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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

YE Yang posted this on his twitter yesterday

Injured my neck and shoulder. Trying to loosen up now. Not good feeling this way. No practice for me today
good enough for me to fade him, only matchup i can find is at 5dimesETA: also o64.5 -145 best round at sportsbook, can't seem to find a better price than that
 
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YE Yang posted this on his twitter yesterday

Injured my neck and shoulder. Trying to loosen up now. Not good feeling this way. No practice for me today
good enough for me to fade him, only matchup i can find is at 5dimesETA: also o64.5 -145 best round at sportsbook, can't seem to find a better price than that
I was around when they first put up their lines. That was the opening price. IN!! They have generous numbers on the prop bets of where the golfer will finish. I'm in on Phil under 39.5 and Sergio under 31.5 thus far. I like alot of matchups, i'll post those later after i make the plays.
 
Some matchups i'm in on.

Marcel Siem over Davis Love -135

Zach over Watney -130

Poulter over Watney -130

Colsaerts over Bubba -115

Hanson over Bubba even

Serge over OOsty -145

Pablo over Na -110

Senden over Pettersson -125

Senden oveer Ogilvy -140

Paddy over Rory even

Fun bet Props

With the extra par 3 on the front 9(five for the 18) I will take a chance on will there be a hole in one Yes -105.

Will there be a playoff Yes +240.

Will John Daly make the cut Yes +110.

 
YE Yang posted this on his twitter yesterday

Injured my neck and shoulder. Trying to loosen up now. Not good feeling this way. No practice for me today
good enough for me to fade him, only matchup i can find is at 5dimesETA: also o64.5 -145 best round at sportsbook, can't seem to find a better price than that
Well that didn't take long
 
ugh, my funds were 3 hours too late becoming available, so couldn't bet bubba watson at 60-1. hope he falters or someone else dominates to ease my pain.

 
I can't get in any money in there right now, but just a heads up for you guys, gtbets.eu(former vipsports.com) has British Open odds up right now, and I suspect some of the players will be bet down shortly.

I will bold my opinions of guys who I think could get bet down, but share your opinions of the players(unless of course you want to keep those juicy odds for yourself) I basically picked all the people that did well this week. I'm sure that's not worth much at all, but I do think they will be bet down. So if you like any of em, I would go get em now.

07/19/2012

02:00 Tiger Woods 6 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Rory McIlroy 10 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Lee Westwood 12 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Luke Donald 12 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Sergio Garcia 35 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Martin Kaymer 30 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Phil Mickleson 25 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Jason Day 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Adam Scott 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Charl Schwartzel 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Graeme McDowell 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Nick Watney 65 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Dustin Johnson 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Padraig Harrington 45 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Rickie Fowler 30 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Justin Rose 30 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Steve Stricker 60 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 K J Choi 100 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Matt Kuchar 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Webb Simpson 70 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Retief Goosen 100 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Ian Poulter 60 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Darren Clarke 200 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Paul Casey 100 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Tom Lewis 175 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Hunter Mahan 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Robert Karlsson 125 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Ross Fisher 150 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Ernie Els 50 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Geoff Ogilvy 80 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Jim Furyk 80 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Henrik Stenson 80 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Stewart Cink 175 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Fredrik Jacobson 125 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Peter Hanson 65 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Angel Cabrera 175 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Y E Yang 175 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Francesco Molinari 80 to 1

07/19/2012

02:00 Matteo Manassero 65 to 1
i should have bet these. franceso went off at 25 to 1, els 40 to 1, grahme 30 or 40 to 1
 
'optionmaven said:
Some matchups i'm in on.

Marcel Siem over Davis Love -135

Zach over Watney -130

Poulter over Watney -130

Colsaerts over Bubba -115

Hanson over Bubba even

Serge over OOsty -145

Pablo over Na -110

Senden over Pettersson -125

Senden oveer Ogilvy -140

Paddy over Rory even

Fun bet Props

With the extra par 3 on the front 9(five for the 18) I will take a chance on will there be a hole in one Yes -105.

Will there be a playoff Yes +240.

Will John Daly make the cut Yes +110.
Did this hit?I spent all morning thinking SNEDEKER, Brandt hit it but his was on Wednesday in practice.

 
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YE Yang posted this on his twitter yesterday

Injured my neck and shoulder. Trying to loosen up now. Not good feeling this way. No practice for me today
good enough for me to fade him, only matchup i can find is at 5dimesETA: also o64.5 -145 best round at sportsbook, can't seem to find a better price than that
Well that didn't take long
Great playing conditions did us in this morning. More than likely, there won't be another 64 or lower. Still sucks.
 
'optionmaven said:
Some matchups i'm in on.

Marcel Siem over Davis Love -135

Zach over Watney -130

Poulter over Watney -130

Colsaerts over Bubba -115

Hanson over Bubba even

Serge over OOsty -145

Pablo over Na -110

Senden over Pettersson -125

Senden oveer Ogilvy -140

Paddy over Rory even

Fun bet Props

With the extra par 3 on the front 9(five for the 18) I will take a chance on will there be a hole in one Yes -105.

Will there be a playoff Yes +240.

Will John Daly make the cut Yes +110.
Did this hit?I spent all morning thinking SNEDEKER, Brandt hit it but his was on Wednesday in practice.
Haven't looked at the numbers yet. If it does hit, i would expect it to be today or tomorrow though, while we have 150 golfers on the course.

 
Day bases, anyone like anything? I am bored
tigers....and cin if you can get it(rain delay)
also played min and sea
in on SEA:hifive:
Might as well add the cubs and boston :excited:
Hip hip HOOOORAY!~@~!@ :banned:
If you're REALLY feeling it hurry up and grab USA -32.5
INGB ranked 45 in the world and DR was like 25 and USA throttled them. Brazil was 13...This is free money
 
Day bases, anyone like anything? I am bored
tigers....and cin if you can get it(rain delay)
also played min and sea
in on SEA:hifive:
Might as well add the cubs and boston :excited:
Hip hip HOOOORAY!~@~!@ :banned:
If you're REALLY feeling it hurry up and grab USA -32.5
the brits are that bad, eh?
 
I like that we are fading Freddy Garcia, in Oakland, after a flight spanning 4 time zones. :nerd:

In his last game vs the Angels he walked 5 batters in 5 innings, walked the leadoff batter in each of the third through fifth innings, and gave up some stolen bases; 3 in the fourth inning alone. I like Oakland's chances to get on base.

Since June 2, the Athletics have averaged 4.7 runs per game, and with the Yankees 42 game streak of 3 or more runs scored there is a good chance OAK gets the full nine innings to cover the number.

 
I like that we are fading Freddy Garcia, in Oakland, after a flight spanning 4 time zones. :nerd: In his last game vs the Angels he walked 5 batters in 5 innings, walked the leadoff batter in each of the third through fifth innings, and gave up some stolen bases; 3 in the fourth inning alone. I like Oakland's chances to get on base.Since June 2, the Athletics have averaged 4.7 runs per game, and with the Yankees 42 game streak of 3 or more runs scored there is a good chance OAK gets the full nine innings to cover the number.
line keeps moving, but I'm in :thumbup:
 
Reputable sportsbook.ag skin that some might not know about, betusa.ag

They did limit me to $10 rather quickly(on everything) but others may have better luck. Good out to have with the football season coming soon.

 
Reputable sportsbook.ag skin that some might not know about, betusa.agThey did limit me to $10 rather quickly(on everything) but others may have better luck. Good out to have with the football season coming soon.
Took me one day to get cut there and only got bet like 3 things. If you got cut at sportsbook, I wouldn't waste your time. Took long enough to get my money back out.
 
Reputable sportsbook.ag skin that some might not know about, betusa.agThey did limit me to $10 rather quickly(on everything) but others may have better luck. Good out to have with the football season coming soon.
Took me one day to get cut there and only got bet like 3 things. If you got cut at sportsbook, I wouldn't waste your time. Took long enough to get my money back out.
I got a few k down on futures and GOY lines, I wouldn't consider that wasting time
 
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Reputable sportsbook.ag skin that some might not know about, betusa.agThey did limit me to $10 rather quickly(on everything) but others may have better luck. Good out to have with the football season coming soon.
Took me one day to get cut there and only got bet like 3 things. If you got cut at sportsbook, I wouldn't waste your time. Took long enough to get my money back out.
I got a few k down on futures and GOY lines, I wouldn't consider that wasting time
MP only deals in millions these days, noob.
 
SEA TT o3 -120

They are going against Shields, who has allowed 146 hits, the most in baseball. He has a .371 opponent BA over his last five starts, and gave at least 10 hits in each of his last four. He is 1-0 against Seattle this year with a 1.50 ERA (but yielded four total runs that game). He had allowed 20 runs his previous three starts versus Seattle. The current Mariners vs Shields are 48-for-140 (.343), with seven home runs and 40 strikeouts.

Just this week (since Monday) Seattle hit eight homers, 50 hits, and scored 31 runs in a 4 game series versus the Royals. They put up nine runs twice, seven, and six.

The Mariners have scored the most road runs of any team in baseball (while oddly have scored the fewest of any team at home).

And while Tropicana field is a pitchers park, I’m still rolling the dice for some action on the over tonight.

 
SEA TT o3 -120

The current Mariners vs Shields are 48-for-140 (.343), with seven home runs and 40 strikeouts.
I've always wondered how to apply these stats (if to apply them at all).With these Mariners, they only have a 72% contact rate versus James Shields. Not awesome.

But their BABIP vs Shields is .480!

Since their contact rate is so low, I would figure that they're not actually seeing the ball so well. That would mean the .480 BABIP is very flukey and likely to regress, thus lowering their BA vs. Shields.

Thoughts?

 
SEA TT o3 -120

The current Mariners vs Shields are 48-for-140 (.343), with seven home runs and 40 strikeouts.
I've always wondered how to apply these stats (if to apply them at all).With these Mariners, they only have a 72% contact rate versus James Shields. Not awesome.

But their BABIP vs Shields is .480!

Since their contact rate is so low, I would figure that they're not actually seeing the ball so well. That would mean the .480 BABIP is very flukey and likely to regress, thus lowering their BA vs. Shields.

Thoughts?
Any BABIP of .480 is going to regress, unless you have players with a preternatural, as-yet unknown ability to hit a ton of line drives.
 

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