FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

[JaxBill]

live betting total already down to 44.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Wind gusts up to 45mph.

lol

Both teams have good kickers too, one of the reasons I liked the over. lololololol

we're due a good beat in here though

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Wind gusts up to 45mph.

lol

Both teams have good kickers too, one of the reasons I liked the over. lololololol

we're due a good beat in here though

I always have a horrible day before January 1st, hopefully the last four games is it.

Go points! Go Terps O!

 

[Frostillicus]

So...USC -4.5 over vermont? Starts 11:30...

I won't bet on USC because that would violate my "don't bet on dumb teams" rule, but Vermont is really terrible and should lose this game by more than 5.

But USC is a dumb team.

 

[Frostillicus]

Also why am I so bad at over/unders this year.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I have a job interview tomorrow. I think when they ask me how I've dealt with a difficult situation, I'm gonna mention the CMU comeback vs Western Kentucky and San Diego State not kicking the FG up 2.

How did I deal with it? I drank more, and posted here more.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Vernon Davis gave the Terps a pep talk earlier today. So we're good.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Maryland has had the ball for like 6 minutes and are at their own 40.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Oh yeah, I should've mentioned that it's windy as balls here today.

 

[Raider Nation]

Stanford -14

Stanford -3 1Q

Longest TD in game o45.5

Hold your breath a bit on that last play, did you?

 

[comfortably numb]

Stanford -14

Stanford -3 1Q

Longest TD in game o45.5

Hold your breath a bit on that last play, did you?

I think i crapped out a nickel

 

[Tiger Fan]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

 

[modogg]

Wow this Missouri game is a heck of a game. It is a little more fun betting with the home teams too so you can feel like you are celebrating with the crowd

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1u

Ole Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Also, what's this halftime line going to be? Can Maryland miraculously do something?

 

[Tiger Fan]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1uOle Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

Dogs before the new year, right?

 

[modogg]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1u

Ole Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

i thought you guys were takling about Frosty's Mizzou play going right now

ETA: and i feel like i am backing another team who the officials hate in this game

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1uOle Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

Dogs before the new year, right?

I hope so. I was tempted to take the Ga Tech ML also but the last four games has me skittish. Miss State is not gifted on D like some of the other SEC schools and this Ga Tech team is the best they've had under Johnson.

 

[tjnc09]

So...USC -4.5 over vermont? Starts 11:30...

I won't bet on USC because that would violate my "don't bet on dumb teams" rule, but Vermont is really terrible and should lose this game by more than 5.

But USC is a dumb team.

I played Vermont +4.5. Some numbers I have been running liked them at open and you also have the market moving from +5.5 to +4 despite the majority of bets coming in on USC. Their offensive and defensive stats are almost identical despite Vermont having a slightly more difficult schedule. They also get Hector Harold back tonight who is averaging 11.4p/4.8r per game this year (his stats last year weren't as good but he did put up 24 vs Duke). I don't like that Vermont doesn't take care of the ball well but I don't anticipate USC converting a lot of those opportunities into easy scores. The late start isn't ideal either, but on paper I will take the points on two teams I think are fairly equal.

 

[Tiger Fan]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1uOle Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

Dogs before the new year, right?

I hope so. I was tempted to take the Ga Tech ML also but the last four games has me skittish. Miss State is not gifted on D like some of the other SEC schools and this Ga Tech team is the best they've had under Johnson.

I agree, but I actually like the over in that game. Might play all 3 dogs in an action teaser/parlay

 

[Tiger Fan]

So...USC -4.5 over vermont? Starts 11:30...

I won't bet on USC because that would violate my "don't bet on dumb teams" rule, but Vermont is really terrible and should lose this game by more than 5.

But USC is a dumb team.

I played Vermont +4.5. Some numbers I have been running liked them at open and you also have the market moving from +5.5 to +4 despite the majority of bets coming in on USC. Their offensive and defensive stats are almost identical despite Vermont having a slightly more difficult schedule. They also get Hector Harold back tonight who is averaging 11.4p/4.8r per game this year (his stats last year weren't as good but he did put up 24 vs Duke). I don't like that Vermont doesn't take care of the ball well but I don't anticipate USC converting a lot of those opportunities into easy scores. The late start isn't ideal either, but on paper I will take the points on two teams I think are fairly equal.

Parlayed this with ole miss to win .5u

 

[Peyton Marino]

So...USC -4.5 over vermont? Starts 11:30...

I won't bet on USC because that would violate my "don't bet on dumb teams" rule, but Vermont is really terrible and should lose this game by more than 5.

But USC is a dumb team.

I played Vermont +4.5. Some numbers I have been running liked them at open and you also have the market moving from +5.5 to +4 despite the majority of bets coming in on USC. Their offensive and defensive stats are almost identical despite Vermont having a slightly more difficult schedule. They also get Hector Harold back tonight who is averaging 11.4p/4.8r per game this year (his stats last year weren't as good but he did put up 24 vs Duke). I don't like that Vermont doesn't take care of the ball well but I don't anticipate USC converting a lot of those opportunities into easy scores. The late start isn't ideal either, but on paper I will take the points on two teams I think are fairly equal.

I like this reasoning. Tailing for 1 unit.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So everyone is on ole miss in here?

Ole Miss ML +145 to win 1uOle Miss +3.5

Ga Tech +6.5

Boise +3

All the dogs tomorrow, fade accordingly.

Dogs before the new year, right?

I hope so. I was tempted to take the Ga Tech ML also but the last four games has me skittish. Miss State is not gifted on D like some of the other SEC schools and this Ga Tech team is the best they've had under Johnson.

I agree, but I actually like the over in that game. Might play all 3 dogs in an action teaser/parlay

I was looking at the over also, #### it. I'm gonna play that and the Ga Tech ML.

 

[tjnc09]

To expand it to all bowl games so far this season (using closing pinnacle lines). Definitely is very interesting at the top and consistent with what your guy is seeing.

W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)

USC -7 62.8% (lost)

Utah -3 59.8% (won)

SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)

UCF -2 58.9% (lost)

N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)

LSU -8.5 56.8% (lost)

S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)

AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)

Oklahoma -6.5 56.0% (lost)

Arkansas -7 55.2% (won)

UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)

LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)

Air Force +2 54.1% (won)

Memphis +1 53.7% (won)

Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)

Utah St -10 52.3% (won)

ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)

Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)

Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)

Texas A&M 51.6% (won)

Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)

Georgia -7 50.4% (won)

Stanford -14 53.2% (pending)

LSU and Oklahoma were two more big losers while Arkansas killed the streak.

Tomorrow shows:

TCU 58.1%

Arizona 59.8%

GA Tech 54.9%

but these numbers haven't meant much overnight since a lot of late action will change them drastically.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Stanford -6.5 2h parlayed with ole miss +3

 

[Doctor Detroit]

To expand it to all bowl games so far this season (using closing pinnacle lines). Definitely is very interesting at the top and consistent with what your guy is seeing.

W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)

USC -7 62.8% (lost)

Utah -3 59.8% (won)

SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)

UCF -2 58.9% (lost)

N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)

LSU -8.5 56.8% (lost)

S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)

AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)

Oklahoma -6.5 56.0% (lost)

Arkansas -7 55.2% (won)

UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)

LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)

Air Force +2 54.1% (won)

Memphis +1 53.7% (won)

Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)

Utah St -10 52.3% (won)

ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)

Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)

Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)

Texas A&M 51.6% (won)

Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)

Georgia -7 50.4% (won)

Stanford -14 53.2% (pending)

LSU and Oklahoma were two more big losers while Arkansas killed the streak.

Tomorrow shows:

TCU 58.1%

Arizona 59.8%

GA Tech 54.9%

but these numbers haven't meant much overnight since a lot of late action will change them drastically.

Not sure what that proves other than the public loves chalk.

Also throw out the Western Kentucky game, that one doesn't count.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

 

[swirvenirvin]

so 55% is the cutoff

also I shouldnt bet on these crappy bowl games especially since I really didnt watch any of them today 0-3!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Tiger Fan]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

 

[Tiger Fan]

so 55% is the cutoff

also I shouldnt bet on these crappy bowl games especially since I really didnt watch any of them today 0-3!!!!!!!!!!

I can't not bet on them.

 

[regularguy]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

How did Wong teasers turn out this season?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

How did Wong teasers turn out this season?

I'm good at picking the right four teams every week. I avoid the first four weeks and try to avoid the last three. Those middle weeks are gold Jerry, GOLD!

 

[regularguy]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

He's an off-line friend of mine, that guy is very sharp on the gamblings. Not sure he's in the game right now though, need to send him a text.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

Sorry, Ref

 

[regularguy]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

He's an off-line friend of mine, that guy is very sharp on the gamblings. Not sure he's in the game right now though, need to send him a text.

I remember him from back in the day - 8-10 years ago now. He was one of the good guys for sure. Hope he's well.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

He's an off-line friend of mine, that guy is very sharp on the gamblings. Not sure he's in the game right now though, need to send him a text.

I remember a few years back he turned me onto betting week 1 nfl unders (this was 2005ish, probably doesn't hold water anymore). I won about a grand doing round robin parlays with $10 units. Crazy

 

[Tiger Fan]

Last I saw him was at a Pearl Jam show with other FBGs in Camden around 2007

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

He's an off-line friend of mine, that guy is very sharp on the gamblings. Not sure he's in the game right now though, need to send him a text.

I remember him from back in the day - 8-10 years ago now. He was one of the good guys for sure. Hope he's well.

He's good.

I am in a in-person auction baseball league with him, we talk for hours about EV+. He has baseball down, which is something I'm simply not good at. He also has a different approach to regular season CFB betting than I do, so I made some money tailing some of his outliers. He was betting two years ago, but he got a new job and has family stuff. I think he'll eventually come back, and I'll be tailing when he does.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm up 450% because of Wong and my CFB run in November. I'm gonna bet how many ticks the Mississippi State mascot has on his balls over the next two days. Free money, go for the cup #####es!!!!!!

I bought a $100 square in one of the pools that red referred me to. Completely forgot about it and checked today and have netted $300 so far

Red Raiders?

My 1st thought as well. It looks like he posted in the Pool recently.

He's an off-line friend of mine, that guy is very sharp on the gamblings. Not sure he's in the game right now though, need to send him a text.

I remember a few years back he turned me onto betting week 1 nfl unders (this was 2005ish, probably doesn't hold water anymore). I won about a grand doing round robin parlays with $10 units. Crazy

He's like Rainman with some of this stuff, one of the more prolific gamblers I've ever known. No emotion, guy uses the metrics to win.

 

[swirvenirvin]

so 55% is the cutoff

also I shouldnt bet on these crappy bowl games especially since I really didnt watch any of them today 0-3!!!!!!!!!!

I can't not bet on them.

If I was home yeah, but I watched maybe like 30 minutes total today.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Maryland is really terrible.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Maryland is really terrible.

red flag when the Bucks beat em 52-24

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Maryland is really terrible.

red flag when the Bucks beat em 52-24

I probably watched parts of 8 Maryland games this year, I knew better.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I was watching hockey all night and just flipped over to this bowl game. this is the worst helmet I've ever seen in any sport. wow. that's something I guess.

 

[regularguy]

The RR talk led me down memory lane to the sportsbook bonus thread of '06. Good times.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Vermont, wait

 

[Raider Nation]

The RR talk led me down memory lane to the sportsbook bonus thread of '06. Good times.

I was sending in bird cage wagers before I got my driver's license.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Comfortably Numb has had a good night.