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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Would love to hear your reasoning, I like the other side, thanks.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Hockey tonight:
Caps -160
Wings/Oil O 5.5
Columbus +110
Caps -160
Wings/Oil O 5.5
Columbus +110
lumpy19
Footballguy
yup i'm on nm +4
modogg
Footballguy
Ugh, I got $50 on BYU -4, $105 on NM +4
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Yeah, so here are my Mountain West thoughts again. Love both New Mexico and San Diego State.
The Lobos are playing their best ball as we saw against CSU and they've beaten BYU, who really looks like a different team without Davies. Drew Gooden, the UCLA transfer should love Davies being gone and they are athletic enough to do a good job on Jimmer. New Mexico's a cocky bunch who won't be intimidated by BYU at all; in fact, I see them relishing the matchup. This is basically to get the 4th Mountain West team into the dance, which there should be. I like 'em to win outright. Watch how the refs treat Jimmer, it will make you wince every time he gets the ball, at least when you have action it does...
I'm still bitter about SDSU getting backdoored last night. We would've swept the Mountain West and should've. Fisher was sitting 3 starters a time early in the first half, it was a joke. But that's good for tonight as he's obviously saving them. And Kawhi Leonard had to leave or sit because of back spasms (hope it doesn't come into play) which didn't help us. Still, we should've covered, ugh. Moving on though (barely), I'm surprised this line is only 1. Yes, UNLV will have a home court advantage tonight, moreso than most of these "home courts", but that's not enough. This SDSU team has been in this atmosphere awhile now, they like it and they want a 1-seed. This is another easy decision, getting one of the best teams in the country on a mission.
New Mex +4 and m/l. SDSU -1 and parlaying these. A Mountain West Fiesta -- best teams out west, folks.
The Lobos are playing their best ball as we saw against CSU and they've beaten BYU, who really looks like a different team without Davies. Drew Gooden, the UCLA transfer should love Davies being gone and they are athletic enough to do a good job on Jimmer. New Mexico's a cocky bunch who won't be intimidated by BYU at all; in fact, I see them relishing the matchup. This is basically to get the 4th Mountain West team into the dance, which there should be. I like 'em to win outright. Watch how the refs treat Jimmer, it will make you wince every time he gets the ball, at least when you have action it does...
I'm still bitter about SDSU getting backdoored last night. We would've swept the Mountain West and should've. Fisher was sitting 3 starters a time early in the first half, it was a joke. But that's good for tonight as he's obviously saving them. And Kawhi Leonard had to leave or sit because of back spasms (hope it doesn't come into play) which didn't help us. Still, we should've covered, ugh. Moving on though (barely), I'm surprised this line is only 1. Yes, UNLV will have a home court advantage tonight, moreso than most of these "home courts", but that's not enough. This SDSU team has been in this atmosphere awhile now, they like it and they want a 1-seed. This is another easy decision, getting one of the best teams in the country on a mission.
New Mex +4 and m/l. SDSU -1 and parlaying these. A Mountain West Fiesta -- best teams out west, folks.
modogg
Footballguy
you can probably bump this one to 2 units bud. La Salle really doesn't have much to offer
(at least they usually don't)
Garrett
Footballguy
Have to raise the white flag on this one, I was just flat out wrong. I'll stick to Big Ten totals.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Tristan Thompson (Texas) UNDER 22 pt+reb
derek245583
Footballguy
We are still looking for 2 more people to participate in our annual bracket draft....Here is the thread:
http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=586366
Here is how it works:
8 people draft 8 teams. You get points based on seed and round a team wins a game. (example...Butler as a 5 seed wins a first round game, you get 5 pts from everyone. A second round game you win 10 pts from everyone)
Points are worth a dollar each.
If you are interested in joining or have any other questions, let me know. Brong suggested this was a good place to start looking for participants.
http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=586366
Here is how it works:
8 people draft 8 teams. You get points based on seed and round a team wins a game. (example...Butler as a 5 seed wins a first round game, you get 5 pts from everyone. A second round game you win 10 pts from everyone)
Points are worth a dollar each.
If you are interested in joining or have any other questions, let me know. Brong suggested this was a good place to start looking for participants.
Garrett
Footballguy
I did this for the first time last year and it is a lot of fun (yes, I had Butler last year). The format is definitely a lot more interesting than most tourney pools.
Warehouse Nasty
Footballguy
USC-1
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Are you serious with that? All I was asking for was reasoning, it only helps us all. And I was actually as polite as I could be, I was curious is all. I don't care that anybody likes this or that, just that it's good to understand why. Look, posting occasionally, with no reasoning behind it, does nothing for anybody here. And bumping it even more so, save it.'BRONG said:
nittanylion
Footballguy
Well, from a picks standpoint, yesterday was a very nice day. From a units standpoint, not so much.
Not long after I posted, I hit the road from home in Metro-DC Maryland up to Binghamton, NY to attend my GodMother's funeral today (this AM), didn't get to check scores/status till late. I had a whole mess of units on Syracuse, which skewed my day, but got in and online just in time to squeak a play in on Boise St., which cut that deficit significantly. If you didn't go overboard on Syracuse like I did, you probably did pretty well.
New Day, new slate, and I only have a few minutes while my fiancee is in the shower before we have to be at the church...
ACC: Duke for the usual reason's. Va Tech tired, already did what they came to do. Duke owes them a whoopin' and Coach K doesn't forget.
American East: I'm up here in the heart of AE Country...word on the street is Boston in a walkover. Having bet Boston in the past, I'm IN. This is a Championship Game.
A-10: Stay away from Temple/Richmond, instead make money on Dayton smoking St Joe's in a mismatch.
Big 12: Not touching Kansas/Texas, but I do think it's 'Manhood Day' for the Jayhawks, and if I'm right, they are going to beat Texas by fouling out their inside bigs. At least that's what they should do...but what do I know?
Big East: TODAY, we get our UCONN losses back! Yes, I know it's a tired refrain at this point, but Pitino finally gets it done - he did it to Marquette, he'll do it to UConn. Finally.
Big 10: What's my alma mater doing here? I want no part of MSU/PSU, but Ohio State got it's wake up call yesterday and should smoke the Wolverines.
Big West: Championship, Long Beach should cover vs UCSB.
CUSA: Take a pass here and watch a great game. This game takes place very early in the AM down there, and they played late last night. Too much variable, but I'd like UTEP if they didn't play the later game yesterday.
Cripes, have to go, hope to get back with more thoughts before it's too late in the day.
Good Luck!!!
Not long after I posted, I hit the road from home in Metro-DC Maryland up to Binghamton, NY to attend my GodMother's funeral today (this AM), didn't get to check scores/status till late. I had a whole mess of units on Syracuse, which skewed my day, but got in and online just in time to squeak a play in on Boise St., which cut that deficit significantly. If you didn't go overboard on Syracuse like I did, you probably did pretty well.
New Day, new slate, and I only have a few minutes while my fiancee is in the shower before we have to be at the church...
ACC: Duke for the usual reason's. Va Tech tired, already did what they came to do. Duke owes them a whoopin' and Coach K doesn't forget.
American East: I'm up here in the heart of AE Country...word on the street is Boston in a walkover. Having bet Boston in the past, I'm IN. This is a Championship Game.
A-10: Stay away from Temple/Richmond, instead make money on Dayton smoking St Joe's in a mismatch.
Big 12: Not touching Kansas/Texas, but I do think it's 'Manhood Day' for the Jayhawks, and if I'm right, they are going to beat Texas by fouling out their inside bigs. At least that's what they should do...but what do I know?
Big East: TODAY, we get our UCONN losses back! Yes, I know it's a tired refrain at this point, but Pitino finally gets it done - he did it to Marquette, he'll do it to UConn. Finally.
Big 10: What's my alma mater doing here? I want no part of MSU/PSU, but Ohio State got it's wake up call yesterday and should smoke the Wolverines.
Big West: Championship, Long Beach should cover vs UCSB.
CUSA: Take a pass here and watch a great game. This game takes place very early in the AM down there, and they played late last night. Too much variable, but I'd like UTEP if they didn't play the later game yesterday.
Cripes, have to go, hope to get back with more thoughts before it's too late in the day.
Good Luck!!!
Brong, I apologize, I had had a few and was having a really good night. I don't always have time to post our reasoning, will try to do better in the future.When NM beat BYU a month ago BYU had just lost Davies and were in complete disarray. BYU has had a month to play together without Davies and they keep getting better. They haven't forgot the last game. The line should have easily been -8.We like BYU to win the MWC Tournament championship game today. When the line comes out it should be at -4. If it is anything south of that we will be on BYU again.ETA: Yeah, so we love BYU at +2, I'll take the ML.Are you serious with that? All I was asking for was reasoning, it only helps us all. And I was actually as polite as I could be, I was curious is all. I don't care that anybody likes this or that, just that it's good to understand why. Look, posting occasionally, with no reasoning behind it, does nothing for anybody here. And bumping it even more so, save it.'BRONG said:
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JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
snatched defeat from the jaws of victory with a ####### purdue ML bet last night. ouch.
upwards and onwards
upwards and onwards
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Off-topic but a good time to get more responses on an important question I have on baseball futures. What are the advantages and disadvantages of playing them now (early)? I can see some of the obvious ones, of course, but what might I not be seeing? For example, do the numbers of popular HR hitters typically rise as we get closer? Do I wait to fade big name pitchers now or later? Stuff like that. First year doing baseball player props, I've always just done team win totals. Oh, and Utley is another example...just missed fading him and now he's off the board. Anyway, looking for some sort of protocol here...
Thanks.
Thanks.
lumpy19
Footballguy
It doesn't take much money to move the lines on player props, if you like a bet I wouldn't wait, bet it ASAP.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Fair enough, thanks for the explanation. Didn't know you "guys" were a tout, btw. Regardless, looks like we'll be butting heads on this next one too. I like SDSU.I wasn't able to watch the BYU game but I do know New Mexico lost a key player very early in the second and down only 3. I know you know this but you didn't mention in it your after-writeup. I really doubt that game would have been as easy as you made it out to be. Losing a four-year, all-conference, starting point guard is a big deal but whatever, let's turn the page.So you think BYU is retooled already, huh? I don't, although I'll give you last night being a nice step. You're way off on your timeline, by the way. It wasn't a month ago they were in "disarray", it was 10 days ago. That's not a "month to play together." And they certainly weren't "getting better" when TCU, who is god-awful, took them down to the wire two days ago. Their other win was Wyoming, also putrid, so I'm not sure what evidence you were going on... I just don't see how they can be nearly as good. And they will have to be tonight. So they learned to play without Davies, that still doesn't negate the loss. Of course, the loss is in the line, but it's not enough to sway me. What is BYU gonna do against Kawhi Leonard and that front court? Davies was huge for them.Fredette better have another freakish performance for you. In fact, if he does, my hats off to him and they can have my money. But no way Fisher doesn't do more (than Alford) to stop him tonight. Granted, I did think New Mexico was athletic enough to contain him to a degree and I was wrong. SDSU however, is a notch or two above that so my chips are down again.Brong, I apologize, I had had a few and was having a really good night. I don't always have time to post our reasoning, will try to do better in the future.When NM beat BYU a month ago BYU had just lost Davies and were in complete disarray. BYU has had a month to play together without Davies and they keep getting better. They haven't forgot the last game. The line should have easily been -8.We like BYU to win the MWC Tournament championship game today. When the line comes out it should be at -4. If it is anything south of that we will be on BYU again.ETA: Yeah, so we love BYU at +2, I'll take the ML.Are you serious with that? All I was asking for was reasoning, it only helps us all. And I was actually as polite as I could be, I was curious is all. I don't care that anybody likes this or that, just that it's good to understand why. Look, posting occasionally, with no reasoning behind it, does nothing for anybody here. And bumping it even more so, save it.'BRONG said:
lumpy19
Footballguy
This makes no sense, the line opened at byu -5.5 and got bet down to 4. There's no way the line should be 8 regardless of the outcome last night.Again today byu -4 is way off, byu opened as a 1 pt dog and moved to a 3 pt dog. Your view of BYU is off from what the rest of the gambling world thinks.....and not just by a little bit, by a lot.Brong, I apologize, I had had a few and was having a really good night. I don't always have time to post our reasoning, will try to do better in the future.When NM beat BYU a month ago BYU had just lost Davies and were in complete disarray. BYU has had a month to play together without Davies and they keep getting better. They haven't forgot the last game. The line should have easily been -8.Are you serious with that? All I was asking for was reasoning, it only helps us all. And I was actually as polite as I could be, I was curious is all. I don't care that anybody likes this or that, just that it's good to understand why. Look, posting occasionally, with no reasoning behind it, does nothing for anybody here. And bumping it even more so, save it.'BRONG said:
We like BYU to win the MWC Tournament championship game today. When the line comes out it should be at -4. If it is anything south of that we will be on BYU again.
ETA: Yeah, so we love BYU at +2, I'll take the ML.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Baseball season player futures typically don't move too much. One of the most important factors is knowing the rules. Some books use "must be active game 1" (cannot start season on DL), some use "must play 1 game". In the "must be active game 1" scenario, fading Utley could very likely lead to tying up your wager amount the entire baseball season on a no-actioned bet. If your rules are "must play 1 game", it may be wise to fade Utley knowing that he will likely lose a minimum of 2 weeks of at bats to the DL. Greinke's situation is similar. Betting $500 on him at a "must be active game 1" book is a waste, betting $500 on under 13.5 wins at a "must play 1 game" book may be wise knowing that he'll likely miss at least 2-3 starts.
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Frostillicus
Footballguy
what's sportsbook?
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Must play 1 game.
Bruce Dickinson
Footballguy
Long time lurker in this thread but don't post much.
Not a serious gambler, but am going to put a unit on Penn State +6 for the first half.
Penn State has really tried to play a grind it out style of play in this tourney, using as much as the play clock as they can before they shoot. I think we will see them trying to limit Ohio State's possessions and using up much of the time forcing Ohio State to play defense. Could easily see this being a low scoring first half with Ohio State leading by a few. Penn State plus 6 for the first half is what I like...
Good Luck all...
Not a serious gambler, but am going to put a unit on Penn State +6 for the first half.
Penn State has really tried to play a grind it out style of play in this tourney, using as much as the play clock as they can before they shoot. I think we will see them trying to limit Ohio State's possessions and using up much of the time forcing Ohio State to play defense. Could easily see this being a low scoring first half with Ohio State leading by a few. Penn State plus 6 for the first half is what I like...
Good Luck all...
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Insoxicated
I saw those numbers on ESPN but was too slow getting my my laptop. LOVE UNC in 2H. Hoping for -8 or less.Considering the way UNC has started their last 2 ACC tourney games I have no idea why I didn't bet on Duke 1HETA: i guess that also means i should be looking hard at the 2h line
lumpy19
Footballguy
I ended up taking Duke +3....good news for you is Duke only has to win by 11 for you to win your bet
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I really liked this bet, but a last second 3 by Diebler pushed the lead up to six and gave me a push as well...Oh well..
