Follow the "run" or buck the "trend".. (1 Viewer)

[varmint cong]

here's the dilemma , there is a massive "run" on RB, do you follow the "run" due to the fact that , after the run, your chances of landing a quality back is scarce or buck the trend and add value at another position, with hope of trying to get some value for rb elsewhere.

I tend to lean with getting value at other positions, but i admit, when the runs happens and 12 RB come off the board, i'm panicking a bit. Thoughts?

 

[habsfan]

I think it depends on your assessment of whether the players taken in the run represent sensible value or not. If not, I try to stick to my draft plan as much as possible and tell myself that based on my analysis, those choices aren't going to work out for them. You gave the RB example but I actually think it's the QB run that causes me the most grief (or "temptation") when it happens.

 

[Road Warriors]

If you have solid tiers for positions, it becomes an easier choice to follow a run or buck the trend. If, in your RB example, the remaining RBs on the board are the end of a tier, it makes sense to grab one at that point, as the dropoff between tiers will be significant by the time it gets back to you. If the run completes a tier and leaves several at the next tier, it is likely that you will be able to wait and still get a player in that tier, so adding value at another position in this case makes sense.

At the end of the day, you can't let yourself get influenced by fear, and react accordingly. Let the draft come to you, and value will emerge.

 

[KCC]

If you have solid tiers for positions, it becomes an easier choice to follow a run or buck the trend. If, in your RB example, the remaining RBs on the board are the end of a tier, it makes sense to grab one at that point, as the dropoff between tiers will be significant by the time it gets back to you. If the run completes a tier and leaves several at the next tier, it is likely that you will be able to wait and still get a player in that tier, so adding value at another position in this case makes sense.At the end of the day, you can't let yourself get influenced by fear, and react accordingly. Let the draft come to you, and value will emerge.

Very

 

[stevegamer]

If you have solid tiers for positions, it becomes an easier choice to follow a run or buck the trend. If, in your RB example, the remaining RBs on the board are the end of a tier, it makes sense to grab one at that point, as the dropoff between tiers will be significant by the time it gets back to you. If the run completes a tier and leaves several at the next tier, it is likely that you will be able to wait and still get a player in that tier, so adding value at another position in this case makes sense.At the end of the day, you can't let yourself get influenced by fear, and react accordingly. Let the draft come to you, and value will emerge.

This is a very good point. Another thing to think about is where you're drafting, if it's serpentine. If you can gain an advantage on teams that have a positional need that at are at the end of the round, and you are near the end of the round yourself (say, 2 teams after you) you may want to take a player in the position where the run is occurring, to give you a larger relative advantage over those teams, who'll need to step down a tier.If your divisons are pre-determined before the draft, you can also use this tactic to help you if you've got a division foe behind you.