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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

'tjnc09 said:
'Billy Bats said:
'tjnc09 said:
'Billy Bats said:
'D-BO said:
'Doctor Detroit said:
Early pucks tomorrow:Caps/Pens U5.5 (-130) Pay the vig, these teams play close to the cuff against each other. Caps +150 Good valueFlyers +105 gllllllReally mad I didn't get the 49ers under 22.5, it dropped a whole point. Still took is at 21.5, even if they win I have a hard time believing they score more than 20. Am I alone in this?
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DD...would you still like the Caps/Pens under if Brent Johnson is in net?? I haven't seen any confirmation of starting goalies yet.
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Neuvirth vs MAF confirmed.
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Is that better for the under or worse?
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I would think better for the unders. :shrug:
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:eek:
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Ooops. ;) But MAF is still on the other end. :thumbup:
 
Still working on the late game...if anyone lives in the SF area, some weather updates as game time approaches would be helpful. That total is drop, drop, dropping, and if it falls to 40 and the weather starts shaping up, that OVER is going to be one tasty bet...

 
'nittanylion said:
Championship Weekend!!!

NFL/Early: Ravens @ Patriots (-7)

Ravens +7.5, Ravens TT OVER 21.5 (up to 24), Ravens ML...and quite possibly Pats TT UNDER 28+

So, the Ravens Offense looked a little rough around the edges last week, but that was against a Houston Defense that from a statistical standpoint, was among the best, if not THE BEST Defense in the NFL. New England's D isn't anywhere in the same ballpark. The last 3 times these teams have met, it's been in New England. Ravens-Patriots: 21-27, 33-14, 20-23. Scored 20+, haven't given up more than 27. Ravens have improved on offense and are a more complete team. Patriots improved on offense as well, but the defense is in a dramatic decline.

Denver was a playoff-caliber team in name only. From a statistical standpoint, they didn't belong. Against other, legitimate playoff-caliber teams, the Pats went 0-2 this season: vs Giants, @ Steelers...

...Ravens are now 7-0...SEVEN AND ZERO, vs playoff caliber teams.

Closest team resembling the Ravens from a statistical standpoint that the Pats have played was Miami, who you could call a poor man's Ravens. Miami gave the Pats a lot of trouble. Pats were down 21-0 to a less than average Bills squad in the last game of the Season, and pounded a bad Broncos squad that was ripe for a butt-kicking last week. Can't lay 7+ vs the best team the Patriots will have faced all season. Just can't.

Ravens at least will cover 7, if not win outright. They stand a great chance to go over 21 points, and keep the Pats under 28, win or lose.

I still haven't figured out the late game, but early on, it looks to me like the Ravens are an incredibly safe play.

Good Luck!!!
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Record of past 12 Super Bowl champions against playoff teams in the regular season:45: Packers 3-3

44: Saints 3-1

43: Steelers 4-4

42: Giants 1-5

41: Colts 3-1

40: Steelers 2-4

39: Patriots 5-1

38: Patriots 5-0

37: Buccaneers 4-2

36: Patriots 2-3

35: Ravens 1-2

34: Rams 0-2

Notes:

1. 5/12 had losing records versus playoff teams.

2. 5/12 had winning records versus playoff teams.

3. Only 1 of the past 4 Super Bowl champions had a winning record versus playoff teams.

Conclusion:

Looking at how playoff teams fared against other playoff teams in the regular season seems to tell us nothing.

 
'nittanylion said:
Championship Weekend!!!NFL/Early: Ravens @ Patriots (-7)Ravens +7.5, Ravens TT OVER 21.5 (up to 24), Ravens ML...and quite possibly Pats TT UNDER 28+So, the Ravens Offense looked a little rough around the edges last week, but that was against a Houston Defense that from a statistical standpoint, was among the best, if not THE BEST Defense in the NFL. New England's D isn't anywhere in the same ballpark. The last 3 times these teams have met, it's been in New England. Ravens-Patriots: 21-27, 33-14, 20-23. Scored 20+, haven't given up more than 27. Ravens have improved on offense and are a more complete team. Patriots improved on offense as well, but the defense is in a dramatic decline.Denver was a playoff-caliber team in name only. From a statistical standpoint, they didn't belong. Against other, legitimate playoff-caliber teams, the Pats went 0-2 this season: vs Giants, @ Steelers......Ravens are now 7-0...SEVEN AND ZERO, vs playoff caliber teams.Closest team resembling the Ravens from a statistical standpoint that the Pats have played was Miami, who you could call a poor man's Ravens. Miami gave the Pats a lot of trouble. Pats were down 21-0 to a less than average Bills squad in the last game of the Season, and pounded a bad Broncos squad that was ripe for a butt-kicking last week. Can't lay 7+ vs the best team the Patriots will have faced all season. Just can't. Ravens at least will cover 7, if not win outright. They stand a great chance to go over 21 points, and keep the Pats under 28, win or lose.I still haven't figured out the late game, but early on, it looks to me like the Ravens are an incredibly safe play.Good Luck!!!
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I'm tired of the "Patriots haven't beaten a playoff team" argument. They only played 2 of them, sample size issue? The Giants game was a very close game and yes Pittsburgh was a rout. We can't give the Pats any credit for beating all of these teams by DD: Philly, SD, Jets 2x. They also beat Dallas and Oakland who were in the playoff hunt until the last week. I just can't buy a 2 game sample size. If not for the Pats, the Jets are in the playoffs and Philly or Dallas get in instead of NYG.
 
'Billy Bats said:
'Doctor Detroit said:
'Billy Bats said:
While I respect that Flyers bet :homer: , it's going to be a tough game for them. Theyre average at home and they just lost Briere to a concussion, jagr left yesterday's game with more groin problems, and Giroux hasn't scored since the winter classic. Plus they never seem to be able to beat Thomas. Going to be a tough game to win today.
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Hockey is a daily grind. Just like the Rangers should never be +155, the Flyers probably shouldn't be home dogs even vs Boston.
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I hear what you're saying just passing along some fan info. They're now up to +125. I'm real tempted to play the Bruins 3-way line +120. :bag:
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I ended up getting it at +115. Yeah I appreciate the info but I think day to day happenings in the NHL are largely overrated. Both teams played yesterday and had to travel, I think it's a coin flip game so I'll take the home dog. The weather in Frisco has been raining the past few days, I don't think it matters what the weather is during the game, damage is done below sea level in an old stadium.
 
Cleveland St. -6-WIN

2012 Posted Picks

CBB-45-31-1

NFL-3-0

NBA-5-5-1

CFB-1-0

NHL-4-2

 
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Wisconsin - Illinois OVER 112.5

Very easy number to get over on. One of these teams should find some rhythm offensively.

 
'JerseyToughGuys said:
Revenge-minded Brady? sort of like these:

Patriots Win By 18-21 pts+1100

Patriots Win By 22-25 pts+1400

Patriots Win By 26 or more +800
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only grabbing the +26Big bets on the Pats -, Giants ML +120, both teased, and an Giants NFC +1000. Thought about hedging the latter, but f it.

:banned:

Glll fellas

 
San Francisco will see a 100% chance of rain and 14mph winds at game time.

(DD, there is virtually NO difference between the Niners u22.5 and u21.5. Hop on it if you still like it).

Re: the Pats game. The grounds crew did an amazing job overnight. That field was covered in snow after sundown last night. You look at it today and you wouldn't know it ever snowed yesterday.

 
'JerseyToughGuys said:
Revenge-minded Brady? sort of like these:

Patriots Win By 18-21 pts+1100

Patriots Win By 22-25 pts+1400

Patriots Win By 26 or more +800
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Took these two last night, with the same thought in mind.
 
NE-6.5 -135

NE most pts. +125

NYG +105

NYG +2

NYG/SF under 42

SF TT un 21.5

V. Davis over 57.5 rec. yds.

Green-Ellis over 30.5 rush yds.

NE-1.5/NYG +8.5

GL guys.

 
Took Hernandez over props and yes TD; they have to stop try and stop Gronk and Welker first.

On NE and NYG straight and teased (last night, finally bit when I was drunk).

On SF under 42 pretty big, and thank god I took it before (like I was talking about it in here / afraid of).

Took Rice over receptions (hi MP); I like NE, agree on that.

Probly gonna take NE over now too, dropped to 49. ETA took it, of course. :D

Heading to the bar, GLLLL!!!!!!

:banned:

 
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'Raider Nation said:
San Francisco will see a 100% chance of rain and 14mph winds at game time.

(DD, there is virtually NO difference between the Niners u22.5 and u21.5. Hop on it if you still like it).

Re: the Pats game. The grounds crew did an amazing job overnight. That field was covered in snow after sundown last night. You look at it today and you wouldn't know it ever snowed yesterday.
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Thanks, RN. Rain means relatively little to me when it comes to totals. Wind means just about everything. You wrote 14mph winds...just making sure that's FOURTEEN, because, generally speaking, wind under 20mph have relatively little effect on NFL-caliber passes and kicks. Not much stronger than a light breeze. I likee...
 
i took these:

ravens tt o21.5

ravens tie at half win game +2000

the both teams o33.5 yd field goal in this game

i like:

ray lewis o8.5 tackles + assists even

green ellis u33.5 yards rushing

 
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'TheWick said:
Ray Rice U20.5 carriesEli U37.5 pass att (0.5unit)Jacobs U9.5 rush attA.Smith O30.5 pass attVernon O55.5 rec ydsKyle Williams O2.5 rec (0.5unit)
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i liked quite a few of these, but they were destroyed when i got to them. Good luck, they all look pretty good
 
Adding Gophers -5 vs Northwestern - I think there will be a lot of people on Northwestern here after their recent impressive games, but Minnesota's home court is a weird layout/place to play and always seems to give road teams fits. The Gophers are playing with confidence.

 
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