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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

Adding NIU -3 for 1u

I know NIU hasn't looked like their traditional powerhouse selves, but Purdue looks terrible this year

On that note wouldn't Purdue/Wake be a dream matchup for the Beef O'Brady's Bowl...conference tie ins be damned!

 
Atlanta just lost to Miami. Seems like the line will move towards NE once they announce that Gronk (and possibly Amendola?) are playing.

 
lumpy19 said:
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Atlanta just lost to Miami. Seems like the line will move towards NE once they announce that Gronk (and possibly Amendola?) are playing.
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They lost to Miami in Miami, home field makes a big difference. The line will stay below 3 either way on this game.
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you're right that Atlanta is very good at home, but with Roddy White banged up, I still like NE's chances with Gronk in the lineup. seems like a coinflip to me though.

 
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I had all week to do a project on Access/Excel, and just officially uploaded and submitted all the files at 4:59 PM. It turns out it was due today at 5:00 PM. I had no idea. Also, I found out I don't have class on Thursday. So does anybody else like San Jose State that night? I saw them get crapped on by Minnesota's o-line and I also saw Utah State barely cover at USC. I'm thinking of taking the 10 points with San Jose State. Also I think the chick that sits next to me in communications class wants it. She looked me up in the student directory and emailed me yesterday. You know what that means.

 
ChainsawU said:
I had all week to do a project on Access/Excel, and just officially uploaded and submitted all the files at 4:59 PM. It turns out it was due today at 5:00 PM. I had no idea. Also, I found out I don't have class on Thursday. So does anybody else like San Jose State that night? I saw them get crapped on by Minnesota's o-line and I also saw Utah State barely cover at USC. I'm thinking of taking the 10 points with San Jose State. Also I think the chick that sits next to me in communications class wants it. She looked me up in the student directory and emailed me yesterday. You know what that means.
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It means lay the points and the wood all in the same night.

Utah state is no joke.

 
Soliai and Wake are out for Miami this week from what I understand...these guys are Miami's best run stoppers and probably their best 2 defensive players(Grimes in that group, too). Line is still -6.5 for New Orleans. Miami playing well right now but i'm going to throw some on New Orleans now for MNF in the big easy before it gets to a TD.

 
got_nugs said:
Soliai and Wake are out for Miami this week from what I understand...these guys are Miami's best run stoppers and probably their best 2 defensive players(Grimes in that group, too). Line is still -6.5 for New Orleans. Miami playing well right now but i'm going to throw some on New Orleans now for MNF in the big easy before it gets to a TD.
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Tailing.

I think NO's DL will be up in Tannyhill's grill all game long

 
ChainsawU said:
I had all week to do a project on Access/Excel, and just officially uploaded and submitted all the files at 4:59 PM. It turns out it was due today at 5:00 PM. I had no idea. Also, I found out I don't have class on Thursday. So does anybody else like San Jose State that night? I saw them get crapped on by Minnesota's o-line and I also saw Utah State barely cover at USC. I'm thinking of taking the 10 points with San Jose State. Also I think the chick that sits next to me in communications class wants it. She looked me up in the student directory and emailed me yesterday. You know what that means.
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:pickle:

Also

Shaved -350

Landing strip -160

Full Bush +440

 
Looking at the NFL this week, nice 6pt. teaser opportunity to get on the other side of a TD with two of the home teams .

1U/1U

SEA @ TEX +8.5

CIN @ CLE +10.5

 
Totals of 7 or less are 26-13-5 during the day at Wrigley since 2004. A total set at 6.5 is 8-2-0 during the day at Wrigley since 2004.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Took the Saints in survivor pools. They should cover.
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Debating between them and Denver
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Ditto.

My nuts are shriveling up just thinking about going against a 3-0 team though. I just think the Monday night stage in N.O. may be a little too big right now.

 
Raider Nation said:
Dan Lambskin said:
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Took the Saints in survivor pools. They should cover.
Click to expand...
Debating between them and Denver
Click to expand...
Ditto.

My nuts are shriveling up just thinking about going against a 3-0 team though. I just think the Monday night stage in N.O. may be a little too big right now.
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Thinking about laying the wood on a straight bet of Broncos -10.5 this Sunday.

Think you got this for a survivor pool, I think this Eagles team gets annihilated in the elevation. Could rival the Week 1 hurt Peyton put on the Ravens from a Eagles defensive perspective, with the defense getting gassed/gashed even more.

Eagles TT U ~36 juicy as well.

ETA: :bag: totally miscalculated the TT, should be ~24 based on the line & total.

 
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I think I can honestly say I have my first 5 star palladium free money lock of the year.

Over 48 Wazzu Stanford

Really like this one. Probably going a solid 3-4 units.

 
Many rightly fawn over the accuracy of the betting market. It's the stuff that memes like "Vegas knows" are made of. But the “boys in the desert” exceeded even the most outsize expectations this week in college football, with the point spread favorite winning 55 of 57 games. Las Vegas was right picking the winner 55 times, and wrong only twice.

No matter how good Vegas is at picking winners, the betting public is still willing to lay the points. Professionals bet numbers; the public bets teams. And the typical bettor can’t help but back the better (or, at least, favored) team. Even with an average spread of -19, CFB favorites this week covered 63 percent of games. When favorites win, so do the bettors.

I must admit to being suspicious that some of the sportsbook bosses referenced their thesauruses in an effort to explain the pain of so many college football favorites covering this week — words like "dreadful," "gruesome," and "horrendous" popped up. Jay Kornegay from the LVH told me: “We lost every major decision — the sharps, public, and in-house players all won. Our biggest action was on Stanford–Arizona State. Stanford covering was like a punch to the ribs.”

The Wynn’s Johnny Avello told me on ESPN Radio in Las Vegas: “If Michigan, LSU, and Florida would have covered, it could have taken us the whole season to win back the loss.”

When it came to the weekend's NFL games, Vegas was a bit more upbeat; the action was robust with players pressing their CFB winnings. The three most lopsided bet games, according to the ticket count tool at Pregame.com, were the Vikings, Giants, and Packers. All three were losers for bettors. The sportsbooks reported unanimously that the Green Bay–Cincinnati game was their biggest win (with the Pack garnering 85 perecent of the game’s action at Bovada).

Sunday night’s cover by the Bears was the lone bright spot for the average bettor. Mike Perry from Sportsbook.ag called Chicago’s win a “bailout for bettors after getting crushed.” It’s telling to note that bettors bet more Sunday after winning the day before, and then bet even more Sunday night as a response to losing earlier in the day.

Indy’s upset of San Francisco was the first double-digit NFL underdog to win a game in more than a calendar year. Kornegay mentioned a significant amount of sharp action on the Colts money line — which paid upward of +400. William Hill reported the most sharp action on San Diego, Baltimore, and St. Louis, with LVH adding Tampa Bay and the Giants to the list — making Wiseguys 1-3-1 ATS on the day (after going 0-3 last week).

And then came Monday Night Football. The game opened with Denver favored by more than two touchdowns, and that spread was bet upward throughout the week. When Oakland scored late to cut the lead to 16, it was the worst possible outcome for the sportsbooks. The 16-point final margin meant the bettors “middled” the bookies — cashing on both the favorite and the underdog. Every longtime grinder can’t help but smile when that happens.

Looking ahead, New England travels to Atlanta next week, and the Broncos-Eagles total of 58 is the second-highest NFL over/under since 2004. BetOnline.ag’s Dave Mason speculates that “with last weekend’s results fresh in their minds, bettors will fire on hot teams like the Colts and Seahawks as they travel to teams coming off losses.” I’ll be back next week to tell you the truth about what happened over the weekend in Las Vegas.

 
The Ref said:
I think I can honestly say I have my first 5 star palladium free money lock of the year.

Over 48 Wazzu Stanford

Really like this one. Probably going a solid 3-4 units.
Click to expand...
Nice. Looks like i made it 4 days without putting a college football bet in after swearing it off for the 2nd time so far this season.

 
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