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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
Mrs. Ref thinks Madona wears fishnets during her halftime act is easy money.
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I can tell you this, and I would not be surprised if there is a prop available on it.Belichick will NOT be wearing his red hoodie on game day. He said that on WEEI today. His three Super Bowl wins, he wore the grey hoodie. When they lost to the Giants, he wore the red one.
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Seems like all the sportsbook ones are out and no hoodie prop.
 
Kind of like the Claude Giroux points +.5 vs total fumbles.

I don't think we will see many in the game in fact I think it is very likely we won't see more then 1. Giroux gets a point most games and the last time he played the jets he had 3.

 
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
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ROR
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:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
 
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
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ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
 
Just to say how little feel I have for the SB this year. I got 9X as much bet on pregame, halftime, and post game then I do the game it's self. And at this point, I'm 100% cool with it.

 
Anything to see here with either of these props?

Durant vs. Griffin -- most points scored

Durant -6 (-120)

Griffin +6 (-110)

Westbrook vs. Paul -- most points + assists

Westbrook -1 (+105)

Paul +1 (-135)

 
'The Ref said:
Just to say how little feel I have for the SB this year. I got 9X as much bet on pregame, halftime, and post game then I do the game it's self. And at this point, I'm 100% cool with it.
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Yep, my head is swimming. And the legendary Eric Mangini agrees with me that if Gronk is not himself, it will have a HUGE impact on the outcome.
 
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
Just to say how little feel I have for the SB this year. I got 9X as much bet on pregame, halftime, and post game then I do the game it's self. And at this point, I'm 100% cool with it.
Click to expand...
Yep, my head is swimming. And the legendary Eric Mangini agrees with me that if Gronk is not himself, it will have a HUGE impact on the outcome.
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AT MOST, if Gronk doesn't even play, it's worth a point. I highly doubt it's that much.
 
There have been other posts on other boards stating why this year's ml fav and dog + pts middle is no good. I agree mainly because this total is so big.

But, one prop I like is NO the game won't be decided by 3 pts. Another reason why I like it is the new OT rules. Tougher in OT to win by exactly 3 pts. This bet is the same price as it has been every year, laying -450 for the no but it looks decent.

 
Well, Durant is shooting over 50% from the field. Pretty impressive when you see where he takes most of his shots. And the Clips will realize pretty quickly that they'll need to run with OKC. Could lead to some fast break points and 2-on-1's. I really don't know what I'm talking about... I just like overs a lot.

 
:lmao: If only I held off an hour and got Mizzou at +1 instead of -1. I guess I should be happy with a push in the end. Still no way that game should have been that close in the end.
 
One I just bet. NYG un 3.5 guys with a rush +270. This is lower at every other book but I'd still bet it.

Just betting DJ Ware won't get a carry and he didn't last game despite the Gmen having the ball for the whole game. Eli also went 2 games without a rush attempt. The Giants hardly ever run anyone else, obviously if that happens we lose.

I made a good amount through the playoffs betting unders on backup running backs. Ben Tate didn't get a carry at Balt (he was lined 8.5), Hunter only got 5 carries last game, Jacobs didn't hit his number either. I just think when teams get to the do or die game the starter plays the majority of snaps, no sense in holding back. Wouldn't shock me to see Ware not get a carry.

 
One more for tonight and one I am hoping to get right for the first time in my life. 1st challenge stands -115.

I bet this same play last year and it lost. I bet it 2 years ago, but I bet 1st challenge overturned +125 and it also lost.

Now it's very tough to find nfl coaching challenge stats, but I posted this last year. When rewatching last years super bowl I saw the challenge success rate is like 37%. This would make play stands a very good bet, then again you have to analyze each coaches challenge success rate, which was a stat I could not find. In last years super bowl I bet first challenge overturned +125, so that means play stands was -135/-145 last year. No reason the odds should have been the same unless the challenge success rate was closer to 50/50 which it is not. Plus I guess you have to factor in we get an "all star" referee crew which would mean less poor calls.

Okay, we also get a TON of cameras so I'm guessing that would help an overturn to find conclusive evidence. And I did find out at wiki (not sure how reliable that is) that Coughlin is the best NFL challenge coach but only at a 47% win rate.

Kind of a coinflip bet, but I think I am on the right side here.

 
'John Bender said:
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
Click to expand...
ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
Click to expand...
He started his own soccer wagering thread
 
'lumpy19 said:
'John Bender said:
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
Click to expand...
ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
Click to expand...
He started his own soccer wagering thread
Click to expand...
What an elitist. :lol:
 
All the Gronk numbers are off the board everywhere. I just bet these with my one local book who has them up, sportsbook still up. Worst case I have 50/50 bets. I still have him for MVP at 20:1 as a mini-hedge:

Un 6.5 rec -150

Un 81.5 yds -120

Un 22.5 longest rec -115

Un 9.5 1st rec +105 (smallest bet)

 
'John Bender said:
'lumpy19 said:
'John Bender said:
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
Click to expand...
ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
Click to expand...
He started his own soccer wagering thread
Click to expand...
What an elitist. :lol:
Click to expand...
Wasn't it guru_007?
 
'derek245583 said:
'John Bender said:
'lumpy19 said:
'John Bender said:
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
Click to expand...
ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
Click to expand...
He started his own soccer wagering thread
Click to expand...
What an elitist. :lol:
Click to expand...
Wasn't it guru_007?
Click to expand...
big fan
 
'MarshallPlan said:
All the Gronk numbers are off the board everywhere. I just bet these with my one local book who has them up, sportsbook still up. Worst case I have 50/50 bets. I still have him for MVP at 20:1 as a mini-hedge:Un 6.5 rec -150Un 81.5 yds -120Un 22.5 longest rec -115Un 9.5 1st rec +105 (smallest bet)
Click to expand...
Is there news that I'm missing?
 
'lumpy19 said:
'MarshallPlan said:
All the Gronk numbers are off the board everywhere. I just bet these with my one local book who has them up, sportsbook still up. Worst case I have 50/50 bets. I still have him for MVP at 20:1 as a mini-hedge:Un 6.5 rec -150Un 81.5 yds -120Un 22.5 longest rec -115Un 9.5 1st rec +105 (smallest bet)
Click to expand...
Is there news that I'm missing?
Click to expand...
No I thought it was important pinny and Greek took his numbers down.
 
'JerseyToughGuys said:
'derek245583 said:
'John Bender said:
'lumpy19 said:
'John Bender said:
'BRONG said:
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
:bowtie: I'm aware of what it entails. Last week when I busted bmj's stones, Grumpy19 said something to me as well (even though I was actually being self deprecating and making fun of myself). BMJ knows way more than I'll ever know about sports wagering, and takes getting his balls busted once in a while in stride. I like the guy a lot - but anytime I say something, lumps likes to ask me a rhetorical question. He's better at everything than me most likely and I've given him his props many times so let's all relax when I bust someones stones, that's what we do in here in the PM. :banned:
Click to expand...
ROR
Click to expand...
:lmao: :lmao: Grumpy sometimes reminds me of gambler. Whatever happened to him, anyway? Love me some gambler, he was hilarious.
Click to expand...
There was another grumpy dude around here a few years back who posted soccer plays. He had a melt down and told us all to #### off one day and never came back. I miss that guy getting pissed off at everyone
Click to expand...
He started his own soccer wagering thread
Click to expand...
What an elitist. :lol:
Click to expand...
Wasn't it guru_007?
Click to expand...
big fan
Click to expand...
:goodposting:
 
with all the buzz and chatter re: the Blake Griffen dunk I expected the vid to feature him eating Perkins' liver with a nice chianti.

:yawn:

really, that's what passes as OMG!~@~! THATS WAS AWESOME in the NBA these days?

 
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