FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[Raider Nation]

What do you guys think about the 4-team, 12/14 point special teasers?

(It MUST be 4 teams. You can swing 12 points in the NFL and 14 points in CFB)

Obviously, 12 points in the NFL are more valuable than 14 in college.

The tough part is it's 10 to 15. You have to put up $150 to make $100. Is that vig a deal-breaker?

 

[Eviloutsider]

Looking at Florida (-16) to bounce back this weekend. Any opinions?

 

[culdeus]

What do you guys think about the 4-team, 12/14 point special teasers?(It MUST be 4 teams. You can swing 12 points in the NFL and 14 points in CFB)Obviously, 12 points in the NFL are more valuable than 14 in college. The tough part is it's 10 to 15. You have to put up $150 to make $100. Is that vig a deal-breaker?

That should pay maybe at -105 by my math. So -150 is quite a bit of juice, yeah.

 

[Raider Nation]

What do you guys think about the 4-team, 12/14 point special teasers?(It MUST be 4 teams. You can swing 12 points in the NFL and 14 points in CFB)Obviously, 12 points in the NFL are more valuable than 14 in college. The tough part is it's 10 to 15. You have to put up $150 to make $100. Is that vig a deal-breaker?

That should pay maybe at -105 by my math. So -150 is quite a bit of juice, yeah.

If it's not a pain in the ### to explain, can you tell me how you arrive at -105?

 

[culdeus]

What do you guys think about the 4-team, 12/14 point special teasers?(It MUST be 4 teams. You can swing 12 points in the NFL and 14 points in CFB)Obviously, 12 points in the NFL are more valuable than 14 in college. The tough part is it's 10 to 15. You have to put up $150 to make $100. Is that vig a deal-breaker?

That should pay maybe at -105 by my math. So -150 is quite a bit of juice, yeah.

If it's not a pain in the ### to explain, can you tell me how you arrive at -105?

I usually track stuff like this as if you were parlaying ML. A 12 point spread on the ML suggests about -500. A 4 way parlay of 4 -500 ML is -107.50.

 

[derek245583]

2 TD's completely dropped so far in the UTEP game.

 

[Raider Nation]

What do you guys think about the 4-team, 12/14 point special teasers?(It MUST be 4 teams. You can swing 12 points in the NFL and 14 points in CFB)Obviously, 12 points in the NFL are more valuable than 14 in college. The tough part is it's 10 to 15. You have to put up $150 to make $100. Is that vig a deal-breaker?

That should pay maybe at -105 by my math. So -150 is quite a bit of juice, yeah.

If it's not a pain in the ### to explain, can you tell me how you arrive at -105?

I usually track stuff like this as if you were parlaying ML. A 12 point spread on the ML suggests about -500. A 4 way parlay of 4 -500 ML is -107.50.

Ahhhh, thanks. I'll wait for Jeff the human computer to chime in and confirm.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Three plays for tomorrow:

South Carolina -3

Miami 8.5

Florida State 8.5

 

[Raider Nation]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

 

[Raider Nation]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

I saw every minute of each team's first game last week. I refuse to believe the Irish are the better team.Don't care about HFA. Not in this game anyway.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

I saw every minute of each team's first game last week. I refuse to believe the Irish are the better team.Don't care about HFA. Not in this game anyway.

I'm a huge Michigan fan, and as much as I want to take the points its a toss up as to who wins.

 

[Raider Nation]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

I saw every minute of each team's first game last week. I refuse to believe the Irish are the better team.Don't care about HFA. Not in this game anyway.

I'm a huge Michigan fan, and as much as I want to take the points its a toss up as to who wins.

I'm definitely teasing them up to 10... I'll tell you that. N.D. will have no answer for Shoelace.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

I saw every minute of each team's first game last week. I refuse to believe the Irish are the better team.Don't care about HFA. Not in this game anyway.

I'm a huge Michigan fan, and as much as I want to take the points its a toss up as to who wins.

I'm definitely teasing them up to 10... I'll tell you that. N.D. will have no answer for Shoelace.

Nobody has an answer for a qb thats runs a 4.32 thats Vick fast while he was in college.

 

[Raider Nation]

Any books out there that are lax with correlated parlays? I'm looking to parlay Wisconsin -39 with the over 53.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Any books out there that are lax with correlated parlays? I'm looking to parlay Wisconsin -39 with the over 53.

betpop.com

 

[guru_007]

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Can someone explain why Notre Dame is favored over Michigan? I'm scratching my head over that one.

Its being played at Notre Dame and they figure it to be a high scoring game, home field is worth 3 points.

I saw every minute of each team's first game last week. I refuse to believe the Irish are the better team.Don't care about HFA. Not in this game anyway.

I am not sure what to make of ND based on last weeks game.

 

[optionmaven]

Chelsea vs. W.Ham.......any thoughts?

 

[guru_007]

Chelsea vs. W.Ham.......any thoughts?

pass for me.United victory gives me a nice bump to the morning. If I had to recommend one game in the EPL this weekend, take the over in Newcastle/Blackpool

 

[optionmaven]

Took over 37.5 on the utep/houston game tonight..................... 1ST HALF!!!! Prop: Yes score in first 4.5 minutes -120

Better hope the Miners don't win the toss and try to establish a ground game to keep Keenum off the field.He still might go for 600 tonight.

Got the 1st half over with 25 seconds to spare(should have been over way before that, both teams settling on fg's with 1st and goal at the 5) and lost the score in first 4.5 minutes by 18 seconds. I do like Michigan St. today over Florida atlantic, the line moved late last night from -28 to -26.5. Maybe somebody knows something I don't. Maybe I shouldn't overthink my instinct and take the gift of a point and a half.

 

[guru_007]

 

[culdeus]

Lol at North Texas being favored over any team, ever. They can't be serious right?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Took over 37.5 on the utep/houston game tonight..................... 1ST HALF!!!! Prop: Yes score in first 4.5 minutes -120

Better hope the Miners don't win the toss and try to establish a ground game to keep Keenum off the field.He still might go for 600 tonight.

Got the 1st half over with 25 seconds to spare(should have been over way before that, both teams settling on fg's with 1st and goal at the 5) and lost the score in first 4.5 minutes by 18 seconds. I do like Michigan St. today over Florida atlantic, the line moved late last night from -28 to -26.5. Maybe somebody knows something I don't. Maybe I shouldn't overthink my instinct and take the gift of a point and a half.

but I am on the Big Ten blowout fade. I don't see either one of Wisconsin/MichSt. winning by 4 TDs.

 

[optionmaven]

Took over 37.5 on the utep/houston game tonight..................... 1ST HALF!!!! Prop: Yes score in first 4.5 minutes -120

Better hope the Miners don't win the toss and try to establish a ground game to keep Keenum off the field.He still might go for 600 tonight.

Got the 1st half over with 25 seconds to spare(should have been over way before that, both teams settling on fg's with 1st and goal at the 5) and lost the score in first 4.5 minutes by 18 seconds. I do like Michigan St. today over Florida atlantic, the line moved late last night from -28 to -26.5. Maybe somebody knows something I don't. Maybe I shouldn't overthink my instinct and take the gift of a point and a half.

but I am on the Big Ten blowout fade. I don't see either one of Wisconsin/MichSt. winning by 4 TDs.

I sort of remember this being a good rule of thumb over the past few yrs, fading the big ten against inferior opponents with big numbers to cover.I agree with culdeus too, I have Rice in a couple of lonshot parlays (6 and 8 teamers) over N. texas. +130 ML

 

[optionmaven]

This bet has me chuckling. 1st prop bet on sportsbook is will Kale PICK (qb kansas) throw an interception -160. GT has always had/has a pretty good D and a decent secondary. 32 to win 20.

 

[TheGooRoo]

This bet has me chuckling. 1st prop bet on sportsbook is will Kale PICK (qb kansas) throw an interception -160. GT has always had/has a pretty good D and a decent secondary. 32 to win 20.

Got a chuckle out of the prop myself. Be careful there, Pick will not start but may see time if redshirt freshman Webb struggles or possibly some mop up duty. Pick "no pick" or no play imo.

 

[optionmaven]

This bet has me chuckling. 1st prop bet on sportsbook is will Kale PICK (qb kansas) throw an interception -160. GT has always had/has a pretty good D and a decent secondary. 32 to win 20.

Got a chuckle out of the prop myself. Be careful there, Pick will not start but may see time if redshirt freshman Webb struggles or possibly some mop up duty. Pick "no pick" or no play imo.

Thanks for the heads up. Played the other side for half my wager. I'm not a suscriber (I should be, my limits are still 500) but do you have any opinion on Andrew Luck qb stanford? I'm looking at over 18.5 completions and over 1.5 t.d. passes. Late game tonight.

 

[Tecumseh]

Here's my card for today:

Straight parlay (2units):

Dolphins Win

Atlanta -1.5

Cinci Win

Clev Win

GB -3

Balt +2.5

Oregon -11.5

Stanford -6

CFB Parlay (5 units) all to Win:

GT

Fla

Iowa

Miami-Oh

BC

Tulsa

Wash

Baylor

Prop- (2 units)

1st to score 10 points

Cleveland +110

 

[TheGooRoo]

This bet has me chuckling. 1st prop bet on sportsbook is will Kale PICK (qb kansas) throw an interception -160. GT has always had/has a pretty good D and a decent secondary. 32 to win 20.

Got a chuckle out of the prop myself. Be careful there, Pick will not start but may see time if redshirt freshman Webb struggles or possibly some mop up duty. Pick "no pick" or no play imo.

Thanks for the heads up. Played the other side for half my wager. I'm not a suscriber (I should be, my limits are still 500) but do you have any opinion on Andrew Luck qb stanford? I'm looking at over 18.5 completions and over 1.5 t.d. passes. Late game tonight.

No opinion on Luck, but I do have a play on his WR Baldwin u 4.5 receptions. With Owusu due back, there are enough offensive options to fade Baldwin imo.

 

[Tecumseh]

Here's my card for today:Straight parlay (2units)olphins WinAtlanta -1.5Cinci WinClev WinGB -3Balt +2.5Oregon -11.5Stanford -6CFB Parlay (5 units) all to Win: GTFlaIowaMiami-OhBCTulsaWashBaylorProp- (2 units)1st to score 10 pointsCleveland +110

Reloading with:IowaBCUtahOregonTulsaTex A&MWashBaylor

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

3-1 Now, and I just placed two more bets:

Penn St. +14.5

Air force -.5

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

UCONN looks better, Purdue looks worse: UM +3.5

also compelled to bet FSU +7 for some reason

 

[comfortably numb]

3 team parlay

09/11/10 Colorado Over 50.5

15:40 ET California

09/11/10 Michigan Under 53

15:40 ET NotreDame

09/11/10 Presbyterian +48

 

[derek245583]

UM/ND OVER 53 is a strong play....like 3-4 unit play.

 

[comfortably numb]

Highest scoring SUNDAY team.

Thoughts?

Packers

+350

Colts

+400

Patriots

+400

Bears

+400

Giants

+700

Titans

+1000

Eagles

+1500

Texans

+1500

Cardinals

+2000

Jaguars

+2000

Bengals

+2000

Cowboys

+2000

Dolphins

+2000

Buccaneers

+2500

49ers

+2500

Falcons

+2500

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm guessing most of us are in fantasy leagues. If nobody objects, I have a quick WSIS question. The AC forum is a ghost town.



Steve Smith (CAR) @ NYG

or

Pierre Garcon (IND) @ Houston

Non-PPR. I have Smith in there now, but I have a feeling Ind/Hou is gonna be a shootout. What do you think?

If any of you have a question, I'd be happy to answer. Outside opinions are always helpful.

 

[derek245583]

I'm guessing most of us are in fantasy leagues. If nobody objects, I have a quick WSIS question. The AC forum is a ghost town.Steve Smith (CAR) @ NYG orPierre Garcon (IND) @ HoustonNon-PPR. I have Smith in there now, but I have a feeling Ind/Hou is gonna be a shootout. What do you think?If any of you have a question, I'd be happy to answer. Outside opinions are always helpful.

I am notBut I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

 

[Raider Nation]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

 

[derek245583]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

Actually, I did not bet it....cant bet on ND to score. I am a UM fan and 100% cannot root for ND to score...I DID however bet Oklahoma/FSU Over.

 

[hooter311]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

I'd take Garcon in that spot too. Starting Smith seems like settling for average production where Garcon gives you a better shake at some outstanding production. His floor may be a little lower but his ceiling is much higher, at least for week 1.

 

[Raider Nation]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

Actually, I did not bet it....cant bet on ND to score. I am a UM fan and 100% cannot root for ND to score...

Aren't you a Bearcats fan?

 

[Raider Nation]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

I'd take Garcon in that spot too. Starting Smith seems like settling for average production where Garcon gives you a better shake at some outstanding production. His floor may be a little lower but his ceiling is much higher, at least for week 1.

Thanks guys, I've heard enough. Don't want to clutter the thread with FF. Garcon it is.

 

[derek245583]

I would start Garcon. You are spot on with your shootout thought.

Thanks. Looking good with your Michigan/ND over.

Actually, I did not bet it....cant bet on ND to score. I am a UM fan and 100% cannot root for ND to score...

Aren't you a Bearcats fan?

Graduated from UC....so yes. But I love UM.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

love getting +11 at Rockytop tonight. Might have to bang it

 

[Raider Nation]

love getting +11 at Rockytop tonight. Might have to bang it

Careful, man. The Ducks are a machine on offense.

 

[derek245583]

love getting +11 at Rockytop tonight. Might have to bang it

Careful, man. The Ducks are a machine on offense.

I am going to take Oregon

 

[newteech]

Finally broke down and opened a sportsbook.com account.

Hoping you guys can throw a few good props my way

 

[snellman]

Anyone else think Penn St is going to get killed at Alabama?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

also like Syracuse tonight getting +14 (buying the hook). Haven't punched either.