NC State / Virginia o125 (now 123.5 gross)

For 1/4u each.

I have 18 other overs according to BetOnline but I won't post those - I don't want to tempt people to tail until I have a more comfortable sample size especially since I can't play them yet anyways.

 
tjnc09 said:
I played

Florida / South Carolina o123 (now 125)

NC State / Virginia o125 (now 123.5 gross)

For 1/4u each.

I have 18 other overs according to BetOnline but I won't post those - I don't want to tempt people to tail until I have a more comfortable sample size especially since I can't play them yet anyways.
Click to expand...
I'm on these for 1000u each.

 
Bio: The Shark is the most feared man in the sports betting industry by sports books and bettors alike. He has a mind for victory and the balls of a ####### champion. He has a Rolex for each day of the year and his shoes cost more than your house! Many can't handle his persona but those who can, have become very rich because of him!

 
Raider Nation said:
tjnc09 said:
I played

Florida / South Carolina o123 (now 125)

NC State / Virginia o125 (now 123.5 gross)

For 1/4u each.

I have 18 other overs according to BetOnline but I won't post those - I don't want to tempt people to tail until I have a more comfortable sample size especially since I can't play them yet anyways.
Click to expand...
I'm on these for 1000u each.
Click to expand...
How did you know my normal units are actually 4000 units?

 
Bovada up!! Man I am not ready for these I need to leave work. A few look good but need to look at things. In the mean time grab Richardson under 4.5 carries before they take it off the board.

 
ScoobySnack said:
So Maryland is down to a pk now. Glad I bet it earlier today in anticipation of the line going up. especially with rice out for Ill.
Click to expand...
This line currently gets the award for the strangest of the day so far. Maryland is getting an incredible amount of love (84%! Is the highest at Sports Insights). It is possible this is some sort of head fake where the big players want MD at pick em and late $ comes in on MD - it is that early, but if this stays at pick em or gets even worse, I will be on Ill.

 
:FBG daily email:

Baltimore Ravens WR Steve Smith has been held to just two catches for 21 yards in three games when he's been matched up against New England Patriots CB Darrelle Revis in his career, according to Pro Football Focus.

Steve Smith under 67.5 -115

Steve Smith under 5 -125

 
Dan Lambskin said:
I forget but does Tiger Fan subscribe to PM?

Someone pointed out to me today that for NFL playoffs they are 39-9 ATS lifetime including 9-1-1 2014 (4-0 last week)
Click to expand...
yes. I posted all 4 plays last week (perhaps I didn't mention specifically that they were PM). Will do so this week

 
There's a 4:00 game in Taca De Portugal.

Sporting -1666

Famalicao +2000

I don't know much about these teams but I'm willing to lay the lumber.

 
Raider Nation said:
There's a 4:00 game in Taca De Portugal.

Sporting -1666

Famalicao +2000

I don't know much about these teams but I'm willing to lay the lumber.
Click to expand...
I always gravitate towards the monster favorites when looking for action :thumbup:

 
Raider Nation said:
There's a 4:00 game in Taca De Portugal.

Sporting -1666

Famalicao +2000

I don't know much about these teams but I'm willing to lay the lumber.
Click to expand...
-1666/+2000? Play both & LOCK IN PROFITS!!!

 
swirvenirvin said:
:FBG daily email:

Baltimore Ravens WR Steve Smith has been held to just two catches for 21 yards in three games when he's been matched up against New England Patriots CB Darrelle Revis in his career, according to Pro Football Focus.

Steve Smith under 67.5 -115

Steve Smith under 5 -125
Click to expand...
Last early one I think.. Herron under 52.5 -115

 
Looks like some books are offering most passing yards, receiving yards, rushing yards props for the weekend

Any propsor production guys see any value in any of these?

Refresh NFL - FUTURES - PLAYER WITH MORE PASSING YRDS IN DIVISIONAL GAMES

Close Date: 1/10/2015 3:35 PM

Name Odds

AARON RODGERS (GB) QB + 300

ANDREW LUCK (IND) QB + 200

CAM NEWTON (CAR) QB + 2500

JOE FLACCO (BAL) QB + 900

PEYTON MANNING (DEN) QB + 300

RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) QB + 2000

TOM BRADY (NE) QB + 500

TONY ROMO (DAL) QB + 700

Refresh NFL - FUTURES - PLAYER WITH MORE RECEIVING YRDS IN DIVISIONAL GMS

Close Date: 1/10/2015 3:35 PM

Name Odds

DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN) WR + 375

DEZ BRYANT (DAL) WR + 600

DOUG BALDWIN (SEA) WR + 1800

EMMANUEL SANDERS (DEN) WR + 750

JORDY NELSON (GB) WR + 550

JULIAN EDELMAN (NE) WR + 800

KELVIN BENJAMIN (CAR) WR + 1600

RANDALL COBB (GB) WR + 700

ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE) TE + 700

STEVE SMITH (BAL) WR + 800

T.Y. HILTON (IND) WR + 600

TORREY SMITH (BAL) WR + 1400

Refresh NFL - FUTURES - PLAYER WITH MORE RUSHING YRDS IN DIVISIONAL GAMES

Close Date: 1/10/2015 3:35 PM

Name Odds

C.J. ANDERSON (DEN) RB + 600

DAN HERRON (IND) RB + 2000

DEMARCO MURRAY (DAL) RB + 200

EDDIE LACY (GB) RB + 350

JONATHAN STEWART (CAR) RB + 1000

JUSTIN FORSETT (BAL) RB + 1000

MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) RB + 300

RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) QB + 1400

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Per Bet Labs twitter: [SIZE=14.4444446563721px]since 2004, [/SIZE]betting against #1 or #2 seeds in the postseason when they're receiving >50% of public bets is 24-8 ATS, a 46.1% ROI. Betting the ML is 15-17 with an ROI of 57.1%. I was already planning on betting Baltimore ML, may look into the spread as well.

edit: Actually looks like Balt is receiving more spread bets than NE, so will probably stick to ML but look elsewhere for 1/2 seed angle.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Check out the player props for the NC game at Bovada..... It's all "even or odd".

Mariota yards EoO

Mariota Comp EoO

25:17 yards EoO

 
Frostillicus said:
Frostillicus said:
This thread is really hopping when there's no football.

Wichita -19

Colorado St -4.5

Kansas State -3.5

Colorado +11.5

Maryland -2

Cal -1
Click to expand...
Despite a little movement against me, I'm putting another unit on Maryland at -1.5
Click to expand...
This line makes absolutely no sense. Maryland is 14-1 and Illinois is without their leading scorer.

Oh, and every ham 'n egger at Covers has their life savings on the Terps.

 
Raider Nation said:
Frostillicus said:
Frostillicus said:
This thread is really hopping when there's no football.

Wichita -19

Colorado St -4.5

Kansas State -3.5

Colorado +11.5

Maryland -2

Cal -1
Click to expand...
Despite a little movement against me, I'm putting another unit on Maryland at -1.5
Click to expand...
This line makes absolutely no sense. Maryland is 14-1 and Illinois is without their leading scorer.

Oh, and every ham 'n egger at Covers has their life savings on the Terps.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I'm struggling to make any sense of it, and I know what that usually means, but I can't get off it. Unless you think Illinois is going to better without Rice dominating the ball, which granted is possible though I think unlikely without a true PG.

 
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