FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

[Doctor Detroit]

Colorado State +5

Fresno State +6

Fresno St/USC OVER 63 1.5u

Buffalo EVEN LOSS

ULL +2.5 WIN

Tulane/ULL UNDER 49

East Carolina -13

Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY 1.5u

MTSU/NAVY OVER 54.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Texas A&M/Duke UNDER 74 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

LSU/IOWA UNDER 49 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Mizzou/Oklahoma St OVER 61 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

I'm seeing an average of 65% of bets are on East Carolina on four different sites - that goes against your previous posts about fading the public. That concern you?

Might be one of the biggest mismatches on paper. Who knows with these, I don't love the bet but Ohio is a pretty bad football team and ECU is pretty decent.

 

[jamil]

Oregon State -3 (1:30 start)

South Florida -2

UIC +13.5

UNLV -8.5

In. :frostyfive:

 

[swirvenirvin]

Colorado State +5

Fresno State +6

Fresno St/USC OVER 63 1.5u

Buffalo EVEN LOSS

ULL +2.5 WIN

Tulane/ULL UNDER 49

East Carolina -13

Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY 1.5u

MTSU/NAVY OVER 54.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Texas A&M/Duke UNDER 74 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

LSU/IOWA UNDER 49 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Mizzou/Oklahoma St OVER 61 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

I'm seeing an average of 65% of bets are on East Carolina on four different sites - that goes against your previous posts about fading the public. That concern you?

everyone is on ecu myself included. we'll see

 

[got_nugs]

Happy Beefsday!!!

 

[tjnc09]

Ok - ECU for the tail. GL!

 

[Tiger Fan]

on under 62.5

 

[Good Posting Judge]

You're really gonna watch this #### over Arsenal/Chelsea? :ducks:

 

[swirvenirvin]

ECU is awful. Nice joke defense and idiot safety biting on the run

 

[swirvenirvin]

Does ECU not have a kicker, or is their coach just a ####ing idiot?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Easier to do at work, than at home with sick wife and kids

*.9 R. White under 66.5

*.75 H. Douglas over 4.5 -130

*.75 Kaepernick under 37.5 rushing

*.5 F. Gore under 9.5 receiving

 

[tjnc09]

Beavers

 

[tjnc09]

I didn't realize how little I know about St. Mary's this year until I started watching them and keep confusing them with Gonzaga.

Their uniforms are almost identical w the red white and blue patterns. The worst is when they play each other

 

[Angry Beavers]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Beavers

 

[tjnc09]

Ok - ECU for the tail. GL!

That's why I went there.

Now, we need some of that hot ### to distract the Ohio players

 

[tjnc09]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Does ECU not have a kicker, or is their coach just a ####ing idiot?

Yeah, those two 4th downs they went for in the first half instead of kicking a FG looms large right now. Hopefully the Pirates can get their poop in a group here.

 

[tjnc09]

Does ECU not have a kicker, or is their coach just a ####ing idiot?

Yeah, those two 4th downs they went for in the first half instead of kicking a FG looms large right now. Hopefully the Pirates can get their poop in a group here.

That miss answers that. ECU kicker alt, anyone?

 

[mquinnjr]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

If the Eagles are laying anything less than 7, I'm max-ing this one. Game is unlined at my site at the moment, as I fear this will come out near 7.

ETA: Pinnacle has Birds -7.5. No brainer teaser option if it sits on 7.5, but that's a heavy line for a road team, even in a big spot like this without Romo.

 

[loser]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

 

[modogg]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

If the Eagles are laying anything less than 7, I'm max-ing this one. Game is unlined at my site at the moment, as I fear this will come out near 7.

ETA: Pinnacle has Birds -7.5

I'm nervous. Would have rather seen Romo. Eagles should cover still, but still uncomfortable.

For me, I have a pinch on the Eagles to win NFC East at +275 and Dallas under 8.5 wins for the year. Thought I would have to think about hedging but think I'll let it all ride and also take some eagles bets. Demarco Murray may run for 150 though.

 

[Frostillicus]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

-115 at Bovada. In.

 

[The Ref]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

-115 at Bovada. In.

Tail...

 

[The Ref]

Bang!

 

[tjnc09]

VINTAVIOUS!

 

[swirvenirvin]

Never a doubt!

 

[mquinnjr]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

If the Eagles are laying anything less than 7, I'm max-ing this one. Game is unlined at my site at the moment, as I fear this will come out near 7.

ETA: Pinnacle has Birds -7.5

I'm nervous. Would have rather seen Romo. Eagles should cover still, but still uncomfortable.

For me, I have a pinch on the Eagles to win NFC East at +275 and Dallas under 8.5 wins for the year. Thought I would have to think about hedging but think I'll let it all ride and also take some eagles bets. Demarco Murray may run for 150 though.

Feeling frisky...Eagles to win SB +3000?

My logic - Let's assume the Eagles get the #3 seed with a W Sunday night. They'd draw the Saints/Cards at home in the Wildcard, then the Panthers on the road. I'm not going to pretend they can take down the Seahawks if they matched up @ Seattle, but I'm thinking it could provide some nice lay-off opportunities along the way if they could advance in the Playoffs for a small investment.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

They'd draw the Saints/Cards at home in the Wildcard,

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm already kicking myself, but Orton's a very capable QB, and Dallas running more isn't going to be a bad thing.

I see a move from +2.5 to +7.5. 5 points sounds about fair, but crossing the 3 and 7?

Dallas +7.5 (SB)

 

[The Ref]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

-115 at Bovada. In.

Tail...

And if you are going to bet Davis for a TD at even money, first TD at 5-1 is a great bet.

 

[loser]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

-115 at Bovada. In.

Tail...

And if you are going to bet Davis for a TD at even money, first TD at 5-1 is a great bet.

Yeah, it was tough to pass on 11/2, but I didn't want too much invested in the guy.

 

[The Ref]

Under

 

[Treynwreck3]

If Garrett pulls his head out of his ### and runs the ball 40+ times, the Cowboys can win this game.

 

[Treynwreck3]

Under

Yep.

 

[lumpy19]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

It's a pretty big downgrade imo....the one thing that might help the cowboys is the change might force them to run the ball more.

Line opened at phi -2.5 and moved to 3....romo announcement moved it to 7. I would have bet the boys at +3 and I'll definitely be betting them at 7.5, great spot for a cowboys bet

 

[The Ref]

Vern Davis has scored tds in each of his last five games, and 12 tds in 13 games total.

Atlanta has given up 10 tds to TEs on the year, and three in the last four weeks, including such studs as Quarless and Fred Davis.

Vern Davis TD? YES -125

-115 at Bovada. In.

Tail...

And if you are going to bet Davis for a TD at even money, first TD at 5-1 is a great bet.

And no where to be found....

 

[Raider Nation]

My God, what a terrible game.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

My God, what a terrible game.

Probably why they didn't play the Beef in prime time...viewers would have all tuned out of MNF by now

 

[modogg]

Romo OUT for rest of season. Should have bet Philly earlier ( i wonder if there was even a line available?)

Is there really that much of a downgrade from him to Orton though?

It's a pretty big downgrade imo....the one thing that might help the cowboys is the change might force them to run the ball more.

Line opened at phi -2.5 and moved to 3....romo announcement moved it to 7. I would have bet the boys at +3 and I'll definitely be betting them at 7.5, great spot for a cowboys bet

i'm thinking that line will move even farther. probably closer to game time, but might go over 8.5, where i would love to hit the Cowgirls in a +14.5 teaser

 

[swirvenirvin]

CHAMPIONSHIP in FF!!! 3rd time in 9 years for this league. Booyaka.

Oh yeah unless Gore and Gonzo combine for 40 points in the 2nd half

 

[Quint]

Here comes the VD score.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Here comes the VD score.

Why do you want the herp? ....Davis scores this drive!

 

[modogg]

Frosty, any thoughts on the St. Mary's-Hawaii game tonight? i watched a bunch of that game last night while wrapping [resents, and Hawaii looks pretty bad

 

[Quint]

Here comes the VD score.

Why do you want the herp? ....Davis scores this drive!

I was off by one drive. Here we go.

 

[got_nugs]

oh man, Davis...so close

 

[Good Posting Judge]

ATL +14.5 still doesn't feel safe.

 

[Quint]

oh man, Davis...so close

That was the one. Dang.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

My bowl game breakdowns don't help me at all with the Hawaii Bowl tomorrow, I had Oregon State as a 2 point favorite and a total of 63. I also don't think balcony peeing Southwick being out means much, Hedrick is completely capable of running that offense. Both teams got housed by Washington, Oregon State won by 4 @ San Diego State and Boise lost by 4 @San Diego State. Five of the six Oregon State losses came to bowl teams, the sixth loss was to FCS power Eastern Washington who probably could beat most of the teams who have already played in bowl games.

Four of the last five years have been blowouts, underdog has also won four of the past five. Public Oregon State with great vigor yet the books are holding Boise at +3 -120. For the total Oregon State can't stop anyone good at all, and Boise tries to run 100 plays a game. I like Boise and the over a bit here, but since I'm trying to apply more restraint to this bowl season I actually might lay off here.

 

[Quint]

Official Video Of the FFA Wagering Thread:

I've never been to the first page of this thread.

That clip is perfect.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Speaking of gambling movies, anyone see Runner Runner? Have that on tap for tonight.