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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (13 Viewers)

My son has played on stacked baseball teams. You think that they can't be beaten. It happens. Especially when you get players playing for the name on the back of the jersey instead of the name on front.

 
Treynwreck3 said:
My son has played on stacked baseball teams. You think that they can't be beaten. It happens. Especially when you get players playing for the name on the back of the jersey instead of the name on front.
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I could buy that with last years team with them being all freshmen... This is different though, they have tournament experience.

 
odds are pretty crazy for who will win the SB. Grabbed Eagles +2200 and Cardinals +1200. All the love is for Denver, New England and GB. may drop a little on KC +1500 too

 
4.5 would be iffy for me. I think Oklahoma wins so the -2 is pretty irrelevant to my thinking, but anytime you get outside of one possession it's a bit dicier. I'd probably still play it.

 
I'm still playing a unit on OK at -4 but don't know how I feel about it. Been burned by taking road teams early on this year.

Zaga -20 is the one I'm going back and forth on right now.

 
There's some pretty crazy stuff going on in my work league that I just really want to vent about somewhere, so I'm going to vent about it here.

$25 16 team league, so not crazy money on the line. Three teams are pretty clearly near the bottom. One of them is run by a girl who just really doesn't know what she's doing (Drafted Kaep in first round, Witten 3rd round, etc.). Some dude has Palmer go down last week and gets her to trade away Kaep for Matt Asiata. Pretty lame... good thing Kaep kind of sucks anyways. The funny thing is someone else offered her McKinnon for Kaep earlier that day and she turned it down. Kind of frustrating situation but at least she's trying. Can't be too mad here.

Now, let's get to the other two teams. Guy one has decided he's given up and trades away Boldin for Terrance Williams last week. Nothing too crazy there. Then he announces from his desk "I'm not rejecting any trades today". So another dude in the league (coincidentally, his boss) offers up Jermaine Kearse and Chandler Catanzaro for Julius Thomas. Accepted. Nevermind that the dude already had two freaking kickers. Things are starting to get dicey.

Fast forward to Tuesday morning of this week... Same dude who traded away Julius the week before now trades away Romo and McFadden for Orton and Blount (yes, he traded for Blount the morning after he walked off the field for not getting any carries, but before he got cut). At this point his team is sufficiently gutted of players worth a damn (he has McCoy but refuses to trade him because McCoy is in his team name... 'The Real McCoy').

So at this point I think the BS is done because the only other team in the league out of contention has literally not logged on to set his lineup all year. I'm not exaggerating there either. I honestly wasn't sure he knew how to log on to the league. Well, this morning we found out he did when he traded away Jordy Nelson for Darren McFadden. At this point the commish vetoes (finally). So they rework the offer to be Jordy for McFadden and Bridgewater and the dude trying to trade for Jordy starts #####ing at the commish for being "unfair". It goes through.

I'm honestly shocked that 1. I work with people willing to do this #### for a $25 work league. 2. The people trading away their players like it's nothing don't realize how this ####s up the competitive balance of the league. And I can't really decide if I should be pissed or just let it go as it's only $25. I have (had?) a legit shot at winning. And I feel bad for the commish because he's in a tough spot. If he vetoes, the people affected ##### him out. He works on a trading desk with one of the guys involved, and he is essentially a rung below one of the other guys involved.

Alright, sorry for the long non-gambling related post.

 
The Rockets' total opened at 211 for tonight. Since last season, when their totals are lined 211 or less the under is 38-22 (.633) overall and 18-8 (.692) at home. They are 9-2 to the under this season, yet tonight will be the highest total they have seen so far. The highest they have been lined before tonight was 207, three times, all of which went under by margins of 22, 13, and 9 points. This is kind of a high-profile game, Rockets/Lakers, Kobe, etc.. and it's going to be the last game of the night to bet on besides the 'Zags. Consensus numbers already show 63-75% of the action on the over.

The Rockets' games have averaged 99 1H points and 91 2H points this season. I'd say bet the 2H under for some action, but that's kind of sick, demented action. Plus there is support at Pinnacle for both sides of this, and their 1H and FG totals are a ½ point higher than a lot of places right now.

:obligatorycouchgif:

 
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swirvenirvin said:
yeah $25 work league that stuff happens...

Up the ante or just drop out not worth it if it pisses you off
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I guess I just didn't expect this from the people involved. I'm good friends with one of the guys, and we've all hung out at happy hours after work in the past. I guess they just don't see it as that big of a deal or don't realize it's against the rules. Oh well :shrug:

 
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This applies to the Jets.. of course that was before snow broke out in Buffalo who now aren't practicing, aren't sure if they are playing etc.

Since 1997, NFL division underdogs off a bye are 1-16 ATS if they won as an underdog prior to the week of rest.

 
Those teams are also 1-16 SU (go figure), losing those games by an average of 15 points per game. link

And then there's this:

ChainsawU said:
Also, since Rex Ryan became HC of the Jets, seven of the nine games between these two teams have been decided by 16 points or more, specifically the four games in Buffalo which were all decided by an average margin of 21 ±4 points per game (the Bills went 2-2 SU, ATS, and O/U in those four home games).
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Here is another 1-16 situation for you. Since last season, teams haven't done well in the second game of a B2B in Houston:

SU: 1-16 (-11.53, 5.9%)
ATS: 5-10-2 (-2.26, 33.3%) avg line: 9.3
O/U: 7-8-2 (-0.53, 46.7%) avg total: 209.9 link

The average score in those games was 111-99, which explains the team totals for tonight. That is what you worry about with the under - the Rockets going off. They scored 111 or more in 11 of those 17 games. As you can see, those games went 7-8-2 to the over, but when you narrow those down to the games between November and January you get 1-7-2 O/U (0-7-2 L9) against an average total of 209. The number that got hit at Pinnacle at 1AM was u210 -120. That's the number I found at RB that I played.

 
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Since last season, when they are lined < -17, the Bears are 11-1 ATS and 11-1 to the over. link

averaged 63.5 ±9 ppg

 
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