FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

[bryan11joseph]

Yea -9 Kentucky 2H is ugly. Thought it might be a little less than that.

2u on KENTUCKY / MISS ST UNDER 73.5

 

[TheGooRoo]

I really got to tip my cap to the linemaker tonIght. That 26.5 saved his boss a bunch of units.

26.5 costed his boss a bunch of units. Close one

 

[modogg]

It's fat Tuesday. I'm drinking bro.

Ugh, Jesus H have i gotten old. this may be the most depressing thing i have seen all night, i didn't even realize it was Fat Tuesday.

 

[Raider Nation]

2u on KENTUCKY / MISS ST UNDER 73.5

The steam moved the other way big time. Closed at 75.5

 

[DA RAIDERS]

It's fat Tuesday. I'm drinking bro.

Ugh, Jesus H have i gotten old. this may be the most depressing thing i have seen all night, i didn't even realize it was Fat Tuesday.

The only reason I know is that I stop drinking for lent. Otherwise it would go unnoticed. I did tell my neighbor she'd have to show me her #### as I invited them over for drinks.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

It's fat Tuesday. I'm drinking bro.

Ugh, Jesus H have i gotten old. this may be the most depressing thing i have seen all night, i didn't even realize it was Fat Tuesday.

The only reason I know is that I stop drinking for lent. Otherwise it would go unnoticed. I did tell my neighbor she'd have to show me her #### as I invited them over for drinks.

 

[Raider Nation]

GO RAMS!!!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

GO RAMS!!!

Wait, what?

 

[Raider Nation]

GO RAMS!!!

Wait, what?

Busting Sonny's balls. Every time he bets against his boys, they win.

 

[DA RAIDERS]

GO RAMS!!!

Wait, what?

Busting Sonny's balls. Every time he bets against his boys, they win.

:finger:

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

wtf happened in Calgary?

 

[DA RAIDERS]

What's the second half on this BS brong play.

 

[bryan11joseph]

2u NEW MEXICO / COLORADO STATE OVER 71

 

[Raider Nation]

wtf happened in Calgary?

Jesus, that's a week's worth of goals against Miikka. Just one of those nutso games you can't figure out.

 

[The Ref]

wtf happened in Calgary?

Great question. I didnt post it, but I put a unit on the flames shots over. Guess they missed the bus.

 

[bryan11joseph]

TUESDAY CBB O/U PICKS:Clemson/Georgia Tech OVER 120Kansas State/Missouri OVER 139.5 - get it while you can, has moved +3 alreadyGeorgetown/Seton Hall OVER 122.5 - has also moved +3 alreadyIllinois/Ohio State OVER 129 - has also moved +3 alreadyMichigan/Northwestern OVER 129.5Virginia/Virginia Tech OVER 114 - has already moved +5Kentucky/Mississippi State OVER 140.5New Mexico/Colorado State OVER 134 - has already moved +5(Also playing all 1H unders)

I'll tail on 5 for 8 +155, you've been hitting pretty well on totals.

It's coming down to the Kentucky and the New Mexico Game for you! GL!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

wtf happened in Calgary?

Jesus, that's a week's worth of goals against Miikka. Just one of those nutso games you can't figure out.

Calgary has been doing exactly what they are doing tonight for years.

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Portland -4 1st half anyone?

Took it. Maybe the tale of two teams will continue. They got ####### embarrassed in LA

 

[mquinnjr]

TUESDAY CBB O/U PICKS:Clemson/Georgia Tech OVER 120Kansas State/Missouri OVER 139.5 - get it while you can, has moved +3 alreadyGeorgetown/Seton Hall OVER 122.5 - has also moved +3 alreadyIllinois/Ohio State OVER 129 - has also moved +3 alreadyMichigan/Northwestern OVER 129.5Virginia/Virginia Tech OVER 114 - has already moved +5Kentucky/Mississippi State OVER 140.5New Mexico/Colorado State OVER 134 - has already moved +5(Also playing all 1H unders)

I'll tail on 5 for 8 +155, you've been hitting pretty well on totals.

It's coming down to the Kentucky and the New Mexico Game for you! GL!

11 points in 2:04 in a close game, very doable.

 

[The Ref]

I need to buy something on amazon.com for $3.75 to get $15 worth of free shipping. What should I get?

 

[bryan11joseph]

Portland -4 1st half anyone?

Took it. Maybe the tale of two teams will continue. They got ####### embarrassed in LA

Nice call on POR - I plopped down a bunch on them!

 

[derek245583]

Geoff ogilvy 50-1

Jim furyk 66-1

Matt kuchar 50-1

One time #####es!!!!!

 

[modogg]

Spurs -1.5 2nd half. Seems pretty solid that the T-blazers won't win by 25 or whatever

 

[mquinnjr]

TUESDAY CBB O/U PICKS:Clemson/Georgia Tech OVER 120Kansas State/Missouri OVER 139.5 - get it while you can, has moved +3 alreadyGeorgetown/Seton Hall OVER 122.5 - has also moved +3 alreadyIllinois/Ohio State OVER 129 - has also moved +3 alreadyMichigan/Northwestern OVER 129.5Virginia/Virginia Tech OVER 114 - has already moved +5Kentucky/Mississippi State OVER 140.5New Mexico/Colorado State OVER 134 - has already moved +5(Also playing all 1H unders)

I'll tail on 5 for 8 +155, you've been hitting pretty well on totals.

It's coming down to the Kentucky and the New Mexico Game for you! GL!

11 points in 2:04 in a close game, very doable.

I hate when they stop fouling late, over killer. Technically still have NM/CSU O134, if that comes in this cashes 5/8, but that's looking like a real tough one.

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Spurs -1.5 2nd half. Seems pretty solid that the T-blazers won't win by 25 or whatever

My thoughts exactly

 

[bryan11joseph]

Yeah they need to get scoring in that game! OT would help

 

[BeTheMatch]

I got EVERY SINGLE NHL game wrong tonight. That's gotta be hard to do, no?

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Spurs -1.5 2nd half. Seems pretty solid that the T-blazers won't win by 25 or whatever

My thoughts exactly

Pressed it up -1.5

 

[Zegras11]

I need to buy something on amazon.com for $3.75 to get $15 worth of free shipping. What should I get?

Buy me some TIA

 

[The Ref]

Spurs -1.5 2nd half. Seems pretty solid that the T-blazers won't win by 25 or whatever

My thoughts exactly

Pressed it up -1.5

Tailing because I'm going to be up late.

 

[modogg]

Spurs -1.5 2nd half. Seems pretty solid that the T-blazers won't win by 25 or whatever

My thoughts exactly

Pressed it up -1.5

Tailing because I'm going to be up late.

hit it a little harder than maybe i should have, so here is hoping the Fat Tuesday special comes through

 

[mquinnjr]

Tiger to advance down to -210 in reduced juice on 5D, gonna hit this hard. I don't see him making a first round exit to Fdez-Castano.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Tiger to advance down to -210 in reduced juice on 5D, gonna hit this hard. I don't see him making a first round exit to Fdez-Castano.

I hit it hard too. Was surprised to see that it was that low.

 

[modogg]

Tiger to advance down to -210 in reduced juice on 5D, gonna hit this hard. I don't see him making a first round exit to Fdez-Castano.

when will this be decided, tomorrow night?

 

[mquinnjr]

Tiger to advance down to -210 in reduced juice on 5D, gonna hit this hard. I don't see him making a first round exit to Fdez-Castano.

when will this be decided, tomorrow night?

I'd assume it will be settled once the match is official. Is it same rules as a regular round, where it's once the scorecard is signed and verified it's official? They tee off at 10:35am PT, if that helps.

 

[mquinnjr]

Tiger to advance down to -210 in reduced juice on 5D, gonna hit this hard. I don't see him making a first round exit to Fdez-Castano.

when will this be decided, tomorrow night?

I'd assume it will be settled once the match is official. Is it same rules as a regular round, where it's once the scorecard is signed and verified it's official? They tee off at 10:35am PT, if that helps.

5U, I never go this big but I don't see how he can lose this straight up.

 

[The Ref]

Holy #### the spurs are bad. You guys actualy bet this ####?

 

[DA RAIDERS]

 

[modogg]

yup..... here is hoping the T-blazers play the role of good sports and really lay off the gas pedal in the 4th Q.

 

[gussy]

What round of the tourney will Creighton lose this year? They take no more of my moneyfirst if they don't start playing defense soon. Second round max. They've regressed as the season has gone on.STARTING NOW

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

The Kings blew a 3-goal lead to Phoenix? I quit.

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Mother####er.

 

[modogg]

The Kings blew a 3-goal lead to Phoenix? I quit.

i had that already penciled in as a winner, wow!! The team has hit the under 5 goals for quite a streak now, and they end up giving up a 3 goal lead like that, no way you can see that comingETA: Adding the Spurs to my ####-list as well. I mean really, can you guys either give it a try or can the T-blazers stop being such asses??

 

[Doctor Detroit]

If you see me tailing a CBB play, AVOID!

This sucks, that's like five in a row now I've followed and lost on. You guys could go 10-1 in a night and I followed the loser.

 

[tjnc09]

2H O/U PLAYS (at the Half):

7pm GAMES

2u on Kansas State / Missouri UNDER 74 LOSS

2u on Clemson / Georgia Tech OVER 64.5 LOSS

2u on Georgetown / Seton Hall UNDER 68.5 WIN - Middled it

2u on Illinois / Ohio State UNDER 69.5 LOSS

EDITED to add my plays as the other games reach half-time.

1u on Michigan / Northwestern OVER 67.5

I don't think CBB totals are efficient enough to assume they will always regress towards the mean. Curious to know how far back you looked.

Based on your statement, I am guessing you think I am simply taking the Avg Pts? Is that correct?

If it's X more than the 1st half total, you take the under 2ndIf it's Y less than 1st half total, you take the over 2nd

No?

No. I could see why you think that though, being that I bet the 1H lines. I am considering dropping the 1H plays, they are just additional plays/hedges.I am better with examples!

So for example, the Clemson game. 1H line I took u55.5

I had Clemson o120 for the GAME.

Since the 1H went UNDER, you think I went with the OVER.

Right?

It's easy to come up with thinking I would use that theory because since you know I bet all unders 1H... there are only 4 potential scenarios.

1H-2H-GAME

U-U-U

U-U-O

U-O-O

U-O-U

Clem/GA Tech went under 1st, you bet over 2ndKSU/Mizzou went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

Georgetown/Seton went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

IL/OSU went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

Mich/NW went under 1st, you bet over 2nd

VA/VA Tech went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

KY/Miss St went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

NM/CSU went under 1st, I assume you bet over 2nd

 

[modogg]

Holy ####, Portland is -8 now.

All of SA stars are out

Note to self, when SA elects to take a night off and rest all of their starters, go all in on whoever they are playing for the entire game...

 

[bryan11joseph]

tjnc, you are correct. Those are the plays I made. I can assure you that the system you described is not how I chose my plays. It does factor in the differential but it is not as black and white as you are making it.

It is still in the early stages and should only get better over time with more and more data.

 

[gmbacm]

yup..... here is hoping the T-blazers play the role of good sports and really lay off the gas pedal in the 4th Q.

I took Spurs +43.5 live betting, and not sure Ill even get that.

 

[gmbacm]

2u on VIRGINIA / VIRGINIA TECH UNDER 64

Nice call on this one.

 

[modogg]

yup..... here is hoping the T-blazers play the role of good sports and really lay off the gas pedal in the 4th Q.

I took Spurs +43.5 live betting, and not sure Ill even get that.

the game is f'n ridiculous... I hate both teams, almost as much as the Rangers playing Columbus