FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (1 Viewer)

[ChainsawU]

max bet at RB

It is o10 -150 at 5D

 

[modogg]

max bet at RBIt is o10 -150 at 5D

####### sportsbook. I went heavy with it at RB too, and went to play with some money i have in sportsbook, and they got me at $10 limits with halftime bets. I guess it is considered a prop bet, but I don't even know why i still keep that account open.

 

[modogg]

All I can say is thank God for Gooroo. I might break even even though I'm going to go 2-143 on sides.

I can't begin to tell you how much i despise sportsbook and their random cutting of people I still have to try and convince the wife to let me open an account for her over there and hop back on that train. Anybody got any advice for this one?

 

[BRONG]

Clemson +14.

There he is!

 

[modogg]

max bet at RBIt is o10 -150 at 5D

Whew, glad they got that TD there. We still may be sweating it out, would love SD to get a real quick TD here, or turn it over right away. Whatever they do, don't waste time on the clock...

 

[ChainsawU]

Punt time

 

[Raider Nation]

McFadden gets a TD. Replay reveals he was down 1/4 of a red twat hair short.

TD to the tight end.

Fantasy sucks.

 

[modogg]

Punt time

really hoping they can break a long run here. SD defense is tired and has given up, but ATL may just want to run the clock out and get out of there

 

[ChainsawU]

GET THE FIRST WTF

 

[modogg]

GET THE FIRST WTF

What is killing us is SD play calling and how they basically have given up. Made a nice bit of money during the 1:00 games, unfortunately that profit, and a bunch of other money is going

 

[Raider Nation]

Punt time

really hoping they can break a long run here. SD defense is tired and has given up, but ATL may just want to run the clock out and get out of there

I'm confused. What are you guys sweating here?

 

[ChainsawU]

I think we lost that one. It's almost time to move on to tonight's AFC Clash anyway.

 

[modogg]

Punt time

really hoping they can break a long run here. SD defense is tired and has given up, but ATL may just want to run the clock out and get out of there

I'm confused. What are you guys sweating here?

went kind of heavy on Atl ov9 for the 2nd half. Looking back it wasn't the best play, but i thought SD would make it competitive and ATL was driving well on SD all game

 

[ChainsawU]

I guess everyone is asking themselves if this is the night that Bill does some totally dominating crazy ### gameplanning #### to the Ravens.

 

[modogg]

I guess everyone is asking themselves if this is the night that Bill does some totally dominating crazy ### gameplanning #### to the Ravens.

Yeah, i am having a tough time figuring out how this game will go.ETA: this will make the 3rd week in a row that i would have done well on Sunday, except my dumb ### has to stay around the computer and screw up my Sundays with betting too much on halftime bets or live betting.

 

[The Ref]

After the pounding "The Public" took this weekend, I locked in "the sharp" play and took the Seabirds +3.5 for a unit.

Happy I stood pat after yesterday as most of anything I would have put in would have been a L.

Last big wager of the weekend is Pats Under 49 for 2 units (booked earlier in the week).

 

[modogg]

I wuold LOVE a Denver TD here

ETA: Almost makes up for having to listen to dopey Phil Simms

 

[ChainsawU]

note to self: Denver plays better in the second half

 

[modogg]

After the pounding "The Public" took this weekend, I locked in "the sharp" play and took the Seabirds +3.5 for a unit.

Happy I stood pat after yesterday as most of anything I would have put in would have been a L.

Last big wager of the weekend is Pats Under 49 for 2 units (booked earlier in the week).

I think i'll tail bud, not sure what else i would like to take.

 

[ChainsawU]

Philadelphia gained nearly five hundred yards against the Ravens defense. Arizona has gained nearly five hundred yards on the season. Philadelphia turned the ball over four times against the Ravens, three of which occurred in the red zone, and still won. Arizona was able to pull out a win against the Patriots because Aaron Hernandez got hurt. So far Philadelphia is 0-2 ATS and Arizona is 2-0 ATS so the opening line was probably set pretty low and has dropped from there. Arizona plays good defense, but I like Philly -4.

The loss of hernandez is not why ne lost this game. Cards Def is real imo....I'm on the other side of this one. Phi has showed a remarkable consistency to not play to their potential.

Nice call on this game and the Cards' defense.

 

[The Ref]

After the pounding "The Public" took this weekend, I locked in "the sharp" play and took the Seabirds +3.5 for a unit.

Happy I stood pat after yesterday as most of anything I would have put in would have been a L.

Last big wager of the weekend is Pats Under 49 for 2 units (booked earlier in the week).

I think i'll tail bud, not sure what else i would like to take.

I think we will see the continuation of the Patriots becoming the broncos in Elways older years tonight. Guess we shall see.

 

[gussy]

Small card tomorrow:Jets +3 (2 units)-PUSH. WOW.Cards +3 1/2 -WINAddedCowboys -8 -LOSSsmall parlay that pays 24 to 1: LOSSCowboys -8DET/Tenn under 47 1/2Falcons +3ATL/SD under 47 1/2HOU/Den under 45may add a few more in the morning, see how I'm feeling. Time to sleep off some scotch.

Added 7 point teaser WINNER!Cowboys -1Bears -1/24 units pays just over 3. I'm bored and don't have much going today. Can't win if you don't play, yada yada yada.

Another good day, not sure if I'll ever get back to positive after that #### show first weekend. Not sure how it'spossible to be 4 games over .500 and still negative units, but that's what drunk multi unit bets get ya I guess.2012 NFL12-8 -1.4 units

 

[cstu]

7 point teaser:

09/23/12Vikings (Minnesota)+1413:05 ET(-105)09/23/12Cardinals (Arizona)+10.516:10 ET(-115)

SF did not win on the road last year by 14 points and the Vikings are good enough to hang in the game.The Eagles and Cardinals are evenly matched IMO, not sure the Eagles should be favored on the road.

If only I'd parlayed this...Can't complain though, I maxed the bet for a 15 unit win.

 

[The Ref]

Meh. One bad tackle attempt cost us 10 points.

 

[Angry Beavers]

2H - NE has the lead, but I still have the feeling that this one is coming down to the wire. I can see a missed two point conversion or FG deciding this one.

I am sitting on a ton of NE +7.5 to finish off 6 teasers, but am taking Balt + 3 -120 for half of what i have at risk in teasers to try to hit a big ol' middle.

GLTA

AB

 

[Frostillicus]

All I can say is thank God for Gooroo. I might break even even though I'm going to go 2-143 on sides.

Am I missing him post his picks? Saw someone else said he had a good night the other day also

I'm a dirty tout, scamdicapper, scumbag, slime, whatever you want to call me. $100 a month gets you daily plays. I posted religiously on these very message boards for a couple years, lost my automotive job in this great Michigan economy, had my first child on the way, and with support from a couple guys on this board (thanks lump, Wick, ceisen, sorry if I forgot anyone), launched GooRoo Sports Consulting LLC. The monthly subscription revenue was enough to pay the mortgage and buy diapers. Performance is always very good. There are some cool stories of guys using their winnings to buy sheds (miss you C), school books and tuition (you're still my boy bmj), acura RL's, acura TL's, Hummer H3T's, etc. Beating books has never been a challenge, it's being able to rely on guys to secure new "outs" when they inevitably get cut by Sportsbook or their locals for the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th+ time. Football performance has been very good this year. College football is 72-40, for a 64.2% win rate, leading to +30.4 units. NFL sits at 21-12, for a 63.6% win rate, leading to +6.75units. Great early season haul.Welcome to the Wagering thread. I wish you continued success. If I can assist you with anything, don't hesitate. Good luck!!!

I've been cut three times thanks to this guy, but in the meantime have taken a few vacations (including taking my dad to the baseball Hall of Fame) and bought a super fancy camera for my wife, all on gambling profit. It's worth it.

 

[Frostillicus]

All I can say is thank God for Gooroo. I might break even even though I'm going to go 2-143 on sides.

I can't begin to tell you how much i despise sportsbook and their random cutting of people I still have to try and convince the wife to let me open an account for her over there and hop back on that train. Anybody got any advice for this one?

Buy her something. I used to completely downplay how much I was gambling with, then I won enough to buy her this $1,000 camera she wanted and when she asked how we could afford it I told her gambling. Now I'm completely open about it and even opened a sportsbook account in her name after getting cut the last time.

 

[The Ref]

Ok after last weeks performance I wont expect any tails nor would I recommend one. That said I just booked 4 units on Clemson -10. BC won't know what to do with them.

 

[BRONG]

7 point teaser:

09/23/12Vikings (Minnesota)+1413:05 ET(-105)09/23/12Cardinals (Arizona)+10.516:10 ET(-115)

SF did not win on the road last year by 14 points and the Vikings are good enough to hang in the game.The Eagles and Cardinals are evenly matched IMO, not sure the Eagles should be favored on the road.

If only I'd parlayed this...Can't complain though, I maxed the bet for a 15 unit win.

 

[swirvenirvin]

All I can say is thank God for Gooroo. I might break even even though I'm going to go 2-143 on sides.

Am I missing him post his picks? Saw someone else said he had a good night the other day also

I'm a dirty tout, scamdicapper, scumbag, slime, whatever you want to call me. $100 a month gets you daily plays. I posted religiously on these very message boards for a couple years, lost my automotive job in this great Michigan economy, had my first child on the way, and with support from a couple guys on this board (thanks lump, Wick, ceisen, sorry if I forgot anyone), launched GooRoo Sports Consulting LLC. The monthly subscription revenue was enough to pay the mortgage and buy diapers. Performance is always very good. There are some cool stories of guys using their winnings to buy sheds (miss you C), school books and tuition (you're still my boy bmj), acura RL's, acura TL's, Hummer H3T's, etc. Beating books has never been a challenge, it's being able to rely on guys to secure new "outs" when they inevitably get cut by Sportsbook or their locals for the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th+ time. Football performance has been very good this year. College football is 72-40, for a 64.2% win rate, leading to +30.4 units. NFL sits at 21-12, for a 63.6% win rate, leading to +6.75units. Great early season haul.Welcome to the Wagering thread. I wish you continued success. If I can assist you with anything, don't hesitate. Good luck!!!

Thanks for the reply, do you have a website, or do you just email your picks out?

 

[swirvenirvin]

12-4 for the day, hopefully back on track.

1.2

Nate Washington (Titans) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-125)Winner

Torrey Smith (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-115)Winner

- Don't normally play these kinds of bets, but there's a decent chance he doesn't get a touch

Devin Hester (Bears) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must Play

Under 21.5 (-115)Winner

Jay Cutler (Bears) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 21.5 (-115)Winner

Santana Moss (Redskins) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must Play

Under 25.5 (-115)Winner

Brandon Tate (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 2.5 (-130)Winner

Andrew Hawkins (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-130)Loser

Michael Jenkins (Vikings) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 3.5 (-140)Winner

Percy Harvin (Vikings) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 85.5 (-115)Winner

Mario Manningham (49ers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 3.5 (-140)Loser

Donald Brown (Colts) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 55.5 (-115)Winner

Doug Martin (Buccaneers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 70.5 (-115)Loser

Joe Flacco (Ravens) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 22 (-115)Winner

Michael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 57.5 (-120)Loser

Matt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 22.5 (-115)Winner

1.2

Jacoby Jones (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2 (-115)Winner

 

[Angry Beavers]

Looks like there are a few candidates for the cross week teaser with Seattle. I just hit Seattle with nyg, Arizona, and kc. Arizona fits outside the Wong criteria. Also a big thanks to lumpy for sharing what he knows about teasers. I have picked up 24 units in the last 8 days thanks in large part to the nfl teaser.

 

[Raider Nation]

So pleased that the Patsies blew the game tonight after bending me over last week. F em!

 

[modogg]

12-4 for the day, hopefully back on track.1.2Nate Washington (Titans) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2.5 (-125)WinnerTorrey Smith (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2.5 (-115)Winner- Don't normally play these kinds of bets, but there's a decent chance he doesn't get a touchDevin Hester (Bears) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must PlayUnder 21.5 (-115)WinnerJay Cutler (Bears) Total Completions - Must PlayUnder 21.5 (-115)WinnerSantana Moss (Redskins) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must PlayUnder 25.5 (-115)WinnerBrandon Tate (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 2.5 (-130)WinnerAndrew Hawkins (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 3.5 (-130)LoserMichael Jenkins (Vikings) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 3.5 (-140)WinnerPercy Harvin (Vikings) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must PlayOver 85.5 (-115)WinnerMario Manningham (49ers) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 3.5 (-140)LoserDonald Brown (Colts) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayOver 55.5 (-115)WinnerDoug Martin (Buccaneers) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayOver 70.5 (-115)LoserJoe Flacco (Ravens) Total Completions - Must PlayOver 22 (-115)WinnerMichael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayUnder 57.5 (-120)LoserMatt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must PlayOver 22.5 (-115)Winner1.2Jacoby Jones (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2 (-115)Winner

nice job. How do you come up with your plays? I know everybody does different things, always intetrested about hearing different approaches. I have very limited options right now with playing props, but i hope one day to be bale to play 'em again

 

[modogg]

All I can say is thank God for Gooroo. I might break even even though I'm going to go 2-143 on sides.

I can't begin to tell you how much i despise sportsbook and their random cutting of people I still have to try and convince the wife to let me open an account for her over there and hop back on that train. Anybody got any advice for this one?

Buy her something. I used to completely downplay how much I was gambling with, then I won enough to buy her this $1,000 camera she wanted and when she asked how we could afford it I told her gambling. Now I'm completely open about it and even opened a sportsbook account in her name after getting cut the last time.

Seems like the best approach. Unfortunately I got raked over the coals on the 4:00 games and the night game, so the plan to get her the gift will have to wait a bit. She supports all my UFC and MMA gambling because i have been able to show that i can consistently win there, just need her to see the GooRoo light

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Do they allow one's wife to start an account if you have the same address?

 

[Raider Nation]

Supposed to get some cold rain in Seattle tomorrow night. That roof is retractable, no?

 

[modogg]

Do they allow one's wife to start an account if you have the same address?

that is a question i do need to find out. I don't know if we need another address or not. The guys i know who i could use with this are either guys who want nothing to do with gambling, or guys who are too much into gambling that they would go through the account in a week or 2. Would be great if i can get one of the guys who is not into gambling to get an account. A disciplined watching over my accounts that could cut out the impulsive live bets, halftime bets, and late night bets. Whew, watch out sportsbooks!

 

[modogg]

Supposed to get some cold rain in Seattle tomorrow night. That roof is retractable, no?

i think so. i figure that would give an advantage to Sea? i would guess SEA needs Lynch to run the clock for SEA to win, and GB needs whatever they want i guess. Sea owned the Cowboys, but that wasn't a big surprise. I think GB had their wake-up call, and luckily they saw how Sea played Dal so they won't be complacent coming in. Really could use a big win tomorrow, need a morale boost after these late games

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Supposed to get some cold rain in Seattle tomorrow night. That roof is retractable, no?

,s?haven't had any rain here in 3 months.EDIT: 70 and sunny all day. 55 and clear at night?http://www.weather.com/weather/tomorrow/Seattle+WA+98104:4:USchance of rain: 10%

 

[Raider Nation]

Supposed to get some cold rain in Seattle tomorrow night. That roof is retractable, no?

,s?haven't had any rain here in 3 months.EDIT: 70 and sunny all day. 55 and clear at night?http://www.weather.com/weather/tomorrow/Seattle+WA+98104:4:USchance of rain: 10%

Strange. NFP just tweeted this which caused me to post that:

NationalFootballPost ‏@FootballPostCould a rainstorm be Seattle's thirteenth man?: Cold rain could keep the Seahawks in the game against the Packers

 

[TheWick]

Do they allow one's wife to start an account if you have the same address?

Sure you can open an account...but make a prop bet and watch it get cut in a hurry. My "wifes" account lasted about 45 minutes.

 

[lumpy19]

nygchidalmiacledennethose are my teaser legs

Bumped for Culdeus

One note on teasers. Because of my lack of 3 teamer +180 outs I've changed my strategy a little. I'm playing all 2 teamers at -110 and then taking every leg and putting them in one teaser. This saves me a bunch of time and should lower my variance a bit but still give me the reward of a sweep. Example I put all those legs in one teaser and bet $500 to win 5k so if a sweep happens i'm still seeing the reward. If anyone wants to try this I'd recommend checking the payouts at 5dimes(they're accurate) and making sure whatever out you use matches those payouts. FYI RB limits to 6 teams, I take my 6 best legs and play a teaser there too.

1 pt away from 5k, thanks to my very own buffalo bills dominating...I'd rather have the 5kNice job by the broncos on the backdoor

 

[swirvenirvin]

12-4 for the day, hopefully back on track.1.2Nate Washington (Titans) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2.5 (-125)WinnerTorrey Smith (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2.5 (-115)Winner- Don't normally play these kinds of bets, but there's a decent chance he doesn't get a touchDevin Hester (Bears) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must PlayUnder 21.5 (-115)WinnerJay Cutler (Bears) Total Completions - Must PlayUnder 21.5 (-115)WinnerSantana Moss (Redskins) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins - Must PlayUnder 25.5 (-115)WinnerBrandon Tate (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 2.5 (-130)WinnerAndrew Hawkins (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 3.5 (-130)LoserMichael Jenkins (Vikings) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 3.5 (-140)WinnerPercy Harvin (Vikings) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must PlayOver 85.5 (-115)WinnerMario Manningham (49ers) Total Receptions - Must PlayUnder 3.5 (-140)LoserDonald Brown (Colts) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayOver 55.5 (-115)WinnerDoug Martin (Buccaneers) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayOver 70.5 (-115)LoserJoe Flacco (Ravens) Total Completions - Must PlayOver 22 (-115)WinnerMichael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Yards - Must PlayUnder 57.5 (-120)LoserMatt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must PlayOver 22.5 (-115)Winner1.2Jacoby Jones (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2 (-115)Winner

nice job. How do you come up with your plays? I know everybody does different things, always intetrested about hearing different approaches. I have very limited options right now with playing props, but i hope one day to be bale to play 'em again

4 main things I look at.Player history vs opponentTeam stats given up by each positionTeam stats scored by each positionWill look to see what some projections are at from ff sites Don't bet on anything I think is close, not worth it for 15% juice. Also stay away from the junk like over under first carry or first reception, and usually the will playee x score a td. It takes a few hours to look through them all, but it seems to have worked the last 2 years

 

[lumpy19]

sportsbook.ag has sea +3 -110 1H for tonights game, that my friends is an awesome bet

 

[culdeus]

nygchidalmiacledennethose are my teaser legs

Bumped for Culdeus

One note on teasers. Because of my lack of 3 teamer +180 outs I've changed my strategy a little. I'm playing all 2 teamers at -110 and then taking every leg and putting them in one teaser. This saves me a bunch of time and should lower my variance a bit but still give me the reward of a sweep. Example I put all those legs in one teaser and bet $500 to win 5k so if a sweep happens i'm still seeing the reward. If anyone wants to try this I'd recommend checking the payouts at 5dimes(they're accurate) and making sure whatever out you use matches those payouts. FYI RB limits to 6 teams, I take my 6 best legs and play a teaser there too.

1 pt away from 5k, thanks to my very own buffalo bills dominating...I'd rather have the 5kNice job by the broncos on the backdoor

2 weeks in a row saving us.

 

[ChainsawU]

I saw the tall girl's panties again today. She was sitting with her legs crossed up in a chair and I had direct horizontal viewing up her skirt.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 1H +3 -120

 

[The Ref]

Ok after last weeks performance I wont expect any tails nor would I recommend one. That said I just booked 4 units on Clemson -10. BC won't know what to do with them.

Down to -9.5I run goot.

 

[gussy]

Booked a VERY small baseball parlay this afternoon because I'm bored and I don't think I'm playing the game tonight:

Baltimore to win both of their games.

St. L. over Hous

DET -1 1/2

CWS -1 1/2

Toronto has been horrible and they are phoning it in, BAL has to keep winning to keep pace with the Yanks.

Verlander has been very good at home and it's a must win situation. The White Sox have owned Cleveland,

also kind of a must win and McAllister has really struggled down the stretch. And the Cardinals play Houston.

Enough said. We'll see. I believe it pays just over 10 to 1.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Election state props are back up on SB. I think NC (+200) and Nevada (-360) for Obama provide a little bit of value, as does Iowa for Romney (+400).

I'm guessing SB is going to get their asses handed to them overall on these.