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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

Thanks anyway I guess.
My kid threw up.

This movie's pretty bad. The gambling is really just a side-note, it's about the guy having a midlife crisis, I guess. None of it really makes any sense. They don't even bother to get the big college basketball game right, the guy's team is winning and they make no attempt to run clock, nor does the trailing team ever foul.

Sloppy. Avoid.

 
Nugs give The Wire another shot...I also thought it started a tad slow but a few more episodes and it'll hit you what a masterpiece it is

That said I still need to finish season 5 :bag:

 
The refs AM catch up.

The wire really is the greatest show ever made IMHO.

I'm playing cards. I went a week where I got a big pair all in vs underpairs or suited connectors 5 times and went 0-5 back in September and decided to take a break. I picked it back up Mid December and my game is sharp and I'm running well. I got the clearance to go out and play tonight in fact.

I heard "The Gambler" sucked eggs.

 
The wire was good but I've never felt the urge to rewatch it because it was so good. The only show I've ever watched more than once is Sopranos and I've watched that series 4x.

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 57.5, Benjamin 55.5.

 
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from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:
typo on my part. its' at 57.5 now

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:
typo on my part. its' at 57.5 now
all still tru at bovada except maybe a little juice difference

 
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The wire was good but I've never felt the urge to rewatch it because it was so good. The only show I've ever watched more than once is Sopranos and I've watched that series 4x.
Gets better everytime you watch it. It's also a lot easier to follow. Watched it about 3 times.

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115

Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:
typo on my part. its' at 57.5 now
all still tru at bovada except maybe a little juice difference
Guess I need a bovada account for next year. How's their payout?

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag



Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115



Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:
typo on my part. its' at 57.5 now
all still tru at bovada except maybe a little juice difference
Guess I need a bovada account for next year. How's their payout?
Great. One free check up to $3k per month. You'll have it in 7-10 days every time. You do get hit with a fee on the credit card deposits though, but well worth it to have access to their props.

 
from bovada and sportsbook.ag

Edelman over 6 -115

LaFell over 4.5 -140

St. Smith under 67.5 -115

St. Smith under 5 -125

To. Smith over 52.5 -105

Foresett under 65.5 -115



Newton under 212-5 -115

Newton under 18.5 -105

Stewart under 65.5 -115

Benjamin under 4.5 -115

Benjamin under 59.5 -115

Olsen under 49.5 -115

Wilson under 218.5 -115

Wilson under 18.5 -115

Wilson under 44.5 rushing -115
Got virtually everything here :thumbup:

Only 3 things I didn't play b/c of line moves (which means they will hit)

Torrey's at 58.5, Stewart at 65.5, Benjamin 55.5.
:shrug:
typo on my part. its' at 57.5 now
all still tru at bovada except maybe a little juice difference
Guess I need a bovada account for next year. How's their payout?
Great. One free check up to $3k per month. You'll have it in 7-10 days every time. You do get hit with a fee on the credit card deposits though, but well worth it to have access to their props.
gracias

 
Just email/chat/call them and say you don't want to pay a fee. Who charges a fee to take someone's money? "Yeah, we would take the money you're trying to give to us, but you have to pay us a fee first." Ridiculous.

 
Bet Jamaica/Heritage whatever they are now, took overnight mail deposits, and were just like, "Yeah just tell us what the postage fees were and we'll reimburse you." No questions asked on whatever postage you claimed; you could basically name your price. Basically the opposite of a fee.

 
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Had an ok night last night, didn't get any final plays posted here. Started drinking scotch at 3 and then like a ####### drove down to the Nebraska basketball game. Had winners on Hawks/Wild over, Rangers at +145 and I drunk parlayed the Hawks and Blues, which usually never works out, but did last night. My losers were Jersey, Dal/Nash over and I drunk played the Caps, which lost. Ended up 3-3 and up just under a unit.

Tonights Pucks:

Isle's (-165) at Devils-Jersey comes in off of a 2-0 loss in Boston last night. Schneider faced 42 shots last night so it sounds like Kinkaid is starting but I'll believe it when I see it. Isle's com back East after a 2-2 West Coast swing, but have lost 2 in a row including a game in Edmonton. I like the Isle's here but the line is too rich to do anything except parlay them, which I will do.

Sabres at Bolts (-400)-Nothing to do here really. You could always throw TB in on some parlays but as soon as you do the Sabes will pull off the biggest upset in the history of hockey, right above the Miracle on Ice. PASS.

C'Bus (+115) at Tor-Jackets continue to impress me. Coming off impressive wins in Col and Dal, although the latter was without Lehtonen in net. They are 9 points out of the 8th spot in the East, which it's probably too little too late, they still look good here. I want no part of the Leafs right now and I can get a whopping +280 on the Jackets at -1 1/2, which is too good to turn down.

Panthers at Flames (-145) Panthers come off nice win in Vancouver last night, but Montoya is in net tonight. Flames have been streaky, and now have lost 2 in a row. Numbers say Flames here and I concur, little nervous about whether they are starting another bad run, but I'm going to parlay them with the Isles. I also like the under 5 at +110 here. I looked at CAL -1 1/2, which you can get +200 on, but not sure enough goals will be scored.

Hawks (-225) at Oil-Hawks aren't going especially well last night, although if you take out the #### show against the Av's they are scoring goals. Coming off a win at Minnesota, not sure if Crow will be in net. They may be better off giving him a night off anyhow as he's been relatively unspectacular lately and Raanta has been very good this year in relief. Oil has been playing a little better as of late, having won 2 of their last 5. My numbers have this game going to OT and even though it's only +280 and typically I prefer it at +300, my numbers say 2.8-2.8 so I'm going to play the OT and try to hit the big payout.

Jackets -1 1/2 +280

Hawks/Oil OT-Y +280

Flames/NYI ML Parlay +171

Panthers/Flames under 5 +110

 
Whats the record since you have been keeping track gussy?
10-18-1 since the start of the year, down 5.05 units. I started playing these maybe a couple of weeks before the end of the year. I know I was up the first week/week and a half I posted here, maybe a couple of units. I'm guessing I'm down close to 2 units overall since I've been playing them. I'm not anywhere close to being ready to give up on it though. The whole mind set makes a lot of sense and I'm going to at least play it through the end of the season and see where it ends up. I'm still optimistic.

 
The win versus the Pacers the day after Christmas was the first game of their 7-0 SU and ATS run and is the second game the Pistons have won as the home dog since the 2013 season started (2-19 SU and 6-15 ATS with an O/U of 15-6 as the home dog since 2013). Here are the winning percentages of the teams they have faced in their seven game SU and ATS run:

Pacers 0.345

Cavaliers 0.621

Magic 0.382

Knicks 0.147

Kings 0.424

Spurs 0.600

Mavericks 0.722

The Hawks own a winning percentage of 0.771. And Sagarin makes this a 5-point game in favor of the Hawks. The Hawks are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS on the road this season, and 12-2 SU and ATS in their L14 road games. Those two losses were both in the second game of a B2B. They had the day off yesterday. It's kind of lopsided to bet the Hawks, as about 8 out of every 10 spread bets at SI is on the Hawks to cover.

 
I forget but does Tiger Fan subscribe to PM?

Someone pointed out to me today that for NFL playoffs they are 39-9 ATS lifetime including 9-1-1 2014 (4-0 last week)
yes. I posted all 4 plays last week (perhaps I didn't mention specifically that they were PM). Will do so this week
Just released his plays. Only one of substance that I played right now is Bal +7.

His other leans (very minimal with respect to confidence %) which I will still play, but think I can get better lines later:

Den -7, Car +11 (all I have available is +10.5), GB -6

ETA: Don't think the GB line will move in my favor, as it's -6.5 at some shops....just didn't play it yet as it's his least confident bet
 
I forget but does Tiger Fan subscribe to PM?

Someone pointed out to me today that for NFL playoffs they are 39-9 ATS lifetime including 9-1-1 2014 (4-0 last week)
yes. I posted all 4 plays last week (perhaps I didn't mention specifically that they were PM). Will do so this week
Just released his plays. Only one of substance that I played right now is Bal +7.

His other leans (very minimal with respect to confidence %) which I will still play, but think I can get better lines later:

Den -7, Car +11 (all I have available is +10.5), GB -6

ETA: Don't think the GB line will move in my favor, as it's -6.5 at some shops....just didn't play it yet as it's his least confident bet
Thanks man, must've missed it.

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?
The B1G is getting a lot of respect due to a pretty solid bowl season IMO. While they're a strong conference (stronger than expected), I still think Oregon's offense is unstoppable.

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?
Team totals are based on game total and spread.....both team totals should add up to game total and the difference between team totals should be spread

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?
Team totals are based on game total and spread.....both team totals should add up to game total and the difference between team totals should be spread
I literally typed the same thing but deleted it. Seemed too easy.

 
Bill Belichick has never lost in the playoffs to a team that he didn't play in the regular season.

Tom Brady is 9-2 in his first game of the playoffs.

IDK about the spread, but this money line feels like a safety net to me.

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?
Team totals are based on game total and spread.....both team totals should add up to game total and the difference between team totals should be spread
This is 99% true, however they do tend to waffle a bit around key numbers (at least Bovada). Now, is 42 a "key" #? I don't know.

 
Any opinions on UNC -3.5 tomorrow. As a Heel fan I obviously like UNC, when I remove the goggles UL appears to be the right play.

Nice appetizer before football :thumbup:

 
Can someone explain why Oregon's TT is only 41.5? They've scored 42 in every game they've played this season except for Arizona (24). I know OSU has a pretty good D, but am I missing somethign else?
Team totals are based on game total and spread.....both team totals should add up to game total and the difference between team totals should be spread
This is 99% true, however they do tend to waffle a bit around key numbers (at least Bovada). Now, is 42 a "key" #? I don't know.
With Oregon's likelihood or at least chance of going for a 2 pt conversion, it's unlikely there's any "key" numbers for them.

 
Got my main big bet in... $2k to win $5400 and change, DEN/over.

This is the game I liked all along and I'm not gonna shy away from it. The Colts have a few great players but I don't think they are a very good team. The Broncos should blast them on a mild afternoon in Denver, Manning really needed that week off to heal up, and I don't expect to see Britton Colquitt on the field very much. I'll be disappointed if Denver doesn't put up 41 of the 54 themselves.

 

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