John Bender
Footballguy
Holy ape-balls.NOT SO FAST MY FRIENDHope he hedged.
Whoa Crazy Crazy.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Whoa Crazy Crazy.
bmj87
Footballguy
Soooo it's the last day of the regular season and so comes the conclusion of my baseball plays.
I have no plays tonight, but by deciding to exclude the summer months and only playing April+September, we ended up with an outstanding record for the 2012 season:
111-83 +26.45u
Thanks to everyone in the thread who has offered advice, showed support, etc.
Now it's time to turn around this college football train!
I have no plays tonight, but by deciding to exclude the summer months and only playing April+September, we ended up with an outstanding record for the 2012 season:
111-83 +26.45u
Thanks to everyone in the thread who has offered advice, showed support, etc.
Now it's time to turn around this college football train!
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
If anyone wants to take a swing on a dog tonight, Vancouver/Chivas u1.5 +325 (MLS) is a very good price. Under Game Props at SB.
Didn't some Canadian win $725,000 on $5 because his daughter picked all 15 NFL games correctly last week?Some day I'd love to be in a situation like this guy, 125k riding on a baseball game with only 500 riskedhttp://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/1929266-advice-needed-best-way-deal-potential-6-figure-win.html#top
Aw, yes
For millions of NFL fans the refereeing lockout is already ancient history, with the right men in the middle having returned to police Sunday afternoons with an iron, and thankfully precise, fist.
Replacement officials rule Golden Tate scores the winning touchdown against Green Bay. (AP)Yet while that sorry epidemic of blown class and red-faced moments is a thing of the past, a Canadian man will always have cause to remember those few weeks of mayhem with nothing but fondness.
Gino DiFelice of Brantford, Ontario, turned a cheeky wager of $5 into the life-changing windfall of $725,254 when he correctly picked the outcome of 15 NFL games a week ago, with that 15th win coming courtesy of the highest-profile and most debated decision laid down by any of the stand-in refs.
When the substitute crew controversially ruled that the Seattle Seahawks' Golden Tate had scored a game-winning touchdown to beat the Green Bay Packers, DiFelice secured a payout big enough to fund a few referees' retirement plans.
As he collected his check from the Ontario gaming authority's headquarters, DiFelice didn't care that the majority of the viewing audience – the ones with functioning eyesight – believed the Packers' M.D. Jennings had secured a legitimate interception on the game's final play.
Neither was the lucky winner's delight tempered by the fact that it was his 12-year-old daughter who provided the expert analysis needed to secure the blockbuster check.
"When the play was under review I couldn't believe what was happening," he told reporters. "When the call was made, I went nuts. I ripped open the envelope.
[Related: NFL Power Rankings: The Vikings continue their march toward the top 10]
"Every week I do a ticket with my picks and then I ask my kids who they like. I do one ticket each with their picks. The winner was the ticket my daughter consulted me on. The funniest part is, the ticket I made all of the picks myself, I only got four right.
"I watched the last 1:48 and that's about it. I couldn't watch the rest of the game."
Tales of big wins on football bets are nothing new, with the heavy-hitters of the gambling world putting their money where their mouth is each week on the Vegas line. However, DiFelice's win is extraordinary because of his relatively small outlay, now worth around $5.08 U.S. dollars thanks to last week's slump in greenback value.
Multi-game accumulators are allowed as part of the lottery system in Canada, with the money pooled together and distributed among any winners. DiFelice was the only winner that week and the payout was the third largest in the game's history.
"Players use a card that list the games in the NFL that week and they have the chance to pick who they think will win," a spokesman for the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Commission told Yahoo! Sports on Tuesday. "The game has a 60-percent payout, so three dollars from every five goes into the prize pool. Obviously, the pool will be much bigger if there is a solo winner."
So while the replacement officials have gone back to, well, wherever they came from in the first place, they will be largely forgotten and occasionally ridiculed in moments of nostalgia. Except for in the home of Gino DiFelice, for whom the silliest call of the NFL season was mightily welcome.
For millions of NFL fans the refereeing lockout is already ancient history, with the right men in the middle having returned to police Sunday afternoons with an iron, and thankfully precise, fist.
Replacement officials rule Golden Tate scores the winning touchdown against Green Bay. (AP)Yet while that sorry epidemic of blown class and red-faced moments is a thing of the past, a Canadian man will always have cause to remember those few weeks of mayhem with nothing but fondness.
Gino DiFelice of Brantford, Ontario, turned a cheeky wager of $5 into the life-changing windfall of $725,254 when he correctly picked the outcome of 15 NFL games a week ago, with that 15th win coming courtesy of the highest-profile and most debated decision laid down by any of the stand-in refs.
When the substitute crew controversially ruled that the Seattle Seahawks' Golden Tate had scored a game-winning touchdown to beat the Green Bay Packers, DiFelice secured a payout big enough to fund a few referees' retirement plans.
As he collected his check from the Ontario gaming authority's headquarters, DiFelice didn't care that the majority of the viewing audience – the ones with functioning eyesight – believed the Packers' M.D. Jennings had secured a legitimate interception on the game's final play.
Neither was the lucky winner's delight tempered by the fact that it was his 12-year-old daughter who provided the expert analysis needed to secure the blockbuster check.
"When the play was under review I couldn't believe what was happening," he told reporters. "When the call was made, I went nuts. I ripped open the envelope.
[Related: NFL Power Rankings: The Vikings continue their march toward the top 10]
"Every week I do a ticket with my picks and then I ask my kids who they like. I do one ticket each with their picks. The winner was the ticket my daughter consulted me on. The funniest part is, the ticket I made all of the picks myself, I only got four right.
"I watched the last 1:48 and that's about it. I couldn't watch the rest of the game."
Tales of big wins on football bets are nothing new, with the heavy-hitters of the gambling world putting their money where their mouth is each week on the Vegas line. However, DiFelice's win is extraordinary because of his relatively small outlay, now worth around $5.08 U.S. dollars thanks to last week's slump in greenback value.
Multi-game accumulators are allowed as part of the lottery system in Canada, with the money pooled together and distributed among any winners. DiFelice was the only winner that week and the payout was the third largest in the game's history.
"Players use a card that list the games in the NFL that week and they have the chance to pick who they think will win," a spokesman for the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Commission told Yahoo! Sports on Tuesday. "The game has a 60-percent payout, so three dollars from every five goes into the prize pool. Obviously, the pool will be much bigger if there is a solo winner."
So while the replacement officials have gone back to, well, wherever they came from in the first place, they will be largely forgotten and occasionally ridiculed in moments of nostalgia. Except for in the home of Gino DiFelice, for whom the silliest call of the NFL season was mightily welcome.
John Bender
Footballguy
THERE HE IS!?>@?!@?!@
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John Bender
Footballguy
7 6 5 4 3 days until the Sharps report 
In all seriousness, I don't place my bets on NFL until I read it. Please keep posting.
In all seriousness, I don't place my bets on NFL until I read it. Please keep posting.
modogg
Footballguy
hmm, does it help, and is it successful? the whole sharps/squares thing always cracks me up, but i have always read those as just a view of games and never played based off it. but if they are doing well i imagine i should change my approach to it7 6 5 4 3 days until the Sharps report
In all seriousness, I don't place my bets on NFL until I read it. Please keep posting.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
lolI'd love to track Hucksy's current record in the subtitle but we have a policy here that was ratified in 2010 to just ignore him and not give him the negative attention he seems to need in life. I think he's been worse than usual this year and that is why he has gotten some actual responses to his posts.I've got the following...
Giants -3.5, 1 unit
Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)
Saints -7, 1 unitYou ever think of just doing the opposite of everything you think?Afternoon Games
USC -8.5, 2 units probably
Arizona St. +3.5, 1 unit
Arizona St. Moneyline, 1 unit
Michigan St -5.5, 1 unit probablyI believe that brings us to 1-13, -18 units. Simply stunning.We need a subtitle update.Jets +4.5
Rams +2.5
Lions -4.5 (lock city)
Chiefs -1
Jags +1, Moneyline (lock city)
Cowboys -3 (I hate picking the Cowboys but I just don't think the Bears are that good)
I'm willing to turnover this ruling if the Council of Degenerates are in favor of doing so, but in a few weeks he'll start his own thread anyway.
John Bender
Footballguy
Is that a yes? Just waiting on Raider Nation at this point.lolI'd love to track Hucksy's current record in the subtitle but we have a policy here that was ratified in 2010 to just ignore him and not give him the negative attention he seems to need in life. I think he's been worse than usual this year and that is why he has gotten some actual responses to his posts.I've got the following...
Giants -3.5, 1 unit
Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)
Saints -7, 1 unitYou ever think of just doing the opposite of everything you think?Afternoon Games
USC -8.5, 2 units probably
Arizona St. +3.5, 1 unit
Arizona St. Moneyline, 1 unit
Michigan St -5.5, 1 unit probablyI believe that brings us to 1-13, -18 units. Simply stunning.We need a subtitle update.Jets +4.5
Rams +2.5
Lions -4.5 (lock city)
Chiefs -1
Jags +1, Moneyline (lock city)
Cowboys -3 (I hate picking the Cowboys but I just don't think the Bears are that good)
I'm willing to turnover this ruling if the Council of Degenerates are in favor of doing so, but in a few weeks he'll start his own thread anyway.
Official Tally:
Bender: Abstain
BRONG: Undecided
RaiderNation: Absent
'"Hung jury"
*bangs gavel*
John Bender
Footballguy
it gives good insight on a lot of the things we already know, but I enjoy it.hmm, does it help, and is it successful? the whole sharps/squares thing always cracks me up, but i have always read those as just a view of games and never played based off it. but if they are doing well i imagine i should change my approach to it7 6 5 4 3 days until the Sharps report
In all seriousness, I don't place my bets on NFL until I read it. Please keep posting.
I like to know about what the "sharps" are thinking and I think they get it right more often than not.
It's just an information piece, similar to a "Free Matchup" screen from Scores and Odds. I read it for the information, not necessarily to follow anything. If anything, it's helped me multiple times on games to stay away from completely.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Speaking of that Canadian football pick em deal, my buddy won 22K this weekend on that thing. I guess it's a $1 bet. His ticket cost $72, so not unlike a pick 6 or whatever, you can play all these combinations. And he tells me he's always picked a lot of ties for some reason. I guess it worked this time. 13 teamer. But I guess you don't have to correctly pick all 13, because I think he said he had 12 out of 13. There were 3 other winning tickets (which split an 88K pot). Crazy Canucks. He doesn't even really gamble...
We were at a concert which we all traveled to, and this guy wakes up to find out 22K is coming his way. Nuts. He went to bed figuring he'd won some money but had no idea...
Oh, and NO taxes taken out.
We were at a concert which we all traveled to, and this guy wakes up to find out 22K is coming his way. Nuts. He went to bed figuring he'd won some money but had no idea...
Oh, and NO taxes taken out.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Speaking of RN, I was reminded of him every time Weaver faced the Rangers. The one game I bet him (above), he gave up 8 runs to Texas, while my GB RN rubbed my nose in it, lol. All in fun, I was wrong. But after that, he faced them 4 times, won all four and gave up 8ER...combined! LOFL. On his way to winning 20. Pretty sure I didn't play him again, either.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I think he realizes how MUSHY he is. No need to rub it in further.Is that a yes? Just waiting on Raider Nation at this point.lolI'd love to track Hucksy's current record in the subtitle but we have a policy here that was ratified in 2010 to just ignore him and not give him the negative attention he seems to need in life. I think he's been worse than usual this year and that is why he has gotten some actual responses to his posts.I've got the following...
Giants -3.5, 1 unit
Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)
Saints -7, 1 unitYou ever think of just doing the opposite of everything you think?Afternoon Games
USC -8.5, 2 units probably
Arizona St. +3.5, 1 unit
Arizona St. Moneyline, 1 unit
Michigan St -5.5, 1 unit probablyI believe that brings us to 1-13, -18 units. Simply stunning.We need a subtitle update.Jets +4.5
Rams +2.5
Lions -4.5 (lock city)
Chiefs -1
Jags +1, Moneyline (lock city)
Cowboys -3 (I hate picking the Cowboys but I just don't think the Bears are that good)
I'm willing to turnover this ruling if the Council of Degenerates are in favor of doing so, but in a few weeks he'll start his own thread anyway.
Official Tally:
Bender: Abstain
BRONG: Undecided
RaiderNation: Absent
'"Hung jury"
*bangs gavel*
John Bender
Footballguy
So let it be written; so let it be done.
I know I'm a bit late here...but I wanted to respond. I agree with the above. There was a study that came out last year that on average over the last 30 years, it was better financially to rent than to own for the first time ever in the US. That's obviously a macro look at it, and some areas obviously did better than others. I like the 10 year benchmark as well...especially when it comes to whether or not your income is stable. I'm a big proponent of paying off the house ASAP (a completely other thread)..but it sounds like you're on the right track with big chunk of $ down.Not sure if you owned a SFH or condo before, but obviously the maintenance costs for a home add up quick (which I'm sure you already know)...but off the top of my head, stuff that I didn't have when I rented: Tax, Home Insurance, Flood Insurance, Air Filters, Pest Control, Tree Trimming, Gutters, Expensive light bulbs, Lawn Maintenance, Water Bill, Hoses, Yard stuff, etc
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Thanks TF. Yes, I owned a SFH in the past. Things add up quickly for sure.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Who else had the Red Sox under 69.5 wins?
What's the range?
The Ref
Footballguy
Obama was as low as -250 that I saw and it bounced between 250 and 320. It's 300 as I type this,
modogg
Footballguy
i was wondering how it was going to go. Realbettors has Obama -750, romney +400
i'm pretty happy to be on the right side of one of these long term bets.Strangely enough sportsbook has: Obama -260, Romney +200 Seems like a good opportunity is there between sportsbooks. 5dimes has Obama -300, Romney +250
John Bender
Footballguy
Tried hanging out in the debate thread tonight as a true undecided voter. What a big ####### mistake. A bunch of ####### lunatics who post in the political threads around here. I'll just come back here and take my place in the Wagering thread.
John Bender
Footballguy
ETA: if I ever catch one of you posting in a political thread, I'll put you on a one-week Hucks-shun
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mquinnjr
Footballguy
I just hit Romney +400 HARD on my PPH site. We'll keep the politics in the other 5,000,000 threads dedicated solely to it in the FFA, but I was driving and listening. Definitely worth a +400 swing for the fences bet after tonight's debate. Should be closer to the +150 range for Romney I'm thinking to confuse bettors/get action on both sides.
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Like I just said and saw your post after mine, I'll refrain from further discussion on this too. This thread is too damned good for it. But I just threw alot of money on this in Romney's favor.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
modogg
Footballguy
I've made similar mistakes multiple times. I feel like a 6th grade boy at a middle school dance, and i decide to go out of my comfort zone to go talk to a girl, realize I am in crazy land, and I am coming running back to hang with my buddies along the wall, back in my comfort zone. Crazy world there. And on a side note, if i do get caught in one of those threads feel free to save me and bring me back here. From my perspective, wagering and gambling trump pretty much everything out there.
modogg
Footballguy
I'm on the fence with hedging it. My guess is a lot of books have 90-95% of the action on Obama, so they are begging people to take the other side so they don't get hit. Of course i am sure i am way off here, only goofs like us are putting good money wagering on the election.
John Bender
Footballguy
the same 10 republicans get a hard on arguing with the same 10 democrats day in and day out over the same 10 topics just presented in a different way.Feels like winning a 4 team parlay to me.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
***TACTICAL DISCUSSION ONLY***At that price, it's probably worth a shot, but I wouldn't go much lower. Even if he picks up some ground, he's got a difficult path if he can't turn Ohio. Obama was not good, but he didn't do anything disastrous either. He just didn't take the initiative and press the attack, which was entirely possible to do with Old Man Lehrer doing the moderating. That said, Obama can only do better in the second debate. There's no doubt in my mind that he's going to go on the offensive more in the foreign policy debate, and foreign policy-wise I think Obama's got more to rest on. Troops are out of Iraq. A family of ocean crabs currently lives inside of Bin Laden's skull cavity. Libya's a mess, but Romney's stepped in it on that issue. It's going to tighten some, but I think the gap in the swing states is just too tough to overcome this late in the game.I think we're probably looking at a 70/30, maybe 75/25 proposition here.
Loaded up more on Obama -240
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Yep, agreed. I think it's a line too high scenario, but still a tough bet. Time will tell, but I feel you're not seeing Romney this high for the rest of the race unless they find pictures, etc. I'll take it.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
It's definitely good timing. I'm a little bummed that some of my state props might be in trouble, but overall I think I'm still going to beat the closing lines.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Teaser legs: Rams (to include a carryover with the Bears), Pats, Pack, Skins and Giants
CFB:
Clemson -10 Riding this train until it jumps the track, Ga Tech is not good
OU -5.5 They always stink in Lubbock but they don't lose two in a row very often. I think they win by two TDs.
Florida +3 LSU doesn't have that mojo this year, Florida on the way back up
Wanted to play WVa but I smell a trap there. May put some on the ML but that WVa secondary is historically bad, maybe too much for Geno to overcome.
CFB:
Clemson -10 Riding this train until it jumps the track, Ga Tech is not good
OU -5.5 They always stink in Lubbock but they don't lose two in a row very often. I think they win by two TDs.
Florida +3 LSU doesn't have that mojo this year, Florida on the way back up
Wanted to play WVa but I smell a trap there. May put some on the ML but that WVa secondary is historically bad, maybe too much for Geno to overcome.
modogg
Footballguy
derek245583
Footballguy
How many of us are going to vote against what we normally would just because we bet on the other side??Going to be a fun election day for a lot of us in the wagering thread!
lumpy19
Footballguy
Everyone in this thread should be max betting the +400 at RB and betting more on Obama elsewhere. It's free money.ETA: I bet 300 to win 1200 at RB and I'm betting Obama at 5dimes -290i was wondering how it was going to go. Realbettors has Obama -750, romney +400
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Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Everyone in this thread should be max betting the +400 at RB and betting more on Obama elsewhere. It's free money.ETA: I bet 300 to win 1200 at RB and I'm betting Obama at 5dimes -290i was wondering how it was going to go. Realbettors has Obama -750, romney +400
The Ref
Footballguy
Its imposable to have "a discussion" in any of them. A total waste of time.
John Bender
Footballguy
I'm admittedly not interested in politics. I do read the news pretty thoroughly but refuse to get involved in politics after being around the FFA for 10 years. It's just ugly, no one ever changes anyone's mind and the same folks just defend their guy no matter what happens using a whole lot of
and I could see having a discussion with friends or family once in a while, but I wonder how these folks have the energy.
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John Bender
Footballguy
Ok
UTAH up to +14.5 on RB with half the juice.
I think this is a great bet. Going to hit it with my first 2 unit play of the season.
UTAH up to +14.5 on RB with half the juice.
I think this is a great bet. Going to hit it with my first 2 unit play of the season.
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The Ref
Footballguy
This isn't a political thread.That being said it is an opertunity to make some money. Thing is I dont really care how well Romney did last night. This isn't a who will win a debate Prop. Romney has a HUGE problem electoraly. He can't win without Florida or Ohio (and even if he does he still has to win a few more swing states) and he isn't ahead in any of them. I think at -250 Obama is a very good bet. Besides anyone remember what Stiff John Kerry did to GW back in the first debate in 2004? A total undressing. In the end did it matter? No. Obama hasn't had a debate in 4 years. Romney has done nothing but for 2 years. Obama will come to play the next two debates, not that it will even matter.
My only question at this point is will the VP debate move the odds in Mitt's favor next week. You have to expect that Ryan is going to mop the floor with Biden.
The Ref
Footballguy
I see it as +6.5 on sportsbook? Ahh - Utah... I get it.
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John Bender
Footballguy
Yep - still think Obama is free money at -250.
John Bender
Footballguy
I confused Utah with BYU in my first post GB.Sorry about that. I blame it on Romney.
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