BeTheMatch
Footballguy
Koivu is out for the Wild too
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
3-team chalk ML parlay (1U to win about 2.6U):
CHI (-165), STL (-230), VAN (-170)
3-team RR PL parlay (.5U total risk)
CHI (+178), STL (+140), VAN (+170)
2-team parlay (.5U risk):
Pit/Phi O5.5 (-115), Min/Stl U5 (-130)
CHI (-165), STL (-230), VAN (-170)
3-team RR PL parlay (.5U total risk)
CHI (+178), STL (+140), VAN (+170)
2-team parlay (.5U risk):
Pit/Phi O5.5 (-115), Min/Stl U5 (-130)
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Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Jackets/B'hawks O 5.5 (-110)
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
So you love the two biggest favorites and like the 3rd and 4th biggest favorites today? Are you parlaying these or will they be straight bets? Will tail, you are a certified puckhead with all these value bets you are giving us.
tribecalledjeff
Footballguy
Love Bama today, too. Good luck, bmj.
bryan11joseph
Footballguy
I just started a "System" that is still in the early developments, that is very similar to this. Below are my plays for today. [#520] Florida St at North Carolina St Ov 134½ -110 [#522] Maryland at Virginia Ov 120½ -110 [#524] Texas el Paso at Memphis U Un 132½ -110 [#526] Tennessee at Alabama Ov 120½ -110 [#528] LSU at South Carolina Ov 123½ -110 [#530] Kansas St at Baylor Ov 138½ -110 [#534] Missouri at Texas A&M Ov 129½ -110 [#538] Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech Ov 120 -110 [#540] Arizona at Washington U Ov 139 -110 [#542] Marshall at SMU Ov 118 -110 [#546] San Diego St at Air Force Ov 120 -110 [#548] Mississippi at Kentucky Ov 134 -110 [#552] Fordham at St Louis Ov 125 -110 [#556] Texas at Oklahoma St Ov 135 -110 [#558] Seton Hall at Cincinnati Ov 130 -110 [#564] Illinois at Nebraska Ov 121½ -110 [#578] Florida Atlantic at Middle Tenn St Ov 127 -110 [#580] Georgetown at Providence Ov 134½ -110 [#582] Columbia at Pennsylvania Ov 122½ -110 [#586] Yale at Harvard Ov 122 -110 [#590] Minnesota U at Northwestern Ov 134 -110Also added:Ohio State / Michigan Un 126Saint Marys / Murray State Un 137I will keep you posted on the success of this - Good luck to everyone today!!gonna try this
D-BO
Footballguy
Isn't Bama missing their two leading scorers and Tenn has been playing well......interesting.
bmj87
Footballguy
You too, it's my favorite play of the day.
nittanylion
Footballguy
I wouldn't touch 'bama until they stabilize, especially not vs. an surging Tennessee team. I haven't heard anything about Green or Mitchell being reistated, and Releford isn't looking all that special without those two on the court, and Steele is being forced into the lineup as a starter which hurts the bench, and the strength of 'bama's D lies with those 2 big, long bodies that we don't know if they're playing or not. If you are making this a 'system play' because the spread is moving in a favorable direction, you can't be taking the suspension factor into account. Yes, it's an incredible long shot to win on the road in the SEC, the percentages are horrible, but Tennessee is surging and confident, and 'bama is scrambling.
I think a much safer play is LSU getting 3 on the road at South Carolina. LSU is getting NIT-bid hot right now, and really meshing around their big young center, who South Carolina doesn't have an answer for. South Carolina is easily the worst team in the SEC, and is coming off a win vs. Georgia. They aren't a team that has any likelihood of stringing together 2 in a row at this point, so IMO the percentages heavily favor a surging LSU team.
I think a much safer play is LSU getting 3 on the road at South Carolina. LSU is getting NIT-bid hot right now, and really meshing around their big young center, who South Carolina doesn't have an answer for. South Carolina is easily the worst team in the SEC, and is coming off a win vs. Georgia. They aren't a team that has any likelihood of stringing together 2 in a row at this point, so IMO the percentages heavily favor a surging LSU team.
bmj87
Footballguy
Pretty sure the line has already taken the suspensions into account.
tribecalledjeff
Footballguy
You mean the linesmakers are aware of injuries, too????
bryan11joseph
Footballguy
Editing this post only to document Success/Failure Rate of the System...to see if this is worth pursuing.Here are my plays for this evening.
L 83-50 [#594] Texas Tech at Kansas Un 128 -110
L 69-50 [#604] Rice at Tulsa Ov 130½ -110
W 81-73 [#606] Tulane at Alabama Birmingham Ov 114 -110
L 54-46 [#616] Wyoming at Colorado St Ov 124 -110
W 74-70 [#620] Notre Dame at Villanova Ov 132 -110
W 82-71 [#722] Texas San Antonio at Georgia St Ov 131½ -110
L 57-56 [#724] Delaware St at Gardner Webb Ov 125 -110
W 69-62 [#728] High Point at Stephen Austin Ov 120½ -110
L 67-48 [#730] Presbyterian at Jacksonville St Ov 124 -110
W 93-92 [#734] Texas St at South Dakota Un 158 -110
L 68-45 [#742] Western Illinois at Evansville Ov 123 -110
L 71-68 [#744] Youngstown St at Austin Peay Un 146 -110
L 70-65 [#746] UC Davis at Northern Arizona Un 137 -110
L 57-52 [#756] Southern Utah at Cal Riverside Ov 119 -110
W 78-73 [#758] Eastern Washington at Cal Irvine Un 147½ -110
GAME
Afternoon: 13-10-0 (56.5%) +2.0 units
Evening: 6-9-0 (40%) -3.9 units
1H
Afternoon: 11-10-1 (52%) +0.0 units
Evening: 6-9-0 (40%) -3.9 units
2H
Afternoon: 6-3-0 (67%) +2.7 units
Evening: 1-0-0 (100%) +1.0 units
Entire System
Afternoon: 30-23-1 (57%) +4.7 units
Evening: 13-18-0 (42%) -6.8 units
TOTAL: 43-41-1 (50%) -2.1 units
Did well in the afternoon games, checking all the Half time lines. I didn't make the attempt in the evening to try to pick up any Half time plays for 2H (other than 1).
First day running the system. Losing day - but not too bad. Got a lot of good information and have a few areas where I know I can improve!
Not sure if anyone cares!
But if I get the system rolling in the + and up around 65-70% I will be sure to share.
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gussy
Footballguy
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Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Good call on Alabamer
tailed that one and Vermont.Good call on Alabamer
also, good call on the Hawks/BJs over. I was looking for a total to pair with the Pens/Flyers over and was tempted by that one but was scared of the Columbus offense so went with the Blues/Wild under instead. 3-0 after 2 there. Hoping for a 3-1 or 4-0 win at worst to get this day off to a great start.
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mquinnjr
Footballguy
8-7 thus far. Will update after the next few wrap up. I like this method though, even the losses are pretty close for the most part. I feel like 10 for 15 on this could hit almost any time.
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Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Anything else tonight besides the Nucks? I have the Stars/Yotes U (+115) but am looking for something else. I have a few leans...tailed that one and Vermont.Good call on Alabamer
I might hedge a bit on Toronto since my early plays came through. Nothing else jumped out at me earlier but I'll probably find something I like.
nittanylion
Footballguy
Hurray, we both won...and thanks for Hampton, Oral Roberts, Vermont and Northern Illinois. Nice work as always!
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
Upset special: Ark +200
derek245583
Footballguy
St Mary's/Murray st over 138 is free money
nittanylion
Footballguy
6 PM: U.Mass. giving 2.5 vs LaSalle
nittanylion
Footballguy
Down to 136.5 at my out...what's up with that?
Holy poop, as I went to make the play, the line changed to 139!!!
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D-BO
Footballguy
In on this.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
1-2 today
adding
harvard -12
ohio state -5
notre dame - 2.5
glta
ab
adding
harvard -12
ohio state -5
notre dame - 2.5
glta
ab
derek245583
Footballguy
JeebusDown to 136.5 at my out...what's up with that?
gussy
Footballguy
3 evening gamesGeorgia S. -6 -WINNorth Dakota St. -7 -WINWeber St. -4 1/2 -LOSS2012 Posted PicksCBB-93-80-3 (53.8%)NFL-4-0NBA-11-11-2CFB-1-0NHL-11-14
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bryan11joseph
Footballguy
I am in also...but just missed the 2H line (anyone know what it was?)...was hoping to make up for the monster 1H Florida put up...hopefully they can surprise everyone here in the 2nd Half.
D-BO
Footballguy
Ark -2
nittanylion
Footballguy
Mississippi State -3.5 @ Auburn...Bulldogs coming off two straight OT 2-point losses to inferior teams (vs Georgia and @ LSU) can't afford to look past this road game @ Auburn before heading home to face #1 ranked Kentucky. Just when they absolutely need a W, they draw rebuilding Auburn, who's at a point where they can compete and beat the lower-tier SEC teams, but struggle vs the upper-echelon ones, especially those with size. Auburn played tough @ Miss. St. on Feb. 4, losing only by 3, but Auburn has regressed since, and State is in a must-win situation. Much more likely that Miss. St. snaps a 2-game losing streak @ Auburn than Auburn snaps a 3-game losing streak vs. Miss. St.
Good Luck!
Good Luck!
The Ref
Footballguy
Flames under 2 units.And you pm box is full. I had a 4 star play for you last night.
I hedged a bit on my Nucks parlays. Put a little on Toronto ML (+165) and Toronto O2.5 (+105).
Couver needs to keep rolling.
Couver needs to keep rolling.
derek245583
Footballguy
Well that wasnt even close
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Okay, CSU and WYO are on deck and I wish I had a definitive way to go, but I don't. If you care, CSU sold this sucker out, which is saying something -- there will be a bigger advantage for them tonight than normal. Wyo beat em up at home so this is revenge. But we're not quite as good as they are and they will be just as fired up. Pretty big rivalry.
I didn't see any leans on here on this game, unless I missed it. Would love to hear what anybody has to say.
ETA #### that, taking my team.
I didn't see any leans on here on this game, unless I missed it. Would love to hear what anybody has to say.
ETA #### that, taking my team.
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modogg
Footballguy
i unfortunately only grabbed the Van game, but very nice job
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I 
Miikka!
On the other side of the coin, Jonathan Quick must be pretty f'n frustrated right about now. Two games.... zero offense.
Miikka!On the other side of the coin, Jonathan Quick must be pretty f'n frustrated right about now. Two games.... zero offense.
Zegras11
Footballguy
Nice... I Par'd LA u to PHO u.I
The Ref
Footballguy
Your point is valid, but he only faced 7 shots in the 2d and 3d period combined. It's not like the team laid down on him.I
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I'm not suggesting the Kings quit. They just cannot score. They are on a CRAZY under streak. Something like 12 or 13 out of 14.Your point is valid, but he only faced 7 shots in the 2d and 3d period combined. It's not like the team laid down on him.I
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Your point is valid, but he only faced 7 shots in the 2d and 3d period combined. It's not like the team laid down on him.I
