Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Hoping you bring me some much needed luck. Love your college plays. Stick to doing well with the NFL. FBG's seems to have NCAAAB AND NCAAF solid.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (16 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
Agree on under - especially in a huge game like this; 74 is a ton. With such a high total, the spreads have less value. I'm hoping for a ML that is out of synch but I can't see it happening (right now i'd play the loaded +3 over +115 ML with a gun to my head). Auburn backers will lay the points and Oregon backers will bet on the ML - plus ML dogs are historically skewed in cfb anyway (I'll cite USC -7 against Texas where texas was +210 on the money line).
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
I have no idea what to do tonight...
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
I'm staying away from that game, but I still think the Saints win it 31-17.
PatsFanCT
Footballguy
Yeah, kind of a sucky game. I just went with a small parlay on OH and over 48.5, just to have interest in it.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
24 hours 'til kick, I'm gonna go grab some beer real quick.
PatsFanCT
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
MTSU or bust
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Anybody got anything to say on these two NBA games tonight?
Gotta think Lake Show is still a fade...
Gotta think Lake Show is still a fade...
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Sitting here at my buddy's pad with the bookie, watching the Lakers/Suns with these 3-D glasses on, talking gambling. It's hilarious, like I'm in movie.
The book just offered, 3 minutes in, to already buy us out of this Under 3-pointer prop bet we both went big on.
And I just parlayed the Suns to the Clips and ordered a small batch of vicodin. All in one sentence. 
The 3-D glasses are what I can't stop laughing at. That, and my Italian buddy is in his Hugh Hefner bathrobe.
3 by Artest goes up....we yell "NOOOO".......he hits it and Gary the Book stands up and yells, "YEEEEESSS, 17 more biitches!!!!". Too funny.
The book just offered, 3 minutes in, to already buy us out of this Under 3-pointer prop bet we both went big on.
And I just parlayed the Suns to the Clips and ordered a small batch of vicodin. All in one sentence. The 3-D glasses are what I can't stop laughing at. That, and my Italian buddy is in his Hugh Hefner bathrobe.
3 by Artest goes up....we yell "NOOOO".......he hits it and Gary the Book stands up and yells, "YEEEEESSS, 17 more biitches!!!!". Too funny.
The BYU-UNLV total opened at 144 and Badm got it at 146. The first half total hit 73 and the second half is lined at 79.5. I'm hoping this is one of times Raider talked about where the halftime line changes from the full game line and the correct play is the full game line. Under 79.5 2nd half.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Sorry. I thought it was you.I don't remember saying that, but then again my brain is shot.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Was it RedRaiders?
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
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Insoxicated
We really need to party sometime, GBSitting here at my buddy's pad with the bookie, watching the Lakers/Suns with these 3-D glasses on, talking gambling. It's hilarious, like I'm in movie.The book just offered, 3 minutes in, to already buy us out of this Under 3-pointer prop bet we both went big on.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
So I am on Philly big this weekend. They haven't been at full throttle in awhile and I think that's made for a better line. I think we could see that dominant team again that people were in awe of a month ago.
Green Bay was so disappointing last week, they really struggled. Rodgers was clearly off and that guy doesn't miss like that much, it was weird. I don't know if the concussion thing is in his head but he may be a little gun shy or just out of sync with those guys. Regardless, if he's not sharp on Sunday it won't be close, obviously. I know, one game overreaction, and they were also playing the Bears, but I still think they're suspect right now. I'm a big fan of the guy too. They will blitz him to no end and it's not like the run will keep them honest. GB aren't where they need to be and this is the spot they put it back together? I don't see it. Well, I can, but just don't think it's likely.
You could make a similar argument about Philly's derailing of late, but their issues aren't as glaring to me. They have so many weapons, won't take much. I just think they got complacent more than anything. That messed-up Tuesday night game where they expected a walkover . . . then last week when guys sat, have made them look vulnerable. Otherwise the line would be higher I think.
Anyway, if Philly goes back to where they were...winner. Or if Rodgers and GB don't rebound...winner. Hell, even if Philly's not at their best and it's close, we can still cover with a FG.
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Im completely with you on this, I also think that no matter all the talk about Rodgers and GB when Phili is on not many can stop them. Big on Phili also!So I am on Philly big this weekend. We haven't seen them at full throttle in awhile and I think that's made for a better line than it could be. I think we could see that dominant team again that people were in awe of a month ago. Green Bay was so disappointing last week, they really struggled. Rodgers was clearly off and that guy doesn't miss like that much, it was weird. I don't know if the concussion thing is in his head but he may be a little gun shy or out of sync. But if he's not sharp on Sunday it won't be close, he's the whole team. I know, I know, one game overreaction, and they were playing the Bears, but I still think Rodgers and GB are suspect right now. I'm a big fan of the guy too. They will blitz him to no end and it's not like the run will keep them honest. GB are nowhere near where they need to be right now and this is the spot they put it back together? I just don't see it.You could make a similar argument about Philly's derailing of late, but their issues aren't as glaring to me. They could go back to what they were with all those weapons. I think they just got complacent more than anything. Anyway, if Philly goes back to where they were, winner. Or if Rodgers and GB don't rebound, winner, even if Philly's not at their best, imo.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Talk to me about the 3D tv experience. I just finished my basement(thanks NFL teasers) and went with a non 3Dtv. I can't imagine it's enjoyable to sit and watch TV with 3D glasses on.Sitting here at my buddy's pad with the bookie, watching the Lakers/Suns with these 3-D glasses on, talking gambling. It's hilarious, like I'm in movie.The book just offered, 3 minutes in, to already buy us out of this Under 3-pointer prop bet we both went big on.And I just parlayed the Suns to the Clips and ordered a small batch of vicodin. All in one sentence.
The 3-D glasses are what I can't stop laughing at. That, and my Italian buddy is in his Hugh Hefner bathrobe.3 by Artest goes up....we yell "NOOOO".......he hits it and Gary the Book stands up and yells, "YEEEEESSS, 17 more biitches!!!!". Too funny.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
at sia. nfl salami ov 178.5 +190. Good value here, not sure why we are getting the +190 here. I may come back with some under when it's out at other books.
lumpy19
Footballguy
If your sportsbook(probably only locals) have any ogilvy lines up for the pga tourney this weekend, bet against ogilvy, sliced his finger on a reef.
Any Zach johnson lines that haven't already been hammered are probably good bets, he smashed his toe and is experimenting playing in sandals. If he just tees off he's guaranteed a payday so he's going to do his best to at least tee off which makes the wager official. Most of the online books have already been hammered because of this info.
ETA: also played ELS top 10 at 5dimes -135 and -140, he owns this course. Kuchar top 10 +160, hoping he picks up where he left off last year.
Any Zach johnson lines that haven't already been hammered are probably good bets, he smashed his toe and is experimenting playing in sandals. If he just tees off he's guaranteed a payday so he's going to do his best to at least tee off which makes the wager official. Most of the online books have already been hammered because of this info.
ETA: also played ELS top 10 at 5dimes -135 and -140, he owns this course. Kuchar top 10 +160, hoping he picks up where he left off last year.
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MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Ogilvy withdrew already.
lumpy19
Footballguy
source?
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
oops that was from pro-am. I was checking on google. Nothing up for me with ogilvy anyway. I did fade Johnson everyway I could.
bmj87
Footballguy
Just to double check, this is the Hyundai Tourney, right?
lumpy19
Footballguy
Yes, it's in hawaii so the start times are late
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I think if you play under you should split your bet into 1h and game. If you recall the Texas/USC under bet it was dead under the 1h and then a scoring explosion the 2h. With 5 weeks rest, defensive gameplans, and timing offenses we may see a slow 1h here. I'm not so sure this stays under 74 though.
Warehouse Nasty
Footballguy
I'm not so sure I agree that more time off is better for the defense. We often see the opposite; reference the NFL Thursday night games for instance. There's lots of mention of defenses having more time to gameplan but the offenses have the same amount of time.I think if you play under you should split your bet into 1h and game. If you recall the Texas/USC under bet it was dead under the 1h and then a scoring explosion the 2h. With 5 weeks rest, defensive gameplans, and timing offenses we may see a slow 1h here. I'm not so sure this stays under 74 though.
I think passing offenses would be most affected by the layoff and neither of these teams rely on the pass.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Looks like he's going to w/d but hasn't officially done so, only got 2 bets in but still BOOOOOOOO
lumpy19
Footballguy
Some pretty brutal beats in golf. If you bet tournament matchups, your guy dominates on thu....then slowly falls apart the next 3 days and you just watch it slip away over 3 days instead of the normal 2-3 hours.nice break from baseball over the summer too
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Valid points, but these are still spread offenses that rely on reads and timing instead of a Wisconsin-like team. I like to think of the Super Bowl as an example. For the last how many years they have had 2 weeks to prepare. 1q under has come in at a very high rate.I'm not so sure I agree that more time off is better for the defense. We often see the opposite; reference the NFL Thursday night games for instance. There's lots of mention of defenses having more time to gameplan but the offenses have the same amount of time.I think if you play under you should split your bet into 1h and game. If you recall the Texas/USC under bet it was dead under the 1h and then a scoring explosion the 2h. With 5 weeks rest, defensive gameplans, and timing offenses we may see a slow 1h here. I'm not so sure this stays under 74 though.
I think passing offenses would be most affected by the layoff and neither of these teams rely on the pass.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Just got limited by sportsbook to $100 max on props and futures.
Any ways to get around this besides friends setting up accts?
Any ways to get around this besides friends setting up accts?
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Insoxicated
Consider yourself lucky. I think GooRoo was down to $5 betsJust got limited by sportsbook to $100 max on props and futures.
I've never heard of sportsbook cutting to $100 ... if they are gonna cut, its usually all the way down to $1 or $10.There are many other options as there are many books associated with sportsbook.com that offer the same bets and use the same lines.PM me for more info.You can check if you are cut by going into the props betting, and select a bet, and then put some outrageous number up top and hit place bet, and it will tell you your max. I've seen them cut to $100 occassionally during overnight hours. Go check a few props on sugar bowl, and make sure you are really cut.Just got limited by sportsbook to $100 max on props and futures.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I am. Got an email and I checked. Sending pm.
Dexter Manley
Footballguy
1u Middle Tennessee St. -2
Miami is a nice story coming off a 1 win season and winning the MAC playing with their backup qb the last several games. But they lost their coach Franklin to Pitt where he was fired. Their db coach will be the interim head coach this game.
MTSU was without their qb Dasher for the first 4 games this season due to suspension. Overall, he's had a disappointing year, but the guy blew up in their bowl game last season and I think he's ready to get back on track this game.
MTSU has been in must win mode for their last 3 games as they needed to win them all to become bowl eligible. There defense is bad, but Miami has the 103rd ranked scoring offense, so I don't think they're going to abuse them like many teams would.
Miami is a nice story coming off a 1 win season and winning the MAC playing with their backup qb the last several games. But they lost their coach Franklin to Pitt where he was fired. Their db coach will be the interim head coach this game.
MTSU was without their qb Dasher for the first 4 games this season due to suspension. Overall, he's had a disappointing year, but the guy blew up in their bowl game last season and I think he's ready to get back on track this game.
MTSU has been in must win mode for their last 3 games as they needed to win them all to become bowl eligible. There defense is bad, but Miami has the 103rd ranked scoring offense, so I don't think they're going to abuse them like many teams would.
PatsFanCT
Footballguy
Wish I read this writeup before I took Ohio and the over.
Warehouse Nasty
Footballguy
I do agree with the fact that IF an under hits, it's likely to be the 1Q/1H. That may have as much or more to do with nerves than the layoff. But I don't think the layoff will slow these offenses down the whole game. Maybe the bet is under early, then hit the over in live betting or for the 2H as it adjusts.MarshallPlan said:Valid points, but these are still spread offenses that rely on reads and timing instead of a Wisconsin-like team. I like to think of the Super Bowl as an example. For the last how many years they have had 2 weeks to prepare. 1q under has come in at a very high rate.Warehouse Nasty said:I'm not so sure I agree that more time off is better for the defense. We often see the opposite; reference the NFL Thursday night games for instance. There's lots of mention of defenses having more time to gameplan but the offenses have the same amount of time.MarshallPlan said:I think if you play under you should split your bet into 1h and game. If you recall the Texas/USC under bet it was dead under the 1h and then a scoring explosion the 2h. With 5 weeks rest, defensive gameplans, and timing offenses we may see a slow 1h here. I'm not so sure this stays under 74 though.
I think passing offenses would be most affected by the layoff and neither of these teams rely on the pass.
Man In The Box
Footballguy
Much better lines available elsewhere on the Jets and Chiefs.Finless said:
I like the Ravens the most of all the matchups this weekend. I think the Chiefs are a fraud team.
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-fish-
Footballguy
I've never bet golf, so forgive my ignorance here. What does it mean to "bet against" a golfer in a non-matchplay tournament? What exactly are you betting here? To not make the cut?lumpy19 said:Looks like he's going to w/d but hasn't officially done so, only got 2 bets in but still BOOOOOOOOMarshallPlan said:
harryhood
Footballguy
I believe they pair up two golfers and you can bet them against each other H2H, just like two football teams. Obviously the golfer you back, you want to have a better score than the one you are against. I have seen H2H golf props but never with a spread. I am sure those exist as well. Mahan +350Woods - 400I've never bet golf, so forgive my ignorance here. What does it mean to "bet against" a golfer in a non-matchplay tournament? What exactly are you betting here? To not make the cut?lumpy19 said:Looks like he's going to w/d but hasn't officially done so, only got 2 bets in but still BOOOOOOOOMarshallPlan said:
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
He tweeted he withdrew and posted a pic of the reefed finger.http://yfrog.com/hs3glcjlumpy19 said:Looks like he's going to w/d but hasn't officially done so, only got 2 bets in but still BOOOOOOOOMarshallPlan said:
nittanylion
Footballguy
MTSU and the Under are what I'm doing tonight...both D's are better than both O's...
Good Luck, Fellas!
Good Luck, Fellas!
harryhood
Footballguy
If I was interested in an online book for Baseball Parlays and wagering on the Thoroughbred/Trotters, would their be a consensus recommendation around these parts? Ease of getting money in and out would be ideal, and somewhere that accepts those pre-paid CVS/Walgreen cards (GreenDot??) is preferred.
Never gone through anything other than OTB/my local book. TIA
Never gone through anything other than OTB/my local book. TIA
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
I'll agree - good advice.MarshallPlan said:I think if you play under you should split your bet into 1h and game. If you recall the Texas/USC under bet it was dead under the 1h and then a scoring explosion the 2h. With 5 weeks rest, defensive gameplans, and timing offenses we may see a slow 1h here. I'm not so sure this stays under 74 though.
