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Half of the top RBs in this draft will be busts (1 Viewer)

Wish this list were created after Larry Johnson's rookie year when he did little. Would of been interesting to see the BUST label.

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He would have been labeled a bust, and righfully so. He did virtually nothing through week 12 of his sophomore season. How many people here picked up Johnson off the waiver wire or as a throw in during trades? His head coach was all over him and it would have been hard to justify roster space for him in all but dynasty & very deep leagues up to that point.I distinctly remember the disparaging posts here regarding Johnson. Sometimes all it takes is opportunity. Johnson got it & took advantage. It happens, but I would suggest that this is the exception & not the rule.

Mislabeling happens occassionally. What would you guess the error rate is? 3%? 4%? Does that meaningfully change the point of the discussion?

 
I love Pony Boy's point in this.  In the end only 2 out of the 5 RB's in question will have a good/great career for the owners who selected him.

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I read this post this morning and had a problem with who was a bust and who wasn't. But it is a good point on how we put such a premium on unproven rookie RBs in a dynasty format. I understand the value of the RB and the need to find the diamond in the rough. Or to find the next Terrell Davis, Willie Parker, or Domanic Davis. But is it really worth the risk? Or is it worth missing out on the players that are passed on? Sure, WRs also have a high failure rate. Or take longer to produce and can be traded for when they began to breakout. This post definately makes me think about the rookie drafts and what order the players are chosen in. I don't think your top 4 or 5 picks should change. But I think RBs like Norwood, Drew, and Harrison might be uneccesary risks at their ADP, especially in IDP leagues.

 
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Year Round Pick Name Team  2003 1 23 Willis McGahee Bills  Soild 1 27 Larry Johnson Chiefs  Stud2002 1 16 William Green Browns  Bust 2 19 Clinton Portis Broncos  Stud 2 7 Anthony Thomas Bears  Bust 2 18 LaMont Jordan Jets  Solid 1 7 Thomas Jones Cardinals  Solid 1 19 Shaun Alexander Seahawks  Stud 1 18 Robert Edwards Patriots  Bust 1 23 Antowain Smith Bills  Bust 1 8 Tim Biakabutuka Panthers  Solid 1 17 Tyrone Wheatley Giants  Solid 1 18 Napoleon Kaufman Raiders  Solid 2 5 Errict Rhett Buccaneers  Bust 2 13 Charlie Garner Eagles  Solid1993 1 3 Garrison Hearst Cardinals  Solid 1 21 Harvey Williams Chiefs  Bust1990 1 2 Blair Thomas Jets  Bust<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
FWIW, these are the guys I think may have been mis-labeled, in any category, early in their careers. Looks to be an average of at least 1 per year.
 
I took the thread starter at face value.... buyer beware of rookie RB's. That point is valid. I think that was the point here. To nit-pic the guys post.... well, the peanut gallery is generally more full of idiots than the people who put something out there.... I see little point in some of the target practice taken here. :soap:

Pony, you make a valid point..... RB's, like QB's, and any other position can bust. I won't touch rookie RB's in redraft leagues. Yeah, I drafted Benson last year. Brown or Caddy would have been fine. I'd much rather draft a Jordan than to take a long shot on a rook RB.

In dynasty leagues, however, it's a different ball game altogether. With the premium on RB's, due to the lack of them, one must still roll the dice in the top 4 to 5 picks every year, knowing full well, it's a crap shoot. If you can draft that high, unless you are doing a total rebuild, there isn't much real choice, unless you are loaded.

Rookie RB's taken in the first 3 rounds in a redraft is a sucker's bet, and I think that was your point. Keeper leagues are yet another issue.....

 
Year Round Pick Name Team  2003 1 23 Willis McGahee Bills  Soild 1 27 Larry Johnson Chiefs  Stud2002 1 16 William Green Browns  Bust 2 19 Clinton Portis Broncos  Stud 2 7 Anthony Thomas Bears  Bust 2 18 LaMont Jordan Jets  Solid 1 7 Thomas Jones Cardinals  Solid 1 19 Shaun Alexander Seahawks  Stud 1 18 Robert Edwards Patriots  Bust 1 23 Antowain Smith Bills  Bust 1 8 Tim Biakabutuka Panthers  Solid 1 17 Tyrone Wheatley Giants  Solid 1 18 Napoleon Kaufman Raiders  Solid 2 5 Errict Rhett Buccaneers  Bust 2 13 Charlie Garner Eagles  Solid1993 1 3 Garrison Hearst Cardinals  Solid 1 21 Harvey Williams Chiefs  Bust1990 1 2 Blair Thomas Jets  Bust<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
FWIW, these are the guys I think may have been mis-labeled, in any category, early in their careers. Looks to be an average of at least 1 per year.
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Great post, and a great point of discussion in this thread.How would you have labeled them after their first year? (Hope you don't mind me asking - we can readjust the numbers for post-first year results & make some relevant points regarding rookie RBs in redraft).

 
While I think its good to point out the bust rate for RBs taken in the top 5 RBs for each draft, you still have to do your homework and look at each on a case by case basis. We can look back at the busts and see why they busted, and then look for similarities in this year's class. I think that is more useful analysis than just saying "at least one or two of these guys will bust".

Which one or two? and why?

I know I already have a strong feeling on that question.

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you can't post something like this and leave it at that... :hophead: let's hear about these strong feelings!

:popcorn:

 
I took the thread starter at face value.... buyer beware of rookie RB's. That point is valid. I think that was the point here. To nit-pic the guys post.... well, the peanut gallery is generally more full of idiots than the people who put something out there.... I see little point in some of the target practice taken here.  :soap:

Pony, you make a valid point..... RB's, like QB's, and any other position can bust. I won't touch rookie RB's in redraft leagues. Yeah, I drafted Benson last year. Brown or Caddy would have been fine. I'd much rather draft a Jordan than to take a long shot on a rook RB.

In dynasty leagues, however, it's a different ball game altogether. With the premium on RB's, due to the lack of them, one must still roll the dice in the top 4 to 5 picks every year, knowing full well, it's a crap shoot. If you can draft that high, unless you are doing a total rebuild, there isn't much real choice, unless you are loaded.

Rookie RB's taken in the first 3 rounds in a redraft is a sucker's bet, and I think that was your point. Keeper leagues are yet another issue.....
That's a good take, though it wasn't my intention. That's also a good point regarding drafting in a dynasty league.My point is that many here will speak about this year's top 4 or 5 rookie RBs like they will all be studs. It happened last year too, when we had people putting Brown on top of the other 3 generally and then expounding how all 4 were going to have very good to great careers. We saw Arrington getting selected with the 2nd pick in dynasty drafts, for Pete's sake, despite his lack of size and not being able to clear trash at the college level - much less in the bigs.

The point is that there are most probably at least 2 busts hidden in the top 5 of this year's RBs. There may only be one, but there could also be 3, maybe more. The question that should be asked is who are the RBs with the biggest bust potential? To be able to single the high-bust RBs out leaves one with better options when drafting - even in dynasty leagues.

The busts are there amongst Bush, Williams, Maroney, Addai, & White. We know that. The question is - which one(s) fit the category?

 
Year Round Pick Name Team  2003 1 23 Willis McGahee Bills  Soild bust 1 27 Larry Johnson Chiefs  Stud bust2002 1 16 William Green Browns  Bust solid 2 19 Clinton Portis Broncos  Stud solid 2 7 Anthony Thomas Bears  Bust solid 2 18 LaMont Jordan Jets  Solid bust 1 7 Thomas Jones Cardinals  Solid bust 1 19 Shaun Alexander Seahawks  Stud bust, maybe solid 1 18 Robert Edwards Patriots  Bust stud 1 23 Antowain Smith Bills  Bust solid 1 8 Tim Biakabutuka Panthers  Solid bust 1 17 Tyrone Wheatley Giants  Solid bust 1 18 Napoleon Kaufman Raiders  Solid bust 2 5 Errict Rhett Buccaneers  Bust solid-stud 2 13 Charlie Garner Eagles  Solid bust1993 1 3 Garrison Hearst Cardinals  Solid bust 1 21 Harvey Williams Chiefs  Bust boderline solid1990 1 2 Blair Thomas Jets  Bust solid<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
FWIW, these are the guys I think may have been mis-labeled, in any category, early in their careers. Looks to be an average of at least 1 per year.
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Great post, and a great point of discussion in this thread.How would you have labeled them after their first year? (Hope you don't mind me asking - we can readjust the numbers for post-first year results & make some relevant points regarding rookie RBs in redraft).

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How I would have labeled them after year 1eta: I got :own3d: by the coding

 
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The busts are there amongst Bush, Williams, Maroney, Addai, & White.  We know that.  The question is - which one(s) fit the category?

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For fantasy, Addai screams bust to me. For real NFL purposes, he will help his team win, but I just don't see a feature back when I look at him. White is another obvious choice because of A) big back bust rate and B) character issues.
 
Agree with the big picture viewpoint. Questionable on the micromanaging of your analysis, but everyone has different values on how to apply them on individual players.

Two things left out of the analysis though. One is there probably should be a fourth category, maybe something like 'fair', to describe performance. For example, calling both Ronnie Brown and TJ Duckett solid makes one think you feel they are the same value RB, when that is probably far from the truth (even solely on a one year basis). Duckett type backs would fall in to this "fair" category, not serviceable enough to play every week but not worthless in certain matchups. Whereas a guy like Ronnie Brown was a serviceable play virtually every week. Some of the busts (notably DeShaun Foster and Chris Brown) would elevate to this category.

The other thing left out of analysis of where the RB was drafted is what role he was drafted to fill. Not every RB drafted is drafted to be groomed as a starter. For example, Kevin Faulk wasn't really drafted to be the New England full-time starting RB. He might have been projected for that his first year out of default, but the Pats knew he was really a 3rd down back filling a stop gap starter role until they had the chance to get a true starter. Also works the other way with guys like Domanick Davis, supposed 3rd down backs who overmatched expectations and developed into a solid to stud level RB. Then you have guys drafted almost solely to be a backup and change of pace guy (Mo Morris probably falls into this category), not necessarily expected to develop into anything more than this. So you then have to readjust ratings based on that also.

 
You're jealous of my Young Bush, aren't you?

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:lmao: I got the better RB @ 1.13. You can play with your own Bush. I'll take Marshall Faulk II.

:banned:

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DW laced your cigars again, didn't he? :loco:
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I noticed a fishy smell....I will tell you that I like Calhoun as ending up being better than at least 2 of the top 5, and probably more likely 3.

Doesn't mean he'll get there - but I like his chances better.

 
Terrible injuries can ruin any great prospect, and it's not rational to call those cases draft busts.  It's just an unfortunate factor in the analysis.  RBs get hurt... a lot... sometimes real bad.  It's part of the risk, but not right to label them busts.  Busts should be the guys who are drafted very high, given every chance, and don't make it. 
I knew this argument was coming. Ask NO or a FF owner of Bush if he were to get his career ended after week 2 if that pick were a bust.Injuries happen. They happen to busts, to solid players, and to studs. The only players who have their status affected are the solids & the studs. The busts would have been busts, injured or not. But if a player is injured early on & it causes them to not contribute, that's a bust. Maybe you don't feel good about calling them that, but the fact remains that someone wasted a significant draft pick (either in the NFL or FF) and didn't have any kind of production to justify that pick.

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Ok, but the point you're trying to make is about the correct risk discount for the top five RBs selected each year in the draft.Presumably, the risk of injury is a constant that affects players roughly equally. We all agree that predicting injuries is a near impossibility, and all RB picks must be made with that in mind, whether picking a rookie or vet.

Getting rid of the injury busts from our data set may reveal that if not for injury, most of these guys do great, or it may reveal that even after factoring injuries in, rookie top-5 RBs are much riskier than comparable veterans.

 
You're jealous of my Young Bush, aren't you?

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:lmao: I got the better RB @ 1.13. You can play with your own Bush. I'll take Marshall Faulk II.

:banned:

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DW laced your cigars again, didn't he? :loco:
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I noticed a fishy smell....I will tell you that I like Calhoun as ending up being better than at least 2 of the top 5, and probably more likely 3.

Doesn't mean he'll get there - but I like his chances better.

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You honestly like Calhouns situation moreso than Addai, Bush, Maroney, or Williams?
 
You're jealous of my Young Bush, aren't you?

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:lmao: I got the better RB @ 1.13. You can play with your own Bush. I'll take Marshall Faulk II.

:banned:

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DW laced your cigars again, didn't he? :loco:
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I noticed a fishy smell.... :shock: I will tell you that I like Calhoun as ending up being better than at least 2 of the top 5, and probably more likely 3.

Doesn't mean he'll get there - but I like his chances better.

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Pres. Clinton's humidor maybe?
 
You're jealous of my Young Bush, aren't you?

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:lmao: I got the better RB @ 1.13. You can play with your own Bush. I'll take Marshall Faulk II.

:banned:

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DW laced your cigars again, didn't he? :loco:
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I noticed a fishy smell....I will tell you that I like Calhoun as ending up being better than at least 2 of the top 5, and probably more likely 3.

Doesn't mean he'll get there - but I like his chances better.

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You honestly like Calhouns situation moreso than Addai, Bush, Maroney, or Williams?
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I've said it before, and I'll say it again - I think Williams is the best RB in the draft. He's the total package - right size/height ratio, catches well, loves to get the ball, plays well in the 4th quarter despite a lot of work, seems to enjoy contact. I'll place him above Bush in the draft.I worry about Bush's height/weight ratio. He may end up like Portis, but I didn't get to see him run through trash in college like Portis did. That is at least partly due to White's presence. I worry about Bush's character. I think he is the most likely to hold out in any given year, and holdouts seem to get hurt more than other players. I think he'll be returning kicks also, and that increases the whacks he'll take from odd angles and from some pretty crazy players. I think Bush is more condusive to being a CoP player moreso than a featured RB. He & Calhoun weigh the same, but Calhoun has 2 less inches to stretch that weight over. That's a lot for guys in the 200 lb range. Bush nags at me as not being the stud RB everyone thinks he'll be. His single greatest advantage - speed off the edge - will be negated significantly in the jump from PAC-10 Ds to NFL Ds.

I worry about Addai running so upright, and I worry about his lack of impact. He doesn't play very big and he doesn't have great burst. Those three traits make me really worry about his ability between the tackles. If you take that away, that limits him badly in his production ability. I like his hands, and I like that he'll block very willingly. I think Addai translates to a 3rd down RB in the NFL. He just isn't going to be able to grind. IND is a good spot for him, since SSs will be well off the line & out of the second tier when he runs, which may help a bit. But I see the trash at the line being a problem which may really relegate his duties to limited action. His speed is much more of the straight line type rather than football speed.

Maroney really intrigues me. I saw him run a lot in the Big 10, and he reminded me a lot of MB III. My biggest question about him is his ability to hit the hole before it closes, which happens a lot quicker in the bigs than in college. He also had some awfully good O-line play, especially with Eslinger @ MIN, who was a beast. He probably won't have that advantage in NE, and NE isn't the best rushing team to begin with. If he gets his head on straight & runs hard all the time, he could be a very, very good RB. He's got good lean, and he's got good height/weight ratio. He can catch, and he can attack tacklers aggressively. Like I said, very intriguing...

White concerns me greatly. I love his power, and I like that he does the dirty work that Bush can't. He's a bull, and power rushers are always a plus when the play goes to the NFL level. But he's got some work ethic problems, and he's got a privledged attitude problem, and he may have a pot problem. I think White is his own worst enemy, and he could blow up his own career. I like that he'll be a hoss - he can carry the ball a ton. I don't like that he doesn't run with his knees high - that makes him susceptible to shoestringers. I'm not worried about his lack of explosiveness, because that's not his game. He's a plow horse, and he could end up with a very Eddie George-like career. IF he gets his head on straight.

The knocks on Calhoun are things I know to be bogus. His detractors worry about his duribility & that he ran slow at the combine. I've seen the way his track speed (Big 10 4x100 champion team member) translates in pads, and his speed is not an issue. I also saw him touch the ball over 400 times for WIS, including over 340 rushes in 13 games, and I saw what he did to shred a vaunted Auburn D - he flat out embarrassed them. He can catch, he can run between the tackles, he'll block on the blitz. The guy is a complete RB with good height/weight ratio and great lean after contact. He's got a nose for the end zone.

The only guy I put head & shoulders above Calhoun is Williams, and that's because I've seen him use his extra weight so well. I don't know if Calhoun will succeed - no one can predict that, and he slipped out of the top 5 despite his success in college for a reason. I do like that he's got Martz running his offense, because I think he's tailor made for what Martz likes his RBs to do, and I like that DET will be using those WRs wide, which creates a lot more running room. I'm fairly confident that he's a better RB than K Jones. I'm also biased, and I recognize that, and I know the history of WIS RBs in the NFL. Calhoun is a player who slipped because of the combine for no legitimate reason that I can see or that can be verified by his game film. Now, if he dances behind the line rather than attacking the hole, all bets are off. He needs to be decisive.

We'll see.

 
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You're jealous of my Young Bush, aren't you?

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:lmao: I got the better RB @ 1.13. You can play with your own Bush. I'll take Marshall Faulk II.

:banned:

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DW laced your cigars again, didn't he? :loco:
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I noticed a fishy smell....I will tell you that I like Calhoun as ending up being better than at least 2 of the top 5, and probably more likely 3.

Doesn't mean he'll get there - but I like his chances better.

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You honestly like Calhouns situation moreso than Addai, Bush, Maroney, or Williams?
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I've said it before, and I'll say it again - I think Williams is the best RB in the draft. He's the total package - right size/height ratio, catches well, loves to get the ball, plays well in the 4th quarter despite a lot of work, seems to enjoy contact. I'll place him above Bush in the draft.
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kiss of death, because I liked him the best as well. :wall: good thing I quit all my FF leagues. ;)

 
I think it is being misunderstood that solid doesn't mean stud. Kevin Jones is no stud, he is still young and has at least proven he is a talent if he can stay healthy.

Cedric Benson is a bust so far. He was a first round pick, held out for more money and then got hurt the first time he saw extended action. Who knows if he will even be the same player coming off of an injury.

Micheal Bennet was solid, maybe not now, but he was.

I dont agree with some of this list but you could easily make an argument for both sides of most players.

 
The busts are there amongst Bush, Williams, Maroney, Addai, & White.  We know that.  The question is - which one(s) fit the category?

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OK Pony Boy, pick 2 of 5 that won't be busts. Will any of these be a STUD?
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Maroney- Was better than MB3 in college. Went to the perfect team for him.Bush- Too much talent to be a bust. My worry is that he will get injured.

White- could be Ron Daybe all over again. Especially if he cant get healthy and avoid the Bar B Que in Tenn.

Addai- Could be great in that system, might never be the next Edge

Williams- Really small. Perfect that he went to the Panthers, maybe Foster can teach him what it takes to stay healthy in the NFL...... :lmao:

 
Like most people (I think), I agree with the general sentiment of the original post.

Here is another way to look at some of the historical data. I went back to 1998 and calculated the average production of backs drafted in each round through the 4th. Here 'tis:

              --------------------- Average Production ------------------------When picked         Year 1           Year 2          Year 3          Year 4---------------+---------------+---------------+---------------+---------------+Pick 1--15     |  1150/ 6 (11) |  1155/ 8 ( 8) |  1205/ 7 ( 8) |  1068/ 7 ( 8) |Rest of Rnd 1  |   535/ 3 (14) |   866/ 7 (14) |   835/ 6 (11) |   592/ 5 ( 8) |Round 2        |   518/ 3 (18) |   720/ 5 (16) |   463/ 3 (13) |   471/ 2 (13) |Round 3        |   390/ 3 (11) |   300/ 2 ( 7) |   461/ 3 ( 7) |   569/ 3 ( 6) |Round 4        |   266/ 2 (13) |   391/ 1 ( 7) |   245/ 2 ( 7) |   323/ 2 ( 5) |
What you're seeing there is total yards / total touchdowns, and the number in parentheses is the number of backs in that category so you can get an idea of the sample sizes we're dealing with. So, for example, an "average" second round pick gained 518 rush+receive yards and had 3 TDs in his rookie year, he gained 720 total yards and had 5 TDs in his 2nd year, and so on.

If the historical data is to be relied upon, we shouldn't expect much from Addai, Maroney, and DeAngelo as a group. The runners drafted in the back half of the first round in the last 8 years have done basically squat in their rookie seasons. Only one out of 14 has finished in the top 10 and only two out of 14 have finished in the top 24.

 
The intended premise is sound. Highly drafted Rbs each and every year wash out and never become the players thier teams hoped they would be. Likewise they never become what fantasy owners hoped they would be getting for thier respective teams.

http://www.nfl.com/draft/history/positions/RB

2000 Rbs

1 5 Jamal Lewis RB Tennessee - instant impact. Lost time to injuries but came back

1 7 Thomas Jones RB Virginia - Bust. Later emerged as a starter.

1 11 Ron Dayne RB Wisconsin - Bust.

1 19 Shaun Alexander RB Alabama - Took time to play then emerged.

1 31 Trung Canidate RB Arizona - Bust

3 63 Travis Prentice RB Miami, O. - Bust

3 81 Reuben Droughns RB Oregon - Later emerged as a starter.

3 88 Doug Chapman RB Marshall

4 97 Curtis Keaton RB James Madison

4 115 Frank Moreau RB Louisville

5 144 Michael Wiley RB Ohio State

5 166 Chad Morton RB Southern California

6 171 Thomas Hamner RB Minnesota

6 189 Mike Anderson RB Utah - instant impact. Faded then reemerged as starter.

7 243 Shyrone Stith RB Virginia Tech

7 252 Rondell Mealey RB Louisiana State

2001 Rbs

1 5 LaDainian Tomlinson RB Texas Christian - instant impact

1 23 Deuce McAllister RB Mississippi - emerged after Ricky traded.

1 27 Michael Bennett RB Wisconsin - decent starter then faded.

2 38 Anthony Thomas RB Michigan - ROY then faded.

2 49 LaMont Jordan RB Maryland - took 4 years for him to emerge.

2 58 Travis Henry RB Tennessee - had some good seasons before being replaced.

3 65 James Jackson RB Miami - bust.

3 80 Kevan Barlow RB Pittsburgh - RBBC

3 85 Travis Minor RB Florida State - never given opportunity.

4 100 Rudi Johnson RB Auburn - later emerged.

4 108 George Layne RB Texas Christian

4 121 Correll Buckhalter RB Nebraska - some instant impact then injured.

5 150 Derrick Blaylock RB Stephen F. Austin

5 161 Chris Barnes RB New Mexico State

6 175 Dee Brown RB Syracuse

6 192 Dan Alexander RB Nebraska

2002 Rbs

1 16 William Green RB Boston College - Bust.

1 18 T.J. Duckett RB Michigan State - RBBC

2 34 DeShaun Foster RB UCLA - RBBC

2 51 Clinton Portis RB Miami - instant impact

2 54 Maurice Morris RB Oregon - Backup so far.

2 56 Ladell Betts RB Iowa - Backup that has shown ability. Never got a chance.

3 91 Brian Westbrook RB Villanova - eventual starter.

4 99 Jonathan Wells RB Ohio State - Backup.

4 119 Travis Stephens RB Tennessee

4 135 Najeh Davenport RB Miami - Backup

5 166 Verron Haynes RB Georgia

6 185 Josh Scobey RB Kansas State

6 197 Larry Ned RB San Diego State

6 199 Adrian Peterson RB Georgia Southern

6 204 Brian Allen RB Stanford

6 207 Chester Taylor RB Toledo RBBC now starter. We'll see.

7 214 Luke Staley RB Brigham Young

7 237 Antwoine Womack RB Virginia

7 241 Leonard Henry RB East Carolina

7 251 Jarrett Ferguson RB Virginia Tech

7 257 Rock Cartwright RB Kansas State

2003

1 23 Willis McGahee RB Miami - starter once recovered from injury.

1 27 Larry Johnson RB Penn State - emerged as starter.

3 77 Musa Smith RB Georgia - plauged by injuries.

3 93 Chris Brown RB Colorado - became starter but oft injured.

3 96 Justin Fargas RB Southern California - Al Davis obsession with measurables.

4 99 Artose Pinner RB Kentucky - Backup.

4 101 Domanick Davis RB Louisiana State - Instant impact.

4 105 Onterrio Smith RB Oregon - Whiz

4 108 Quentin Griffin RB Oklahoma

4 115 Lee Suggs RB Virginia Tech

4 132 LaBrandon Toefield RB Louisiana State

6 206 Brock Forsey RB Boise State

7 235 Ahmaad Galloway RB Alabama

7 236 Brandon Drumm RB Colorado

7 242 J.T. Wall RB Georgia

7 247 Casey Moore RB Stanford

2004

1 24 Steven Jackson RB Oregon State - now a starter.

1 26 Chris Perry RB Michigan - backup.

1 30 Kevin Jones RB Virginia Tech - Starter.

2 41 Tatum Bell RB Oklahoma State - RBBC

2 43 Julius Jones RB Notre Dame - Starter

4 119 Mewelde Moore RB Tulane - RBBC

4 128 Cedric Cobbs RB Arkansas - Bench.

5 154 Michael Turner RB Northern Illinois - Backup

7 208 Adimchinobe Echemandu RB California

7 219 Quincy Wilson RB West Virginia

7 235 Derrick Ward RB Ottawa, Kan.

7 242 Bruce Perry RB Maryland

7 247 Brandon Miree RB Pittsburgh

2005

1 2 Ronnie Brown RB Auburn - RBBC now starter.

1 4 Cedric Benson RB Texas - Backup could still emerge.

1 5 Carnell Williams RB Auburn - Instant impact.

2 44 J.J. Arrington RB California - Bust.

2 54 Eric Shelton RB Louisville - Bust.

3 65 Frank Gore RB Miami - RBBC

3 73 Vernand Morency RB Oklahoma State - Backup.

3 77 Ryan Moats RB Louisiana Tech - Backup.

3 101 Maurice Clarett RB Ohio State :lmao:

4 109 Marion Barber RB Minnesota - Backup.

4 110 Brandon Jacobs RB Southern Illinois - Backup.

4 112 Ciatrick Fason RB Florida - Backup.

4 120 Manuel White RB UCLA

4 127 Alvin Pearman RB Virginia

4 130 Darren Sproles RB Kansas State

5 142 Damien Nash RB Missouri

6 182 Cedric Houston RB Tennessee - Backup.

6 196 Tony Jackson RB Iowa

6 201 DeAndra Cobb RB Michigan State

7 236 Lionel Gates RB Louisville

7 243 Anthony Davis RB Wisconsin

7 244 Noah Herron RB Northwestern

I look at each situation and player seperatly. But if anyone wants to tally these players into a ratio by all means do so.

If I were to make a comparision for this year to one of these classes as a whole I see it possibly being most similar to year 2001

Bush = LT

Maroney = Duece McCallister

Addai = Bennett

White = Henry

There is no comp player for Williams. I think he will be a new Tiki Barber.

I wonder if there is a late round drafted Rb from this class that will emerge like Rudi and DD have in recent history? And if so which Rb will that be?.

 

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