FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

Colts v NFC since 2012

The Colts are 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS, and 6-2 O/U versus the NFC since 2012.

The average line in those games was Colts +4.

This will be the second time the Colts have been lined the favorite versus the NFC since 2012.

The average halftime score in those games was Colts 9.8 Opponent 19.4.

The Colts lost the three games by SU margins of -20,-30,-29.

The over went 6-0 in games that the Colts trailed at the half.

 

[ChainsawU]

I can see why the Colts get the love here. They went 7-2 SU and 5-3-1 ATS at home last season against an average line of -3.8. This is going to be a fun night, just to be able to watch a game. I have watched about four football games since the season started, NCAA included. Such a weird bet, but I also like the Eagles side as a 2Q bet - just something that keeps popping up, but who the hell bets that.

 

[ChainsawU]

Sagarin's numbers, with home field added in, made this game Colts -0.12.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Eagles started off the season with two consecutive games versus an AFC opponent.

 

[ChainsawU]

Since 2012 NFC teams playing their second consecutive regular-season game versus the AFC are 23-13 SU, 21-14-1 ATS (avg line -2.5), and 25-10-1 O/U. link
In that same situation as the underdog they are 8-2 SU, 9-1 ATS (avg line 5.0), and 9-1 O/U (9-0 O/U L9). link

 

[ChainsawU]

For anyone backing the Colts, they play the Jags next week but nothing in recent history suggests they fall off with a look-ahead to a division opponent. And have actually had some good recent performances in that spot.

 

[Raider Nation]

Colts have a good offense.

 

[Raider Nation]

Philly has a good offense too!

 

[Raider Nation]

I really like Indy's uniforms.

 

[Raider Nation]

Chip Kelly seems smart.

 

[Raider Nation]

I have gas.

 

[ScoobySnack]

I have gas.

So you are calling for a blowout!

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Just came across this stat:

Since 2014, the Colts haven't failed to cover the spread.

 

[Man In The Box]

Good work yesterday Bender.

http://youtu.be/8rwPovyR9HY

Thanks to swirv for the Forte prop. Saved the day. No clue on tonight's game so I'll tail the over.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Enter promo code NFL15 for 10% FREE BET up to $500 today

At Sportsbook... just posted on their twitter.

 

[mquinnjr]

The Eagles O-line in shambles giving anyone pause here?

 

[lumpy19]

Just came across this stat:

Since 2014, the Colts haven't failed to cover the spread.

Pretty sure this is wrong http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=340111017

 

[Angry Beavers]

There were 6 teams that won by at least 13 points in Week 1, 5 of those 6 lost in Week 2. The 6th? Eagles..

 

[Angry Beavers]

If you include Home games Eagles are 4-29 straight Up against AFC teams who made the Playoffs previous yr.. 24 of the loses were by 10+

 

[Angry Beavers]

Eagles are 0-15 on the Road vs AFC Teams that made the Playoffs previous year (good teams) . If you count the SB .. They're 0-16

[SIZE=14.44444465637207px]The [/SIZE]Eagles[SIZE=14.44444465637207px] haven't won a Road Game vs a AFC team that made the Playoffs in 23 years ...Monday Night 1991[/SIZE]

 

[lumpy19]

I have gas.

This is the kind of in depth gambling analysis i NEED before placing a wager

 

[Angry Beavers]

The Eagles O-line in shambles giving anyone pause here?

The Indy D is in shambles as well. I do think INDY wins at home on MNF, but I think we are in for a shootout.

 

[Angry Beavers]

For anyone backing the Colts, they play the Jags next week but nothing in recent history suggests they fall off with a look-ahead to a division opponent. And have actually had some good recent performances in that spot.

Philly plays division rival WAS next week in what is probably the two best teams in that division. Anything on that angle?

 

[Tiger Fan]

Enter promo code NFL15 for 10% FREE BET up to $500 today

At Sportsbook... just posted on their twitter.

They should have a 25% match on Thursday. I'd wait if you could

 

[ChainsawU]

For anyone backing the Colts, they play the Jags next week but nothing in recent history suggests they fall off with a look-ahead to a division opponent. And have actually had some good recent performances in that spot.

Philly plays division rival WAS next week in what is probably the two best teams in that division. Anything on that angle?

3-2 SU and ATS last season in the weeks before playing NFC East.

0-6 SU and ATS in the same situation in 2012.

 

[LOCO]

I always like to back a team that desperately needs a win. Colts lose this game, they fall to 0-2, and two games behind the texans. Eagles don't have to win this game, i think the Colts HAVE to win.

so i am putting all my cookies on the ML.

Colts

1.5 units to win 1.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Just came across this stat:

Since September 2014, the Colts haven't failed to cover the spread.

Pretty sure this is wrong http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=340111017

egregious typo. my bad. fixed right up now.

 

[Plorfu]

The spot where an eagle landed told the ancient Aztecs the place where they were to build a city. However, Samuel Colt was born in Hartford which is, are you ready for this...also a city.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I always like to back a team that desperately needs a win. Colts lose this game, they fall to 0-2, and two games behind the texans. Eagles don't have to win this game, i think the Colts HAVE to win.

so i am putting all my cookies on the ML.

Colts

1.5 units to win 1.

See Saints yesterday

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Every NFL team tries pretty hard.

 

[LOCO]

I always like to back a team that desperately needs a win. Colts lose this game, they fall to 0-2, and two games behind the texans. Eagles don't have to win this game, i think the Colts HAVE to win.

so i am putting all my cookies on the ML.

Colts

1.5 units to win 1.

See Saints yesterday

Plus they are at home. that is also part of the equation.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Every NFL team tries pretty hard.

See Oakland Raiders yesterday

 

[NIU Kicker]

So we got anything decent on the prop front tonight?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

So we got anything decent on the prop front tonight?

Bad Tim posts in the AP Thread ov 6.5 -120

 

[-fish-]

So we got anything decent on the prop front tonight?

Bad Tim posts in the AP Thread ov 6.5 -120

hammering this.

 

[hagmania]

I like McCoy o3.5 receptions.

 

[Billy Bats]

Something else I was curious about...how often do dogs win outright vs simply covering?

Long term what would be the loss/gain if you just took the ML on dogs of a TD or less vs just taking the points?

Of the 19 dogs (19-12) that covered this season, 14 have won outright.

 

[VA703]

Phi +3

 

[Billy Bats]

Andrew Luck (13-3 at home) has yet to lose two NFL games in a row. Eagles generally suck against the AFC(especially on the road) and their OL is beat up.

Colts -155 ML

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

 

[jamil]

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

He'll be good for like 8 then.

 

[TheGooRoo]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

hopefully not much anymore the line was so low on him too. It opened at 44.5 and dropped to 42.5. I did take a little on under 55.5 rush+rec too

 

[jamil]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

I don't understand pep. Offense is so predictable until they get down two scores and let luck loose.

 

[TheGooRoo]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

I don't understand pep. Offense is so predictable until they get down two scores and let luck loose.

Should I just go ahead and bet Luck o 140.5 2h yards right now?

 

[got_nugs]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

I don't understand pep. Offense is so predictable until they get down two scores and let luck loose.

Should I just go ahead and bet Luck o 140.5 2h yards right now?

That's a pregame offering, Clark?

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

Something's off with Mort. I noticed it a few weeks ago, he stammers a lot. Has trouble completing thoughts/sentences. Is there something wrong with him?

 

[NIU Kicker]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

hopefully not much anymore the line was so low on him too. It opened at 44.5 and dropped to 42.5. I did take a little on under 55.5 rush+rec too

I'm seeing 39.5. -140 now.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Under 27.5 1h

 

[TheGooRoo]

I only see 3 IDP props listed tonight at my books. Have a lean towards the overs because the Indy crew gives out lots of assists generally, and the Eagles fast paced offense should create lots of opportunities for both sides. But, I think the lines are set pretty well for the players they offered.

I'm playing Fletcher Cox O3.5 tackles (-115) since the number is low and Trent Richardson will probably run right into him at least 4 times tonight.

put a little on Ryans O7.5 and Landry O7 just for action mostly but 8 tackles to win feels like a high number for both.

Made me laugh. How that guy is still getting 15+ touches is incredible.

I don't understand pep. Offense is so predictable until they get down two scores and let luck loose.

Should I just go ahead and bet Luck o 140.5 2h yards right now?

That's a pregame offering, Clark?

That's a roger Eddie.

http://awesomescreenshot.com/0723hr1t46