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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

I know these are sucker bets, but Sportsbook is offering to double the winnings (up to $50) if Brady tosses 4+ TD's on the following:

Ravens vs Patriots - Total Points Scored by Both Teams

43-49pts is +550 looks to have value, no?

 
Lakers +5.5looks like bron bron has the flu
fwiw he went for 33-5-10 with this same cold/flu a couple days ago against he Spurs.
And looking at his numbers without Wade the last year he's went over 2 of the 3 (pts, reb, assists) nearly every game. I bet him over pts, reb, assists last game and cashed 2 of 3. I'll probably do the same tonight as long as he's somewhat healthy.
If James is out, im dumping big money on Bosh points+rebounds
 
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Curious to hear what nittanylions has to say about vandy +5 @ bama. Line doesn't look right to me(thought it should be closer to a pickem or vandy slight favs). When things look like this, i almost always go opposite george. I do like Austin peay(fade of siu edwardsville), Valparaiso (fade of lousy loyola chicago).

 
I'm putting 1u on Virginia tech +7.5 right now. I think this moves back to 7 before tip. 0-3 in the acc, but all close games without their starting PG.

 
'gussy said:
Flyers on the PL (-1 1/2)-Loss2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
Quick clarification, in case anybody cares, that Flyers pick is a 1/2 unit.Here are the games I'm playing tonight in CBB:1 UnitSamford +6-WINS. Alabama -6 1/2-LOSSWashington PICK-LOSSN. Colorado +10 1/2-LOSSLong Beach St. -2 (I bought the 1/2 point on this one)San Francisco +15Oregon St. -21/2 UnitCollege of Charleston -8 1/2-LOSSValpo -5 1/2-WINArkansas St. +14 1/2-WINBYU -17 1/2-LOSSWAZZU PICKSan Diego +4 1/2No real scientific rhyme or reason to the full unit vs. half unit plays outside of my comfort level and some leanings towards home plays, etc.2012 Posted PicksCBB-31-23-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-1
 
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'gussy said:
Flyers on the PL (-1 1/2)2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
Quick clarification, in case anybody cares, that Flyers pick is a 1/2 unit.Here are the games I'm playing tonight in CBB:1 UnitSamford +6S. Alabama -6 1/2Washington PICKN. Colorado +10 1/2Long Beach St. -2 (I bought the 1/2 point on this one)San Francisco +15Oregon St. -21/2 UnitCollege of Charleston -8 1/2Valpo -5 1/2Arkansas St. +14 1/2BYU -17 1/2WAZZU PICKSan Diego +4 1/2No real scientific rhyme or reason to the full unit vs. half unit plays outside of my comfort level and some leanings towards home plays, etc.2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
You can't possibly be making money playing that many games every night.And if you are, it won't last.
 
'PatsFanCT said:
I know these are sucker bets, but Sportsbook is offering to double the winnings (up to $50) if Brady tosses 4+ TD's on the following:Ravens vs Patriots - Total Points Scored by Both Teams43-49pts is +550 looks to have value, no?
You are gonna need what? 14 out of the Ravens in a blowout? I think that's somewhat doable at 11-1.
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)

 
'gussy said:
Flyers on the PL (-1 1/2)2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
Quick clarification, in case anybody cares, that Flyers pick is a 1/2 unit.Here are the games I'm playing tonight in CBB:1 UnitSamford +6S. Alabama -6 1/2Washington PICKN. Colorado +10 1/2Long Beach St. -2 (I bought the 1/2 point on this one)San Francisco +15Oregon St. -21/2 UnitCollege of Charleston -8 1/2Valpo -5 1/2Arkansas St. +14 1/2BYU -17 1/2WAZZU PICKSan Diego +4 1/2No real scientific rhyme or reason to the full unit vs. half unit plays outside of my comfort level and some leanings towards home plays, etc.2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
You can't possibly be making money playing that many games every night.And if you are, it won't last.
46 college basketball picks at 60%, not counting the 8-0 record in the handful of NFL, CFB and NHL games I've played. You tell me if you think I'm making money. Will it last? No idea, we'll see. When I came on here saying I wanted to see how the system worked nobody wanted to hear it so I'll just keep tweaking and playing it. I haven't typically been playing anywhere near this many games, if you go back you'll see that. I've typically been playing a bunch on Saturday and otherwise around 5 games. Just happened to come up with a bunch today. The hockey thing I just started trying 2 days ago. My boys play hockey but I don't watch anywhere near enough NHL to be able to handicap it. It's worked out so far, we'll see what happens there. I've got an idea for baseball as well but I have no idea whether it will work or not.
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
 
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You can't possibly be making money playing that many games every night.And if you are, it won't last.
While I don't think he'll keep winning, betting a lot of games is exactly how I make money. Good luck being selective and making money. The edges in all sports betting(excluding props) are very small, you need to bet a lot of games and constantly turn your money over.
 
You can't possibly be making money playing that many games every night.And if you are, it won't last.
While I don't think he'll keep winning, betting a lot of games is exactly how I make money. Good luck being selective and making money. The edges in all sports betting(excluding props) are very small, you need to bet a lot of games and constantly turn your money over.
An honest question. Why do you not think I'll keep winning? I highly doubt anybody can consistently hit 60%, but I see nothing to make me think this won't work every bit as good as anything anybody else is doing over here. Thoughts and comments are appreciated. My feeling is that most HOPE I don't keep winning. I'm listening.
 
You can't possibly be making money playing that many games every night.And if you are, it won't last.
While I don't think he'll keep winning, betting a lot of games is exactly how I make money. Good luck being selective and making money. The edges in all sports betting(excluding props) are very small, you need to bet a lot of games and constantly turn your money over.
A lot of his Cbb picks are based off of line movements that bmj has used with documented success (credible amount of picks) and myself to a lesser extent. Why do you think he won't continue to make money?
 
Seems like there are quite a few good hockey plays tonight, lol. :unsure:

On the Wings and Bruins tonight.

Maybe, Flyers -1.5

Also, hard not to take Winnipeg who is solid at home against a Sabres team in total crap mode.

 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
So if he's not hurt, why didn't he practice yesterday?
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
So if he's not hurt, why didn't he practice yesterday?
I don't know. But you really think this lined moved from 7.5 to 7 flat because Brady missed a day of practice on a Wednesday? If there was even a question to Brady being limited or missing this game, this line moves at minimum to Pats -2. Lebron missed practice on the day of the game in a 66 game season and the line only moved a half point.
 
'gussy said:
Flyers on the PL (-1 1/2)2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
Quick clarification, in case anybody cares, that Flyers pick is a 1/2 unit.Here are the games I'm playing tonight in CBB:1 UnitSamford +6S. Alabama -6 1/2Washington PICKN. Colorado +10 1/2Long Beach St. -2 (I bought the 1/2 point on this one)San Francisco +15Oregon St. -21/2 UnitCollege of Charleston -8 1/2Valpo -5 1/2Arkansas St. +14 1/2BYU -17 1/2WAZZU PICKSan Diego +4 1/2No real scientific rhyme or reason to the full unit vs. half unit plays outside of my comfort level and some leanings towards home plays, etc.2012 Posted PicksCBB-28-18-1NFL-3-0NBA-5-5-1CFB-1-0NHL-4-0
Is a parlay win counted as 1-0 or 2-0?
 
Back in the black, let's stay there for the rest of the season:

1u ULL +3

1u NCSU -17

1u Tenn St +2

1u Tenn Tech -9

1u Butler -7

1u USC +7

1u Utah +14.5

1u Ariz St +9

1u UL-Monroe +11

1u Cal -1.5

1u Sac St +6.5

YTD 158-139 +1.45u

 
Seems like there are quite a few good hockey plays tonight, lol. :unsure: On the Wings and Bruins tonight.Maybe, Flyers -1.5Also, hard not to take Winnipeg who is solid at home against a Sabres team in total crap mode.
m/l parlay on Flyers -1.2 / Wings -1.5gl
 
'xulf said:
'MarshallPlan said:
'TheGooRoo said:
'lumpy19 said:
Lakers +5.5looks like bron bron has the flu
fwiw he went for 33-5-10 with this same cold/flu a couple days ago against he Spurs.
And looking at his numbers without Wade the last year he's went over 2 of the 3 (pts, reb, assists) nearly every game. I bet him over pts, reb, assists last game and cashed 2 of 3. I'll probably do the same tonight as long as he's somewhat healthy.
If James is out, im dumping big money on Bosh points+rebounds
It's 27.5 -130 nowI'm in
 
'The Ref said:
'The Ref said:
sabers under 29.5 -115 :thumbup: capitals under 28.5 -110 :thumbup:
Finaly back to even this year. Lets see if we can keep this rolling.7-6 -.2 Units.
OK men onward and upwardBruins U 31.5 2 unitsTor O 29.5 1 unit (-120)Phil O 32.5 1 unitCal U 28.5 1 unit
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
So if he's not hurt, why didn't he practice yesterday?
I don't know. But you really think this lined moved from 7.5 to 7 flat because Brady missed a day of practice on a Wednesday? If there was even a question to Brady being limited or missing this game, this line moves at minimum to Pats -2. Lebron missed practice on the day of the game in a 66 game season and the line only moved a half point.
I have no idea why the line moved. I was just responding to your contention that Brady isn't "even a tad bit hurt." If that was truly the case he would of practiced yesterday, no?
 
'xulf said:
'MarshallPlan said:
'TheGooRoo said:
'lumpy19 said:
Lakers +5.5looks like bron bron has the flu
fwiw he went for 33-5-10 with this same cold/flu a couple days ago against he Spurs.
And looking at his numbers without Wade the last year he's went over 2 of the 3 (pts, reb, assists) nearly every game. I bet him over pts, reb, assists last game and cashed 2 of 3. I'll probably do the same tonight as long as he's somewhat healthy.
If James is out, im dumping big money on Bosh points+rebounds
It's 27.5 -130 nowI'm in
Tail this....
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
So if he's not hurt, why didn't he practice yesterday?
I don't know. But you really think this lined moved from 7.5 to 7 flat because Brady missed a day of practice on a Wednesday? If there was even a question to Brady being limited or missing this game, this line moves at minimum to Pats -2. Lebron missed practice on the day of the game in a 66 game season and the line only moved a half point.
I have no idea why the line moved. I was just responding to your contention that Brady isn't "even a tad bit hurt." If that was truly the case he would of practiced yesterday, no?
lots of people bet Baltimore this week believing all of the talk show jibber jabber that this will be a close game.just my guess.

 
'xulf said:
'MarshallPlan said:
'TheGooRoo said:
'lumpy19 said:
Lakers +5.5looks like bron bron has the flu
fwiw he went for 33-5-10 with this same cold/flu a couple days ago against he Spurs.
And looking at his numbers without Wade the last year he's went over 2 of the 3 (pts, reb, assists) nearly every game. I bet him over pts, reb, assists last game and cashed 2 of 3. I'll probably do the same tonight as long as he's somewhat healthy.
If James is out, im dumping big money on Bosh points+rebounds
James is playing according to the Heat.
 
I mean do we really think Reed and Lewis have any way of making a meaningful impact in this game? I sure don't. I don't understand the line movement on this game. What am I missing? (And note, I have missed a lot this playoffs so far)
Brady missed practice yesterday with a "left shoulder injury." Maybe that's what moved the line?
Big money on Ravens afraid the hook won't be there on Sunday. Brady injury surely not moving this line - if he was even a tad bit hurt he wouldn't have been in there handing the ball off up 35 with 4 minutes to go last week. I like the Pats, but didn't think we'd see 7 on this game - I made it closer to 4. I tried taking 9 -125 yesterday after I saw the line moving but didn't get it.
So if he's not hurt, why didn't he practice yesterday?
I don't know. But you really think this lined moved from 7.5 to 7 flat because Brady missed a day of practice on a Wednesday? If there was even a question to Brady being limited or missing this game, this line moves at minimum to Pats -2. Lebron missed practice on the day of the game in a 66 game season and the line only moved a half point.
I have no idea why the line moved. I was just responding to your contention that Brady isn't "even a tad bit hurt." If that was truly the case he would of practiced yesterday, no?
lots of people bet Baltimore this week believing all of the talk show jibber jabber that this will be a close game.just my guess.
Personally, I've heard a lot more negative talk about the Ravens, due to Ed Reed's criticism of Flacco earlier this week, than I have about the Patriots.
 

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