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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
I hope you played that across the board. Looked like a winner for sure, but got nailed at the wire, literally on the last jump...brutal.Absolutely. Drops in class and should improve in his 2nd time out. Talamo climbs aboard a maiden claimer in the 9th, like it. Problem is the rail, but you could also say you are getting a better price because of it.Does IDONTROLLONSHABBOS have any chance in the 10th race?? SB has him at 8/1.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Dammit, why does this have to be a late kickoff. I can't wait!
I'm big on G.B. (with some at 11.5) and their team total (31). Smaller on the over (down to 51.5) because I'm not sure if Oakland's offense will show up. Green Bay will score every time they have the football if they feel like it.Weather is no factor. 40° and sunny at kickoff.
Also like New England over their TT (27) and S.D. over their TT (27.5). You will at LEAST split those two.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Gotta say RN, your over-the-top lack of confidence in your team worries me. You know who you sound like? ME! It sounds just like I was with CSU of late, if you know what I mean...worst year I ever had with them.
I mean watch, the Raiders will knock out Rodgers and end up winning outright.
I mean watch, the Raiders will knock out Rodgers and end up winning outright.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Not gonna happen bro. Oakland has one "Shock the World" road victory every year. They already had it for this year... at Houston the day after Al died. I'll go you one better. If Green Bay doesn't score at least 31 points tomorrow (for the push), I will not post in this thread until 1/1/2013. That's a promise.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Hmmm, the NY Giants at +200 seems like pretty good value to me. 
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
new day is up...I wish they delivered. I could go for one of their stuffed pizza slices and that cucumber/tomato/red onion salad they have right about now.five bucks across on shabbos and 5 dollar exacta key 9/3,5,8,11.The refs take the third favorite horse and bet him wps system says war politics is the play.Does IDONTROLLONSHABBOS have any chance in the 10th race?? SB has him at 8/1.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
mos def.Hmmm, the NY Giants at +200 seems like pretty good value to me.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Late one I have is Wild +115throw em out DD, playing with the houses money today and eager to lose it.I have a few hockey plays tonight, need to get the feel before I share.
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Whoa, alrighty then.
The Ref
Footballguy
Well we are starting to feel alot better about hockey shot props this week. Hopefully be ready to go soon. St Louis at home is becoming somthing to look at every time out, they set the shot line in the 30's much longer they are going to get killed.As for the nashvile under... well it was nervous at the end.<BR><BR>Remember that you asked for it... We kind of like the Nashvile Under. I took it for one unit but it's not geting posted to my FFA Hockey Prop total because we are still in the feeling out phase. <BR><BR>Edit: as far as hockey shots go, the under sharks 33.5 -130 is kind of nice. The blues have been good at home.<BR>Anybody got a hockey play tonight? I've sworn off hoops forever.<BR><BR><BR><IMG class=bbc_emoticon alt=src="http://forumimages.footballguys.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/kicksrock4.gif"><BR>
The Ref
Footballguy
I took these two and Noguiera. Turns out I was looking good until he snaped his arm in half.Def check out the UFC thread. Looks like most of the guys there like 2 of the bigger dogs tonight Tito Ortiz and Machida.Was thinking of just throwing a unit on each and hoping to go 1 for 2.Interesting.... might have to order this. Any leans or do I have to go to the UFC thread.Wake was my shakiest play of the 3. Let's see. Hope we nail it.Nice work here thus far. Keyed the villy/temple over on a few plays. even payed up to 143. thanks to DD for the navy/army under. had me worried a bit there but then the big lull came. most excellent.
almost time for some UFC action
John Bender
Footballguy
I took these two and Noguiera. Turns out I was looking good until he snaped his arm in half.Def check out the UFC thread. Looks like most of the guys there like 2 of the bigger dogs tonight Tito Ortiz and Machida.Was thinking of just throwing a unit on each and hoping to go 1 for 2.Interesting.... might have to order this. Any leans or do I have to go to the UFC thread.Wake was my shakiest play of the 3. Let's see. Hope we nail it.Nice work here thus far. Keyed the villy/temple over on a few plays. even payed up to 143. thanks to DD for the navy/army under. had me worried a bit there but then the big lull came. most excellent.
almost time for some UFC action
I didn't bet it but that was a brutal choke out by Bones. Impressive indeed.
The Ref
Footballguy
Starting to take a look at bowl games.
I liked the under the first time Bama LSU played. I like it again. yeah it's 39. Yeah we should get 1 D/ST TD. Yeah Bama wont miss 285 FG's. This game should have 3 maybe 4 O TD's. I just dont see 6 TD's in the game.
We got high totals in alot of games and most of them should. That said No Ill and Ark st is "only" 62.5. I think No Ill will put up 35 easy, and what I mean by that is if they are beating Ark st 28-0 at the start of the 4Q they might run out the clock. Ark st should be able to get 21 on the board and No Ill will do the rest.
I liked the under the first time Bama LSU played. I like it again. yeah it's 39. Yeah we should get 1 D/ST TD. Yeah Bama wont miss 285 FG's. This game should have 3 maybe 4 O TD's. I just dont see 6 TD's in the game.
We got high totals in alot of games and most of them should. That said No Ill and Ark st is "only" 62.5. I think No Ill will put up 35 easy, and what I mean by that is if they are beating Ark st 28-0 at the start of the 4Q they might run out the clock. Ark st should be able to get 21 on the board and No Ill will do the rest.
lumpy19
Footballguy
I like ten +3.5 so i'm not touching that one....i actually like az +3.5 too but haven't pulled the triggerjust 5 standard teases for me todayhouphinecarSDpossibly jax
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Lumpy, like these plays and gonna tail on the teaser. Your standard is +6, right? Just wondering, thanks for posting man.
The Ref
Footballguy
2 and 3 teamed these up. what a pain in the A to put in.
lumpy19
Footballguy
4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
8 teams x 4 = 70 bets8 teams x 3 = 56 bets
culdeus
Footballguy
well i do 3 AND 4 way on 8 teams. :carpaltunnel:4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
lumpy19
Footballguy
OK Jax is in, 6 teams in groups of 3, +180, 20 bets....sweep or bust, I like everyone of these legs.
lumpy19
Footballguy
jesus you're crazywell i do 3 AND 4 way on 8 teams. :carpaltunnel:4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
Man In The Box
Footballguy
Tailing on GB and their TT. Like those.
Also on DEN -3.5 for 2u
Teasing NE/ HOU/ SD
Also on DEN -3.5 for 2u
Teasing NE/ HOU/ SD
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Take this info FWIW... I'm not really sure what to make of it myself.
Just saw a report that FedEx field is in BRUTAL shape. That's what results from 60 minutes of option football being played 24 hours ago. The grounds crew wasn't able to do much with it. ESPN's George Smith overheard some Redskins saying to each other "just be careful out here."
I think it would be reasonable to surmise that these field conditions would favor the offenses, much like a snow game. The receivers know where they are going and the defenders do not... blah, blah, blah.
I would think it especially favors the Pats. I can't see any defenders on a 4-8 team risking their career on a bad field.
Just saw a report that FedEx field is in BRUTAL shape. That's what results from 60 minutes of option football being played 24 hours ago. The grounds crew wasn't able to do much with it. ESPN's George Smith overheard some Redskins saying to each other "just be careful out here."
I think it would be reasonable to surmise that these field conditions would favor the offenses, much like a snow game. The receivers know where they are going and the defenders do not... blah, blah, blah.
I would think it especially favors the Pats. I can't see any defenders on a 4-8 team risking their career on a bad field.
culdeus
Footballguy
No, it's basically all I do. I'll make something like 1000 bets a year. 985 of them are NFL teasers. Once that's gone i'll just make my 15 donkey wagers a year and be happy.jesus you're crazywell i do 3 AND 4 way on 8 teams. :carpaltunnel:4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Also, bad footing in the middle of the field = no pass rush. As if Brady needed any more help.Feeling good about the Pats TT I posted yesterday... o27. It's now 27.5.And as predicted, the G.B. TT went from 31 to 31.5. Hope you got in early, though I still think they score 40+.Take this info FWIW... I'm not really sure what to make of it myself.Just saw a report that FedEx field is in BRUTAL shape. That's what results from 60 minutes of option football being played 24 hours ago. The grounds crew wasn't able to do much with it. ESPN's George Smith overheard some Redskins saying to each other "just be careful out here."I think it would be reasonable to surmise that these field conditions would favor the offenses, much like a snow game. The receivers know where they are going and the defenders do not... blah, blah, blah.I would think it especially favors the Pats. I can't see any defenders on a 4-8 team risking their career on a bad field.
optionmaven
Footballguy
Does anybody besides me like the colts today? Is Flacco ready to have another turd game? Teased up to 22.5, ravens gonna need 3 touches and a fg or two touches and 3 fgs to beat my number. I like the colts chances to keep this in range.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
What do we make of the Saints/Titans total going from 50 to 47.5 overnight?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I wouldn't bet a Colts game with your money, bro. We saw last week they can hang with a good team.But they also lost by 55 to the Saints. Pass.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Adding: Pats/Skins o46.5
The number is dropping as people panic about the field. Outside the numbers should be in good shape, and once the teams figure out they can't run in the sloppy part of the field, both teams with be able to pass. New England's secondary stinks, and Landry is out for the Skins. Gronk should have 400 yards.
The number is dropping as people panic about the field. Outside the numbers should be in good shape, and once the teams figure out they can't run in the sloppy part of the field, both teams with be able to pass. New England's secondary stinks, and Landry is out for the Skins. Gronk should have 400 yards.
JaxBill
Footballguy
Don't know if it's related to the field conditions but Skins lost their starting RT in warm-ups.Mike Reiss @MikeReiss 6 minsDon't often see injuries in pre-game warmups, but this looks significant for Redskins starting OT Jammal Brown. Walks off gingerly.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
That's significant because they are already without LT Trent Williams for this game.
The Ref
Footballguy
Two things have me worried about the over. 1. The skins not showing up and having the pats get out to a big lead.2. The fact that BB waxed the skins in 08 by 5,000 points and took a lot of heat for it.Skins will need to put 14 on the board to make this work IMHO.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
oof. I nearly had a nervous breakdown early in the year with a massive card. Was ticking out. Though, it did give me an additional excuse to crack a beer at 12:30 pmwell i do 3 AND 4 way on 8 teams. :carpaltunnel:4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
CletiusMaximus
Footballguy
I do the same a few times a year. I usually just bet the system teasers blind, but if there's a week where I really like the bets, and there are 6-7 games in the range, I'll put them all into 3 and 4 gamers. This week I don't have much. Most of the games Lumpy is showing are +3 at Sportsbook so not teasers for me.well i do 3 AND 4 way on 8 teams. :carpaltunnel:4-way is MORE bets than 3 wayI saw icon make this same comment a few weeks ago
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
Love WAS here.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
"ouch"
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Teasers: Panthers/Pats/Giants
Side: Bengals -2.5
Side: Bengals -2.5
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
3rd-string LTs = sack/fumble/score
The Ref
Footballguy
Would explain the total drop. He is good for .5TD
Billy Bats
Footballguy
You really think he gives a rats ###?? if anything it will make him run up the score even more.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
wouldn't be surprised to see 3 of the 4 home dogs cover with 1 or two winning outright.
we're due
we're due
