FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[LOCO]

gio/cards +1.5

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Played Miller +146. Laying off the total as I can see either the over / under covering but really like the price on STL.

gl

Yeah I did the same, just way too juicy. GL.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Bam, missed the holladay k would have been nice

 

[regularguy]

I posted about this a few years ago in this thread, hitting it again

Under 3 H/R/E 1st inning -180 in STL today, it's not as sunny in STL as it was last time I played this but nasty shadows at 5pm EST start time. Kershaw on the mound doesn't hurt either.

Also first plate appearance for Holliday

Strikeout +500, weird line

Nice going.

 

[lumpy19]

That seems like a lot of juice to pay banking on shadows. Top of the LA lineup has been very good against Miller and Kershaw is mortal in the postseason. Carpenter is seeing beach ball sized pitches from Kershaw right now.

Good luck though

Juice is the same on that bet as a - 110 bet.... - 180 doesn't mean more juice

 

[Billy Bats]

Nice hits Lumpster.

 

[tjnc09]

That seems like a lot of juice to pay banking on shadows. Top of the LA lineup has been very good against Miller and Kershaw is mortal in the postseason. Carpenter is seeing beach ball sized pitches from Kershaw right now.

Good luck though

Juice is the same on that bet as a - 110 bet.... - 180 doesn't mean more juice

I meant the price laying -180. Nice job anyhow.

 

[modogg]

Played Miller +146. Laying off the total as I can see either the over / under covering but really like the price on STL.

gl

Yeah I did the same, just way too juicy. GL.

joined you guys on this one. God speed...

 

[tjnc09]

That one Dodger run seems like it might as well be 10 right now. But my faith in Mattingly to mess it up will never go away.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

That one Dodger run seems like it might as well be 10 right now. But my faith in Mattingly to mess it up will never go away.

If the Cards don't get to him for at least a couple, he's probably going to pitch 8 or 9. Even Mattingly realizes that his middle relief is beyond dreadful.

 

[Peyton Marino]

@RealSkipBayless: Clayton Kershaw has such good stuff tonight he should easily finish off the Cardinals with a 2-0 lead.

That just may be the spark the cards need.

 

[lumpy19]

Sandoval u2 h/r/rbi -120

 

[Billy Bats]

@RealSkipBayless: Clayton Kershaw has such good stuff tonight he should easily finish off the Cardinals with a 2-0 lead.

That just may be the spark the cards need.

 

[John Bender]

Whoa

 

[Peyton Marino]

SKIIIIIIIIIIIIIIPPPPPP :EYESPOPPINGOUTSMILEY:

 

[swirvenirvin]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Saturday

Texas +14.5 (134 ypg) current o/u is 46.5

Northwestern +4 (130 ypg) current o/u is 42

Houston +9 (155 ypg) current o/u is 49

Air Force +7 (298 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Wyoming +4 (137 ypg) current o/u is 47

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Whoa

Know who else said that Duke would easily cover 9.5 in 1999?

 

[Raider Nation]

Kershaw is good in the regular season or something.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Subtract 90 ypg for loss of Hill.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Subtract 90 ypg for loss of Hill.

Hill ran about 20 times per game this year, and it doesn't look like Stewart's much of a running QB (he had 50-some yards in 7 games at Snow College JC two years ago), but it's likely that some of those 20 carries (maybe more than 50%?) are going to Williams. Who opposing defenses are probably going to gear up to stop now, to be fair.

Still, it def. hurts their running game and obviously makes it a lot more one-dimensional.

 

[Blind Tiger]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Saturday

Texas +14.5 (134 ypg) current o/u is 46.5

I really hope this one falls out of the system play because I don't see how Texas scores against OU and I think OU is good for at least 24-27. I think I like OU and the under in this one right now.

 

[Zegras11]

Gio -1.5

Gio/over 6.5

 

[Billy Bats]

MOST RUNS, HITS AND RBI's DENARD SPAN -140 GREGOR BLANCO

R+H+RBI o2 +125 - DENARD SPAN

Like the over 6.5 too. Anyone else on the game totals?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Miller.

Adams.

Lucky avatar.

 

[tjnc09]

Miller.

Adams.

Lucky avatar.

Miller

Cardinals series

Dodgers out

 

[tjnc09]

I don't like betting Giants games in these big spots, but I don't see why EVERYONE loves the over tonight. 13 runs have been scored total in 36 innings this series. These are two of the top bullpens in the league in a park not really made for hitters. I know Vogelsong has struggled this year, but he's going to be on a short leash and O trust Bochy to work his bull pen magic like always.

I don't know, maybe it ends up being 7-4 Giants. That's all I am rooting for.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Subtract 90 ypg for loss of Hill.

Hill ran about 20 times per game this year, and it doesn't look like Stewart's much of a running QB (he had 50-some yards in 7 games at Snow College JC two years ago), but it's likely that some of those 20 carries (maybe more than 50%?) are going to Williams. Who opposing defenses are probably going to gear up to stop now, to be fair.

Still, it def. hurts their running game and obviously makes it a lot more one-dimensional.

I want to start by saying this is a rant from a person that tries to apply logic to a hobby that often defies logic. I'm not being critical towards anyone or anything. If it wins long term, #### logic. This system just hurts my brain. With this system you are essentially looking for a team that has had success moving the ball on the ground, at any venue, under any game circumstance. Now, this game is being played on the road. This team is supposed to lose the game, actually by double digits in the below case. But I'm assuming they are going to be able, or even want to run the ball, on the road, with a deficit. Seems so counter-intuitive. Take Houston for instance. They racked up 400 rushing yards in a 30 point home win against probably the worst rush d (UNLV). I'm too lazy to look but I think they ran for 300 or so against Grambling, a 50 point home field win. They go on the road for their 1st and only time so far this year, run 13 times for 9 yards http://espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=400547658, and no that wasn't because of 15 sacks. Now they're essentially a DD dog on the road again this week, they really are a subpar rushing team, and we're going to bet them because they satisfy the rushing system partly (solely for the rushing yard requirement of the system) because they ran for 700 yards combined in 2 games that they won by 80 points. They'll likely be a better run team this week because their WR is probably going to start at QB. Probably not the guy I want on the field throwing the ball for a backdoor cover, but that's not supposed to matter because they ran the ball well in a couple 40 point home wins. I feel better now. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqiRBV6iVs

 

[Treynwreck3]

#### logic. I like the San Francisco Giants to win.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Gio -1.5

Gio/over 6.5

on the over also at -120

 

[swirvenirvin]

#### logic. I like the San Francisco Giants to win.

on them as well

 

[modogg]

Adam Sandler movies are definitely polarizing. Maybe it is a generational thing, but I think i crack up at almost every single one of them, especially the older one's. but some people claim it is just garbage. Good for the real GooRoo to acknowledge some old school Sandler

ETA: and man, youtube is great. I click on the first link after that youtube clip and i see Gwar perform Kansas' Carry on Wayward Son". I never would have seen that if not for random clicking. I actually recommend the clip, little bit funny how they changed the lyrics about some lazy ### wayard kid needing to get a job and get the hell out of the house

 

[Treynwreck3]

I also hope to God that the trend of MLB players letting their hair and beards grow, quietly goes away. Werth looks like the Geico caveman. Pence looks like he has mange. Come on.

 

[John Bender]

Adam Sandler movies are definitely polarizing. Maybe it is a generational thing, but I think i crack up at almost every single one of them, especially the older one's. but some people claim it is just garbage. Good for the real GooRoo to acknowledge some old school Sandler

ETA: and man, youtube is great. I click on the first link after that youtube clip and i see Gwar perform Kansas' Carry on Wayward Son". I never would have seen that if not for random clicking.

Happy Gilmore and Billy Madison are legendary.

I would swallow a 2 x 4 without chewing than watch anything since then.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Adam Sandler movies are definitely polarizing. Maybe it is a generational thing, but I think i crack up at almost every single one of them, especially the older one's. but some people claim it is just garbage. Good for the real GooRoo to acknowledge some old school Sandler

ETA: and man, youtube is great. I click on the first link after that youtube clip and i see Gwar perform Kansas' Carry on Wayward Son". I never would have seen that if not for random clicking.

Happy Gilmore and Billy Madison are legendary.

I would swallow a 2 x 4 without chewing than watch anything since then.

yep.. couple others are watchable but not really comparable

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Subtract 90 ypg for loss of Hill.

Hill ran about 20 times per game this year, and it doesn't look like Stewart's much of a running QB (he had 50-some yards in 7 games at Snow College JC two years ago), but it's likely that some of those 20 carries (maybe more than 50%?) are going to Williams. Who opposing defenses are probably going to gear up to stop now, to be fair.

Still, it def. hurts their running game and obviously makes it a lot more one-dimensional.

I want to start by saying this is a rant from a person that tries to apply logic to a hobby that often defies logic. I'm not being critical towards anyone or anything. If it wins long term, #### logic. This system just hurts my brain. With this system you are essentially looking for a team that has had success moving the ball on the ground, at any venue, under any game circumstance. Now, this game is being played on the road. This team is supposed to lose the game, actually by double digits in the below case. But I'm assuming they are going to be able, or even want to run the ball, on the road, with a deficit. Seems so counter-intuitive. Take Houston for instance. They racked up 400 rushing yards in a 30 point home win against probably the worst rush d (UNLV). I'm too lazy to look but I think they ran for 300 or so against Grambling, a 50 point home field win. They go on the road for their 1st and only time so far this year, run 13 times for 9 yards http://espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=400547658, and no that wasn't because of 15 sacks. Now they're essentially a DD dog on the road again this week, they really are a subpar rushing team, and we're going to bet them because they satisfy the rushing system partly (solely for the rushing yard requirement of the system) because they ran for 700 yards combined in 2 games that they won by 80 points. They'll likely be a better run team this week because their WR is probably going to start at QB. Probably not the guy I want on the field throwing the ball for a backdoor cover, but that's not supposed to matter because they ran the ball well in a couple 40 point home wins. I feel better now. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqiRBV6iVs

I don't know, personally. I do think that when a valuable starting QB goes out, the angle you want to take is whether the books are over or under-estimating his loss.

Just to recap, here's the system. 58% over 320 games is pretty solid, but still not big enough to be bulletproof:

http://i1.cpcache.com/product_zoom/358331313/jesus_hates_the_dodgers_womens_tank_top.jpg?height=250&width=250&padToSquare=true

 

[Billy Bats]

Adams.

 

[modogg]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

 

[John Bender]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...

Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

 

[got_nugs]

live music gets me

 

[Frostillicus]

Could be more than a few plays this week. Here are all the ones to keep on eye on

Thursday

BYU +3.5 (215 ypg) current o/u is 47.5

Subtract 90 ypg for loss of Hill.

Hill ran about 20 times per game this year, and it doesn't look like Stewart's much of a running QB (he had 50-some yards in 7 games at Snow College JC two years ago), but it's likely that some of those 20 carries (maybe more than 50%?) are going to Williams. Who opposing defenses are probably going to gear up to stop now, to be fair.

Still, it def. hurts their running game and obviously makes it a lot more one-dimensional.

I want to start by saying this is a rant from a person that tries to apply logic to a hobby that often defies logic. I'm not being critical towards anyone or anything. If it wins long term, #### logic. This system just hurts my brain. With this system you are essentially looking for a team that has had success moving the ball on the ground, at any venue, under any game circumstance. Now, this game is being played on the road. This team is supposed to lose the game, actually by double digits in the below case. But I'm assuming they are going to be able, or even want to run the ball, on the road, with a deficit. Seems so counter-intuitive. Take Houston for instance. They racked up 400 rushing yards in a 30 point home win against probably the worst rush d (UNLV). I'm too lazy to look but I think they ran for 300 or so against Grambling, a 50 point home field win. They go on the road for their 1st and only time so far this year, run 13 times for 9 yards http://espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=400547658, and no that wasn't because of 15 sacks. Now they're essentially a DD dog on the road again this week, they really are a subpar rushing team, and we're going to bet them because they satisfy the rushing system partly (solely for the rushing yard requirement of the system) because they ran for 700 yards combined in 2 games that they won by 80 points. They'll likely be a better run team this week because their WR is probably going to start at QB. Probably not the guy I want on the field throwing the ball for a backdoor cover, but that's not supposed to matter because they ran the ball well in a couple 40 point home wins. I feel better now. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqiRBV6iVs

Like you know anything about gambling.

 

[modogg]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...

Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

I always get weird on youtube. I gravitate to Juggalos a lot. No idea why, but those mother f'ers fascinate me.

And i have been watching a lot of AXS tv, or whatever it is called. they have on tons of live music, was nice during the summer when they played a bunch of summer concerts. but yeah, you got some good one's on there. Never tried the exotic places, should go look around

 

[NIU Kicker]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

I always get weird on youtube. I gravitate to Juggalos a lot. No idea why, but those mother f'ers fascinate me.

And i have been watching a lot of AXS tv, or whatever it is called. they have on tons of live music, was nice during the summer when they played a bunch of summer concerts. but yeah, you got some good one's on there. Never tried the exotic places, should go look around

I lost an hour one night watching footage from the gathering of the juggalos. 20 minutes was 50 of these f'ers destroying someone's brand new car.

 

[got_nugs]

Belt won't put this over the wall.

 

[John Bender]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

I always get weird on youtube. I gravitate to Juggalos a lot. No idea why, but those mother f'ers fascinate me.

And i have been watching a lot of AXS tv, or whatever it is called. they have on tons of live music, was nice during the summer when they played a bunch of summer concerts. but yeah, you got some good one's on there. Never tried the exotic places, should go look around

I lost an hour one night watching footage from the gathering of the juggalos. 20 minutes was 50 of these f'ers destroying someone's brand new car.

Even better if you like this.

Search for fights in the stands of NFL or MLB games.

Fascinating stuff.

Lost about 16 hours of my life watching these. Pretty sure I've seen every one on youtube

 

[Frostillicus]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

I always get weird on youtube. I gravitate to Juggalos a lot. No idea why, but those mother f'ers fascinate me.

And i have been watching a lot of AXS tv, or whatever it is called. they have on tons of live music, was nice during the summer when they played a bunch of summer concerts. but yeah, you got some good one's on there. Never tried the exotic places, should go look around

I lost an hour one night watching footage from the gathering of the juggalos. 20 minutes was 50 of these f'ers destroying someone's brand new car.

Even better if you like this.

Search for fights in the stands of NFL or MLB games.

Fascinating stuff.

Lost about 16 hours of my life watching these. Pretty sure I've seen every one on youtube

I usually just watch highlight videos of The Professor.

 

[hagmania]

I just watch Twitch instead of YouTube.

 

[ChainsawU]

If you're talking about AXS TV you have to find the live interview Tom Green did with Dan Rather. Especially if you find the media lazy and predictable.

 

[John Bender]

Better yet.

Fights at Dennys

Start here and prepare to be up all night clicking through the other 12402

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bUkzcMxHlg4

 

[John Bender]

Wow, i just got lost in youtube. You guys know Michelle Obama is a man? Her ring finger is linger than her index finger!!! Man, i don't know how we ever knew anything without the internet

I probably spend an average of 2 hours a week getting lost down the youtube rabbit hole...Christmas Commercials from my childhood

WCW in the late 90s shows

exotic countries that make me want to visit them

live music

everything else under the sun

I always get weird on youtube. I gravitate to Juggalos a lot. No idea why, but those mother f'ers fascinate me.

And i have been watching a lot of AXS tv, or whatever it is called. they have on tons of live music, was nice during the summer when they played a bunch of summer concerts. but yeah, you got some good one's on there. Never tried the exotic places, should go look around

I lost an hour one night watching footage from the gathering of the juggalos. 20 minutes was 50 of these f'ers destroying someone's brand new car.

Even better if you like this.

Search for fights in the stands of NFL or MLB games.

Fascinating stuff.

Lost about 16 hours of my life watching these. Pretty sure I've seen every one on youtube

I usually just watch highlight videos of The Professor.

Que?

 

[got_nugs]

oof I have Werth 1st HR prop