FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[The Ref]

I took the Bengal Over since, well....I am sitting in the hospital with nothing to do.

Everything alright?

Nah man.... 0 points after 1 quarter....

 

[Raider Nation]

Every year I look forward to preseason football. And then every year I remember how dreadful preseason football is.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Teasing preseason dogs have to be the way to go....right?

 

[Raider Nation]

Teasing preseason dogs have to be the way to go....right?

That's always been the smart play, yes.

 

[modogg]

Teasing preseason dogs have to be the way to go....right?

That's always been the smart play, yes.

not sure if this would apply for the last one tonight though. one think i think about with pre-season is basing teams on their OL, and if the 1st string OL is banged up and a shambles then the back-ups could be even worse. might be a little more of a determining factor then the quality of the skill positions. but of course this is pre-season, and it is way too easy to overthink these games and try to rationalize what will happen.

and a good lesson is also not assuming since a home team is down by more then a TD that taking them in the 2nd half makes sense

 

[Tiger Fan]

Good lord John Gruden is awful

 

[modogg]

Lesson 2: Remember that this is preseason football, and that you probably do not need to bet on every single game on the first day with more than 1 game . This also includes betting 1st Q, 1st half, and halftime lines too.

 

[The Ref]

Good lord John Gruden is awful

Hey John i got two words for you.

Whats that?

Tuck Rule

 

[Tiger Fan]

Lesson 2: Remember that this is preseason football, and that you probably do not need to bet on every single game on the first day with more than 1 game . This also includes betting 1st Q, 1st half, and halftime lines too.

BUT IT'S FOOTBALL!!!!!111111111111111111111111111111

 

[Raider Nation]

Good lord John Gruden is awful

Hey John i got two words for you.

Whats that?

Tuck Rule

I'm still trying to figure out who John Gruden is.

 

[Treynwreck3]

Good lord John Gruden is awful

Hey John i got two words for you.

Whats that?

Tuck Rule

I'm still trying to figure out who John Gruden is.

Who is This Jerry Jones cat?

 

[modogg]

Every year I look forward to preseason football. And then every year I remember how dreadful preseason football is.

Probably will need to bump RN's posting here for the next few weeks. I think it is compounded by the fact that there is nothing else on TV. For me, hearing the faux excitement (well maybe it is genuine) of the guys on the NFL channel or the already eluded to Gruden makes it twice as painful. They need to pull Berman into the booth for one of these and really test to see how diehard NFL fans are and how far they can push the fans before it becomes truly unwatchable.

 

[modogg]

The one good thing about preseason may be covers.com though. I haven't checked in awhile, but I am sure there has to be some guys over there that put way too much on a game and end up cursing up a 3rd string player that no one has, or never will, hear about.

ETA: speaking of which, F Brady Quinn. You guys have 1st down on SD 14 and your mother f'ers can barely move the ball? C'mon MAN!!!

ETA2: Alright Quinn, we're back on good terms. Hit theb 1st half line of Sea -1 harder then i should have

 

[ChainsawU]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

 

[ChainsawU]

Dodgers are supposed to land in LA around 6:30 tomorrow morning. And they play the Rays tomorrow night.

 

[Raider Nation]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

Just got home a little while ago. I'll ask a buddy of mine who has it.

ETA: I mainly bought it to study the replays of every game closely. I want to unearth the next Victor Cruz.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

Just got home a little while ago. I'll ask a buddy of mine who has it.

ETA: I mainly bought it to study the replays of every game closely. I want to unearth the next Victor Cruz.

Markus Wheaton

 

[Raider Nation]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

Just got home a little while ago. I'll ask a buddy of mine who has it.

ETA: I mainly bought it to study the replays of every game closely. I want to unearth the next Victor Cruz.

Markus Wheaton

Somebody else told me that this morning, but he's a Steelers fan so I didn't pay much attention to it.

 

[modogg]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

Just got home a little while ago. I'll ask a buddy of mine who has it.

ETA: I mainly bought it to study the replays of every game closely. I want to unearth the next Victor Cruz.

Markus Wheaton

ooh, i like that. Any call for the next Alfred Morris?

 

[got_nugs]

Holy hot damn is the golf hot in here or what!!?!! If bill haas wins this week I may hang up the rubber spikes like elway. Woo!!

 

[optionmaven]

Holy hot damn is the golf hot in here or what!!?!! If bill haas wins this week I may hang up the rubber spikes like elway. Woo!!

He's got a chance at -2. At this juncture, anybodys got a chance with the numbers that can be posted if keeping it out of the rough. Tiger very much in it still at 1 over imo......but, looking back at 2003 and yesterdys round, this course does not fit his eye well. I can liken it to days when i played 4 times a week and friends would say they wanted to play LBV at Disney. I'd always be salivating, as i knew the course thoroughly and pretty much always played well there. Just had a confidence level there that i could make scores just by playing the course a certain way(within myself). Anyway, 3rd round mathcups.

Mixed feeling here so going with a round robin.

Kuchar over Stricker -120

Haas over Stenson +105

Donald over Speith -140

Mickelson over Scott even

by 2's, 3's, and 4

Woodland -.5 strokes over Ramsay -125

Chris Wood -.5 strokes over Chapell -105

Stanley over Delaet +120

 

[Tiger Fan]

2 preseason games in and i already hate gambling

 

[derek245583]

I took the Bengal Over since, well....I am sitting in the hospital with nothing to do.

Everything alright?

Ya, dad had surgery so I was there all day.

Things looking better today.

Worst part was no high def on the TV's. You have no idea how bad it is out there these days.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Best way to spend 20 bucks!

How well did this work tonight?

Just got home a little while ago. I'll ask a buddy of mine who has it.

ETA: I mainly bought it to study the replays of every game closely. I want to unearth the next Victor Cruz.

Markus Wheaton

Somebody else told me that this morning, but he's a Steelers fan so I didn't pay much attention to it.

Takes notes.... go on...

FWIW, teasing dogs worked well last night ( except for TB)

 

[The Ref]

I'm not laying out the money for this.... but just give me the Dog and the under on every preseason game tonight.

Every year I look forward to preseason football. And then every year I remember how dreadful preseason football is.

So like I said.... Under and Dog....

Good thing I didn't bet it.

 

[The Ref]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

 

[shake zula]

Radwanska -260. Errani has never beat Radwanska on a synthetic court. That she has advanced this far on hard court is a shock but the buck stops with the lovely Polish Princess.

 

[TheGooRoo]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

 

[The Ref]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

yeah I guess all of that makes sense.

I really like Brown as well. Too bad he couldn't keep it together in college, he may have been a good one. I was surprised he didn't get a real chance at K-State.

Everyone is talking about B Pierce as being the best handcuff in the NFL I really like him) but I think Brown is in the discussion as well. If Shady did get hurt I suspect Brown would put up numbers as well.

 

[TheGooRoo]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

yeah I guess all of that makes sense.

I really like Brown as well. Too bad he couldn't keep it together in college, he may have been a good one. I was surprised he didn't get a real chance at K-State.

Everyone is talking about B Pierce as being the best handcuff in the NFL I really like him) but I think Brown is in the discussion as well. If Shady did get hurt I suspect Brown would put up numbers as well.

Wow, I thought Brown just fizzled out at Tennessee, didn't even remember he went to K-state.

I'm laughing, because if they had a preseason Super Bowl, I swear I think Philly would win. Regular season, not so much.

I'm home sick from work, bored, baseball has been treating me well, thanks for starting this discussion you sonofagun.

123811577-1 8/9/2013 11:44 AM Spread 1,100.00 1,000.00 Pregame Football 268 Philadelphia Eagles -3 -110 for Game

 

[The Ref]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

yeah I guess all of that makes sense.

I really like Brown as well. Too bad he couldn't keep it together in college, he may have been a good one. I was surprised he didn't get a real chance at K-State.

Everyone is talking about B Pierce as being the best handcuff in the NFL I really like him) but I think Brown is in the discussion as well. If Shady did get hurt I suspect Brown would put up numbers as well.

Wow, I thought Brown just fizzled out at Tennessee, didn't even remember he went to K-state.

I'm laughing, because if they had a preseason Super Bowl, I swear I think Philly would win. Regular season, not so much.

I'm home sick from work, bored, baseball has been treating me well, thanks for starting this discussion you sonofagun.

123811577-1 8/9/2013 11:44 AM Spread 1,100.00 1,000.00 Pregame Football 268 Philadelphia Eagles -3 -110 for Game

Hey man good luck with that. Hopefully Brady is on the pine after the first 5 min.

 

[The Ref]

I wonder what people have been seeing with Patriots at these open practice. The total for week 1 is down to 50.5. I got a rack on the under 52

 

[ChainsawU]

I cut my teeth betting NFL preseason games.

 

[ChainsawU]

In his past nine starts, Kazmir is 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA with a BAA of .173. The Angels are 10-19 versus LHP this season, worst in the AL (Astros are 10-18 versus LHP this season).

 

[The Ref]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

yeah I guess all of that makes sense.

I really like Brown as well. Too bad he couldn't keep it together in college, he may have been a good one. I was surprised he didn't get a real chance at K-State.

Everyone is talking about B Pierce as being the best handcuff in the NFL I really like him) but I think Brown is in the discussion as well. If Shady did get hurt I suspect Brown would put up numbers as well.

Wow, I thought Brown just fizzled out at Tennessee, didn't even remember he went to K-state.

I'm laughing, because if they had a preseason Super Bowl, I swear I think Philly would win. Regular season, not so much.

I'm home sick from work, bored, baseball has been treating me well, thanks for starting this discussion you sonofagun.

123811577-1 8/9/2013 11:44 AM Spread 1,100.00 1,000.00 Pregame Football 268 Philadelphia Eagles -3 -110 for Game

Ahh F it. I'm in it with you GB, but i got in at -3.5.

250/225

If we win... i'll even put it all down on J Jones Under 1330.

 

[ChainsawU]

I queried the SDQL for Chris Tillman since 2012 (starter = Chris Tillman and 2012<=season):

SU: 27-10 (1.81, 73.0%)  avg line: -107.5 / -103.4  on / against: +$1,913 / -$2,098  ROI: +43.6% / -48.6%RL: 27-10 (1.69, 73.0%)  avg line: -100.3 / -112.6  on / against: +$2,118 / -$2,338  ROI: +45.2% / -47.8% OU: 15-19-3 (0.39, 44.1%)  avg total: 8.8  over / under: -$540 / +$235  ROI: -13.4% / +5.7%

 

[ChainsawU]

Here is a link to the manual on how to use the MLB SQDL: .pdf

 

[ChainsawU]

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -1½ 100/125

 

[LOCO]

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -1½ 100/125

In.

always like fading pitchers making there first start after injury.

Lets do it.

 

[lumpy19]

Hey TNT more commercials on the PGA coverage please....they're hardly showing any golf

 

[ChainsawU]

Do you think Rizzoli and Isles are friends in real life?

 

[tjnc09]

Here is a link to the manual on how to use the MLB SQDL: .pdf

I knew you would dig that ####. I'm going to give it a go this weekend.

 

[tjnc09]

In on Phil -3

 

[Raider Nation]

Albert Breer ‏@AlbertBreerTorrential downpours in Philly right now ... Could make tonight's game more interesting.

 

[TheGooRoo]

One I cant figure out for tonight. Every media report I have read has discussed how the Patriots and Eagles have conducted joint practices this whole week and how the Patriots are marching up and down the field with Brady going 7-8 throws in a row without and incomplete.

Tonights game started at Phi -4 (The only game at 4 and not 2-3.5). How is it that Phi is even favored? Think Chip will keep the starters out longer?

I think it has alot to do with the QB situations, NE's recent lack of success in preseason, and coaching. Brady will probably get a handful of attempts, so you're probably looking at 3+ quarters of Mallett and Tebow. Belichek is 3-5 in the preseason over the last couple of years. Philly is 7-1, admittedly with a different coach, but I assure you Chip will want to win more than Belichek. Mallet hasn't done anything special in the preseason and is a big wild card. Tebow is Tebow. In Philly, you kind of have QB 1a, 1b and 2a (all at different levels of mediocre, but they should all be good enough to move the ball here). Remember, some thought that Barkley had a chance to be a starter about a month ago. I do not care for Barkley at all, but in this offense he could be solid. The RB's for Philly are pretty solid. I'm sure Mccoy won't play much, but Brown showed he could move the ball, Felix Jones has been there before, and I think Chris Polk could be a preseason star. I'm not much of a defensive guy, so I can't comment there on either side. Philly has the depth and type of players that could make them undefeated in the preseason again this year, especially with Chip's desire to win here. On the other hand, Belichek has shown that he does't care much in preseason and I don't expect much more than 2-2 from that team, consistent with recent history. This being said, I don't think I've ever bet a preseason game and may never do so, but I can see why the line is what it is.

yeah I guess all of that makes sense.

I really like Brown as well. Too bad he couldn't keep it together in college, he may have been a good one. I was surprised he didn't get a real chance at K-State.

Everyone is talking about B Pierce as being the best handcuff in the NFL I really like him) but I think Brown is in the discussion as well. If Shady did get hurt I suspect Brown would put up numbers as well.

Wow, I thought Brown just fizzled out at Tennessee, didn't even remember he went to K-state.

I'm laughing, because if they had a preseason Super Bowl, I swear I think Philly would win. Regular season, not so much.

I'm home sick from work, bored, baseball has been treating me well, thanks for starting this discussion you sonofagun.

123811577-1 8/9/2013 11:44 AM Spread 1,100.00 1,000.00 Pregame Football 268 Philadelphia Eagles -3 -110 for Game

Ahh F it. I'm in it with you GB, but i got in at -3.5.

250/225

If we win... i'll even put it all down on J Jones Under 1330.

That's the spirit, what could go wrong?!?! Game is even on NFL network.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

-3 (-105) at SB.ag.

(ETA: Eagles, that is)

 

[TheGooRoo]

Garza u 107.5 pitches -120 should be a play.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Garza u 107.5 pitches -120 should be a play.

Word... Lets do this.

 

[NIU Kicker]

-3 (-105) at SB.ag.

(ETA: Eagles, that is)

Poop... Guess that line moved away from me

 

[loser]

NFL preseason 3-0 (+3.40)

You know, if you would have told me last week that I would solve preseason football, I would've said you were crazy. Now let's push this giant ball of oil out of this window.

Texans/Vikes o35.5 -110