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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

Seahawks' MOV in home games this season: 20,6,-7,6,21,16,10,14

Panthers' MOV in road games this season: 6,-28,0,-21,-24,-18,31,31

Going back to last season, the Panthers' L6 road losses have been by margins of -16,-18,-28,-21,-24,-18.

 
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http://i.imgur.com/OTu4IcM.jpg

Serious ball busting in here. I never claimed to be Joe Bookmaker, just been having a fairly good week, which I posted 3/4 last night :shrug:
Nobody is calling you a liar. But it doesn't help anyone when you tell us after-the-fact about a bet you played and won.
The live bet was closed about 12 seconds after I placed it... All the others were mentioned in advance. And nobody in here is tailing (nor should they be, which I openly admit, just running good the last few days).

Getting a 57% return on a parlay between NE/SEA, which I feel is the easiest money to be made this weekend. I've posted it, but I doubt very few are on that same play.

Regardless, understood... I won't mention live bet plays again.

 
Since 2010 the Panthers are 9-1-2 to the over outside their division on turf. During that same time, as the dog >3 outside their division on turf they are 0-5-1 SU and 1-5 ATS with an O/U of 6-0, allowing an average of 39 ±7 points per game. They played five non-divisional road games this season and gave up 39 ±5 points per game, going 5-0 to the over in those games, with an average of 57 ±12 combined points scored by both teams. They've played in Seattle twice since 2005 and gave up 34 and 31 points.

Seahawks o27 +118

Seahawks o31 +263

Panthers/Seahawks o39½ -110

Panthers/Seahawks o49½ +250
Love the over here too.

Something I found interesting: last season the Seahawks and Panthers finished #2 and #3 respectively in opponent red zone td% (39.5%, 41.8%). This year they are #26 and #31 respectively (59.5%, 63.3%). Strangely enough, the Seahawks % is worse at home than on the road (#28, 64.7% vs. 55%).

Touchdowns, not field goals. Let's hope Cam gives them a short field, and an efficient and mistake free Wilson punches it in to get up. From there Newton can paint in the rest of the numbers in garbage time.

Over 40

 
Since 2010 the Panthers are 9-1-2 to the over outside their division on turf. During that same time, as the dog >3 outside their division on turf they are 0-5-1 SU and 1-5 ATS with an O/U of 6-0, allowing an average of 39 ±7 points per game. They played five non-divisional road games this season and gave up 39 ±5 points per game, going 5-0 to the over in those games, with an average of 57 ±12 combined points scored by both teams. They've played in Seattle twice since 2005 and gave up 34 and 31 points.

Seahawks o27 +118

Seahawks o31 +263

Panthers/Seahawks o39½ -110

Panthers/Seahawks o49½ +250
Love the over here too.

Something I found interesting: last season the Seahawks and Panthers finished #2 and #3 respectively in opponent red zone td% (39.5%, 41.8%). This year they are #26 and #31 respectively (59.5%, 63.3%). Strangely enough, the Seahawks % is worse at home than on the road (#28, 64.7% vs. 55%).

Touchdowns, not field goals. Let's hope Cam gives them a short field, and an efficient and mistake free Wilson punches it in to get up. From there Newton can paint in the rest of the numbers in garbage time.

Over 40
IN on a large SEA -13/o39.5 parlay. :hifive:

Hoping this thing just snowballs out of control.

 
Alert: anyone who played props early at RB double check your bets

"Messages - Inbox

Date

Message

01/10/2015

01:56PM

Your bet(s) on Cam Newton Total Completions 206.5 u-145 has been canceled as it was placed with an OBVIOUS BAD LINE. You can replace the wager with the correct line which will be around."

 
Just to post em. here's what I got other than the prop tailing:

Ravens +7

Car +13

Parlay 1 (to win 1.6u)

Bal +7

Car +11

GB -6

Den -7

Parlay 2 (to win 4u)

NE/Bal o47.5

Dal/GB o52

Den -7

Parlay 3 (to win 4u)

Bal +7

Car +11

GB -6

Ind +7

FWIW, I played Indy for parlay 3 by mistake, so that's why I played parlay 1. :crazy:

 
Just got home, have they discussed the Pats at all or have they just been building up the Ravens through this whole show.
It does seem like the public has been all over the Ravens all week, which was kind of discouraging to me as I wanted to back the Ravens. Doesn't change my opinion that the Ravens are an underrated football team, but it's certainly not a plus.

 
Ne -110 in live betting... Really... Was hoping for a better middle than that. :kicksrock:
I agree. It's good to have at least an account at 5d just for the live-betting. You DON'T have to have any money there, but just having their live lines to compare against to get an accurate market value is worth it. Not being negative toward your bet, but you could have had the Pats +3.5 for 15 cents more than what you got them at PK. Line shopping for live lines can be easy and it exposes just how tilted some other books' live lines are.

 
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Went into the shark pool game thread wondering what the first "blame the ref" would be. First post I saw....

"NFL called the refs and told them to let the patriots back in this game with that call"

 

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