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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

Note to self:When you tell yourself to avoid both the Bears and Cowboys because you never know who is going to

show up DON'T then immediately bet on a Bears/Cowboys game a week or two later. You're FORCING it! Ugh.

 
'The Ref said:
Updated Card for the weekend. I was able to buy a new box of chalk.4 Units Clemson -10 :pickle: 2 Units Over Ducks 71.5 :thumbup: 1 Unit Ducks -30.5 :thumbdown: 1 Unit Ducks -29 :thumbdown: 1 Unit TCU -16 :thumbdown: 1 Unit UCLA -19.5 :thumbup: 1 Unit Fla St -17 :thumbdown: 1 Unit Nebraska -11.5 :thumbdown: 1 Unit Bama under 53.5 :thumbup: Can't wait to go 3-10 and have gooroo bail me out again.
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I also bought out of the 2 units of Ducks side, first half bama, over 1Q Ducks, but lost 1H ducks.This Brings me to 28-27 on the year for NCAA. Still underwater with the Juice, but at least we are back to even.
 
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In 7 of the 13 prime time NFL games this year (wed, thurs, Sun night, mon) there has been 0 points scored in the 1st quarter

 
This crosses zero Sunday night, and Peyton is historically good at Foxboro, but I still like it. Placed at RB and avoiding the push.

Atlanta vs. Washington Over 43½

GREEN BAY PACKERS PK

NEW YORK GIANTS -2½

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PK

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3½

HOUSTON TEXANS -½

300/1500

 
1/2u on SFG +177. Lots of value for a team who doesn't want to let LA into the playoffs. Even if STL wins, will still play - could see LA give up

 
'ChainsawU said:
:blackdot: I do not understand why Houston is favored this week.
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Something we need to know about North Texas? I mean I don't think they should lay 12, but I don't think it's a pickem either. If you really feel this way you can get a hell of a ML bet down with the line at 12
 
I just think UNT is going to bring it. They almost upset KSU in Manhattan a few weeks ago. Houston is crap. They have one victory this season against Rice’s second-string QB and 119th ranked defense.

 
Biggest discrepancies between power rankings and opening lines:

Line Power Rank Line

Kansas St. -24 -31 1/2

S. Florida -4 -9 1/2

New Mexico St. +10 1/2 +5 1/2

Ole Miss +11 +6

Hawaii +23 +18

W. Michigan -17 -21 1/2

Kent St. -3 -7

Florida +3 -1

Penn St. -3 -6 1/2

Clemson -10 1/2 -14

Syracuse +2 -1

FIU PK -3

Oregon -24 -27

 
I played the following, most of these were on a number I didn't want to go past

assuming possible line moves against me:

Penn St. -3

Kansas St. -24

Kent St. -3

W. Michigan -17

Florida +3

New Mexico St. +10 1/2

Ole Miss +11

Oregon -24

2012 CFB YTD

41-36 -.2 units

 
'ChainsawU said:
This crosses zero Sunday night, and Peyton is historically good at Foxboro, but I still like it. Placed at RB and avoiding the push.Atlanta vs. Washington Over 43½GREEN BAY PACKERS PKNEW YORK GIANTS -2½NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PKNEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3½HOUSTON TEXANS -½300/1500
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:thumbup: Fwiw, took the same thing but substituted Phil+10 for NO. I don't trust NO at all and Pitts d is overrated IMHO. They have not played anyone and have not looked great doing so AND they are banged up. I think Philly could win that game outright.GLTAAB
 
Can teasing sides in CBB ever be profitable? Obviously low-scoring games are more teaserable than high-scoring games, but do they ever approach +EV? 4 points on a Wisky game goes a lot further than 4 points on a VCU game, but far enough?

 
At RB you can bet on NBA ROY, I'd recommend locking in Anthony Davis at +200. We're in the unique position of already getting to see him play with some of the best players in the world at the olympics. I watched a lot of the olympic basketball and he fit right in. I get that during the regular season he won't be playing with the type of talent he had on that olympic team but I don't think it matters, the brow is special.

 
'Good said:
Can teasing sides in CBB ever be profitable? Obviously low-scoring games are more teaserable than high-scoring games, but do they ever approach +EV? 4 points on a Wisky game goes a lot further than 4 points on a VCU game, but far enough?
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It sure doesn't seem it, but I'm not expert.With crappy kickers missing PATs and chip shot field goals too much weird #### happens for me to bother buying 6 points, unless I'm drunk.
 
'lumpy19 said:
At RB you can bet on NBA ROY, I'd recommend locking in Anthony Davis at +200. We're in the unique position of already getting to see him play with some of the best players in the world at the olympics. I watched a lot of the olympic basketball and he fit right in. I get that during the regular season he won't be playing with the type of talent he had on that olympic team but I don't think it matters, the brow is special.
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Thanks lump.
 
'Angry Beavers said:
'ChainsawU said:
This crosses zero Sunday night, and Peyton is historically good at Foxboro, but I still like it. Placed at RB and avoiding the push.Atlanta vs. Washington Over 43½GREEN BAY PACKERS PKNEW YORK GIANTS -2½NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PKNEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3½HOUSTON TEXANS -½300/1500
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:thumbup: Fwiw, took the same thing but substituted Phil+10 for NO. I don't trust NO at all and Pitts d is overrated IMHO. They have not played anyone and have not looked great doing so AND they are banged up. I think Philly could win that game outright.GLTAAB
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Be careful with that Eagles/steelers game. Pitt has had an extra week to prepare coming off the bye, and they usually do well in this spot. Mendenhall supposedly will be ready to play too. 3.5 is a number vegas tries to create action on the dog imo.
 
'optionmaven said:
'Angry Beavers said:
'ChainsawU said:
This crosses zero Sunday night, and Peyton is historically good at Foxboro, but I still like it. Placed at RB and avoiding the push.Atlanta vs. Washington Over 43½GREEN BAY PACKERS PKNEW YORK GIANTS -2½NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PKNEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3½HOUSTON TEXANS -½300/1500
Click to expand...
:thumbup: Fwiw, took the same thing but substituted Phil+10 for NO. I don't trust NO at all and Pitts d is overrated IMHO. They have not played anyone and have not looked great doing so AND they are banged up. I think Philly could win that game outright.GLTAAB
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Be careful with that Eagles/steelers game. Pitt has had an extra week to prepare coming off the bye, and they usually do well in this spot. Mendenhall supposedly will be ready to play too. 3.5 is a number vegas tries to create action on the dog imo.
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TP and Harrison should be back too. Also, they travelled to Denver, back to Pitts, then again to Oakland. That's a tough travel schedule to start the season.
 
Good Points on the Steelers from the last few posters. I appreciate the collaboration. I do think Philly getting 10 is safe but maybe I need to reconsider my position on that... except of course I already bet it. :bag:

I think Philly has enough speed on Offense to present some problems for the Pittsburgh D and still like em' +10, but am reconsidering not taking Philly +3.5 as I had originally intended.

I do think AZ/STL 1Q and 1H under are the plays tomorrow night. Interesting to note that STL has allowed exactly 1 TD all year to WR's and none to TE's. That coupled with AZ struggling somewhat at the RB position and AZ's tough defense the Under may be the play. I am waiting for Lhucks to post the over before locking it in. :D

GLTA

AB

 
DENVER BRONCOS +7½ -125

375/300

I got this at RB after shopping the number around. It looks like it will land at 6½ -110.

Hedging a 5-team parlay I took of SFG & A's last night + Pats ML, Saints ML and Texans ML.

 
'Good said:
'John Bender said:
'LHUCKS said:
I've got the following...

Giants -3.5, 1 unit :no:

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city) :no:

Saints -7, 1 unit :no:
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'LHUCKS said:
Afternoon Games

USC -8.5, 2 units probably :no:

Arizona St. +3.5, 1 unit :no:

Arizona St. Moneyline, 1 unit :no:

Michigan St -5.5, 1 unit probably :no:
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You ever think of just doing the opposite of everything you think?
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Jets +4.5 :lmao:

Rams +2.5 :moneybag:

Lions -4.5 (lock city) :no:

Chiefs -1 :no:

Jags +1, Moneyline (lock city) :no: :no:

Cowboys -3 (I hate picking the Cowboys but I just don't think the Bears are that good) :no:
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I believe that brings us to 1-13, -18 units. Simply stunning.We need a subtitle update.
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I'd love to track Hucksy's current record in the subtitle but we have a policy here that was ratified in 2010 to just ignore him and not give him the negative attention he seems to need in life. I think he's been worse than usual this year and that is why he has gotten some actual responses to his posts.

I'm willing to turnover this ruling if the Council of Degenerates are in favor of doing so, but in a few weeks he'll start his own thread anyway.

 
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'The Ref said:
'lumpy19 said:
Some day I'd love to be in a situation like this guy, 125k riding on a baseball game with only 500 risked :eek: http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/1929266-advice-needed-best-way-deal-potential-6-figure-win.html#top
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Better story if he would have posted the last two days and actualy put some hedges on.That said I don't see how you don't fly to Vegas with $40k in hand.
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And root for the Rangers so you dont have to deal with cashing out 125K
 
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