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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
Take the Yankees UNDER whatever their season win total is when it comes out.Youkilis ... :X
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Phillies apparently offered Hamilton 3/80. He's good and all, but that contract: :X money wise, as I still don't see them in the win now window and there's plenty of other places where that money could be better spent. AND there better be some Dez-esque language in said contract if he's on board.
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I don't mind the 3 year deal. They are in win now with Michael Old, Halladay with one more year and Utley/Howard hopefully being healthy. They'd probably be overpaying but I'd rather overpay 5-10 million than be stuck with him for 5+ years. The problem with the Phillies is that their TV contract comes up after 2015. If they go into a tailspin for the next few years, that will drastically hurt ratings, thus affecting their TV deal. Overpaying for Hamilton now might end up paying for itself down the road.
 
Anyone watching Vegas on CBS?

A high-roller asked for no limits at Blackjack. His request is granted. Puts $500,000 in the circle.

Gets dealt two aces. Splits. King. King.

If I had a nickel for every time that's happened to me!!!

 
'sporthenry said:
'Raider Nation said:
Anyone watching Vegas on CBS?A high-roller asked for no limits at Blackjack. His request is granted. Puts $500,000 in the circle.Gets dealt two aces. Splits. King. King.If I had a nickel for every time that's happened to me!!!
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:thumbup: If I ever get 500k, I think I'll push my luck.
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I would pass out as the cards are being dealt.EDIT: This show is set in the 1960s. What is that $1M win in today's dollars?
 
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As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.

The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.

 
'Raider Nation said:
'sporthenry said:
'Raider Nation said:
Anyone watching Vegas on CBS?A high-roller asked for no limits at Blackjack. His request is granted. Puts $500,000 in the circle.Gets dealt two aces. Splits. King. King.If I had a nickel for every time that's happened to me!!!
Click to expand...
:thumbup: If I ever get 500k, I think I'll push my luck.
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I would pass out as the cards are being dealt.EDIT: This show is set in the 1960s. What is that $1M win in today's dollars?
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http://www.dollartimes.com/calculators/inflation.htmUsed this, said $1 million would be worth $7.2 million. But I'll settle for 500k in 2012 dollars.
 
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
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You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
 
'Raider Nation said:
'sporthenry said:
'Raider Nation said:
Anyone watching Vegas on CBS?A high-roller asked for no limits at Blackjack. His request is granted. Puts $500,000 in the circle.Gets dealt two aces. Splits. King. King.If I had a nickel for every time that's happened to me!!!
Click to expand...
:thumbup: If I ever get 500k, I think I'll push my luck.
Click to expand...
I would pass out as the cards are being dealt.EDIT: This show is set in the 1960s. What is that $1M win in today's dollars?
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$7,814,763.51And that's using CPI which is understated drastically by the US Govt.
 
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
Click to expand...
You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
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This isn't about X's and O's. This is about a D that is every bit as good as the Patriots O talent wise and in some cases better. I'm not calling for the 49'ers to go into NE and post a 50 spot. But I think they will only need to score 17 to cover and they should do that. I think they win outright.This is the type of team that beats the Patriots at home in December.
 
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
Click to expand...
You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
Click to expand...
This isn't about X's and O's. This is about a D that is every bit as good as the Patriots O talent wise and in some cases better. I'm not calling for the 49'ers to go into NE and post a 50 spot. But I think they will only need to score 17 to cover and they should do that. I think they win outright.This is the type of team that beats the Patriots at home in December.
Click to expand...
The Pats don't lose at home in December.And I guess I disagree with you about what the Niners defense will do to NE. They are cruising on all cylinders right now.Gun to my head, I see something like 31-10 Pats.
 
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
Click to expand...
You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
Click to expand...
This isn't about X's and O's. This is about a D that is every bit as good as the Patriots O talent wise and in some cases better. I'm not calling for the 49'ers to go into NE and post a 50 spot. But I think they will only need to score 17 to cover and they should do that. I think they win outright.This is the type of team that beats the Patriots at home in December.
Click to expand...
The Pats don't lose at home in December.And I guess I disagree with you about what the Niners defense will do to NE. They are cruising on all cylinders right now.Gun to my head, I see something like 31-10 Pats.
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Hard to argue. They looked great last night. But look back at the teams that have gone into NE after Thanksgiving and won the past 5 years, mainly The Jets, Steelers and Ravens. You re basically looking at teams that remind me of the 49'ers. Stout D and a O that can put up just enough points to hang around.Guess we shall see soon enough.
 
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
Click to expand...
You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
Click to expand...
This isn't about X's and O's. This is about a D that is every bit as good as the Patriots O talent wise and in some cases better. I'm not calling for the 49'ers to go into NE and post a 50 spot. But I think they will only need to score 17 to cover and they should do that. I think they win outright.This is the type of team that beats the Patriots at home in December.
Click to expand...
The Pats don't lose at home in December.And I guess I disagree with you about what the Niners defense will do to NE. They are cruising on all cylinders right now.Gun to my head, I see something like 31-10 Pats.
Click to expand...
Hard to argue. They looked great last night. But look back at the teams that have gone into NE after Thanksgiving and won the past 5 years, mainly The Jets, Steelers and Ravens. You re basically looking at teams that remind me of the 49'ers. Stout D and a O that can put up just enough points to hang around.Guess we shall see soon enough.
Click to expand...
Is this a jump on it while it's still a -6 play on the Pats, or wait for more public money to pour in and buy up the 49ers to over a TD play? I really can't decide. I'm trying to tell myself not to react too much to what happened to the Texans last week, and trying to figure out if it's insane to doubt Brady at home, or if the 49ers/Kaep are the real deal and keep this close. If the latter, and the 49ers are the play, I'm thinking the public will use short term memory and buy the Pats up around a TD closer to game time, where one could then buy the 49ers up over a TD if we hit 6.5/7. If the former, time to bet this line hard before this thing gets pushed out.
 
1) tjnc> I have a friend who lives in another part of the country that helps me out on props. I sign into his account, make bets, and keep a daily ledger of how much I'm up/down using his account. But I use privateinternetaccess.com when I'm logging in to his acct. Seems to work fine.

2) RN> Archer ftw. Can't believe you didn't shoot out the TV after the s4 finale of SOA. Just horrible TV. See you in the thread next year! :welcome:

 
The experimental optical spectra of Nd3+ and Er3+ in single‐crystal Bi4Ge3O12 are analyzed with a crystal‐field Hamiltonian Hx= Σnm B°nm Σi Cnm (?i@qL ) appropriate for C3 symmetry. The resulting best‐fit Bnm (all in cm−1) are B20=−833, B40=−705, B43=1713, B60=594, RB63=−203, IB63=103, RB66=552, and IB66=−343 cm−1, with an rms deviation of 5.1 cm−1 for Nd3+, and B20=−732, B40=−920, B43=1626, B60=477, RB63=−33, IB63=−44, RB66=324, and IB66=−58 cm−1, with an rms deviation of 4.6 cm−1 for Er3+. Judd–Ofelt intensity parameters were calculated a priori from point‐charge lattice sums. A set of smoothed Bnm are given for the entire lanthanide series.
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This is one of my Great Uncle's formulas for laser application in metals technology using crystal field analysis. Apparently this and several others he created are the gold standard in stuff like iron works and mining. Now I just need to figure out how to plug in Utah State's 3rd down efficiency in high altitudes, and Toledo's slot receiver's glove size and I think I can get the total for the second bowl game on Saturday. :thumbup:
 
Let’s face it. My number three girl is stagnant. And it’s sad because she just joined the stable again two weeks ago after ten months of dormancy. I hate to have to break the news to her. But time goes on. vimeo

 
'Good said:
1) tjnc> I have a friend who lives in another part of the country that helps me out on props. I sign into his account, make bets, and keep a daily ledger of how much I'm up/down using his account. But I use privateinternetaccess.com when I'm logging in to his acct. Seems to work fine.

2) RN> Archer ftw. Can't believe you didn't shoot out the TV after the s4 finale of SOA. Just horrible TV. See you in the thread next year! :welcome:
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I'm on this plan with a local. It f'ing rocks, the best part being I don't even have to know/interact with him.
 
For fellow insomniacs: Michigan vs. Wazzu in the 1998 Rose Bowl on ESPN Classic. Ryan Leaf before he was a total failure.

Two more old bowl games to follow, including CAL/Navy from '96.

 
Email from Kurt about the lines at RB

Here is the line schedule for now:

NFL will be up on Wednesday(lumpy note, last week it was sometime around 5pm EST)

All college bowl lines are now up

All basketball same day at 11 am

NHL will be same day at 11 am as well.
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Like I said before I like Kurt, he's always paid which is the most important thing and I actually like the RB interface(way better than EVO) but this new line schedule blows.Majority of my betting is done when RB doesn't have lines. I explained this to Kurt in my email and I'd suggest anyone else that's unhappy to also email Kurt. I get the impression that it's not his decision but he can at least pass the word on to his superiors.

 
Let's start looking at this weekend's CFB bowl games.

Arizona vs. Nevada +10.5 75.

Nevada comes into Albuquerque (what a brutal destination for a bowl game) having lost 4 of their last 5 both SU and ATS. Their last win was in Albuquerque against New Mexico, so they are familiar with the venue. Arizona comes in having won 3 of their last 5 with wins over USC at home and at Utah. Their other win was against Colorado who everybody beat up on so throw that out. Their two losses came via a blowout 10-66 @ UCLA and a tough home loss as a 2.5 pt favorite in their finale against AZSt 34-41.

At first look, Nevada would seem to be outclassed, and while looking for anything contrary to first impressions, I just don't see Nevada being able to keep up with Arizona. Arizona should dominate the line of scrimmage and force Nevada away from what they really like to do and that's run the ball. The success of the pistol is predicated on balance, and if Arizona can take away the running game, I like Arizona going away. If Arizona can handle the Albuquerque nightlife, this 1 pm start shouldn't even be close. Lay the points.

Although in their combined last 10 games the number has gone Over 7-10 times, Arizona hasn't played since Thanksgiving weekend. There may be a little rust on offense and it may take a half to get in sync. I like this to stay Under 75.

Arizona -10.5, Under 75.

 
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'mquinnjr said:
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
As I said last night, don't be afraid to snap up the 6 points now and take the 49'ers.The 49'er D isn't the Texans D. They can and will hold that pats to 24.
Click to expand...
You aren't looking at the other side of it though. Belichick now has 4+ games of film on Kaepernick.You really think Harbaugh is gonna out-scheme him?
Click to expand...
This isn't about X's and O's. This is about a D that is every bit as good as the Patriots O talent wise and in some cases better. I'm not calling for the 49'ers to go into NE and post a 50 spot. But I think they will only need to score 17 to cover and they should do that. I think they win outright.This is the type of team that beats the Patriots at home in December.
Click to expand...
The Pats don't lose at home in December.And I guess I disagree with you about what the Niners defense will do to NE. They are cruising on all cylinders right now.Gun to my head, I see something like 31-10 Pats.
Click to expand...
Hard to argue. They looked great last night. But look back at the teams that have gone into NE after Thanksgiving and won the past 5 years, mainly The Jets, Steelers and Ravens. You re basically looking at teams that remind me of the 49'ers. Stout D and a O that can put up just enough points to hang around.Guess we shall see soon enough.
Click to expand...
Is this a jump on it while it's still a -6 play on the Pats, or wait for more public money to pour in and buy up the 49ers to over a TD play? I really can't decide. I'm trying to tell myself not to react too much to what happened to the Texans last week, and trying to figure out if it's insane to doubt Brady at home, or if the 49ers/Kaep are the real deal and keep this close. If the latter, and the 49ers are the play, I'm thinking the public will use short term memory and buy the Pats up around a TD closer to game time, where one could then buy the 49ers up over a TD if we hit 6.5/7. If the former, time to bet this line hard before this thing gets pushed out.
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Lines moving towrds San Fran. Down to 5.5.I have 4 units +6 and 2 units +210
 
CBB

Wisconsin -17 1/2

Temple -16

Fresno St. +1 2 basketball units

43-39-1. +.4 units

 
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I got 1 complaint about the lines being delayed a few days ago by email and that was from my buddy Jester who is never happy. I reply with a message about the new line service and move on. I get another email today from Lump with some suggestions and to let me know the natives were restless here, so I thought I better jump in here and see what was up. I find all this bashing and conspiracy theories with talk of delaying lines so the good many of you that use RB couldn't jump on early lines? WTF? This from some people I have dealt with over a long period of time now, that I consider friends in a strange way, and know that I rarely if ever visit this forum. WHY haven't you guys contacted me directly by email as I asked you to do when you started play at Evo/RB? This is stuff I can forward on to the book owner. This is stuff the people I work for need to know.

First off I will cover conspiracy theorists complaints. Things are not as they seem and you would know that had you just contacted me by email or using the message service on the book. This line delay issue is not permanent. There was a switch to a new line service that downloads the lines to the book and there are some kinks in getting the lines to release as early as wanted. It is being worked on. I will make sure and update you when line releases return to normal. Our goal is to get lines to you asap, not purposely delay them. That has been the goal since moving online.

For those of you that I have friendly exchanges with by email that felt the need to attack me and/or the book here behind my back, just find a new book if things are so awful. All this doom and gloom and not 1 positive comment over the last couple of weeks is pretty sad considering you have a pretty good thing going with RB. The book handle was at all time high Sunday. We don't need your business that bad and I prefer to do business with people that are up front with me.

For those with any other questions. Email me. I try to avoid the drama. I didn't intend it that way. Was just was blown away after reading through the last week of posts and the lack of direct contact with me.

And Brong posts his worthless .02 about something he knows absolutely nothing about in 5, 4, 3, 2....... :)

 
Lol. We are all degenerate gamblers. We talk about what books are doing well, what books have issues, etc. Don't take anything personal Kurt.

 
'JerseyToughGuys said:
Anyone post their bowl picks/leans yet? I thought I saw some from DD, but have no idea how far back they are.
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Toledo/Utah State UNDER 58.5 Toledo +10.5

Utah State's defense is legit and although Toledo should be healed up after some injuries down the stretch, I still like Utah State to slow this down. Heart says over so I'm doing the Costanza here because the numbers seem to indicate under. Rockets didn't lose by ten once this year, NIU/Ball State/Zona all beat them by a TD. Could be a backdoor but I like Toledo here.

I lean Arizona on Saturday but I'm waiting on game news. I lean under too with both teams being so good at running the ball but damn, they really play horrible D and Richrods teams are sloppy meaning TDs you wouldn't expect. I might just play the side and maybe jump on a 2h total depending.

others already booked:

-------------------------

Ball State +8.5

Boise State/Washington OVER 46.5

Fresno State/SMU UNDER 59

Texas/Oregon State OVER 55

Northwestern +1.5

LSU -3.5

Pitt/Ole Miss OVER 51.5

-------------------------ALL BETWEEN LINE ARE AUTOPLAYS

West Virginia -4 Should be a close game but I like Tavon Austin at RB and WVU with time to prepare that machine on offense

Oregon State -2 meh, now I like Texas but Oregon State is the better team IMO

Fresno State -11 Would be my 35 in a bowl pool but I do smell trap here. Fresno does everything well and SMU's offense is bad, Fresno will have to come out completely flat not to cover this number.

Vanderbilt -6.5 Love Vandy's D against a Jekyll and Hyde NC State team with an interim coach

Michigan/USC UNDER 48.5 USC's offense will pound it and UM's D is good enough to take some blows. Michigan's offense looked lost down the stretch, and this USC defense is one of the best units in CFB.

I have leans on several other games but I will wait for team news and weather for some, key numbers for others.

 
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