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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (13 Viewers)

Jeebus, 3 L's and a push. Go Gators, go Badgers.

What putrid outcomes.

If Connecticut and Kentucky play in the Final, I may not watch, let alone bet it.

 
really wanted to break something after that 3pt shot.

I loaded up on Michigan +2 and +2.5...then played a small late hedge on Kentucky -3.5

oh well. great game.

 
got_nugs said:
ChainsawU said:
I don't know if it qualifies as a neighbor, but the prostitute that waved at me today looked pretty good. Sneaky good. :oldunsure:
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Confirm it's not some dude playing hide the dinky before you buy anything. :sharkmove:
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I was leaving my 'hood today, stopped at a red light, turning right. And there was all this honking going on across the street to my left. It was a dirty late-90s Cadillac. And he was honking at a prostitute. To his credit, she looked sexy and had long legs, but kept shrugging him off and giving him the finger. I waited at the light until she walked thru the crosswalk right in front of my car with her daisy dukes and rock & roll t-shirt and no bra. I could see her nips through her shirt and her boobs were really bouncy. I should have taken a pic, I'm such an idiot.

 
Glad to see you guys aren't ####### Gamehunter's ####. Remember when he called the Astros SU on opening day last year.

edit: it might not have been the Astros, but he called some huge dog at one point and it was all downhill from there - my bad for not trusting him, but I don't

 
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I just cannot find time to do my damn taxes. Every time I try to carve out some time, another game is on. Priorities, man!

And now we have a full slate of baseball starting tomorrow. :wall: Maybe I'll just tell them I'll make it up to 'em next year.

 
"Good said:
"Good said:
I have an awesome bet for tomorrow morning.
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F it, I'm not even going to wait for Wiggins. Kentucky +500 to win NCAA 2014 Championship A lot of players are going to flop or disappoint next year. Some on Kentucky's team, some on other big teams. But, Kentucky is so #######ed deep, they can fade some guy getting busted for bad grades or blowing out his knee and still be fine. Take away Kentucky's 5 best players, and they're still probably a ranked team. Might be worth a hedge later on in the tournament, but it's hard to imagine this price ever getting any better, especially after 12:15 PM ET tomorrow.
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Just realized I have money on these guys from this bet. Not the best price but still nice to have alive.

:thumbup:

 
Someone want to give me feedback on this FB team. 5x5 H2H, BA/R/HR/SB/RBI, W/ERA/WHIP/K/S. Roster below, starters in bold

C: Posey, Montero

1B: Votto

2B: Prado (3B, OF), Profar

3B: Beltre, Sandoval

SS: Zobrist (2B, OF), Brad Miller, Bogaerts

OF: Puig, Craig, Ellsbury, Choo, Cuddyer

SP: Darvish, Ryu, Sanchez, Salazar, Kurado, Kazmir, Haren, Colon

RP: Grilly, Frieri, Parnell, Henderson, McGee

 
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Aaron Rudnicki said:
"Good said:
"Good said:
I have an awesome bet for tomorrow morning.
Click to expand...
F it, I'm not even going to wait for Wiggins. Kentucky +500 to win NCAA 2014 Championship A lot of players are going to flop or disappoint next year. Some on Kentucky's team, some on other big teams. But, Kentucky is so #######ed deep, they can fade some guy getting busted for bad grades or blowing out his knee and still be fine. Take away Kentucky's 5 best players, and they're still probably a ranked team. Might be worth a hedge later on in the tournament, but it's hard to imagine this price ever getting any better, especially after 12:15 PM ET tomorrow.
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Just realized I have money on these guys from this bet. Not the best price but still nice to have alive.

:thumbup:
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I make plenty of good bets that lose, wouldn't mind a ####ty one that cashed. :hifive:

 
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
regularguy said:
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
throwing it out there. Got a $500 free bet if anyone has a super duper prop. :excited:
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if nothing sexy comes out before tomorrow, i'm throwing it on:

"Will a #1 team win the tournament"

NO -185

Will make it fun for the 3 weeks with a potential hedge opp
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I always prefer to play the free bets on dogs to maximize value so why not play the YES side of this instead? Most future hedging opportunities would likely be at + odds too. Just a thought.
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:bag: great point
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max was $366...can't use it for this one :rant: looking for other good options where a hedge might be available
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Went with Aggregate seeds int eh final four u12.5 for $500 free bet (-140)
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Really need Florida to win tonight
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Need a Michigan win for this to cash. Will probably look for some sort of a hedge during live betting
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couldn't find the hedge opp :kicksrock:

If Florida wins, I'll win $400 in a bracket pool; so I'll prolly bet Uconn +7 and hope for the middle

 
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Brian Wilson comes in and promptly takes a dump all over the field. Didn't register a single out while allowing 3 runs and two more baserunners.

 
Rangers win in Edmonton tonight 5-0. The Oilers barely even suit up these days. They are @ San Jose on Tuesday night. I can't even imagine what that price will be. -400 would not be a shock.

 
Oilers are 0-7 SU as dogs of 200 or more (avg line 234). The highest they were lined was 252 at Anaheim on Jan 3. They were lined 231 at San Jose on Jan 2. The O/U is 5-2 in Oilers games when they are lined 200 or more (5-0 L5 with an average of 5.2 ±0.4 goals allowed). The Sharks might hit the over by themselves.

 
I probably should have posted the Sharps Report before the games started, but I forgot. :oldunsure:

DAYTON VS. FLORIDA (in Memphis): This line opened at Florida -10.5 in the earliest shops. Sharps quickly took the dog at that price, resulting in Dayton +10 being the most common number as we go to press. The old school guys like betting double digit dogs. And, a number like 10.5 is very high for an Elite Eight game no matter who’s playing. Sources tell us most Wise Guys had this game Power Rated at Florida -10 because Dayton was so far off the pace entering the Dance. If the public bets the favorite higher, more money would come in on the dog. Best potential we here is a “tug-of-war” between the public on Florida -10 and sharps on Dayton +10.5.

The Over/Under opened at 132, and was bet up to 132.5. That’s not much of a move based on what we’ve seen from the math guys this week. Remember that they’ve been shading their action Over because of perceived low openers, the potential for late free throw parades, and the potential for overtime. They typically take overtime off the table with a spread this high…which may be why the number only moved higher by half a point.

WISCONSIN VS. ARIZONA (in Anaheim): The earliest offshore places and LVH in Las Vegas posted Arizona -1.5. Sharps hit Arizona very quickly at low limits enough to move the game to Arizona -3. It’s stayed there ever since. Later openers were at the full three. Public money was busy with the marquee games Friday rather than early betting in this one. Reports from trusted sources tell us that Wisconsin Wise guy money is waiting to see if the public moves the number higher. That’s a reasonable assumption given how much Arizona usually gets from locals in Vegas. Sharps had the game Power Rated at Arizona -3…which is why that -1.5 was hit…but betting stopped at three. Might have a tug-of-war here between Arizona -3 and Wisconsin -3.5 depending on how much the public bets.

No movement on the Over/Under, which has stood pat at 130. The fact that the math guys DIDN’T bet this one over is fairly telling though. Most other games were seeing over action…and a low line of three suggests overtime potential. Basically, the “pass” is an endorsement of the Under! Sources tell us the math guys will take the Under if the public pushes the total up to 131 or higher. Remember that squares (the general public) like betting Overs in big TV games because they prefer rooting for scoring rather than defense. And, squares like betting Overs in parlays when there’s so few games on TV. The late starting time also allows for extra betting. The math guys may get that opportunity to bet Under 131 or better.

MICHIGAN STATE VS. CONNECTICUT (in New York): Michigan State opened at -5 in the earliest spots, and was quickly bet up by early sharp money to Michigan State -5.5 and then -6. There’s been significant betting interest on UCONN in Las Vegas this week. You may have ready about that elsewhere on the web. We seem to have a mix of sharp and square action making its way from the East Coast in a way that’s scored well so far. That money took UCONN +6, which has dropped the number to a solid 5.5 everywhere as we go to press. In short, differing sharp factions are on Michigan -5 and UCONN +6. If the public moves the game off the 5.5 during the day Sunday before tipoff, then the appropriate contingent will invest some more.

The Over/Under opened at 139 and has largely stayed up. Some stores are testing 139.5, or have moved there on public action. We’re hearing that the math guys had 139 for their number, and will only get involved in game day line moves create an opportunity for them.

MICHIGAN VS. KENTUCKY (in Indianapolis): The earliest stores put up pick-em in this game. Kentucky money hit very quickly even though the Wildcats are a #8 seed and Michigan is a #2. The game was a solid Kentucky -2 when the straggler stores finally opened the game up for betting. We haven’t seen any sharp buy backs yet. If the public keeps betting Kentucky, sharps would definitely come in at +3. Some may settle for +2.5 if they think that’s the best they’re going to see. Oddsmakers (and more than a few sharps) were surprised at the volume of early money that came in on Kentucky. Sharps who are now getting high Power Ratings on Kentucky bet pick-em and -1 at the first openers. Those who have it at pick-em are waiting to see what they can get.

The total opened at 138, and has been bet up to 141. We’re hearing the math guys are behind that move. They made the game 140 or 141 because both defenses could have trouble matching up with the opposing offense. Michigan is soft inside, which is where Kentucky likes to pound it. Kentucky doesn’t always chase around the perimeter as hard as they should, particularly when tired. Michigan is great at making open treys. Wise Guy groups are very happy with their Over positions at 138, 139, and 140.

 
Italy soccer

Udinese -161 ML

Udinese is 7w-2d-5l at home while Catania is 0w-2d-13l on the road.

One of Catanias 4 wins came at home against Udinese. They scored on a penalty kick at the 30 min mark.

Udinese doesn't really have much to play for and Catania is fighting for their relegation life but there is a reason Catania is the worst team in the league.

I'm looking at a 1-0 2-0 Udinese win.

 
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