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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

Steve Stevens, explaining why he likes the over in the Navy/San Jose State game.

"Navy runs the ball and they like to score."

As opposed to all of the other teams which HATE to score.

 
Nugs>

Rangers win the east +5u for me on a .75u bet

Habs win the east +7u

Habs win the Cup +14u more

So Rangers will be dogs in this series, I'm thinking +100 to +110. I will put 1.5 units on them to guarantee a 6.5u return. If Habs win it's +5.5 units and then maybe take a middle in the finals to lock in 10 units plus.

If you didn't tail the Habs cup future, then 1.5u on Rangers series locks in 8/1 profit.

 
Spurs lived up to the trend with their highest scoring quarter in the 2Q. Not sure what to think about the 3Q. I think Portland is good for 53-54 2H. I would assume the 3Q total is set too high, but not going to bet it. I need Portland o93.5 and SA o101 at this point so don't want to root for dry spells.

 
Wizards 23-22 SU at home (.511) and 27-20 SU away (.574). They are 10-20-1 ATS as the home favorite. This is the same line the Pacers won SU against in their L2 games here. Sagarin said G4 should have been Indy +1. He says this line should be Indy +2.25. Pacers 4-1 SU and ATS in the playoffs away (4-0 L4). I like points, action, and reduced juice. Cheers.

Pacers +175

Pacers +4½ -102

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Hey Saw, know of any data re: how pitchers do in their MLB debuts ATS?
Click to expand...
I don't, but I have someone I can ask. I tried to figure out something similar regarding first-time venues when Bud Norris pitched his first game at Rogers Centre this season, but just ran out of time and gave up. Might as well start digging again, because you never know what you will find. I'll let you know if I turn up anything.

 
Underdogs in the NBA playoffs this year are 30-38 SU (.441) and 41-25-2 (.621) ATS. They are 8-11 SU (.421) and 12-7-0 ATS (.632) so far in round two. To put that into perspective, last year through the first two rounds underdogs were 18-46 SU (.281) and 27-36-1 ATS (.429).

 
What's the point going to Vegas to bet on sports with VIP and then not watching the games? Can you imagine anything more annoying than going on an excursion/shopping spree during the game with Steve checking his phone and dramatically announcing the score every five minutes.

 
So Sankey might be worth something for OROY. Will wait, but Greene has never really impressed and always seems to be dinged up. He might have the most clear path for carries.

 
swirvenirvin said:
So Sankey might be worth something for OROY. Will wait, but Greene has never really impressed and always seems to be dinged up. He might have the most clear path for carries.
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I think I can agree with this to a point, but you do have to stop and consider how much bias there is to QB's in the NFL. I think if TB starts all 16 and puts up an average year and BS goes for 1300/13 its still very possible TB gets the award.

 
12:35... Game 1 - Padres/Reds u6.5 (even)

The Reds aren't hitting and they generally don't hit for Johnny, anyway. So he knows he has to be perfect. He's capable of that.

 
ChainsawU said:
Wizards 23-22 SU at home (.511) and 27-20 SU away (.574). They are 10-20-1 ATS as the home favorite. This is the same line the Pacers won SU against in their L2 games here. Sagarin said G4 should have been Indy +1. He says this line should be Indy +2.25. Pacers 4-1 SU and ATS in the playoffs away (4-0 L4). I like points, action, and reduced juice. Cheers.

Pacers +175

Pacers +4½ -102
Click to expand...
Should I buy half a point?

 
Yanks o4 100

Yanks RL 150

The Yankees have scored four or more runs each of their L8 games and 10 of the Yankees' 11 road wins have been by two or more runs.

 
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