FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

[Good Posting Judge]

Eh, the breakeven % of a -2500 bet is 96%, right? Assuming nothing's ever a stone cold lock, the most you can be above break-even is not more than 4%? Standing in front of steamrollers to pick up nickels, IMO.

Go with this instead:

Hawks to make more 3's than the Nets (-1.5) (Sportsbook)

I only see these options:Hawks -195

Hawks -.5 (-165)

juicy

-0.5 should be around -350 to -400, by my estimate. Still seriously mis-priced.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Nick Marshall

Over 235 passing+rushing +110

Colts/Packers/FSU

Packers/Saints/FSU

Seahawks/Pats/FSU

1H UNDER 34 1.5u

Auburn +10.5 1.5u (looking for a middle)

Basta cosi. If the first half plays like I want it to, I'll go over in the second half.

 

[modogg]

I found a great play on the board tonight. Philly 76ers +7 and ML

Philly is quietly one of the hottest teams in the NBA riding a 4 game win streak fresh off a road win in Denver, one of the hardest places to win in the NBA. and now they are 7 point dogs at HOME vs the T-Wolves who are an awful 6-11 record on the road...

Books were sleeping focusing on the BCS Championship. Sixers +7 and sprinkle some on that moneyline +250

Line opened at +6 and went to +7, I'd be wary here.

yeah, i kind of agree the line looks fishy. But the Sixers do seem to be continuing to screw up their lottery pick, and with MCW in the line-up tonight i think i'm joining McGruff with the boys tonight

ETA: grabbed it earlier, forgot they were starting at 7

 

[David Dodds]

My NCAA bets

Winston longest completion under 49.5 yards ($50)

Auburn +10.5 ($75)

Marshall total completions over 12.5 ($50)

Under 34 at the half ($100)

 

[Raider Nation]

My NCAA bets

Winston longest completion under 49.5 yards ($50)

Auburn +10.5 ($75)

Marshall total completions over 12.5 ($50)

Under 34 at the half ($100)

Bet with your head -- not over it.

 

[The Ref]

My NCAA bets

Winston longest completion under 49.5 yards ($50)

Auburn +10.5 ($75)

Marshall total completions over 12.5 ($50)

Under 34 at the half ($100)

Bet with your head -- not over it.

I laughed.

 

[Raider Nation]

Right on cue.... first score, FG. <_<

 

[lumpy19]

First score of game a TD -260 at RB, yes please

Well that sucks

 

[swirvenirvin]

First score of game a TD -260 at RB, yes please

Well that sucks

I looked for this bet then got distracted and forgot about it. Instead I took every single player prop under on my local for $5

 

[modogg]

Wow, that was one of the sweetest punts i can remember seeing

 

[Romofan]

Over 59.5 live

 

[ChainsawU]

Mo, did you see Bo Jackson out there for the coin toss. More like, MO KNOWS, am I right?

 

[Frostillicus]

Pitt is in (2-0 on props, too).

 

[modogg]

Mo, did you see Bo Jackson out there for the coin toss. More like, MO KNOWS, am I right?

as long as this first half under hits i at least know something

 

[gmbacm]

Quinnipiac -3

Smotrycz (md) Under 6.5 rebs -120

Patterson (pitt) Under 8.5 r+a -130

 

[Good Posting Judge]

My NCAA bets

Winston longest completion under 49.5 yards ($50)

Auburn +10.5 ($75)

Marshall total completions over 12.5 ($50)

Under 34 at the half ($100)

 

[Frostillicus]

Quinnipiac -3

Smotrycz (md) Under 6.5 rebs -120

Patterson (pitt) Under 8.5 r+a -130

 

[modogg]

Quinnipiac -3

Smotrycz (md) Under 6.5 rebs -120

Patterson (pitt) Under 8.5 r+a -130

yeah, i gotta start getting home earlier and trying to sneak in the prop plays too. Nice job Frosty

 

[swirvenirvin]

Pitt is in (2-0 on props, too).

booyahka

 

[John Bender]

Chalk Mondays never work out. :(

 

[Romofan]

Tearing up my FSU ticket.

Game over

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Chalk Mondays never work out. :(

Yep

 

[Treynwreck3]

Where the hell is live betting at RB?

 

[Frostillicus]

Chalk Mondays never work out. :(

Yep

It's over?

 

[Frostillicus]

West Virginia -2

Min/Phi o221

Nice hit on WVU. Wish I had seen this in time to play it. I couldn't read that game at all.

 

[lumpy19]

O57.5 live

 

[lumpy19]

Winston is a hot mess

 

[modogg]

Where the hell is live betting at RB?

it can get tough to catch at times, but it has been there every commercial break that i have seen

 

[optionmaven]

Watching the first couple of series for this game, i thought FSU had more team speed and looked good(although auburn receiver dropped a huge bomb). Now it just looks like a mismatch of better athletes on one side of the ball and a young qb having a rough time of it.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Nugs went all the way to Cali for this?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Winston is a hot mess

yeah, one read and taking off to run

 

[Tiger Fan]

Serious question...is there any confidence in Fisher to come back in teh 2nd half?

 

[modogg]

Nugs went all the way to Cali for this?

2nd half looks like it should be fun. I am just hoping Auburn sits on the ball here to end the half

 

[swirvenirvin]

Nugs went all the way to Cali for this?

2nd half looks like it should be fun. I am just hoping Auburn sits on the ball here to end the half

pick 6

 

[tjnc09]

West Virginia -2

Min/Phi o221

Nice hit on WVU. Wish I had seen this in time to play it. I couldn't read that game at all.

WVU hit a 3 basically to tie with little time left in the 2H and TT had a 3 pt shot to try to tie in OT. No read was honestly the right read on this game. Got a lucky cover.

Thanks for Quinnipac - keep up the good work.

Oh and go Southern (+3.5)

 

[Tiger Fan]

The fox sports 1 college crew is doing a live "webcast" during the game. They're going to have a guy who played a 500:1 auburn ticket on in a few minutes. He didn't hedge.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5bvQLuylSI

 

[John Bender]

Auburn +9 2nd half.

Ridiculous line from what I've seen so far.

 

[modogg]

Auburn +9 2nd half.

Ridiculous line from what I've seen so far.

I took Auburn ov 14 tt 2nd half. these have been a big for me, but i don't know why Fl. State could stop them to under 2 TDs in the 2nd half when they couldn't stop them a ton in the 1st half.

 

[Frostillicus]

West Virginia -2

Min/Phi o221

Nice hit on WVU. Wish I had seen this in time to play it. I couldn't read that game at all.

WVU hit a 3 basically to tie with little time left in the 2H and TT had a 3 pt shot to try to tie in OT. No read was honestly the right read on this game. Got a lucky cover.

Thanks for Quinnipac - keep up the good work.

Oh and go Southern (+3.5)

I looked at that one too. Couldn't find an angle to go with either team. GLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.

 

[ChainsawU]

They need some hot chicks in bikinis in that Fox cast.

 

[Frostillicus]

Possible 2u play in hoops tomorrow. Pretty rare. Depends what the line is. This is what we call a tease.

 

[tjnc09]

It's only a two score game

 

[TheGooRoo]

Possible 2u play in hoops tomorrow. Pretty rare. Depends what the line is. This is what we call a tease.

Line is 7

 

[The Ref]

Possible 2u play in hoops tomorrow. Pretty rare. Depends what the line is. This is what we call a tease.

Line is 7

Auburn +9 2nd half.

Ridiculous line from what I've seen so far.

I agree. But I have so much going on Auburn right now i actually laid off a little on -9.

 

[optionmaven]

Played auburn tt over 14 first half. going back to the well on it again. playing fsu under 21.5 as well. Join Bender on +9. And +5.5 3rd quarter.

 

[tjnc09]

Possible 2u play in hoops tomorrow. Pretty rare. Depends what the line is. This is what we call a tease.

Line is 7

I hope we are all thinking Iowa St. like I was.

 

[modogg]

Possible 2u play in hoops tomorrow. Pretty rare. Depends what the line is. This is what we call a tease.

Line is 7

 

[modogg]

If i could have taken a bet that Auburn would get more penalties then Florida State in the 2nd half, i would have maxed the hell out of it

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Auburn was -135 at RB just now and -185 at SB. I hedged a bit.

 

[mquinnjr]

War Eagle -3.5 live for 1U