Hoopsguys - FBG ventures into NBA DFS (1 Viewer)

[BassNBrew]

Great night in the NBA.

Hit 2 of 3 $1 gpp for $7.90

Hit 2 of 3 $1 gpp for $4.50

Nothing on a $2 and $1 gpp

Hit 3 of 3 $1 gpp for $21.95

Hit 2 of 3 $5 gpp for $22.50 (was sweating the last spots here)

Hit 3 of 4 $4 gpp for $44.81

$43 in, $101.66 out.

Had a mix of Hoopsguys lineups and Hoopsguys fade lineups.

 

[Megla]

The DFS gods were not happy with me last night, LOL

missed cashing in a $10 100 player Sun-Mon NFL by .10

missed cashing in a $10 100 player NBA main slate by 1.5

missed cashing in a $5 NBA GPP by 1.8

missed cashing in a $3 NBA GPP by 1.2

and lastly had a NBA cash LU score 300.3 and cash less than 20% o my $2 50/50s and $2 big DBL Ups

Someone has stolen my MOJO and I want it back

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

The DFS gods were not happy with me last night, LOL

missed cashing in a $10 100 player Sun-Mon NFL by .10

missed cashing in a $10 100 player NBA main slate by 1.5

missed cashing in a $5 NBA GPP by 1.8

missed cashing in a $3 NBA GPP by 1.2

and lastly had a NBA cash LU score 300.3 and cash less than 20% o my $2 50/50s and $2 big DBL Ups

Someone has stolen my MOJO and I want it back

That's brutal. The good thing about the NBA is you're never more than 20 hours away from going again though. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Just looking at the slate of games tonight, I'm thinking there could be some big numbers out there. GS @ NO, NY @ PHO, OKC @ POR, ORL @ ATL all look like potential bountiful sources of points. 

 

[freeannyong]

Just looking at the slate of games tonight, I'm thinking there could be some big numbers out there. GS @ NO, NY @ PHO, OKC @ POR, ORL @ ATL all look like potential bountiful sources of points. 

Hawks and Magic are both top 15 in FPA so probably scratching that one off. Can make some fun lineups with the other 3 games. 

 

[BassNBrew]

Hawks and Magic are both top 15 in FPA so probably scratching that one off. Can make some fun lineups with the other 3 games. 

Problem is that's where all the value is.

 

[freeannyong]

Problem is that's where all the value is.

I should have specified a bit more. I probably wouldn't run a game stack on that game, but pulling a guy or two for value is fine. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Problem is that's where all the value is.

Yeah, and ATL's defense hasn't been good lately. Over this 3-10 stretch they've given up a ton -- 106 per game, with only 2 opponents below 100. They've been particularly awful against PG (worst) and wings (7th and 6th worst against SG and SF) over their last 10 in terms of FD points allowed. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

I should have specified a bit more. I probably wouldn't run a game stack on that game, but pulling a guy or two for value is fine. 

I dunno. See the above. Stacking ORL backcourt may not be bad. There are lots of options everywhere though. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Just now seeing that Gasol is out on the front end of a b2b against Cleveland. There could be some value in that game if you can predict the script right.

 

[BassNBrew]

Just now seeing that Gasol is out on the front end of a b2b against Cleveland. There could be some value in that game if you can predict the script right.

Maybe we will get a butterfly affect article from one of the 15 experts that we're paying for.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Maybe we will get a butterfly affect article from one of the 15 experts that we're paying for.

The problem I see comes from the scenario in which CLE jumps out early and Memphis says "Fit, see you tomorrow on Beale Street" and the bench gets a lot of action for both teams. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Looking at things @ lunch. I can't get past PG -- there are so many I like. Rondo, Westy, Bledsoe, Elfrid all look great to me. Depending on the Jrue news, Frazier look great too. And if I'm feeling Memphis can hang around CLE for 3 quarters at least, Harrison looks good to boot. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

@Chaos Commish am I crazy for thinking that Brow needs to be able to dominate this game? I know GS tries to force teams to go small, but it seems to me that Davis is at a point that his basketball acumen/skill should be at a point that he can use his immense physical tools to impose his will on GS.

You know more hoops than I can hope to know. What are your thoughts?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Lunch time cash, still lots of player news to hear about. 

Westy/Bledsoe

Wade/Knight

Roberson/Turner

JM Green/Millsap

O'Quinn

Feels a little too risky for cash as it sits, but it'll work as a base. 

 

[Megla]

First look at a Cash LU

If Rondo goes

Rondo/DJ/McCollum/JR Smith/LB/Mello/Porz/Dray/RLopez

if no Rondo

Holiday/DJ/LaVine/JR/KD/Mello/Millsap/Zebo/Howard

third possibility

Rose/Holiday/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGord/Porz/Dray/KAT

Thoughts

Adams and Kanter together in a GPP?

Westy/AD in the same GPP LU?

Seems to be very little value at SG outside of JR Smith, looks like you are going to have to pay up here

Why so high on G Dieng?

With Pachulia out is Adams a must GPP play?

If Rondo sites who gets the bump?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

First look at a Cash LU

If Rondo goes

Rondo/DJ/McCollum/JR Smith/LB/Mello/Porz/Dray/RLopez

if no Rondo

Holiday/DJ/LaVine/JR/KD/Mello/Millsap/Zebo/Howard

third possibility

Rose/Holiday/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGord/Porz/Dray/KAT

Thoughts

Adams and Kanter together in a GPP?

I haven't looked at it yet. That might work. 

Westy/AD in the same GPP LU?

I have a working lineup doing just this, but there's some grossness in it. I'll post separately.

Seems to be very little value at SG outside of JR Smith, looks like you are going to have to pay up here

I agree, either pay-up, punt, or roster a ton of risk. Even the pricey guys don't look awesome to me.

Why so high on G Dieng?

He looks about right to me. He's right at 25-26 for his average in recent weeks. I don't love him or anything, but I don't actively dislike him at that price.

With Pachulia out is Adams a must GPP play?

I don't think so. Zaza seemed irrelevant for daily. Not like he frees-up a bunch of opportunities for others. RW projects Dray starting @ C. 

If Rondo sites who gets the bump?

I'm banking on Wade. Grant has been bad recently, but then again, Rubio.

My thoughts, such as they are, above. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

My working Westy/Brow GPP lineup:

Westy/Elf

Korver/Knight

Iggy/Butler

Brow/ZBo

Hernangomez

WH only works if Black Irish is out. Korver looks a lot better if Bazemore is out, but it looks like he plays. 

 

[BassNBrew]

Hoops guys way over projecting players today.  This seems to consistently be an issue.  We'd be killing NBA dfs if even half the lineups met what the IVC projected for points.  About 1 in 10 lineups have been hitting their projections.  At some point the model needs to be adjusted.  Seems to be getting worse because I used to have no problem finding a player or two at each position that was under valued.  

Do any of the 15 paid experts read this forum or respond to their customers here?  It's gone totally quiet since the paywall went up.

 

[Megla]

Think I'm settling on this cash LU, not going big tonight after the he!! that was last night, just $16 DBL ups, $16 50/50s, $20 main slate GPPs (5 $4), 1 $10 100 player main slate league and 1 $3 GPP in the other slates.

Cash

Holiday/Rose/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGordon/Porz/Dray/KAT

Possible GPPs

Holiday/Rondo/Lavine/JR/Mello/Tucker/Porz/AD/RLopez

Holiday/DJAug/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGord/Love/AD/Howard

Holiday/Irv/CLee/JR/Mello/Wigg/AD/Dray/RLopez

westy/DJ/CLee/JR/Mello/Wigg/AD/Kanter/Adams

Westy/Bled/CLee/Booker/Harkl/Tucker/Porz/Kanter/Plum

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Think I'm settling on this cash LU, not going big tonight after the he!! that was last night, just $16 DBL ups, $16 50/50s, $20 main slate GPPs (5 $4), 1 $10 100 player main slate league and 1 $3 GPP in the other slates.

Cash

Holiday/Rose/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGordon/Porz/Dray/KAT

Possible GPPs

Holiday/Rondo/Lavine/JR/Mello/Tucker/Porz/AD/RLopez

Holiday/DJAug/Lavine/JR/Mello/AGord/Love/AD/Howard

Holiday/Irv/CLee/JR/Mello/Wigg/AD/Dray/RLopez

westy/DJ/CLee/JR/Mello/Wigg/AD/Kanter/Adams

Westy/Bled/CLee/Booker/Harkl/Tucker/Porz/Kanter/Plum

Big on Holiday I see. Any particular reason?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Who gets the bump w/ Dipo out? Roberson?

 

[podunker]

i have been really, really struggling with NBA cash games......after taking a break, just going to throw a few GPP's up tonight

Studs/Skrubs

Westy-Harrison-Lee-Fournier-Thabo-Butler-J. Martin-AD-O'Quinn  

Balanced

Rubio-Holiday-Wade-McCollum-Tucker-Butler-Draymond-Serge-Adams

Thoughts.......

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

i have been really, really struggling with NBA cash games......after taking a break, just going to throw a few GPP's up tonight

Studs/Skrubs

Westy-Harrison-Lee-Fournier-Thabo-Butler-J. Martin-AD-O'Quinn  

Balanced

Rubio-Holiday-Wade-McCollum-Tucker-Butler-Draymond-Serge-Adams

Thoughts.......

Watch O'Quinn. He's a GTD. 

 

[Megla]

Big on Holiday I see. Any particular reason?

Green playing center means AD should dominate, I gave Holiday a bump for up paced game, more assists to AD and some Rebounds, plus he looked good putting up 33 last game back

 

[Megla]

Who gets the bump w/ Dipo out? Roberson?

In my mind, Adams

 

[podunker]

They are saying Hardaway is still starting tonight, even with Baze playing. Thoughts. I thought about moving down to him or Lee and moving up to Adams at Center instead of O'Quinn. I read were O' is coming off the bench tonight. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Green playing center means AD should dominate, I gave Holiday a bump for up paced game, more assists to AD and some Rebounds, plus he looked good putting up 33 last game back

You not worried about minutes/role with Frazier playing well too?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Irving out I believe. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Vuv out -- BB looks good, and does Ibaka. 

 

[Megla]

You not worried about minutes/role with Frazier playing well too?

a bit yes, but the options are limited, like Rondo as well but these damn GTD are killing me

Still think Holiday gets to 35 and that should be enough

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Irving out I believe. 

Liggins may work @ SG now. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

a bit yes, but the options are limited, like Rondo as well but these damn GTD are killing me

Still think Holiday gets to 35 and that should be enough

I'm playing w/ Liggins at SG now -- he's starting for Irving. 

 

[Megla]

Irving out I believe. 

Confirmed

Rondo out as well

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Confirmed

Rondo out as well

Can really do some interesting things if you're willing to play blah players in suddenly big roles. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Can really do some interesting things if you're willing to play blah players in suddenly big roles. 

Westy/Grant

Liggons/Knight

Iggy/James

Brow/Green

BB. 

 

[Megla]

Westy/Grant

Liggons/Knight

Iggy/James

Brow/Green

BB. 

doesn't add up

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

doesn't add up

Exactly $60,000. 

 

[Megla]

Exactly $60,000. 

westy 12600

grant 3500

knight 4400

Liggins 3500

LB 10000

Iggy 3800

Brow 11900

Green 7800

BB 4800

2300 too much

 

[podunker]

I think he means J. Green not Draymond

 

[Megla]

I think he means J. Green not Draymond

JGreen is a SF

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

My new cash test:

Westy/Grant

Liggins/Wade

Iggy/James

Ibaka/Millsap

BB

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

westy 12600

grant 3500

knight 4400

Liggins 3500

LB 10000

Iggy 3800

Brow 11900

Green 7800

BB 4800

2300 too much

Wrong Green. JaMichael. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

JGreen is a SF

PF. 

 

[Megla]

Wrong Green. JaMichael. 

Well dammit, why didn't you say so

 

[Megla]

PF. 

I thought he meant Jeff Green

 

[Megla]

Given the Irv news would you start Liggins over C Lee is cash tonight?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Given the Irv news would you start Liggins over C Lee is cash tonight?

I think so. Issue is LBJ may run the whole offense at least until Memphis's corpse stops twitching. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

LBJ or Love?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

I don't even know what I have now.