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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

I've been waiting a week to say that. Naw, dudes. I'm taking a senior-level strategic management class. I have led my team to first-place in each of the first two weeks. I literally have no time for football. Sorry about my lineup this week.

 
ChainsawU said:
Now riddle me this. Whenever I hit her hard in the middle she piss. Do I take that as normal and watch her play with her tlts?
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THERE HE IS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111JUANURIBE

 
John Bender said:
Eh... Fade me at your own risk at this point. :shrug:
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Seriously. I didn't pay much today, but my teaser with the Saints and SF i thought was lock city. I'm done thinking, straight tailing for the next week or 2.

with that Ind -3 tomorrow. Birds are missing half their OL

 
got_nugs said:
John Bender said:
There's room on the Bears side of things tonight. :shrug:
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got_nugs said:
Bender is on a .... bender. Do work dude!

On SF and the OVER tonight cause i'm square as bobs pants.
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I do mean this.

I've been here a long time.

And I remember Week 2 was always our threads worst week

So I went into Week 2 thinking "ok, what did Week 1 teach me? Do the opposite"

Happens every single year. If not for a bull#### 10 second run off call (seriously, Mike Evans was tackled with 15 seconds left and Lovie Smith just shrugged...what an awful POS coach), that was 6-0 with an outright dog winner.

Not to mention yesterday, with 2 outright dog winners and 4-1.

Remember this post next year....

Make all your plays for Week 2, and reverse them

Now....you wanna see something cool? I will tank from here on out and lament that I'm a gambler who can't stop lol.

Also....welcome back chain!

 
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Wish you guys could teleport here. The meatballs I make are ####ing RIDICULOUS! Pepperoni sticks sliced up and sweet sausage in the sauce too. :wub:

 
Something else I was curious about...how often do dogs win outright vs simply covering?

Long term what would be the loss/gain if you just took the ML on dogs of a TD or less vs just taking the points?

 
Started the battle this morning...sent an email to sportsbetting to clarify that all my season long player props should be refunded because the guys didn't make enough starts. Figured I'd get a jump on the fight.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
Something else I was curious about...how often do dogs win outright vs simply covering?

Long term what would be the loss/gain if you just took the ML on dogs of a TD or less vs just taking the points?
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Last five years (since 2009), dogs of a TD or less have covered the spread 50.5% of the time and won SU 37.8% of the time.

 
Seems weird that Foles didnt run at all last week so I think the number may be a bit low, and Polk should be active which may cut into Sproles role a bit

*.8 Foles over 12.5 rush -115

*.1 Sproles under 67.5 rush+rec -115

*.8 Nicks under 42.5 -115

 
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Some trends through 2 weeks

RB rush unders and WR rec unders are dominating.

Code: 
Trends	Record	RB		Rushing	8-3	Over	1-2	Under	7-1	Trend	Unders	9-2Receiving	0-3	Over		Under	0-3	Trend	Overs	3-0Receptions	2-2	Over	2-2	Under	 	Trend	Overs	2-2Rush+Rec	1-0	Over	 	Under	1-0	Trend	Unders	1-0QB		Passing	9-6	Over	 	Under	9-6	Trend	Unders	9-6Completions	3-3	Over	2-3	Under	1-0	Trend	Overs	4-2Rushing	2-0	Over	1-0	Under	1-0	Trend	Overs	1-0WR		Receiving	10-8	Over	0-4	Under	10-4	Trend	Unders	14-4Receptions	6-6	Over	6-3	Under	0-3	Trend	Overs	9-3TE		Receiving	0-2	Over	0-1	Under	0-1	Trend	Unders	0-1Receptions	1-1	Over	0-1	Under	1-0	Trend	Unders	2-0
 
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