shake zula
Footballguy
In addition to all of the above would most agree that Atl. has the four best overall players in the game and the four best players on offense? Ryan/White/Jones/Gonzo > best Seattle player...right?
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (20 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Thanks for the headsup on this. I did not know that.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
I disagree as Lynch places in there somewhere at a minimum.
money.never.sleeps
Footballguy
Not sure I agree. The Rams hung in with the Seahawks all game Week 17 and it was a 1 point game going into the 4th in DC with RG3 on 1 leg so Im not sure how much to buy into what Seattle did. I dont believe the Seahawks win that game if Rg3 is relatively healthy. Big home beat down vs the 49ers but Im not putting much stock in the Bills or Cards games other than the Hawks did what they were supposed to.Seattle will be able to run the ball which could set up PA. Im curious to how much pressure the Falcons can put on Wilson. Likewise I think that will be the big test for ATL. The Hawks secondary is good but the CB's have been susceptible to double moves and they're facing 2 of the better WR duo's in the league. If the Falcons can give Ryan time I believe they win the game.Im leaning towards the Falcons right now @ -2.5
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Angry Beavers
Footballguy
By the way, reasonably happy. I make a good living and don't work more than 40 hours a week. I have a good career path in a great industry. I know there are plenty of people that earn more than I do, but they also work a lot harder and longer than I do. There are also a ton of folks who work harder than me and earn a whole lot less. The time I don't spend working, I get to spend with my kid and stepkids and wife. That is more valuable to me than any pile of money. No one ever thought on their deathbed that they should have spent more time working and less time with family and friends. Put me in the really (1) happy category.
I have a futures bet on Green Bay to win the NFC and like them with the points in what looks like a pretty even matchup to me.Rodgers and Cobb/Jennings/Nelson/JonesvsKapernick and Crabtree/the corpse of Randy Moss/Ted Ginn/AJ Jenkinslooks like a huge mismatch in a game where points should be at a premium. Vernon Davis needs to be the 2nd weapon but has been a non-factor for months now. Delanie Walker seems to drop more balls than he catches.the biggest concern for me is the Packers offensive line is a mess and Aldon Smith and the fellas could make things tough on Rodgers, especially if Justin Smith is effective. But even though Rodgers has been taking sacks at a high rate lately, he doesn't turn the ball over.Packers run defense was pretty good against everybody but Adrian Peterson this year I think, although Gore gashed them a bit in the opener. They should be well prepared to slow down a run-heavy offense after the past couple weeks.I'm not as high on Green Bay as I was initially, but definitely like teasing them up to 9 points.
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I might take Marshawn and Sherman over any of those guys. Earl Thomas and Sherman are really good and should stop Julio from getting deep.
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ChainsawU
Footballguy
I still don't think the Packers will be able to block San Fran though, and Rodgers was already sacked a league high 51 times in the regular season. The 49ers are going to have a much easier time paving the way for Kaepernick and Gore. Not to mention Harbaugh will be coaching at home after having had two weeks to prepare.This season SF is 7-1 in games versus bottom half rushing defenses with an average margin of victory of 19.6 points in those games, with the only loss coming against the Giants in week six:
Code:
Rushing DefensesOpp Rank Margin of SF victory (loss)ARI 28th 14NO 32nd 10ARI 28th 21NYG 25th (23)BUF 31st 42NYJ 26th 34DET 16th 8GB 17th 8
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Also on the Seattle side. To add to the Seattle leans, Russell Wilson has more playoff victories than Matty Ice. Advantage:Seattle. 
Kidding but there is A LOT of pressure on Atlanta to win, especially at home. It's a better matchup for Seattle, I just think they're too much for Atlanta to handle. I'm also on the side of a firm non-believer in the Falcons, think they're overrated.
Kidding but there is A LOT of pressure on Atlanta to win, especially at home. It's a better matchup for Seattle, I just think they're too much for Atlanta to handle. I'm also on the side of a firm non-believer in the Falcons, think they're overrated.
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I fully expect the 49ers to dominate the line of scrimmage, much like they did the first time around. Even without Smith, who I do wish was healthy. I also think the bye will be a benefactor as well. I know Vernon Davis has been a non factor the past few games, but I expect a big game from him. I haven't looked much at the other NFC matchup yet. I'd really like to see Atlanta win. I did do a 3 team 6.5 point teaser with NE, Denver, and Seattle.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Yes, with either Seattle up or Denver down I like them teased also.
1 unit. in parlay.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Two things though. Rams were a good team down the stretch and the Seahawks weren't playing for anything beyond halftime after they knew SF was winning the division. Not sure that game is a good barometer of what they are about. Interesting discussions on 49ers/Packers, my brain says 49ers but my gut says Packers. The Rodgers factor can't be discounted IMO
optionmaven
Footballguy
I know that SEA/ATL game says (Wong)tease the hawks to 8.5, but i'm doing the no-no and taking the home team with 3.5. I think Rodgers finds a way to keep it within 10 so thats my second leg. I actually, at this point, like the ravens and texans +15 more than -3 on the faves.
money.never.sleeps
Footballguy
Like the Seattle @ ATL game Im not sure where to go on this game either since neither team last week faced a "full strength" matchup. (Ponder/RG3)49ers at home on a weeks rest seems like a huge plus to me. Im curious to what details we can get about Smith's status though I dont expect much. The 49ers should be able to run the ball well and I expect a lot of PA from Kaep.. I also like VD to hit a big play in this one and I really liked what I saw in terms of Kaep/Crabtree chemistry later in the year. 49ers secondary is good but I still think Rodgers can beat them. Big question for GB is can they stop the pass rush. 49ers were t-11th in the league in sacks but I dont expect much from Smith if anything so that is a big factor even if the GB line is a weaker spot. I also wonder if GB will come out with the mind set to try and run the ball. (31 attempts last week but I only caught the 4th so I'll have to rewatch the game DVR) I really think that and protecting Rodgers will be the tale tell.Im with you though.. gut tells me Pack but head says 49ersAlso not sure about the Texans @ Pats game. Part of me wants to believe the Texans show up but ugh Pats @ home so not sure.. Only thing I know is I'll be backing the truck up on Baltimore @ Denver. Wanting to take the O46 but not sure. I have a feeling the line will go up from -9 though so Im tempted to just take it now. Falcons line should drop so Im going to hold out.
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Fine, screw you guys. I'm taking Mizzou -9.I can't gamble on Pittsburgh teams by rule, but I have no idea why they're only getting 1.5 at Georgetown. Pitt is athletic and young but they screw up a lot. I wouldn't touch this game with Chainsaw's unit.
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shake zula
Footballguy
In at 116.5 and 133.Also added Heat -2.5 (favs can't keep taking it on the chin like last night)
sporthenry
Footballguy
I like Atlanta (mainly b/c the Hawks fan here suck). I guess we'll see what the Sharps report says but everyone seems to be on the Hawks and they gave them a nice spot to tease out of which makes me think this might be a blowout the other way. I think Atlanta's defense is a bit better than the stats say and their offense speaks for itself.
John Bender
Footballguy
Same
money.never.sleeps
Footballguy
10 minutes into Django... ####s intense 
ChainsawU
Footballguy
There he is!! I was wondering if we would see you around today after yesterday's vodka/Hanson's/ponies marathon. Enjoy your day off brother.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I got through about 45 minutes.10 minutes into Django... ####s intense
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Vegasinsider has 65% on Atlanta ATS.
not a very nice thing to say about our resident Seahawks fan, Dr. Detroit
sporthenry
Footballguy
I meant more of the variety in the SP.
sporthenry
Footballguy
Walter football has it at 52% in favor of Atlanta. Early money was on them and then back to Seattle. It would make sense for the home favorite in the playoffs to have an edge and this is the most even bet in terms of public this weekend. I meant more from us people who try to handicap it. Like it makes too much sense. A Seattle team who runs it on a team who is struggling to stop the run. A team who has no run game versus a very good passing defense. And then you have the Matt Ryan/Falcons narrative of failing in the playoffs. It just seems to good to be true. Maybe it is easy money like last night but I think Atlanta finally gets the monkey off its back although I probably won't tease this game b/c I could see this game not being very close.
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Thank you, sir! I was pretty clobbered. My g/f was supposed to come home tonight at 11 or so, but she got an early flight and will be here in 3 hours. On one hand, I'm glad because that means we can watch Justified. On the other hand, I'm at a bar and nursing yesterday's consumption and now I have to dial it back so I can prove I'm not a mess when left alone. And I'm a total mess when left alone. Ridiculous.Want to reiterate my Pitt/Gtown over stance here.There he is!! I was wondering if we would see you around today after yesterday's vodka/Hanson's/ponies marathon. Enjoy your day off brother.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Wow that's a pretty big disparity in percentages. Who's to be trusted more? I just use VI for the spreads, don't much about their credibility.
gussy
Footballguy
CBB tonight:Missouri -9 2 unitsTexas Tech +10Purdue +8Purdue ML +310 1/2 unitGeorgetown -1 1/2Not system plays, just gut plays. Long day at work, too tired to look up any system bull####. Tout I follow is on Pitt pretty hard, so tread lightly. Wouldn't at all be surprised if Purdue takes care of business at home tonight. Ohio St. is overrated, I really think Indiana and Michigan are the only two B1G teams you can consistently count on for road wins this year.93-86-4 +3.4 units
Man In The Box
Footballguy
Wow, missed this my first time through the thread today.Good job outta you in a big spothope he doesnt get too excited. added 4 more units each.marshallplan faps to thisSlight discrepancy between a couple books live betting.just put 4 units on ND +28 +115 and 4 units on Bama -27.5 -115.to bama by 28.
John Bender
Footballguy
Dr D is the man. Some of the others in the SP have become insufferable.
I work here and I barely venture into the Shark Pool. What are you guys doing over there?
gussy
Footballguy
addingUCONN -9I also like the Creighton/Drake over but Bovada isn't currently offering it.
The Ref
Footballguy
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[*]The Ref,
[*]TheGooRoo
Hey Boss. Thanks for last night. Good news for sb is they shut me off so I cant brown dot them much. Bad news is they didn't shut me out of that 9-1 shot that hit, and I bet more then reasonable because it was all I could get for Prop action.
2 members, 0 guests, 1 anonymous users
[*]The Ref,
[*]TheGooRoo
Hey Boss. Thanks for last night. Good news for sb is they shut me off so I cant brown dot them much. Bad news is they didn't shut me out of that 9-1 shot that hit, and I bet more then reasonable because it was all I could get for Prop action.
The Ref
Footballguy
I tailed this one. Guaranteed the boys on the basketball team were drinking last night.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
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[*]The Ref,
[*]TheGooRoo
Hey Boss. Thanks for last night. Good news for sb is they shut me off so I cant brown dot them much. Bad news is they didn't shut me out of that 9-1 shot that hit, and I bet more then reasonable because it was all I could get for Prop action.
Man, I didn't realize that those were in play on cut accounts. It was fun to watch that one come in, woulda been even more fun to see hundreds/thousands more in the account balance.
The Ref
Footballguy
3 User(s) are reading this topic
2 members, 0 guests, 1 anonymous users
[*]The Ref,
[*]TheGooRoo
Hey Boss. Thanks for last night. Good news for sb is they shut me off so I cant brown dot them much. Bad news is they didn't shut me out of that 9-1 shot that hit, and I bet more then reasonable because it was all I could get for Prop action.
i hit it for 150, so i think it was 500 max
John Bender
Footballguy
WellSorry for the Depaul play. I almost made it 2 units too. Thought I was pretty locked in on both teams but they look nothing like they did vs Providence. Bleh
bryan11joseph
Footballguy
Are we playing PITT or G-town tonight? TIAIf Pitt loses tonight, I'd take them big Saturday at home against Marquette!
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Number one is taking charge w her new boobs, and basically instructed me to be ready tomorrow night at seven, and that we can either go somewhere and get drinks or stay in and have drinks, and that we are also getting together on Thursday. And once again over the weekend. Also, the hockey fan registered nurse gave me her number today and asked me to let her know when we are getting together. And just to be safe, I took the 21 y/o to see Hobbit at the IMAX last night, and spent the night at number three's place on Saturday.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
I thought Georgetown would be ~ 3 point favorites. That line is pretty telling IMO.
bryan11joseph
Footballguy
So the public is on Pitt? So we ought a take the Hoyas???
money.never.sleeps
Footballguy
lots of dumb sluts in Austin/San Marcos.. whats with the constant updates? Contest going on I didnt know about?
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