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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

Aaron Rudnicki said:
Good Posting Judge said:
NFL Power Rankings from ESPN Insider:

s Rankings

16 (tie). Miami Dolphins (19.5)

The Dolphins were unable to build on their upset over the Patriots in Week 1 as they lost 24-10 at Buffalo as 1-point road dogs.

Previous rating: 20

19 (tie). Buffalo Bills (19)

The Bills continue climb with a 24-10 win over the Dolphins as 1-point favorites; they are one of only four teams at 2-0 SU and ATS.

Previous rating: 18
Click to expand...
clear sign these people have no idea what they are doing.

Dolphins moved up 4 spots (from 20 to 16) and passed the Bills after a game in which they were completely dominated in just about all phases?

Also, how do you move from 18 to 19 and "continue to climb"? Are they climbing backwards?

GTFO
Click to expand...
yeah, that ranking is just simply silly. I do not like the Browns at all, but having them tied for 26th is simply silly. they beat the Saints, and gave the Steelers a good run for their money.

But i guess that is the point of all those arbitrary rankings. Make them a little risque so that people talk about them and discuss your system

 
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Looks like Iowa will be a system play this week currently at 47 and 131 rypg

Currently at 6.5 or 7 at -115

Florida Atl is close but at 47.5 and avg 113

thats it for the week.

 
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Tiger Fan said:
Raider Nation said:
swirvenirvin said:
Looks like Iowa will be a system play this week currently at 47 and 131 rypg
Click to expand...
swirv, I must have missed it. In a nutshell, what constitutes a play in this system?
Click to expand...
Total of 47 or less

Road team dog b/w 3-19

Road team avgs. more than 125 rushing/game

http://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/good-rushing-teams-undervalued-low-scoring-college-football-games/
Click to expand...
Can you see the win rate on this system from say week 2-6 vs 7-13? Essentially you're looking for "good rushing teams", and I absolutely hate the fact that a team can be labeled as a good rushing team with a 1, 2, 3+ game sample size. A passing team that has little interest in rushing can get up 40 points against Elon in week 1, carry the ball 50 times in the 2h, avg less than 3 ypc, and fall in the good rushing team category in this system. Makes me cringe.

 
TheGooRoo said:
Tiger Fan said:
Raider Nation said:
swirvenirvin said:
Looks like Iowa will be a system play this week currently at 47 and 131 rypg
Click to expand...
swirv, I must have missed it. In a nutshell, what constitutes a play in this system?
Click to expand...
Total of 47 or less

Road team dog b/w 3-19

Road team avgs. more than 125 rushing/game

http://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/good-rushing-teams-undervalued-low-scoring-college-football-games/
Click to expand...
Can you see the win rate on this system from say week 2-6 vs 7-13? Essentially you're looking for "good rushing teams", and I absolutely hate the fact that a team can be labeled as a good rushing team with a 1, 2, 3+ game sample size. A passing team that has little interest in rushing can get up 40 points against Elon in week 1, carry the ball 50 times in the 2h, avg less than 3 ypc, and fall in the good rushing team category in this system. Makes me cringe.
Click to expand...
I would assume you could if you were a betlabs customer, but it wasn't specified in the article. Totally get your point though.

 
John Bender said:
Should we be playing these as soon as they are in all the criteria windows or what until Sunday morning to do so?
Click to expand...
Supposed to be closing line so I'm going to wait. Last week Minny was 47.5 on Tuesday closed around 50 and they got smoked, plus that big of a jump made it a no play.. double plus that line went from +10 to +16

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Tiger Fan said:
TheGooRoo said:
Tiger Fan said:
Raider Nation said:
swirvenirvin said:
Looks like Iowa will be a system play this week currently at 47 and 131 rypg
Click to expand...
swirv, I must have missed it. In a nutshell, what constitutes a play in this system?
Click to expand...
Total of 47 or less

Road team dog b/w 3-19

Road team avgs. more than 125 rushing/game

http://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/good-rushing-teams-undervalued-low-scoring-college-football-games/
Click to expand...
Can you see the win rate on this system from say week 2-6 vs 7-13? Essentially you're looking for "good rushing teams", and I absolutely hate the fact that a team can be labeled as a good rushing team with a 1, 2, 3+ game sample size. A passing team that has little interest in rushing can get up 40 points against Elon in week 1, carry the ball 50 times in the 2h, avg less than 3 ypc, and fall in the good rushing team category in this system. Makes me cringe.
Click to expand...
I would assume you could if you were a betlabs customer, but it wasn't specified in the article. Totally get your point though.
Click to expand...
agreed would have liked to look at that too after week 1 cupcake match-up vs someone. Havent all of our dogs won straight up anyways?

Well I think real system is 1-0 and close plays is 3-0 total

 
The problem that I have with system plays is that I always get the feeling that somebody smarter than me has figured this out and the lines are adjusted accordingly. That, and there are always about a third to a half of all games on a given weekend go contrary to any logic whatsoever.

 
Treynwreck3 said:
The problem that I have with system plays is that I always get the feeling that somebody smarter than me has figured this out and the lines are adjusted accordingly. That, and there are always about a third to a half of all games on a given weekend go contrary to any logic whatsoever.
Click to expand...
the nccaf has produced a whopping 1 real play in 3 weeks.

the west coast to east coast is low volume too but it really isnt a system its just stats

 
hagmania said:
Leroy Hoard said:
hagmania said:
I'll throw a dart imo...

NFL teams that played their first two games on the road and then play at home in week 3 are 21-41-4 ATS (33.9%)

Since 2004: 6-16-2 (27.3%)

Since 2009: 3-11-1 (21.4%)

Jags, Pats, Saints fall into the above.
Click to expand...
Interesting stat.
Click to expand...
For God's sake don't act on anything I post. I'm posting for education on sportsdb technique, maybe I'll learn something over time.
Click to expand...
:lmao: Lmao:

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Good Posting Judge said:
NFL Power Rankings from ESPN Insider:

s Rankings

16 (tie). Miami Dolphins (19.5)

The Dolphins were unable to build on their upset over the Patriots in Week 1 as they lost 24-10 at Buffalo as 1-point road dogs.

Previous rating: 20

19 (tie). Buffalo Bills (19)

The Bills continue climb with a 24-10 win over the Dolphins as 1-point favorites; they are one of only four teams at 2-0 SU and ATS.

Previous rating: 18
Click to expand...
clear sign these people have no idea what they are doing.

Dolphins moved up 4 spots (from 20 to 16) and passed the Bills after a game in which they were completely dominated in just about all phases?

Also, how do you move from 18 to 19 and "continue to climb"? Are they climbing backwards?

GTFO
Click to expand...
The climb refers to the power rating (18 to 19), not their rankings.

A game is just a one-time sample. Denver wasn't rated 40 points lower than Seattle last year either. I think the numbers are figured out before the season and adjusted a bit from week to week.

 
Tiger Fan said:
who else are we following gambling wise on twitter?
Click to expand...
You could follow me while I follow someone else. It'll be lemmingtastic.

Why are Girardi's panties all in a bunch? Funny to read the Red Sox, Yanks and Rays fans ##### about each other while Buck brings his team to the playoffs. I guess at least Tampa doesn't have a 175MM+ payroll to pay while watching the October games.

 
lumpy19 said:
got_nugs said:
Jameis may miss some of Clemson game. 20 PTS is a lot -Winston imo
Click to expand...
Yeah it's OTB...few places I see it up are at 17
Click to expand...
That escalated quickly. Left for the gym and the line was on the board and the discussion was just the warchant writer. Leave the gym and Winston's name is mixed w Peterson on espns coverage of "everything except sports" and the line is otb. The downside of rooting for college sports is your depending on the decisions of kids.

 
lumpy19 said:
ScoobySnack said:
got_nugs said:
got_nugs said:
So far it's 5-0 in the Rox/Dodgers game...2 outs in the 1st and both outs were on the basepaths.
Click to expand...
9 hits in the 1st..SO FAR.

10

11
Click to expand...
Wow...Morneau had 5 RBI's alone!
Click to expand...
I thought that was really impressive....then I read about fernando tatis

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Major_League_Baseball_leaders_in_RBI_in_one_inning

2 grand slams in one inning, crazy
Click to expand...
I actually remember that now. Yes it is crazy!

 
JACKPOT

Just stumbled across some baseball props I haven't seen in years

Will player x get an RBI

Will player x get an extra base hit

:moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag: :moneybag:

 
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