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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

OK so now I got $16 in my Sportsbook acct. Im not a gambler. Only deposited $60 to do some prop bets for the SB and lost most like I expected. Help me get my acct up to $50 so I can withdraw this bad boy.

"your #### is my ####"

 
A 2-unit play on a 4-20 team! I may not understand bmj's system, but I like it.

(Ignore that PM where I dared to question you, GB) ... :moneybag:

 
Hockey tomorrow:

Pens/Jackets under 5.5 (-125)

Pens without Crosby and Malkin should be a five total team and Vegas recognizes this, thus the premium. Jackets goalie Steve Mason has allowed three or less goals in six of his last eight starts and Pittsburgh is an extremely good defensive team. I see this one as a 2-1 or 3-1 game. glllll

ETA: 6 of 8, not 5 of 7.

 
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shadyridr said:
OK so now I got $16 in my Sportsbook acct. Im not a gambler. Only deposited $60 to do some prop bets for the SB and lost most like I expected. Help me get my acct up to $50 so I can withdraw this bad boy."your #### is my ####"
Click to expand...
You should ask an actuary :nerd:
 
bmj87 said:
2u Jacksonville St pk

1u Loyola MD +4

1u Iona -18

1u Alabama St +2.5

153-118 56.5% +30.65u
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Very nice work bmj, it's been a rough year in CBB for most of the people I follow but you're killin it :thumbup:
 
Doctor Detroit said:
Statistically pucklines are bad bets but there is a time and place for them (I like them in parlays). Ottawa is playing so bad right now that it seems like this would be a great place for a puckline bet, but in the salary cap NHL a long losing streak is gonna stop at some point. Don't think it will be tonight but any team is capable of keeping the game close on any given night.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: you can't make a blanket statement like that, whether or not they're good bets depends completely on each line for each game.

 
Steelers scoring exactly 25pts was 100-1 :goodposting:

requires either 6fg and a td or a safety or 2pt conversion to get there, nasty

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Hockey tomorrow:Pens/Jackets under 5.5 (-125)Pens without Crosby and Malkin should be a five total team and Vegas recognizes this, thus the premium. Jackets goalie Steve Mason has allowed three or less goals in six of his last eight starts and Pittsburgh is an extremely good defensive team. I see this one as a 2-1 or 3-1 game. glllllETA: 6 of 8, not 5 of 7.
Click to expand...
I'll ride w/ ya GB. :thumbup:
 
lumpy19 said:
Doctor Detroit said:
Statistically pucklines are bad bets but there is a time and place for them (I like them in parlays). Ottawa is playing so bad right now that it seems like this would be a great place for a puckline bet, but in the salary cap NHL a long losing streak is gonna stop at some point. Don't think it will be tonight but any team is capable of keeping the game close on any given night.
Click to expand...
:rant: you can't make a blanket statement like that, whether or not they're good bets depends completely on each line for each game.
Click to expand...
Yes, they are bad bets. The chance of hitting a puckline is much worse than almost any other hockey bet. If you have a +170 puckline, it's not at +170 because its in your favor. If it's at +110 it's a lot to pay for a game that is generally one or two goals and you'll be begging for an empty netter like in the Canucks game last night. Puckline returns are in the 20/30 percentile at best, so if you want to use the individual game line theory you are talking about seasoned hockey bettors. Not guys who post lines at FBG.
 
I need some input here, because I don't know if this is stupid or not. Since I'm the one who thought of it, I'll assume it is. :no:

Wichita State is favored by 16 at home against Southern Illinois.

San Diego State is favored by 17½ at home against Utah.

Both favorites are -2000 on the money line. Would it be dumb to lay $1000 to win $102.50 on a ML parlay with those two teams?

Is there any data available on how often home favorites of 16+ lose outright?

 
Raider Nation said:
I need some input here, because I don't know if this is stupid or not. Since I'm the one who thought of it, I'll assume it is. :) Wichita State is favored by 16 at home against Southern Illinois. San Diego State is favored by 17½ at home against Utah.Both favorites are -2000 on the money line. Would it be dumb to lay $1000 to win $102.50 on a ML parlay with those two teams?Is there any data available on how often home favorites of 16+ lose outright?
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That's pretty ballsy. I couldn't do it, not for a measly hundred bucks. Too many things can go wrong, blown out ACL's and suck, as well as that any given "Sunday" thing. But good luck if you go for it.
 
Raider Nation said:
I need some input here, because I don't know if this is stupid or not. Since I'm the one who thought of it, I'll assume it is. :mellow:

Wichita State is favored by 16 at home against Southern Illinois.

San Diego State is favored by 17½ at home against Utah.

Both favorites are -2000 on the money line. Would it be dumb to lay $1000 to win $102.50 on a ML parlay with those two teams?

Is there any data available on how often home favorites of 16+ lose outright?
Click to expand...
:bag: It would be if it loses! No way i could do it. I don't think i would even feel any satisfaction winning it. Stress level for a $102 would be incredible if the wager is even remotely close to be a loss.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
lumpy19 said:
Doctor Detroit said:
Statistically pucklines are bad bets but there is a time and place for them (I like them in parlays). Ottawa is playing so bad right now that it seems like this would be a great place for a puckline bet, but in the salary cap NHL a long losing streak is gonna stop at some point. Don't think it will be tonight but any team is capable of keeping the game close on any given night.
Click to expand...
:goodposting: you can't make a blanket statement like that, whether or not they're good bets depends completely on each line for each game.
Click to expand...
Yes, they are bad bets. The chance of hitting a puckline is much worse than almost any other hockey bet. If you have a +170 puckline, it's not at +170 because its in your favor. If it's at +110 it's a lot to pay for a game that is generally one or two goals and you'll be begging for an empty netter like in the Canucks game last night. Puckline returns are in the 20/30 percentile at best, so if you want to use the individual game line theory you are talking about seasoned hockey bettors. Not guys who post lines at FBG.
Click to expand...
yikes....you have absolutely no clue what you're posting about, i'm not even going to debate this you're so far offJust made note of it before cause its terrible information to be posting.

ETA: do you think there's a difference between a +170 puckline and a +170 underdog in the NFL...or a +170 underdog in the NBA.....or in CBB?

 
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