Let's look back at Vick's performance in the 2 times he's made it to the post season...this year he's managed to beat a hapless Rams team in a romp, I guess we can consider that a game that matters. But the true measure of a quarterback is how they face adversity. They were huge favorites over the Rams and I don't think anyone can argue the fact that the Rams stood a fighting chance from the opening kickoff. Good quarterbacks find ways to win games against BETTER teams, not ones that they should beat. What I was getting at was that Vick has yet to make a mark in that respect. The 2 playoff games they've won with Vick at the helm were not against teams that were favored. Not to mention you want to discuss the fact that they were champions of their division and got the bye. How many games did they win last season? Do you think that may have had an impact on their schedule? Hmmm. Do I think Vick is overated, very much so. If he goes and wins tomorow's game then I will give credence that he's for real. But until then he's a sub-par quarterback with great running skills.
I understand what you're saying here phillie phan. Coupla' points though.
The Falcons were definitely not a
HUGE favorites over the Lambs. In fact, a poll on who would win the Falcons - vs - Lambs game last week, showed no clear consensus even here at FBG, let alone what the line showed out in Vegas. A
LOT of people argued that the Lambs would be sending the Falcons packing. Certainly
NO ONE called the utter destruction of the Lambs.
One of your arguments is that the Falcons had a soft schedule. And the Eagles didn't? They play in the NFC Least don't they? Their division alone, gives the Eagles a soft schedule. Look at their entire schedule and then try and tell me that was a tough schedule. I don't think so! Take a look at the Falcons game towards the end of the season (week 15) against the Panthers. This is when the defending NFC Champions were really clicking and desperately fighting, scratching & clawing for a play off spot. Vick brought the Falcons back in that game. Forcing OT on that 12 yard run, where he levitated off the field and into the end zone for the last five yards of that TD run. Nobody had the Falcons favored in that game either. If you want to only look at what I guess you would consider their "Quality" games from this season:
Atlanta - vs - San Diego.........Atlanta won 21 to 20 and going into the 4th quarter San Diego had the lead 17 to 14. That's a quality win don't you think?
Denver - vs - Atlanta......Atlanta in an embarrassing dismantling of the Donkeys at Invesco Field, 41 to 28. Again a quality win.
Sure Atlanta got blown out themselves in a couple of games (KC & Tampa), but that happens to every team. Also Atlanta & Tampa split their games. Atlanta beat Tampa at home & Tampa beat Atlanta at home.
Lets take a look at how have the Eagles fared against top ranked running teams shall we? Well to be honest, the Eagles haven't even faced more than a couple of good running teams, but against one of the good running teams they did face, Pittsburgh, they got their butts handed to them to the tune of a 27 to 3 spanking.
How did the Eagles fare when facing a quality D? Well we can see how they did against the Steelers. They faced Baltimore as well. That game was a squeaker, 15 to 10 Eagles. Then in Week 14 they played another quality D in Washington. Final score in that game? 17 to 14 Philly. I'd say the Eagles were lucky that the Red Skins really didn't have much of an offense (still can't figure out how they gave up 14 points to them?). Oh! T.O. was not hurt in any of those games. What does this tell us? The Eagles Offense struggles against good D's. While the Falcons certainly don't have a great D, their D is not chopped liver.
And I don't even want to hear about how Trotter has turned their run D around. That's the sports announcers line Du Jour of the moment. But have they really improved as much as their stats suggest? Take a close look at the games the Phillies played when their Run D supposedly came around.
The games were either blow outs, where the opposing team abandoned the run early, or the Eagles padded their Run D's stats by going against sub par rushing teams. They haven't faced a good running team since Week 9 against Pittsburgh, let alone the #1 Rushing Team in the entire NFL.
The supposed improvement to the Eagles Run D, is artificial IMO. Kinda like when the Raiders had the NFL's #1 Run D a few years back. The ranking was indeed correct, but looking closer, you saw that nobody ran on the Raiders that year. Why you ask? The Raiders were always blowing out their opponents, forcing the opposing teams to to dump their running game to play catch up via the pass. The Raiders had an artificially ranked #1 Run D that year. Same as the Eagles have an artificially improved Run D this last third of the season.
All in all, anybody expecting a cake walk for the Eagles because they're assuming the Falcons are overrated and only in the play offs due to soft scheduling and don't
really have a good running game, are in for a rude awakening......IMO.
The best thing to happen for Atlanta, is the expected weather...especially the wind factor. Takes the deep ball out of the equation which definitely favors the Falcons, as the run game becomes more important. I think there's a very good chance that the Eagles run game falters against the Falcons D, whereas the Falcons show they
CAN &
WILL run on the Eagles.
If the Falcons get an early lead on the Eagles, turn out the lights fellas, this game is over. Falcons win & Eagles go home with a 4th consecutive NFC Championship loss.
Conversely, if the Eagles get out to an early lead of say a two TD's, the Falcons will lose. They are
NOT built to be a come from behind team and are not very good when playing from behind. Vick is still not consistently accurate in the passing game. Incredible flick of the wrist 30 to 40 yarders dropping right into the receivers bread basket are interspersed with head scratching
"What the heck was that?" type of throws. Throw in the wind factor and it will be an Eagles victory.
I think this will end up being a great game and I'm counting down the minutes until Kick Off.
EDIT: For typos.