FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

[Frostillicus]

Like SArah as well

But she's jumped the shark this season. In her interviews she has lower chin wrinkles and the hair is a 30's hairdo, not a 20's like she always was.

I think you're gonna be dissappointed Frostydickdipper

You take that back.

 

[lumpy19]

Like SArah as well

But she's jumped the shark this season. In her interviews she has lower chin wrinkles and the hair is a 30's hairdo, not a 20's like she always was.

I think you're gonna be dissappointed Frostydickdipper

Yeah, not sure what happened to her. Crack is a helluva drug or something like that. Lumpy is going to be made Laurel isn't back on.

Love laurel

So excited about exile. Having a LIVE challenge fantasy draft at my place tonight

 

[Pumpnick]

Ravens +250

 

[Tiger Fan]

There is one of those nerd halls on one of the side streets in Pawtucket near McCoy Stadium. All hours, there are packs of dorks in and around this tiny building, waiting to play Dungeons and Dragons or whatever twisted shit they play. And 90% of them weigh north of 400 lbs. It's truly a remarkable sight.

I know exactly where you're talking about, played in a few chess tournaments there in college .Not in a great area really. Then again, none of Pawtucket is a great area.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Saturday, January 10 at 4:35 PM ET:

Baltimore Ravens +7 @ New England Patriots (Covers 57.0%), OVER 47.5 (Covers 50.9%)
ATS Play Type: Half-Bet
O/U Play Type: Not Playable

The Vitals:

Projected Score: Baltimore 21.9 - New England 26.2
SU Pick and Win%: New England wins 61.2%
Playoffs - Division SU Confidence Rank: #4
ATS Pick and Win%: Baltimore Ravens +7 covers 57.0%
Playoffs - Division ATS Confidence Rank: #1
ATS Wager for $50 player: $48
O/U Pick and Win%: OVER (47.5) 50.9%
Playoffs - Division O/U Confidence Rank: #4
O/U Wager for $50 Player: $0

Injured Players: Timmy Jernigan, DT, Baltimore Ravens, Chandler Jones, DE, New England Patriots

Weather Forecast: Dry. 24 Degrees. Light wind.

Wagering Information: ATS Bets - 56% Baltimore, 44% New England; O/U Bets - 53% Over, 47% Under

The Breakdown: The success that Baltimore had against the Patriots from the 2012 Playoffs through the 2013 AFC Championship Game (2-1 straight-up, 3-0 against-the-spread) is not a fluke. Obviously, many of the players and even some coaches are different, but the Ravens were able to do something in each of those games that this iteration looks capable of doing as well - making New England one dimensional. Every team needs some semblance of balance, not necessarily in runass ratio, but in a having the ability to generate efficiency and/or big plays out of both the running and passing game. As an illustration of this, the Packers, Cowboys, Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots and Ravens each rank within the top ten (of all 32 teams) in BOTH our current run and pass efficiency rankings. The Ravens, the best AFC team against the run and the second best run defense overall (especially with Haloti Ngata back) can take the run away. In the three games Baltimore played against New England from January 2012 through January 2013, the Patriots rushed for just 3.2 yards-per-carry despite trying to run the ball an average of 31 times a game.

Baltimore's stout front seven can shut down the run without sacrificing an ability to get to the quarterback. The Ravens finished the year with the highest rated pass rush in the NFL. This time of year, when every team has an above average talent at quarterback and every possession means a little bit more because the opponents are tougher, the play-calling is a little more conservative and there is no next week without a win. Running the ball, defending the run and pressuring the quarterback are critical to success (especially against-the-spread - as part of our 39-9 ATS NFL Playoff run, we once picked the team with the better pass rush to cover the spread 23 times in a row). Three of the teams playing Saturday have those skills. The Patriots are the other.

As we saw this season, particularly early in the year, without a consistently strong running game, Tom Brady tends to struggle with pressure. Brady completed just 45.6% of his passes while under pressure this season, just the 24th best mark in the league among QBs with at least 200 dropbacks. He was hit a league-high 11 times while under pressure and threw six touchdowns to just four interceptions in those situations. And it's not like New England is loaded with deep threats in the passing game to slow down the rush either. The Patriots did not have any player with more than 16 targets of at least 20 yards downfield nor with a catch on more than 38% of his deep downfield targets.

Offensively, Baltimore has the balance that it had two years ago and lacked last season. The Patriots may have some tremendous playmakers in the defensive backfield, but they are not sound enough across the board defensively to force the Ravens to be one dimensional. On the year, the Ravens out-gained its opponents by 0.3 yards-per-pass, 0.8 yards-per-rush and 0.48 yards-per-play. Yards-per-play margin is the most predictive individual statistic that we track. Baltimore ranked fifth in the NFL in yards-per-play margin despite running the ball 7.1% more often than its opponents, while the Patriots finished the year 12th in yards-per-play margin despite throwing just as often as their opposition.

Furthermore, though both the Ravens and Patriots were above average in special teams, Baltimore was better. Plus, the Patriots ranked fifth-worst in the league in penalty-per-play margin and the Ravens were exactly average by that metric.

A great defensive front seven for the Ravens should help to neutralize Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski and the New England offense. Home field advantage still leads to a Patriots' victory more often than not, but this would be a coin-flip game on a neutral field, with plenty of ways in which the Ravens could win. Taking the points is the best value of the NFL weekend.

Boxscore: Baltimore Ravens, 22 @ New England Patriots, 26

 

[Tiger Fan]

Saturday, January 10 at 8:15 PM ET:

Carolina Panthers +11 @ Seattle Seahawks (Covers 53.2%), UNDER 40 (Covers 54.4%)
ATS Play Type: Light
O/U Play Type: Light

The Vitals:

Projected Score: Carolina 13.9 - Seattle 23.9
SU Pick and Win%: Seattle wins 77.7%
Playoffs - Division SU Confidence Rank: #1
ATS Pick and Win%: Carolina Panthers +11 covers 53.2%
Playoffs - Division ATS Confidence Rank: #3
ATS Wager for $50 player: $9
O/U Pick and Win%: UNDER (40) 54.4%
Playoffs - Division O/U Confidence Rank: #1
O/U Wager for $50 Player: $21

Injured Players: Thomas DeCoud, S, Carolina Panthers, Star Lotulelei, DT, Carolina Panthers, A.J. Klein, LB, Carolina Panthers, Demarcus Dobbs, DT, Seattle Seahawks, Cooper Helfet, TE, Seattle Seahawks, Tharold Simon, CB, Seattle Seahawks

Weather Forecast: Light rain. 47 degrees. Light wind.

Wagering Information: ATS Bets - 41% Carolina, 59% Seattle; O/U Bets - 37% Over, 63% Under

The Breakdown: Seattle is the best team in the NFL and has the best home field advantage in the sport. The Seahawks are the most likely team to win in the Divisional Playoff round this weekend and a double-digit victory appears to be the expected result. However, by many metrics, including the yards-per-play margin cited above and points-per-game allowed, these are the two best teams in the league over the last six weeks (both played just one playoff team - Arizona with Ryan Lindley - over that stretch).

Carolina has the defensive prowess and the offensive style to keep this game competitive, or at least competitive enough to keep the final score within the spread. The Panthers' defense has not given up more than 20 points since November 10th at Philadelphia and has held opponents to 11.4 points-per-game in a five game win streak. Over that stretch, including games at Matt Ryan's Falcons and at Drew Brees' Saints, opponents are averaging just 4.7 yards-per-pass with four TDs and seven interceptions. Over the season, that would have led all defenses by a yard per-pass and finished second in interception ratio. At the same time, Jonathan Stewart has put up 5.1 yards-per-carry on 103 carries and the offense out-gained opposing defenses by 1.9 yards-per-play (Denver led the league this year with a 1.3 yards-per-play differential).

While the stats for the Panthers look strong enough to contend with the Seahawks, given three recent, consecutive, one-possession games with fewer than 30 points scored between the two teams, probability is the biggest factor in this analysis. Seattle has scored 16 points of fewer at Carolina in three straight seasons, winning each game by less than a touchdown. In general, with the spread and total, we have a big, double-digit favorite and a low total (40). Lower scoring games, by their nature, tend to favor an underdog to cover the spread because there are fewer opportunities to score than usual. In the last decade, there have been 89 games with a total of 40 or lower and a favorite of double-digits. The favorite has only covered 39 times (44%). The underdog has covered in five straight such games (two of which include the Seahawks as the favored team at home) and a favorite has not covered in that situation since December of 2012. It's also worth noting that Russell Wilson is 15-7-1 ATS as a favorite of a touchdown or less and just 7-7-2 ATS as a home favorite of greater than a touchdown. Meanwhile, Cam Newton is 14-8-1 as a road underdog (he's only been a road underdog of greater than a touchdown three times and 2-1 ATS in those games).

Boxscore: Carolina Panthers, 14 @ Seattle Seahawks, 24

 

[Tiger Fan]

Note: This one done before the Rogers injury

Projected Score: Dallas 24.1 - Green Bay 30.7
SU Pick and Win%: Green Bay wins 65.0%
Playoffs - Division SU Confidence Rank: #3
ATS Pick and Win%: Green Bay Packers -6 covers 51.5%
Playoffs - Division ATS Confidence Rank: #4
ATS Wager for $50 player: $0
O/U Pick and Win%: OVER (53) 52.3%
Playoffs - Division O/U Confidence Rank: #3
O/U Wager for $50 Player: $0

njured Players: Doug Free, T, Dallas Cowboys, Davon House, CB, Green Bay Packers

Weather Forecast: Dry. 12 degrees. Winds 10-15 MPH.

Wagering Information: ATS Bets - 41% Dallas, 59% Green Bay; O/U Bets - 67% Over, 33% Under

The Breakdown: It should not be too surprising that a game between two very public teams with high profile quarterbacks, elite skill position talent and some major question marks (both in health and in ability to defend the opposition) has an appropriate line. There is not technically any value in the side or total. We have seen this once before with the picks (New Orleans @ Philadelphia in 2014 NFL Playoffs was a "no pick"). We will still count the Packers -6 as the official pick for our NFL Playoff pick record, yet it's not even worth a dollar wager for a $50 player. With that said, with many sharps favoring Dallas and the points and the slight majority of the public leaning Packers, it's possible we could see the line move a half a point to a full point in either direction with the spread by game time on Sunday, so I will still do a thorough breakdown here. At -5.5 (or lower), the Packers would have value against-the-spread, while the Cowboys would need the line to get to +7 or greater to be the smart money according to our analysis (there is no value at -6 or -6.5).

The way in which the Packers win easily to cover the spread is pretty straight-forward. Last week, on the road, the Lions had the blueprint for winning against the Cowboys (which almost worked). Build a lead and then aggressively attack Tony Romo. The Cowboys defense is not good enough to contain most offenses, especially the best in the NFC overall and best passing offense in the NFL. The Packers out-gained opponents by 0.9 yards-per-play on the season and the Cowboys were just 0.2 yards-per-play better than the opposition. Assuming Aaron Rodgers is healthy and playing up to his expected caliber, Green Bay should not have much difficulty in scoring against Dallas.

Last week against the Lions, Romo saw pressure on 43.2% of his dropbacks and was sacked on a staggering 37.5% of those plays. He only completed 50% of his passes while pressured. In the regular season, Romo was sacked on 23.8% of his pressures, which was fourth-worst in the league (no other quarterback by this metric in the bottom ten made the playoffs). Getting near Romo leads to game-changing sacks. Green Bay, which led the NFL in sack rate in the 2010 regular season (leading to a Super Bowl victory that postseason), is back to its aggressive defensive ways, ranking ninth in defensive pass rush by our metrics. The greater the margin, the easier it will be for Green Bay to get after Romo, which should just help the Packers more. This is the most likely way in which the game proceeds, BUT, there are more (in quantity) logical paths to a Cowboys ATS win (if not outright victory).

For Dallas, in a vacuum where every player is healthy and weather is not a concern, running the ball and stopping the run will be important. The Cowboys have the second most efficient running game in the NFL and run the ball more than they throw. Using DeMarco Murray and the ground game to protect the ball, methodically move down the field and keep the ball from Aaron Rodgers is a great (if not obvious) way to stay in this game. As we mentioned with Brady above, most quarterbacks need balance and taking away Eddie Lacy and the running game for the Packers could help as well. The Cowboys are notably better against the run than the pass and have very little pass rush, so it's far more realistic that the Cowboys' defense does its part in a victory (or at least a cover) against the running game than in any other fashion. Lacy only averaged 63 yards-per-game rushing and 4.3 yards-per-carry in eight ATS losses on the year. He averaged 4.9 yards-per-carry and 79 rushing yards-per-game in ATS wins.

That scenario presents the game without weather or injury concerns. Unfortunately, both are concerns. They are also question marks. Aaron Rodgers has barely seen the practice field since the Packers Week 17 win due to a calf injury. The difference between Rodgers playing at 100% for every snap of this game (which is represented in this projection) and Matt Flynn starting, is almost exactly ten points. In other words, Dallas would be about a field goal favorite in Lambeau Field with Flynn starting at QB. That's the worst case scenario, but the actual scenario may be somewhere in between Rodgers at full strength and Flynn starting.

Furthermore, it's going to be cold in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Very cold. That does not have nearly as profound an impact on the game as the general perception. At their extremes, wind and precipitation (in that order) are far more impactful than extreme temperatures. We have accounted for the forecast illustrated above. If weather plays a bigger role than we anticipate, it likely benefits the team that runs the ball at a higher rate (Cowboys) and has the far more sound kicking game (also Cowboys).

 

[Tiger Fan]

Denver Broncos -7 vs Indianapolis Colts (Covers 53.4%), UNDER 54 (Covers 53.1%)
ATS Play Type: Light
O/U Play Type: Light

The Vitals:

Projected Score: Indianapolis 21.7 - Denver 30.0
SU Pick and Win%: Denver wins 69.0%
Playoffs - Division SU Confidence Rank: #2
ATS Pick and Win%: Denver Broncos -7 covers 53.4%
Playoffs - Division ATS Confidence Rank: #2
ATS Wager for $50 player: $11
O/U Pick and Win%: UNDER (54) 53.1%
Playoffs - Division O/U Confidence Rank: #2
O/U Wager for $50 Player: $8

Injured Players: Hugh Thornton, G, Indianapolis Colts, David Bruton, S, Denver Broncos, Paul Cornick, T, Denver Broncos

Weather Forecast: Dry. 33 degrees. Wind 10-15 MPH.

Wagering Information: ATS Bets - 41% Indianapolis, 59% Denver; O/U Bets - 58% Over, 42% Under

The Breakdown: While Seattle has the best overall team, Denver has the league's most balanced roster, which is very important in the postseason when weaknesses are exposed to an exponential degree. When these teams last met in Week 1 in Denver, the Broncos dominated he first 28 minutes of play, leading 24-0 just before half time. They let their guard down and tried to coast to a victory, only to see the Colts make a late comeback and pull within a touchdown. After the game, Broncos players suggested in the locker room that they should have "stepped on their throats." As well as Denver is capable of playing in every facet of the game, it's not out of the realm of possibility that the Broncos can dominate this game for 60 minutes. At the very least, they should be able to win easily over a flawed team.

Indianapolis finished the regular season ranked fifth in our NFL Power Rankings. The Colts have a top five quarterback, an average offensive line, a deep and talented set of weapons in the passing game and one of the best corners in the league. The problem for the Colts is that Denver has all of that, but the quarterback, offensive line, weapons and star corner are all better. Plus, the Broncos have much more and home field advantage.

Denver faced the fourth toughest schedule in the entire NFL this season. The Broncos finished with the fourth-most yards-per-pass, a feature back in the league's top ten in yards-per-carry and a defense that allowed the fourth-fewest yards-per-carry and led the NFL in yards-per-pass allowed by a wide margin. They out-gained their opponents by 1.3 yards-per-play, one of just two teams to out-gain its opponents by more than a yard (Denver, Seattle and Green Bay are the clear top three by that metric and in our NFL Power Rankings). Those numbers already jump off the screen, but, when put into context of the schedule, that's astounding. Peyton Manning's numbers are down a little, mainly because he threw four fewer passes a game than last season, but this team in 2014-15 is much better (and healthier - with Chris Harris and Von Miller at full strength) than it was when entering the playoffs after the 2013-14 season.

While it is fairly clear that the Broncos are capable of dominating the Colts, here are Indianapolis' numbers in the same categories: 26th in strength-of-schedule, fifth in yards-per-pass, no running back in the Top 40 in the NFL in yards-per-carry, allowed the 14th fewest yards-per-pass and allowed the eighth MOST yards-per-rush. Indianapolis out-gained its opponents by 0.5 yards-per-play, a decent margin, yet almost a yard behind the Broncos.

Boxscore: Indianapolis Colts, 22 @ Denver Broncos 30

 

[swirvenirvin]

test

sup?

Yeah, you made the list.

Do you have like a Billy Madison type kill list

 

[swirvenirvin]

from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115

Cotchery over 2 -135

Last 2.. Obviously hoping/assuming they have the same game plan they did vs other top rushing defenses, Detroit, and Denver

Brady over 24.5 -115

Vereen over 3 -125

 

[fantasycurse42]

4/4 last night thanks mainly due to 3 bets on GS and 1 on the Wiz.

Looking to make 5 in a row today. Balt/NE is a real tricky game. Balt plays them tough, that's not in question, however the stats I mentioned earlier are overwhelming to me (BB undefeated in playoffs against a team he didn't play in the regular season, Brady 9-2 in his first playoff game). The -7 worries me a little, but the ML feels like the safe play to me. The Patriots are the best team in the NFL this season IMO, protecting Brady very well, the chemistry with the WRs appears to be there, and a healthy Gronk. I'd be surprised if they aren't in the Super Bowl.

Parlaying the Hawks ML in for a little juice.

$750 to win $435

 

[Tiger Fan]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

 

[Billy Bats]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

I'm now seeing 13. This reeks blowout.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

Like SArah as well

But she's jumped the shark this season. In her interviews she has lower chin wrinkles and the hair is a 30's hairdo, not a 20's like she always was.

I think you're gonna be dissappointed Frostydickdipper

Yeah, not sure what happened to her. Crack is a helluva drug or something like that. Lumpy is going to be made Laurel isn't back on.

Love laurelSo excited about exile. Having a LIVE challenge fantasy draft at my place tonight

Wow. That is pretty awesome.



Too many rookies this year to know what to do. Do you try to slow the season previews down into 1/4 speed to get hints about who seem to have lasted the longest?

Kind of stupid they team Bananas up with the strongest woman.

BTW, usually I know the nonsense talk comes after dark but this is a sport, so it flies, even on game day.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

I'm now seeing 13. This reeks blowout.

Wowza. Happy to be in at 10.5

 

[Tiger Fan]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

I'm now seeing 13. This reeks blowout.

what book

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

I'm now seeing 13. This reeks blowout.

You can bet it as if the game has already been played!

 

[tjnc09]

If one of you east coast guys are up and bored any of these nights, can you let me know what time CBB totals become available on BetOnline. I would much appreciate it.

You can see the line history at anany of the sites that post lines

http://www.bettingtalk.com/odds/lines.php?sport=ncaabb&period=0 click on the game you're interested in and the book and it will give you the line history with timestamps for when the line is posted and when it's moved

Is this link working for you (or anyone) today?

 

[Angry Beavers]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

There is one of those nerd halls on one of the side streets in Pawtucket near McCoy Stadium. All hours, there are packs of dorks in and around this tiny building, waiting to play Dungeons and Dragons or whatever twisted shit they play. And 90% of them weigh north of 400 lbs. It's truly a remarkable sight.

man, i can't tell you how much i love to run into those and just people watch. I love to go to the comic books stores and act like i am looking through the comics just to spy on the dudes in the back playing those D&D games. I honestly can't get enough of it.

This was best post of the night, imo.

I might go out today and do this.

 

[Angry Beavers]

I am on Balt +7 for 2 units from earlier in the week

Also put together Baltimore +13, Carolina +17.5 and Indy +13. That last leg is the scariest IMHO.

GLTA
AB

 

[Dan Lambskin]

RB has kicker points 7.5 tucker, 8.5 gowkowski

Anything to see here?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Oh and Pats -7 2u

 

[Billy Bats]

Any chance the Panthers bet moves to +12?

I'm now seeing 13. This reeks blowout.

what book

Abcwagering.ca Eta: back down to 12.

 

[LOCO]

7 pt tease

Pats pck

Over 40

 

[regularguy]

Following up on the CBB key number talk, does anybody else ever shoot to side a game? Play -2/+3 hoping it lands on one of those numbers. The combined % of landing on 2 and 3 is about 12% while you're risking 10% (at -110 on both sides), but this still feels questionable to me.

 

[Billy Bats]

Monster teaser:

bal +20, over 35.5

Sea +1, under 52.5

5 billion units.

 

[The Ref]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

LolzFunny stuff for sure. I was out playing cards instead of sitting at home watching the hallmark channel.

It's not often I have a firm belief in a Patriots side and end up dead wrong. This is a much different Patriots team than even last year. Probably the best D since 2003. I think a lot of focus on recent Ravens games is tempering expectations for New England. I'm expecting a mid 20's to low tens game call it 27-10 NE.

The S Smith unders I really like.

Somebody (Frosty) needs to get to work on Long Beach State vs. UC Davis tonight.

 

[The Ref]

from bovada and sportsbook.ag



Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115



Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115

Cotchery over 2 -135

Bump a do

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

LolzFunny stuff for sure. I was out playing cards instead of sitting at home watching the hallmark channel.

It's not often I have a firm belief in a Patriots side and end up dead wrong. This is a much different Patriots team than even last year. Probably the best D since 2003. I think a lot of focus on recent Ravens games is tempering expectations for New England. I'm expecting a mid 20's to low tens game call it 27-10 NE.

The S Smith unders I really like.

Somebody (Frosty) needs to get to work on Long Beach State vs. UC Davis tonight.

I'm an alum.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

If I was doing a 10 point teaser I would bump down Seattle to under a FG & bump up Dallas & Baltimore to over 2 TDS.

 

[lumpy19]

Like SArah as well

But she's jumped the shark this season. In her interviews she has lower chin wrinkles and the hair is a 30's hairdo, not a 20's like she always was.

I think you're gonna be dissappointed Frostydickdipper

Yeah, not sure what happened to her. Crack is a helluva drug or something like that. Lumpy is going to be made Laurel isn't back on.

Love laurelSo excited about exile. Having a LIVE challenge fantasy draft at my place tonight

Wow. That is pretty awesome.



Too many rookies this year to know what to do. Do you try to slow the season previews down into 1/4 speed to get hints about who seem to have lasted the longest?

Kind of stupid they team Bananas up with the strongest woman.

BTW, usually I know the nonsense talk comes after dark but this is a sport, so it flies, even on game day.

Actually it just worked out well. We always get together for this round of NFL games and play cards and then after the game(s) head to the casino, this year just happened that the challenge just started.

I've never won the league and it's no surprise, I don't do any research, just randomly pick players. We only throw in $25 each and winner take all. I'll post my team tomorrow so the FFAWT challenge groupies can follow along.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I want to see some video of these Bender chess tournaments. Were there cheerleaders?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I don't wanna catch #### from any of you ever again about anything.

 

[Zegras11]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

LolzFunny stuff for sure. I was out playing cards instead of sitting at home watching the hallmark channel.

It's not often I have a firm belief in a Patriots side and end up dead wrong. This is a much different Patriots team than even last year. Probably the best D since 2003. I think a lot of focus on recent Ravens games is tempering expectations for New England. I'm expecting a mid 20's to low tens game call it 27-10 NE.

The S Smith unders I really like.

Somebody (Frosty) needs to get to work on Long Beach State vs. UC Davis tonight.

I'm an alum.

which school?

 

[lumpy19]

In addition to swirvprops I'm playing these for the first game

Gronk o5.5 -130

Gronk -10.5 rec yards over Steve Smith -146

Edelman -4.5 rec yards over Steve Smith -144

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

LolzFunny stuff for sure. I was out playing cards instead of sitting at home watching the hallmark channel.

It's not often I have a firm belief in a Patriots side and end up dead wrong. This is a much different Patriots team than even last year. Probably the best D since 2003. I think a lot of focus on recent Ravens games is tempering expectations for New England. I'm expecting a mid 20's to low tens game call it 27-10 NE.

The S Smith unders I really like.

Somebody (Frosty) needs to get to work on Long Beach State vs. UC Davis tonight.

I'm an alum.

which school?

The latter. But I don't watch any of their basketball games.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Man, o/u on Kemba is 22.5p. They saw us coming.

Gonna try MKG under 23.5pr instead. Glll.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Played Gronk most receiving yards of the weekend +800

 

[Good Posting Judge]

T. Smith over 100 yards +600?

 

[Peyton Marino]

amid all the football, FSU UMass u147.5

Cut this one a little close, but 3 for 3.

Great find. Too bad it's technically only in play for another week or so.

There's one for conference road dogs too, IIRC. Very good ROI.

Dug it up. Gonna start following tomorrow. Figure it might take a little time to find games that fit the system but may be worth it. Gotta have something to fill up time at work now that football season is winding down.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

Cinnamon.

 

[Frostillicus]

Walker (minn) o 13.5p

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

Cinnamon.

Like a teaspoon?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

Can of V8

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

Can of V8

 

[Zegras11]

Can't wait to read "Ref's Recap" as he scrolls through these last two pages over his morning ...

I tip my hat to all of you late night gentlemen. The best part of my morning is reading through what went on in here last night.

LolzFunny stuff for sure. I was out playing cards instead of sitting at home watching the hallmark channel.

It's not often I have a firm belief in a Patriots side and end up dead wrong. This is a much different Patriots team than even last year. Probably the best D since 2003. I think a lot of focus on recent Ravens games is tempering expectations for New England. I'm expecting a mid 20's to low tens game call it 27-10 NE.

The S Smith unders I really like.

Somebody (Frosty) needs to get to work on Long Beach State vs. UC Davis tonight.

I'm an alum.

which school?

The latter. But I don't watch any of their basketball games.

I went to Long Beach

 

[Peyton Marino]

Making chili today and watching the FCS Championship game. Anyone with a secret ingredient? I'm gonna use a little olive oil today for sure.

Cinnamon.

Like a teaspoon?

I usually do 1/2 tsp.

 

[swirvenirvin]

In addition to swirvprops I'm playing these for the first game

Gronk o5.5 -130

Gronk -10.5 rec yards over Steve Smith -146

Edelman -4.5 rec yards over Steve Smith -144

grabbed that edelman too