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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (14 Viewers)

Giants slugging .326 L4 games and 0-for w RISP tonight. Ross working on the CGSO & SF two dudes out of the lineup. But I really thought I had something w that over trend. Guess not. And the Pods are going to continue the game 1 Friday trend as well. Should have found that one yesterday. <_<

 
Took a risk on a live bet of Astros under 3.5 runs in the bottom of the 7th and it hit.

+$38.67 in two-days of betting. Better than losing money, lol.

 
Frostillicus said:
Good Posting Judge said:
Eminence said:
Took a risk on a live bet of Astros under 3.5 runs in the bottom of the 7th and it hit.

+$38.67 in two-days of betting. Better than losing money, lol.
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Baseball is a grind, that's what a guy named Chris Pirelli told me.
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Betting baseball is exhausting. I quit at least 4-9 times a year.
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I love the game to death, but so much flat-out STUPID stuff happens just when you think you have a handle on things. Frustrating as hell, day-to-day.

 
Hey Em, just a heads up-last time I used betus and tried to withdrawal they asked me for a PDF of every bet I placed on their site in order to process the payment- which is silly talk. Not sure if that's changed, it was a few yrs ago, but you need protection if you're gonna be rolling with us - expecting deep pockets. I'd check into it before you get too deep(actually overall a good rule of thumb, no?).

 
I wish this Dodgers game would end soon -- it's been a long week. I'm sitting on the Dodgers to close a parlay, and I took the D-backs in live betting to lock in a profit after the A's came in. LA winning would be about $600 better for the bottom line than Arizona winning, though.

 
Thank sweet lil baby Jesus that Miami is in the east. Okc with the 2 seed gets Memphis? Like 39-15 since gasol came back Memphis? They should win but man. Meanwhile Miami gets the bobcats.

Life is good out east.

 
Raider Nation said:
Frostillicus said:
Good Posting Judge said:
Eminence said:
Took a risk on a live bet of Astros under 3.5 runs in the bottom of the 7th and it hit.

+$38.67 in two-days of betting. Better than losing money, lol.
Click to expand...
Baseball is a grind, that's what a guy named Chris Pirelli told me.
Click to expand...
Betting baseball is exhausting. I quit at least 4-9 times a year.
Click to expand...
I love the game to death, but so much flat-out STUPID stuff happens just when you think you have a handle on things. Frustrating as hell, day-to-day.
Click to expand...
Betting baseball props is the worst ever since sportsbook stopped with the yes/no rbi, run, K, and hit bets. The amount of horrible stuff that happens is just exhausting. Betting against a guy who just looks like a fool through three at bats just to have him get an infield single to knock in a run and then come around to score to lose your bet against some #### box reliever is not a fun thing.

 
Eminence said:
Took a risk on a live bet of Astros under 3.5 runs in the bottom of the 7th and it hit.

+$38.67 in two-days of betting. Better than losing money, lol.
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Put the $38.00 on the Diamondbacks @ +110. If this score sticks, it puts me +$79.00 over two-days. Definitely got some house money to piss around with now.

 
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If someone has a lot of money and a lot of time, how do you not hit every casino in Vegas and put a max bet on the Heat to win the series with the Bobcats? Absolute free money.

 
Sounds like Steve Stevens' next pick for his clients.

"MIAMI HEAT -3600.... get on it now. ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT WINNER!!!"


(Don't forget that you owe me half when it's over.)

 
Raider Nation said:
Sounds like Steve Stevens' next pick for his clients.

"MIAMI HEAT -3600.... get on it now. ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT WINNER!!!"

(Don't forget that you owe me half when it's over.)
Click to expand...
Lebron turns an ankle, Lebron does his freeze-up thing because someone gets enterprising like Kevin Garnett and gets in his ear about people ####### Lebron's mom, Charlotte gets the ball to Jefferson even more, given how he dominated Miami in the regular season, rumors leak out that Lebron's going to opt out, Kemba goes all 2011 on everyone again.

Miami point differential is +4.8 this year, lowest of the Lebron era. Their defense (and Lebron's especially) has slipped. Not to say that Charlotte +1600 is a good bet, but I don't think Miami's 100% to win.

And, psychologically, one would be tearing their hair out if you have, say, $3300 down to win $100, and the Fightin' Kembas manage to steal a couple games and get it to 2-2. That's just 4-6 days of pure ####### torture ahead of you, which is in no way worth the $100.

And Spurs -950 is even better, I think.

 
"Good said:
Raider Nation said:
Sounds like Steve Stevens' next pick for his clients.

"MIAMI HEAT -3600.... get on it now. ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT WINNER!!!"

(Don't forget that you owe me half when it's over.)
Click to expand...
Lebron turns an ankle, Lebron does his freeze-up thing because someone gets enterprising like Kevin Garnett and gets in his ear about people ####### Lebron's mom, Charlotte gets the ball to Jefferson even more, given how he dominated Miami in the regular season, rumors leak out that Lebron's going to opt out, Kemba goes all 2011 on everyone again.

Miami point differential is +4.8 this year, lowest of the Lebron era. Their defense (and Lebron's especially) has slipped. Not to say that Charlotte +1600 is a good bet, but I don't think Miami's 100% to win.

And, psychologically, one would be tearing their hair out if you have, say, $3300 down to win $100, and the Fightin' Kembas manage to steal a couple games and get it to 2-2. That's just 4-6 days of pure ####### torture ahead of you, which is in no way worth the $100.

And Spurs -950 is even better, I think.
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Those 1st 2 paragraphs should be stricken from the record. Blasphemy!!!

I could be wrong but I don't look much into the differential. Wade missed 22ish games and the playoff heat defense is about effort, something miami obviously showed limited amounts of and tried to conserve this year. Not sure we'll see much of it this series either. Won't need to. Al Jefferson is a beast though.

I'd also go spurs at that price.

 
optionmaven said:
Eminence said:
I like the Raptors ML.
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Why? And if your BR is 78, don't put it all down in this spot.
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Raptors' first playoff game in ever. They split the series 2 - 2 in the regular season but here's the kicker (for me at least):

Toronto: 26 - 15 HOME

Brooklyn: 15 - 26 ROAD

Got any better bets for me? I've got my 1U bets out and am now looking for my big bet. I think that stadium is going to be loud and those Raptors should be playing all out. Nets might win series but Game 1 goes Raptors, imo.

 
Eminence said:
optionmaven said:
Eminence said:
I like the Raptors ML.
Click to expand...
Why? And if your BR is 78, don't put it all down in this spot.
Click to expand...
Raptors' first playoff game in ever. They split the series 2 - 2 in the regular season but here's the kicker (for me at least):

Toronto: 26 - 15 HOME

Brooklyn: 15 - 26 ROAD

Got any better bets for me? I've got my 1U bets out and am now looking for my big bet. I think that stadium is going to be loud and those Raptors should be playing all out. Nets might win series but Game 1 goes Raptors, imo.
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Fair enough. Just wanted to hear a reason for liking the pick. The good Dr. is on the Blackhawks, thats usually good enough for me. I would like to know how the Hawks have fared on weekend day games this year. Not sure if Rainman is up yet and can run that through his database. I'm liking the under in this game as well.

 
Rays -1 +100/Giants -126 126/326

Rays -142/Giants/Padres o7 +100 142/342

Archer versus the Yanks (3-0 with 1.23 ERA in 22.0 IP) and then the Rays are 16-4 SU and 5-0 L5 home since 2012 after scoring 10+ runs. Giants are 5-0 to the over in Stults' games at Petco. And then the whole Giants/Pads overs trend that hits progressively easier as the series goes on. And to a lesser extent the rookie ump in SD, Gabe Morales.

 
Blackhawks only had one game this season that started at 3PM EST and they won it Nov 2 away versus Jets. It was a Saturday. The rest of their games all started 7PM or later. Blackhawks 16-13 SU on the weekends this season (5-7 away).

 
Blackhawks 6-2 after their eight road losses in overtime this season with an average of 4.2 goals scored in the wins link. They were 3-1 away with 5 goals scored in each of those 3 road wins after losing on the road in OT.

 
Previous 4 games:

Brooklyn: 102

Toronto: 100

Brooklyn: 80

Toronto: 96

Toronto: 104

Brooklyn: 103

Toronto: 97

Brooklyn: 101

When factoring in these, the OVER on Game 1 looks pretty decent.

BROOKLYN O 94.5
TORONTO O 98

GAME O 192.5

Thoughts? I might wait until after the first quarter to see if these lines move in a more favorable direction. But these teams have had no trouble scoring on each other all season long.

EDIT: Yeah, I'm going to end up chasing the OVER live betting throughout the entire game and try to pick up a few opportune lines.

 
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ChainsawU said:
Blackhawks only had one game this season that started at 3PM EST and they won it Nov 2 away versus Jets. It was a Saturday. The rest of their games all started 7PM or later. Blackhawks 16-13 SU on the weekends this season (5-7 away).
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Blackhawks played the Blues just 2 weeks ago and the game started at 12:30pm Eastern. They won 4-2.

here's the schedule:

http://espn.go.com/nhl/teams/printSchedule?team=chi&season=2014

Jan 19th vs Boston was a 12:30pm start as well. They won that in a shootout.

Nov 2nd was a 5-1 win over Winnipeg so looks to me like they are 3-0 in day games this year.

Blues have a lot more afternoon starts on their schedule:

http://espn.go.com/nhl/teams/printSchedule?team=stl&season=2014

not sure how they've done overall

But, I'm on Chicago today regardless of this stuff.

 
I like both SOG unders in the early game today. I think they are set high based on the OT game last time out, but these are two of the best defensive teams in the league.

CHI U32.5 (EV)

STL U32.5 (-120)

just looking at the regulation stats from last game, it was 21 shots for chicago and 28 for st louis. add that in to their numbers against each other all season, and Chicago averaged 29 and the Blues averaged 27.

if you're worried about another long OT killing both bets, can play TIE +260 as a potential hedge there in the 3-way line.

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
I like both SOG unders in the early game today. I think they are set high based on the OT game last time out, but these are two of the best defensive teams in the league.

CHI U32.5 (EV)

STL U32.5 (-120)

just looking at the regulation stats from last game, it was 21 shots for chicago and 28 for st louis. add that in to their numbers against each other all season, and Chicago averaged 29 and the Blues averaged 27.

if you're worried about another long OT killing both bets, can play TIE +260 as a potential hedge there in the 3-way line.
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You kids juiced the crap out of that Under 32 and under 31.5 both at -140.

 
Kinda sucks I have to give StevieSteve 50%, glad he had me buy the points though!

139709651-1 4/19/2014 12:34 PM Spread 1,300.00 1,000.00 Pregame Basketball
701 Brooklyn Nets +5 -130 buying 1 for Game
1) BET ID=439091790 Straight Wager 04/19/14 12:36 ET bet 500.00 to win 333.33 Result: Pending Brooklyn Nets 92
Toronto Raptors 87 04/19/14(12:45 ET)
Brooklyn Nets +5 (-150) Bought 1.5 point(s)​
2) BET ID=439091696 Straight Wager 04/19/14 12:36 ET bet 500.00 to win 333.33 Result: Pending Brooklyn Nets 92
Toronto Raptors 87 04/19/14(12:45 ET)
Brooklyn Nets +5 (-150) Bought 1.5 point(s)​
 
Both teams shooting under 40%, both missing free throws. 1h point total 104. I'm taking over 105 2h...but I just have the feeling, no other stats or insider info to support this play.

 
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