optionmaven
Footballguy
Adding Stanford -.5 1st quarter and over 13.5. Stanford 1st half -2.5. I think they want to send Harbaugh off victorious, for all his efforts and contributions to the program.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
VT +4 even seems pretty good to me. Under as well.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Hokies win outright. VT's black guys are too athletic for Stanford's white guys.
OH YES I DID!
OH YES I DID!
nittanylion
Footballguy
Statistically speaking, Andrew Luck plays up to the level of his competition - over the course of the Season, the better (statistical) Pass Defense he played against, the better he performed. Va Tech has a better than average pass defense, but Luck's propensity to raise his level of play relative to this, combined with the return of Stanford's best WR Chris Owusu, who will have a positive impact on both the passing offense and special teams, should give Stanford the edge...Va Tech is pretty much an adopted 'home team' for my area of the country, and I know a good bit about 'Beamer Ball' (Va Tech's special teams prowess), but as good as Va Tech is on Teams, Stanford is even better, and adding Owusu back into that mix gives The Cardinal an edge over Va Tech's biggest strength. Lots of folks out there lasting impression of Stanford is a defensive collapse vs Washington State late in the Season, but they played that game without S Delano Howell, who's a standout ballhawking playmaker...Stanford at full strength can probably beat anyone outside of Oregon, Auburn and TCU...Va Tech is an outstanding Team, just not 'as' outstanding as Stanford. The Cardinal can probably cover a TD spread, so getting them at less is fortunate.
Stanford -2.5, buying to be safe...
Good Luck, fellas!
Stanford -2.5, buying to be safe...
Good Luck, fellas!
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
here goes:
VT +175
VT +4 even
vt +3 -110 1h
Un 60 -105
Stan un 31.5 +105
VT 1q +.5 -120
Un 1q 13.5 +125
Luck un 35.5 rush yds -120
VT +175
VT +4 even
vt +3 -110 1h
Un 60 -105
Stan un 31.5 +105
VT 1q +.5 -120
Un 1q 13.5 +125
Luck un 35.5 rush yds -120
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Pinny holding the best line on Stanford (-3.5 +102). I think I know what the correct side is....
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Stanford LARGE (-3 from weeks ago).
Garrett
Footballguy
On board with this as well.
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
I'll probably be on some piece of Seattle +11. I'm surprised that number is on the other side of 10. Hassleback will prob start. He had some success earlier this year against the Saints but the Saints def has been better of late.I was hoping someone could talk me out of betting Seattle +10.5, maybe we should call each otherGetting 10.5 points at home in the playoffs
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
+4 even from SIA?I really miss that book. Pulling out of there during the Neteller collapse, only to have monies stuck in Neteller for months, was one of the stupider (in hindsight) outcomes.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Yes I had +4 even at another book as well.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
I tailed and got 24 so a push. This was a good handicap, Kentucky just blew them away after the half.
optionmaven
Footballguy
Started right before half. Penn was up 32-19. KU went on 12-0 run to take lead @ half. Good play, Move on.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
MP... Tech's first score = safety, +7500?
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I wish...
culdeus
Footballguy
How can you be so sure of this anymore? They don't take US bettors and haven't in some time so they are much less likely to try to shade their holds to meet public perceptions when they exist. At least that's how I would think about that.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Well, the 2nd best line for Stanford was at 5dimes. And the third was the greek. I didn't check cris, but I'm sure they held a good Stanford line as well. As for Pinny, I know of more message board guys who have figured out a way to get an acct there after all of these years (not sure how they do). And the line moved just before gametime at those books from 4 to 3.5. Not a big move but still with more people on Stanford the line moved the other way. I know I'm not telling you things you don't already know so please don't take it as an insult.
TheWick
Footballguy
You have my attention sir
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Not sure I'll bet much for the 2h. I feel dirty for cashing VT 1h tickets but I'll take it.
I did bet first score td -200. This was -300 pregame, why the huge change?
I did bet first score td -200. This was -300 pregame, why the huge change?
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Some others.
VT 1st to score -120
VT 3q even
VT +3 -105
first score a td -150
VT +1 fds even
VT 1st to score -120
VT 3q even
VT +3 -105
first score a td -150
VT +1 fds even
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Took the 2nd half over 28.5
Frostillicus
Footballguy
If anybody is degenerate enough (LOL) and has ESPN3, Fresno is -5.5 to Nevada and will be on at 11 eastern. I took Fresno based solely on the fact that I know Nevada is brutal.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Uncanny. I followed on Florida, thanks.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
My V.T. 2H bet +33 is in trouble.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Well, there you have it dummy.If Va Tech wins tonight I'm going Oregon in the NCG, gut says they win that.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
You'll like these two. Bet un 14.5 4q+105 and ov 14.5 +115. Or so I thought. The under bet didn't have the hook. Of course it hits 14.
Then, this one isn't bad. My one book offers under 56.5 -115 on longest td of the 2h. Of course that's the game number but they always offer it on the half. It's offered on many of the primetime games.
Then, this one isn't bad. My one book offers under 56.5 -115 on longest td of the 2h. Of course that's the game number but they always offer it on the half. It's offered on many of the primetime games.
lumpy19
Footballguy
They still have the sharpest line. The serious bettors found ways to get around the US ban and are still playing at Pinnacle. I tried weaseling back in there to no avail. I haven't given up yet, I have a solution but only because I live 5 min from the Canadian border. When I get more desperate I'll make it happen.Either way, MP is placing his bets right before game time he really has no other option than VT +4.I got my stanford -2.5 when the lines released
culdeus
Footballguy
Well, I honestly have no idea who has access to there from the US, or what their market is like now. If they are getting all layoffs then I can buy their lines are probably sharp. Is that what is happening? Either way RIP
lumpy19
Footballguy
5dimes is a pinny clone, if you watch the screen when pinny moves they move.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I almost always play right before the game. Good and bad with it, but I feel as though I have all of the information the game has to offer and the correct side of the game is very easy to see. Lumpy would be correct, VT was really the only side for me.
Stanford -2.5 - good bet
Stanford -3 - above average bet
Stanford -3.5 or -4 - idiot bet
VT +4 ev - good bet
Stanford -2.5 - good bet
Stanford -3 - above average bet
Stanford -3.5 or -4 - idiot bet
VT +4 ev - good bet
lumpy19
Footballguy
You're really forcing yourself to bet against the line move every time, especially on these bowl games when the lines are out for a month. tough way to win betting sides and totals, you're going against the smart money every time. MAYBE in these big bowl games the public moves a line but for the most part syndicates and smart money is controlling the lines.
nittanylion
Footballguy
PIG SSSOOOOOEEEEEYYY!!!Possible Hogs two-fer working with Hoops: Arkansas +10 @ #12 Texas...I follow Hogs Hoops diligently, and theyr are gelling into a helluva squad down in Fayetteville this Season - they have a legitimate chance to cover that spread, and possibly upset the Longhorns tonight.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
I locked this is in weeks ago when the rumor came out that Ohio State was going to have some players susupended for the game, including Pryor. I have thought about laying off my Ark +3 bet but seeing how badly the Big Ten fared on 1/1, I think I just have to let my Ark +3 ride. Glad to see you are doing the same.LET'S DO THIS!
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I understand that. I got off to a slow start with the bowls (dogs did), but dogs and unders have been running very well lately. It's the way that works for me.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
If I have a college football team it's Ohio State. Love coach Tressel even though he's a bit more conservative then he should be at times. Anyway, this team is tired of hearing how much the big 10 sucks, did poorly etc.
Big 10 goes as follows:
Oh St
Wisky
Iowa/Mich St/Illinois/Penn St
Everyone else
Wisconsin played average and really should have beaten TCU in a good game. The other teams simply aren't very good. I bet Bama, Florida (lucky cover), Miss St, and bet Iowa (covered). I passed the Illinois and NW games.
Big 10 is 2-5 in their bowl games but 3-3-1 ats. And probably 4-3 if you took the hook with Northwestern. That really isn't that bad.
Yes, Michigan got embarrassed but I'm not shocked their defense is terrible. Mich St getting the doors blown off was kind of a shocker but playing Bama when they are on is as scary as it gets.
I will fade the line move and take the class of the Big 10 against an above-average Arkansas team.
Big 10 goes as follows:
Oh St
Wisky
Iowa/Mich St/Illinois/Penn St
Everyone else
Wisconsin played average and really should have beaten TCU in a good game. The other teams simply aren't very good. I bet Bama, Florida (lucky cover), Miss St, and bet Iowa (covered). I passed the Illinois and NW games.
Big 10 is 2-5 in their bowl games but 3-3-1 ats. And probably 4-3 if you took the hook with Northwestern. That really isn't that bad.
Yes, Michigan got embarrassed but I'm not shocked their defense is terrible. Mich St getting the doors blown off was kind of a shocker but playing Bama when they are on is as scary as it gets.
I will fade the line move and take the class of the Big 10 against an above-average Arkansas team.
Dexter Manley
Footballguy
I think all the distractions and turmoil are going to hurt ohio st. I really think this game should be a pick'em.
1u Arkansas +3
Also made a small play on the megamillions
1u Arkansas +3
Also made a small play on the megamillions
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John Bender
Footballguy
So are you using a system of numbers/math with your picks or just what your thoughts are based on being a watcher of the sport?I only ask because I don't miss much Big East hoops and I think Prov gets shellacked tonight. Not sure what you've seen in them to take the Friars. Just a question, nice work so far in here.
Last edited by a moderator:
John Bender
Footballguy
I like Notre Dame -4 tonight. The UConn slide is ready to begin.
WVU/Depaul UNDER 142 as well.
WVU/Depaul UNDER 142 as well.
bmj87
Footballguy
It's mostly numbers/math. I do watch a lot of games just because I love basketball, but unfortunately (fortunately?) I haven't seen much of Providence.
