FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

Woah there's a hockey game at 1PM tomorrow.. sweet.

 

[Man In The Box]

Preds just scored with .1 second on the clock.

NYR just did the same to end the 2nd.

Or not. LOL.Replay CLEARLY showed 0.01 left. Such BS.

Yep. Not sure what they're watching up in Toronto. Pretty awful.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

the NHL sucks. that was clearly a goal. complete BS to waive that off.

 

[mquinnjr]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man.

We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

 

[MarshallPlan]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man. We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

Punch in gut or almost a very lucky win? These teams went scoreless for the last 3 mins of the game to even give you a chance.

 

[bryan11joseph]

1u on OREGON/STANFORD UNDER 72

I don't get this one since you had over 136?

I was closer to hitting the UNDER 72 (UNDER 131) than the OVER 136.The system is built to generate an O/U play before the start of the GAME (OVER 136 for Oregon/Stanford).Then based on the Half Time Score and Line, it generates an O/U play for the 2H (UNDER 72).Yes, the Under bet in the 2H gives me no chance to middle or double up.This is just one example where I missed both in a 4.5 differential.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

well, the Oilers suck.

ETA: 3rd Couver goal under review. Might have been kicked in.

 

[bryan11joseph]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man. We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

Punch in gut or almost a very lucky win? These teams went scoreless for the last 3 mins of the game to even give you a chance.

You should have gone 5-3 if you followed my GAME O/U plays. (unless of course you didn't get the same lines I did)SYR/RUT o129 - WINMSU/PUR o134 - WINVANDY/UGA o129.5 - LOSSPSU/WIS o113 - WINDUKE/BC o139 - LOSSIND/IOWA u154.5 - WINUSF/PIT u122 - WINORE/STAN o136 - LOSSHow were you not 5-3?

 

[mquinnjr]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man. We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

Punch in gut or almost a very lucky win? These teams went scoreless for the last 3 mins of the game to even give you a chance.

Yeah I was gamecast'ing, couldn't get the game. O135.5 was looking good throughout the 2H, just didn't come in. Oh well, happens.

 

[mquinnjr]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man. We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

Punch in gut or almost a very lucky win? These teams went scoreless for the last 3 mins of the game to even give you a chance.

You should have gone 5-3 if you followed my GAME O/U plays. (unless of course you didn't get the same lines I did)SYR/RUT o129 - WINMSU/PUR o134 - WINVANDY/UGA o129.5 - LOSSPSU/WIS o113 - WINDUKE/BC o139 - LOSSIND/IOWA u154.5 - WINUSF/PIT u122 - WINORE/STAN o136 - LOSSHow were you not 5-3?

Oh man, hit in USF as the over. Just noticing now. FML , truly. Cost me some coin today. Congrats on your plays, will tail again in the future. Loss 8 Team Teaser (ties lose) MultiChance Three MissWin 2/19/12 6:00pm College Basketball 821 Indiana U/Iowa Under 151½ * Win 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 823 Michigan State/Purdue Over 129 * Win 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 825 Syracuse/Rutgers Over 131 * Loss 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 827 Vanderbilt/Georgia Over 132½ * Win 2/19/12 4:00pm College Basketball 829 Penn State/Wisconsin Over 114 * Loss 2/19/12 6:00pm College Basketball 831 Duke/Boston College Over 136 * Loss 2/19/12 7:00pm College Basketball 833 South Florida/Pittsburgh Over 121 * Loss 2/19/12 7:30pm College Basketball 835 Oregon/Stanford Over 135½ *

 

[bryan11joseph]

BRUTAL end of the day, Bryan11. Did a "Lose 3 Parlay" on your plays at +155. Had to go 5-3 on your plays to hit. Was 4-2 going into the 7PM games. Oregon/Stanford was just a total punch in the gut, man. We move on. Was an exciting day regardless.

Punch in gut or almost a very lucky win? These teams went scoreless for the last 3 mins of the game to even give you a chance.

You should have gone 5-3 if you followed my GAME O/U plays. (unless of course you didn't get the same lines I did)SYR/RUT o129 - WINMSU/PUR o134 - WINVANDY/UGA o129.5 - LOSSPSU/WIS o113 - WINDUKE/BC o139 - LOSSIND/IOWA u154.5 - WINUSF/PIT u122 - WINORE/STAN o136 - LOSSHow were you not 5-3?

Oh man, hit in USF as the over. Just noticing now. FML Loss 8 Team Teaser (ties lose) MultiChance Three MissWin 2/19/12 6:00pm College Basketball 821 Indiana U/Iowa Under 151½ * Win 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 823 Michigan State/Purdue Over 129 * Win 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 825 Syracuse/Rutgers Over 131 * Loss 2/19/12 1:00pm College Basketball 827 Vanderbilt/Georgia Over 132½ * Win 2/19/12 4:00pm College Basketball 829 Penn State/Wisconsin Over 114 * Loss 2/19/12 6:00pm College Basketball 831 Duke/Boston College Over 136 * Loss 2/19/12 7:00pm College Basketball 833 South Florida/Pittsburgh Over 121 * Loss 2/19/12 7:30pm College Basketball 835 Oregon/Stanford Over 135½ *

That sucks dude.1H - 5-3 (+1.7 units)2H - 4-4 (-0.4 units)GAME - 5-3 (+1.7 units)System was +3.0 units today. Not too bad. Looking to improve my 2H success.

 

[The Ref]

Preds just scored with .1 second on the clock.

NYR just did the same to end the 2nd.

Or not. LOL.Replay CLEARLY showed 0.01 left. Such BS.

I dont know about all of this, but unless columbus puts on 15 shots here in the third period I'm fully expecgted to get shut off from sportsbook hockey props.

 

[bryan11joseph]

College Basketball OVER/UNDERs for Sunday:

1pm - #2 Syracuse/Rutgers OVER 129½

SYR is averaging 78 pts vs. non-ranked opponents (75 pts on the ROAD)

Prediction: SYR 75-62

1pm - #8 Michigan State/Purdue OVER 134

MICH ST is averaging 73 pts on the season (77 pts vs. non-ranked and 63 pts vs. ranked)

However, they only average 63 pts on the ROAD

Last time they played, it was 83-58 @ MICH ST (141)

Prediction: MSU 74-64

1pm - Vanderbilt/Georgia OVER 129½

VANDY can score points by the bunches.

Prediction: VANDY 72-58

4pm - Penn State/#17 Wisconsin OVER 113

Wisconsin is scoring approx 65 at HOME (67 pts vs. non-ranked opponents)

Last time they played, it was 52-46 @ PSU

Prediction: WIS 65-50

6pm - #4 Duke/Boston College OVER 139

Boston College is scoring approx 62 at HOME

Prediction: DUKE 82-62

6pm - #20 Indiana/Iowa UNDER 154½

Indiana is dropping 83 pts on non-ranked opponents, but only 65 against ranked opponents. (78 on the season)

Iowa is averaging 73 pts per game.

I think it should be a 5-6 pt game, and this line leaves a lot of opportunity for the UNDER.

This line is where it's at because last time these two met it was 103-89 @ IND

Prediction: IND 79-73

7pm - South Florida/Pittsburgh UNDER 122

South Florida has won 3 straight and they travel to the Northeast for Pitt on Sunday and Syracuse on Wednesday. South Florida hasn't been all that great on the Road this year (3-7 Road Record)

Last time these two met the score was USF 63-51 @ USF. I think this time the rolls are reversed at the Pete.

Prediction: PIT 58-51

7:30pm - Oregon/Stanford OVER 136

Oregon beat Stanford at their place in January 78-67. Even with the line at Oregon -5.5, I would say they beat them by 10+ again.

Stanford has been terrible on the Road and 8-6 in Pac-12 play.

Prediction: ORE 77-65

The lines are pretty decent, but here are the games in order of my confidence (Feel free to fade in reverse order at your own risk!):

ORE/STAN, PIT/USF, IND/IOWA, DUKE/BC, VANDY/GEO, WIS/PSU, MSU/PUR, SYR/RUT

EDIT: to add descriptions/predictions.

I don't like to bump my own posts, but look at how close I was on these Final Score Predictions!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I turned off the Rangers game for a bit but when I checked back in on the Blue Jackets feed, they said the explanation on the goal call was that the clock shown on both the Rangers and BJ feeds was not the official clock. The goal judge apparently had the official clock and based on that one, the timer had hit 0:00 before the puck crossed the goal line.

Need an empty netter here.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

not that kind of empty net goal.

stupid Rangers.

 

[Man In The Box]

####

 

[modogg]

not that kind of empty net goal.stupid Rangers.

yup, love it when teams i despise completely reinforce my reason for hating them. F you Rangers

 

[D-BO]

Damn Rangers.

 

[bryan11joseph]

MONDAY CBB PICKS

1u Baylor / Texas OVER 137.5

1u DePaul / Saint John's UNDER 153.5

 

[Zegras11]

Anyone do futures?

Ducks are 15-2-4 in last 21 games. They were 20 points out of playoffs when this started and now only 5 points out. They are 4-0-2 on current 8-game road trip. Those 6 games in 10 days.

They made a run last year like this and wound up #4.

Boudreau has them taking significantly less penalties than ever before. Getz and Perry always took stupid penalties.

Hiller is on fire right now, and Sbisa is light years better than last year.

They are currently 80-1. I'm throwing down a few tonight thanks to 2u wins on ANA and VAN today.

 

[Widbil83]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

 

[Raider Nation]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

No sir.

 

[mquinnjr]

Anyone do futures?Ducks are 15-2-4 in last 21 games. They were 20 points out of playoffs when this started and now only 5 points out. They are 4-0-2 on current 8-game road trip. Those 6 games in 10 days.They made a run last year like this and wound up #4.Boudreau has them taking significantly less penalties than ever before. Getz and Perry always took stupid penalties.Hiller is on fire right now, and Sbisa is light years better than last year.They are currently 80-1. I'm throwing down a few tonight thanks to 2u wins on ANA and VAN today.

Don't see them up on 5D, but if they're re-posted I'm in. Any justifiable reason to get on board with 80/1 is a done deal in my book.

 

[The Ref]

Anyone do futures?Ducks are 15-2-4 in last 21 games. They were 20 points out of playoffs when this started and now only 5 points out. They are 4-0-2 on current 8-game road trip. Those 6 games in 10 days.They made a run last year like this and wound up #4.Boudreau has them taking significantly less penalties than ever before. Getz and Perry always took stupid penalties.Hiller is on fire right now, and Sbisa is light years better than last year.They are currently 80-1. I'm throwing down a few tonight thanks to 2u wins on ANA and VAN today.

Don't see them up on 5D, but if they're re-posted I'm in. Any justifiable reason to get on board with 80/1 is a done deal in my book.

You know what? The ducks more then any other team have screwed up our picks the past two weeks. The game two nights ago where they hung 38 shots on NJ is about as big an outlier as it gets as far as the long/medium term trending we use. But if you do just look at the past few weeks they are playing GREAT.Just did a unit each on the cup and conferance.

 

[Widbil83]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

No sir.

Good call, it actually went up to 2.5 now. I'm gonna wait and see where the line settles before the the game. I don't like the idea of giving Baylor too many points.

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Mother ####### free throws cost me al day. good thing there's tomorrow.

 

[Pumpnick]

any thoughts on the isles/sens game this afternoon? i'm going to the game and would like to have something to root for.

 

[ChainsawU]

A few things I read..

Isles opened at -120. I saw it go to -125 last night and now it's down to -110. Lots of internet message board folks on the Sens.

It's a big game for the Isles to stay in the playoff hunt. I think they have to win their next four games to stay in it.

Ottawa has been off since Wednesday.

Kevin Poulin was called up from the minors by the New York Islanders on Friday and turned aside 33 of the 36 shots he faced on Saturday night for the win vs the Hurricanes. He will be in the net again due to an illness to the Isles' starter.

 

[mquinnjr]

Anyone do futures?Ducks are 15-2-4 in last 21 games. They were 20 points out of playoffs when this started and now only 5 points out. They are 4-0-2 on current 8-game road trip. Those 6 games in 10 days.They made a run last year like this and wound up #4.Boudreau has them taking significantly less penalties than ever before. Getz and Perry always took stupid penalties.Hiller is on fire right now, and Sbisa is light years better than last year.They are currently 80-1. I'm throwing down a few tonight thanks to 2u wins on ANA and VAN today.

Don't see them up on 5D, but if they're re-posted I'm in. Any justifiable reason to get on board with 80/1 is a done deal in my book.

You know what? The ducks more then any other team have screwed up our picks the past two weeks. The game two nights ago where they hung 38 shots on NJ is about as big an outlier as it gets as far as the long/medium term trending we use. But if you do just look at the past few weeks they are playing GREAT.Just did a unit each on the cup and conferance.

In. Got them at +15000 to win Stanley Cup and +7500 to win the West. Put .5U on each at those odds. At 5 points out of qualifying for the playoffs with about 20 games left, Ducks need to keep it up to make it, or we can go ahead and grade these suckers before the playoffs start. If they were a slam dunk to qualify, the odds wouldn't be so damn good. Let's make some money!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'm in on the Ducks as well. They made a late run like this last year too and it looks like the teams they are chasing are all likely to fade down the stretch.

.5 unit on each

75 to 1 to win the West

150 to 1 to win the Cup

 

[ChainsawU]

Islanders -106 3U

 

[The Ref]

Only thing I like today is islanders over 30.5 shots. 1 unit.

 

[ChainsawU]

 

[Zegras11]

I'm in on the Ducks as well. They made a late run like this last year too and it looks like the teams they are chasing are all likely to fade down the stretch..5 unit on each75 to 1 to win the West150 to 1 to win the Cup

Dang, what site is 150/1???SB only 80/1The four tams above them are all under .500 LAST 10.ETA: down to 75/1 on SB today.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'm in on the Ducks as well. They made a late run like this last year too and it looks like the teams they are chasing are all likely to fade down the stretch..5 unit on each75 to 1 to win the West150 to 1 to win the Cup

Dang, what site is 150/1???SB only 80/1The four tams above them are all under .500 LAST 10.

5dimeslines are down now since there's a game going on but I bet those this morning.sick odds. $10 bet pays out at $1500. don't really expect them to win but will provide plenty of hedge options as long as they make it in.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

yeah, the Isles are not good. Sorry.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

according to http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Pacific/Anaheim.html, Ducks still only have a 6.9% chance to make the playoffs.

according to http://playoffstatus.com/nhl/ducksstandings.html, Ducks have a 9% chance to make the playoffs.

Definitely a longshot still. They need to keep up their hot streak awhile longer.

 

[Zegras11]

according to http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Pacific/Anaheim.html, Ducks still only have a 6.9% chance to make the playoffs.

according to http://playoffstatus.com/nhl/ducksstandings.html, Ducks have a 9% chance to make the playoffs.

Definitely a longshot still. They need to keep up their hot streak awhile longer.

hahaha... I remember those from last year.

They made up 15 points in last 6 weeks, another 5 in next 6 weeks should not be that hard the way they are playing.

 

[mquinnjr]

UConn -3.5 @-105 is free money at Villanova, no?

 

[sts911911]

UConn -3.5 @-105 is free money at Villanova, no?

NOT so fast !!Villanova put up a good fight against notre dame the other night and seeing uconn get beat up against marquette leaves me wondering what kind me performance we.ll see tonight. I am going to bet villa with the points for the first half. Not going to touch the rest of the game

 

[derek245583]

Got a couple money orders today and tried to cash them...no dice.

Looks like I just got stiffed.

#### this laundering money bull#### getting money in and out of these books.

 

[hooter311]

UConn -3.5 @-105 is free money at Villanova, no?

NOT so fast !!Villanova put up a good fight against notre dame the other night and seeing uconn get beat up against marquette leaves me wondering what kind me performance we.ll see tonight. I am going to bet villa with the points for the first half. Not going to touch the rest of the game

This is a must win game for Uconn. I'll take the -3.5 as well.

 

[hooter311]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

No sir.

A lot of smart money on Texas tonight.

 

[Raider Nation]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

No sir.

A lot of smart money on Texas tonight.

The Bears are soft as toilet paper. This game comes down to choosing the lesser evil between Barnes' hideous coaching and Baylor's pussiness.

 

[Blind Tiger]

Texas is -2 at home tomorrow against Baylor, anybody think that line will come down? leaning Texas.

No sir.

A lot of smart money on Texas tonight.

The Bears are soft as toilet paper. This game comes down to choosing the lesser evil between Barnes' hideous coaching and Baylor's pussiness.

The scary thing is that this is the only matchup in the Big XII that I give Barnes the coaching advantage.

 

[Angry Beavers]

UConn -3.5 @-105 is free money at Villanova, no?

NOT so fast !!Villanova put up a good fight against notre dame the other night and seeing uconn get beat up against marquette leaves me wondering what kind me performance we.ll see tonight. I am going to bet villa with the points for the first half. Not going to touch the rest of the game

This is a must win game for Uconn. I'll take the -3.5 as well.

Villanova put up a good fight, but they did blow a 20 point lead, at home, on National TV, 48 hours ago. That is a lot different than hanging around and simply losing a close game in OT. The Irish had a 12-0 run late and while Nova' showed a lot of grit just to get it to OT, I have to think U Conn gets it done here.

 

[mquinnjr]

Just got an email from my guy who runs my NCAA/NFL ATS pool for a bracket challenge for the Accenture match play championship. $20 bucks, open to all. PM me your email if you're interested and I'll forward you the email and contact info. Starts Wednesday though, so lemme know soon.

Alright....we have some Brackets! No not the March Madness Brackets.....the WGC February Brackets. Putting together a little pool for the event. $20.00 per entry, Points as follows: Round 1 Winner 2 PointRound 2 Winner 4 PointsRound 3 Winner 6 PointsRound 4 Winner 8 PointsYOU GET THE POINT! The competition starts early Wednesday so there isn't a lot of time. If you want in get me your bracket no later than Tuesday Night at Midnight (via email or fax) and mail the money to me so I receive it no later than Sunday. Prize money will be paid according to pot size!

 

[mquinnjr]

UConn -3.5 @-105 is free money at Villanova, no?

NOT so fast !!Villanova put up a good fight against notre dame the other night and seeing uconn get beat up against marquette leaves me wondering what kind me performance we.ll see tonight. I am going to bet villa with the points for the first half. Not going to touch the rest of the game

This is a must win game for Uconn. I'll take the -3.5 as well.

Villanova put up a good fight, but they did blow a 20 point lead, at home, on National TV, 48 hours ago. That is a lot different than hanging around and simply losing a close game in OT. The Irish had a 12-0 run late and while Nova' showed a lot of grit just to get it to OT, I have to think U Conn gets it done here.

In on UConn before this moves.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Anyone else think there is some value on the Nets +9.5? NYK has to be due a letdown after a come from behind win v. Dallas yesterday. The only thing stopping me here is that I think Melo is due back today and that may keep this train rolling another day. Nonetheless, I would have to think that before too long the value is going to be on fading Linsanity........

 

[gussy]

Texas -2 -LOSS

Regarding Nova/UCONN, I fully anticipated playing 2 games today regardless of system and that was Texas and Nova. I'm not playing Nova just because of the way the line moved in UCONN's favor, but after watching that Marquette game Saturday, UCONN is just not a very good team right now. Lots of talent, VERY undisciplined. I can totally see themselves playing themselves out of the tournament. Wouldn't touch UCONN with a 10' pole, regardless of line move.

2012 Posted Picks

CBB-95-81-3 (54.0%)

NFL-4-0

NBA-11-11-2

CFB-1-0

NHL-12-14