FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

Five years ago today, the Boston Celtics ended the Houston Rockets' 22 game win streak.

I like Boston +6 and Denver o99.

 

[hwjchim]

Five years ago today, the Boston Celtics ended the Houston Rockets' 22 game win streak.I like Boston +6 and Denver o99.

Even without KG? He is 50/50 ...last I checked..

 

[got_nugs]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

 

[got_nugs]

Five years ago today, the Boston Celtics ended the Houston Rockets' 22 game win streak.I like Boston +6 and Denver o99.

I'm going to play the Denver O99, channeling my inner RN in not ever seeing and over I didn't like, but against Chicago, in Chicago, this may be tough.Also took the Lakers/Suns over 199.5Looking at the Wiz/'Cats under 189, Portland/Philly o194, Pistons TT u94, Mavs/Hawks o203, though I haven't punched any of these, yet.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

 

[got_nugs]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

I say let it ride.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

Team Totals still stand at Indiana 98, Cavs 91.So that's still 189 total line... when the total line is at o/u 187.Not sure if this extra point each side is neglible or not. But I jumped on Cavs u91. Who's with me?

 

[derek245583]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

You have to let it ride...pissing away 10 cents in a 4 pt total is a bad move IMO. 4 PTs on a side is doubly better than a total imo

 

[TheGooRoo]

145 Chase Headley - Total Regular Season Hits

Must Play 1 Game - - u152.5 (-115)

Injury will force him to hit nearly .300 to hit this number. Should have 142 hits max.

 

[bryan11joseph]

145 Chase Headley - Total Regular Season HitsMust Play 1 Game - - u152.5 (-115)Injury will force him to hit nearly .300 to hit this number. Should have 142 hits max.

More or Less than Will Middlebrooks?

 

[got_nugs]

Garnett is out.

I'm riding U190.5

I added U91 on Cleveland.

Kevin Garnett (strained thigh) will not play vs. the Heat on Monday.

Jeff Green is expected to start at power forward once again, with Brandon Bass at center. KG was a true game-time decision tonight so it's possible that he'll return for Wednesday's road game in New Orleans.

David West (lower back sprain) has been ruled out for Monday's game.

The only good news is that Indiana plays four times this week, so West could still salvage things for fantasy owners if he suits up vs. the Magic on Tuesday. Tyler Hansbrough and Jeff Pendergraph will pick up the slack at PF in his absence

 

[TheGooRoo]

145 Chase Headley - Total Regular Season HitsMust Play 1 Game - - u152.5 (-115)Injury will force him to hit nearly .300 to hit this number. Should have 142 hits max.

More or Less than Will Middlebrooks?

Initially I had Headley, the injury changes that. All the player vs player bets I've seen say must start season on active roster, which Headley will not.

 

[got_nugs]

Garnett is out.I'm riding U190.5I added U91 on Cleveland.Kevin Garnett (strained thigh) will not play vs. the Heat on Monday.Jeff Green is expected to start at power forward once again, with Brandon Bass at center. KG was a true game-time decision tonight so it's possible that he'll return for Wednesday's road game in New Orleans.David West (lower back sprain) has been ruled out for Monday's game.The only good news is that Indiana plays four times this week, so West could still salvage things for fantasy owners if he suits up vs. the Magic on Tuesday. Tyler Hansbrough and Jeff Pendergraph will pick up the slack at PF in his absence

ETA-Annnnnnd Cleveland starts out shooting 73%.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

You have to let it ride...pissing away 10 cents in a 4 pt total is a bad move IMO. 4 PTs on a side is doubly better than a total imo

Yeah, I've looked at the math of playing middles, and it just isn't a great idea. I think it only works if you want to hedge (e.g. you have a 30-1 future and your team makes the finals), or the second bet is a good bet in and of itself. But a line really has to move far for that to happen.

 

[gmbacm]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

You have to let it ride...pissing away 10 cents in a 4 pt total is a bad move IMO. 4 PTs on a side is doubly better than a total imo

Yeah, I've looked at the math of playing middles, and it just isn't a great idea. I think it only works if you want to hedge (e.g. you have a 30-1 future and your team makes the finals), or the second bet is a good bet in and of itself. But a line really has to move far for that to happen.

Whats the math say on playing middles on ingame/halftime?

 

[got_nugs]

Is it me just reliving the glorious game 6 in 2012 or does LeBron have this face again tonight?

ETA-FML then Boston goes on a 20-3 run. I need to stop posting.

 

[The Ref]

145 Chase Headley - Total Regular Season HitsMust Play 1 Game - - u152.5 (-115)Injury will force him to hit nearly .300 to hit this number. Should have 142 hits max.

More or Less than Will Middlebrooks?

Initially I had Headley, the injury changes that. All the player vs player bets I've seen say must start season on active roster, which Headley will not.

Is this still up somewhere - it's not up at sportsbook.

 

[The Ref]

Baseball related note.... did we figure out who is going to pick up the Prop research for the season?

 

[modogg]

hoping i'm not pissing money away here again:

Heat -3.5 2nd Q

ov 47 2nd Q

 

[Raider Nation]

I popped in on Doug Gottlieb's new show on CBS Radio just at the right time today. He was making his NCAA picks for the Thursday games. Love him or hate him, the cat knows his hoops. He likes:

Butler -3.5

Missouri -3

VCU -7

Oregon + 3 (and ML)

He loves, loves, loves VCU. Says they are gonna DRILL Akron.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

Team Totals still stand at Indiana 98, Cavs 91.So that's still 189 total line... when the total line is at o/u 187.Not sure if this extra point each side is neglible or not. But I jumped on Cavs u91. Who's with me?

Guess we needed the extra point. Cavs finish with 90.

 

[derek245583]

I popped in on Doug Gottlieb's new show on CBS Radio just at the right time today. He was making his NCAA picks for the Thursday games. Love him or hate him, the cat knows his hoops. He likes:

Butler -3.5

Missouri -3

VCU -7

Oregon + 3 (and ML)

He loves, loves, loves VCU. Says they are gonna DRILL Akron.

Assuming that Abreu cat isnt back for Akron, he is right...VCU is going to hammer them like its nobodies business

 

[got_nugs]

hoping i'm not pissing money away here again:Heat -3.5 2nd Qov 47 2nd Q

 

[got_nugs]

Without K Irving in Clev, I like the Indy/Cavs total under 190.5 which I got this morning with the Heat -5.

Already down to 186.5

Ugh, now I have to spend the next half hour deciding if I still like 190.5 enough to pass on a 4 point middle.

Team Totals still stand at Indiana 98, Cavs 91.So that's still 189 total line... when the total line is at o/u 187.Not sure if this extra point each side is neglible or not. But I jumped on Cavs u91. Who's with me?

Guess we needed the extra point. Cavs finish with 90.

Yeah, PHEW, that one cancelled out the under for the game loss. Good call!

 

[got_nugs]

Jeff Green great 1/2 half vs. the Heat. Anyone see what LeBron did to the jet? so filthy.

 

[Frostillicus]

UNC -4

Tied for my biggest bet of the tournament so far tied with VCU as previously mentioned by everyone.

 

[Frostillicus]

Big bets so far:

UNLV -2

UNC -4

VCU -7

Iowa State +1.5

Georgetown -13

South Dak State +11.5

Colorado +2

 

[modogg]

I live bet the #### out of this game. If either team wins by 1 point, I am

 

[Quint]

Big bets so far:UNLV -2UNC -4VCU -7Iowa State +1.5Georgetown -13South Dak State +11.5Colorado +2

trailing VCUUNLVGT added New Mexico -11

 

[modogg]

i hate betting on CBB becuase relying on college kids can suck, but man is the NBA fixed. If not fixed, shady at least

 

[modogg]

Frosty, any calls on who wins the whole thing?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

UNC -4Tied for my biggest bet of the tournament so far tied with VCU as previously mentioned by everyone.

Just out of curiosity (I'm keeping everything at 1 GPJ-unit), how many FrostUnits?

 

[Frostillicus]

UNC -4Tied for my biggest bet of the tournament so far tied with VCU as previously mentioned by everyone.

Just out of curiosity (I'm keeping everything at 1 GPJ-unit), how many FrostUnits?

4 on this one and VCU.

 

[got_nugs]

I live bet the #### out of this game. If either team wins by 1 point, I am

Man, what a game. I got Miami +6.5 when they were down by 16 or 17, played it enough to double cover the -5 I had in play.Watch Miami lose the next game.

 

[Frostillicus]

Frosty, any calls on who wins the whole thing?

Picking Louisville vs. Florida in the final (and have money down on both). My third pick would be Georgetown.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Frosty, any calls on who wins the whole thing?

Picking Louisville vs. Florida in the final (and have money down on both). My third pick would be Georgetown.

MICHIGAN

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Frosty, any calls on who wins the whole thing?

Picking Louisville vs. Florida in the final (and have money down on both). My third pick would be Georgetown.

Georgetown is pretty underrated, they play some ridiculous team defense. If they shoot well they can win it all.

 

[Frostillicus]

Frosty, any calls on who wins the whole thing?

Picking Louisville vs. Florida in the final (and have money down on both). My third pick would be Georgetown.

Georgetown is pretty underrated, they play some ridiculous team defense. If they shoot well they can win it all.

Louisville, G-Town, and Florida are three teams I wanted in my Final Four so it sucks Fla/GTown have to meet in the sweet 16. Otto Porter has some John Wallace/Kemba Walker type potential.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Kemba Walker type potential.

Let's take it easy with this.

 

[wbaaoz]

My concern with Florida is that they have fared very poorly in games less than 10 points. And winless in games in less than 5 points I believe. I just don't think they're good enough to smack teams every round (even though they're capable of doing so).

 

[Frostillicus]

Kemba Walker type potential.

Let's take it easy with this.

that was supposed to be complementary

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Kemba Walker type potential.

Let's take it easy with this.

that was supposed to be complementary

Some guy gives a good sermon, that doesn't mean he's Jesus.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Kemba Walker type potential.

Let's take it easy with this.

that was supposed to be complementary

Some guy gives a good sermon, that doesn't mean he's Jesus.

Is this about Larryboy?

 

[Frostillicus]

My concern with Florida is that they have fared very poorly in games less than 10 points. And winless in games in less than 5 points I believe. I just don't think they're good enough to smack teams every round (even though they're capable of doing so).

Definitely an issue as all the TV shows like to point out, but you have to decide if it's a sample size thing or a legit issue, and I'm going sample size. No reason an experienced team with a coach like Billy Donovan should wilt in late game situations.

 

[Frostillicus]

Kemba Walker type potential.

Let's take it easy with this.

that was supposed to be complementary

Some guy gives a good sermon, that doesn't mean he's Jesus.

I'm dumb.FINE. John Wallace/Juan Dixon potential.

 

[sporthenry]

My concern with Florida is that they have fared very poorly in games less than 10 points. And winless in games in less than 5 points I believe. I just don't think they're good enough to smack teams every round (even though they're capable of doing so).

Definitely an issue as all the TV shows like to point out, but you have to decide if it's a sample size thing or a legit issue, and I'm going sample size. No reason an experienced team with a coach like Billy Donovan should wilt in late game situations.

Yeah, I guess it comes down to whether you think they are chokers and haven't gotten better or if they have been extremely unlucky. Kenpom will give you that they've been very unlucky. But even then, the top teams will pretty much be coin tosses in the E8 and beyond assuming no major upsets.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Anybody wanna hear a somewhat-profane/sacrilegious phone message I left on the voicemail for a radio show? (It's the kind of radio show where things like this are encouraged.)

 

[mquinnjr]

Anybody wanna hear a somewhat-profane/sacrilegious phone message I left on the voicemail for a radio show? (It's the kind of radio show where things like this are encouraged.)

You call in the FU line? Love those on O&A.

 

[Raider Nation]

Big bets so far:UNLV -2UNC -4VCU -7Iowa State +1.5Georgetown -13South Dak State +11.5Colorado +2

Don't be afraid to take your Gophers -3, guy. The Bruins are a bunch of frauds and MIN is battle-tested in the rugged B10.