2 rookies will be starting on the O'line, RB position is still up in the air, their #1 WR got traded away and Favre has always been a gunslinging gambler.So given the above known circumstances, why on earth would anyone want to bet Favre throws more TD's than ints? Looks like a sucker bet to meOkay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?

Just for the record Walker didn't play last year anyway, so it really doesnt change things form last year.In the wrds of Dr. Cheeks, "rooting against Favre in Lambeau is like rooting against God in a chess game in heaven."2 rookies will be starting on the O'line, RB position is still up in the air, their #1 WR got traded away and Favre has always been a gunslinging gambler.So given the above known circumstances, why on earth would anyone want to bet Favre throws more TD's than ints?Okay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?
Looks like a sucker bet to me![]()
Just for the record, how many TD's vs picks, did Favre throw last year without his #1 WR?That was the point!Just for the record Walker didn't play last year anyway, so it really doesnt change things form last year.In the wrds of Dr. Cheeks, "rooting against Favre in Lambeau is like rooting against God in a chess game in heaven."2 rookies will be starting on the O'line, RB position is still up in the air, their #1 WR got traded away and Favre has always been a gunslinging gambler.So given the above known circumstances, why on earth would anyone want to bet Favre throws more TD's than ints?Okay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?
Looks like a sucker bet to me![]()
So not getting his #1 WR back, has no impact?Uhhh....ok.i know what the point was, but when listing changes that are negative you shouldnt list something that has no impact
EDIT: It's like Wimer's Why L.J. Smith Is Overrated. He says L.J. did well last year because T.O. was suspended. T.O. won't be back this year either, so there's really no change.
I'll take that bet. I have him projected at 24 TD's and 25 INT's. I think it could go either way, but it's a bet I'm willing to make. What do you want to bet?ookook said:Okay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?
Wow...just...wow. Who was his number one last year? Driver. Is Driver back? Yes, he is. The person that's not coming back was NOT his number one, or his number two, or his number anything. The person thats not coming back did not play at all last year and therefore his absence again this year has NO IMPACT ON THIS YEAR.So not getting his #1 WR back, has no impact?Uhhh....ok.i know what the point was, but when listing changes that are negative you shouldnt list something that has no impact
EDIT: It's like Wimer's Why L.J. Smith Is Overrated. He says L.J. did well last year because T.O. was suspended. T.O. won't be back this year either, so there's really no change.
Wow...just...wow. Who was his number one last year? Driver. Is Driver back? Yes, he is. The person that's not coming back was NOT his number one, or his number two, or his number anything. The person thats not coming back did not play at all last year and therefore his absence again this year has NO IMPACT ON THIS YEAR.So not getting his #1 WR back, has no impact?Uhhh....ok.i know what the point was, but when listing changes that are negative you shouldnt list something that has no impact
EDIT: It's like Wimer's Why L.J. Smith Is Overrated. He says L.J. did well last year because T.O. was suspended. T.O. won't be back this year either, so there's really no change.

:whoosh:Wow...just...wow. Who was his number one last year? Driver. Is Driver back? Yes, he is. The person that's not coming back was NOT his number one, or his number two, or his number anything. The person thats not coming back did not play at all last year and therefore his absence again this year has NO IMPACT ON THIS YEAR.So not getting his #1 WR back, has no impact?Uhhh....ok.i know what the point was, but when listing changes that are negative you shouldnt list something that has no impact
EDIT: It's like Wimer's Why L.J. Smith Is Overrated. He says L.J. did well last year because T.O. was suspended. T.O. won't be back this year either, so there's really no change.
What are we betting, a bump and plate of crow?ookook said:Okay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?
Why? It comes from someone who understands statistical outliers, regression to the mean, and sampling theory. Last 4 years Favre has thrown 27TDs per season and 20 INTs.With last season. Without last season, 30 TDs and 17 INTs in the four previous years. With the Packers, he has thrown more TDs than INTs 12 times and the reverse only twice.2 rookies will be starting on the O'line, RB position is still up in the air, their #1 WR got traded away and Favre has always been a gunslinging gambler.So given the above known circumstances, why on earth would anyone want to bet Favre throws more TD's than ints? Looks like a sucker bet to meOkay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?![]()
Favre is not the player he once was and the O does not look a whole heck of a lot better, if better at all, than last year.Why? It comes from someone who understands statistical outliers, regression to the mean, and sampling theory. Last 4 years Favre has thrown 27TDs per season and 20 INTs.With last season. Without last season, 30 TDs and 17 INTs in the four previous years. With the Packers, he has thrown more TDs than INTs 12 times and the reverse only twice.2 rookies will be starting on the O'line, RB position is still up in the air, their #1 WR got traded away and Favre has always been a gunslinging gambler.So given the above known circumstances, why on earth would anyone want to bet Favre throws more TD's than ints? Looks like a sucker bet to meOkay Jurb, how about betting that Favre will throw more TDs than INTs this season?![]()
Fair enough. What kind of stipulation is there if he gets pulled?I think a signature line added either saying something nice or disparaging about the future HOFer Mr. Favre would be appropriate...
I'm in.I think a signature line added either saying something nice or disparaging about the future HOFer Mr. Favre would be appropriate...
I think your best bet is to hope that D plays a heck of a lot better.... and it might.Sounds fine. I really do think that with the right coach he would be lots better...but am forced to agree this probably isn't in the cards.
I think the D will be better at generating sacks and turnovers. Better against the pass and big passing plays in particular. And still soft agains the run with lots of missed tackles. But even with better D the only way to keep Favre's INTs in check is better playcalling and ball control. I expect the former but think the latter isn't in the cards with the O-line problems. With that said, he has had plenty of seasons with poor supporting cast where he threw more TDs than INTs. He needs WRs who run the routes and check out of them. They were starting guys off the practice squad with 1 day notice. That part will not happen again.I think your best bet is to hope that D plays a heck of a lot better.... and it might.Sounds fine. I really do think that with the right coach he would be lots better...but am forced to agree this probably isn't in the cards.
I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.Fair enough. For what it's worth, I still believe it's a coin flip = a great sig bet. IF this is his last year, I hope that I'm wrong and that he posts more solid numbers. I also hope that IF it is his last season, that he announces it prior to the end of the year, so that at least Chicago and MN (SF & Seattle would also be great) can give him a retirement ceremony. It's been a blast watching him through the years!Jurb and Pig:I would say if he gets pulled or injured but has more INTs than TDs at the time I lose (and vice versa). Let us sort out verbage too.I would be willing to add to my sig bar:"Brett Favre was washed up two seasons ago and has not been good enough to be a starting QB in the NFL for at least that long."
Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.

Every Packer offensive players' value goes down without Favre, as the other options are dismal. I for one am not sure Rogers will ever be chosen as a successor. I suspect they will bring in a veteran.What happened to talking about what happens to Driver & co if Favre goes down?
Two seasons ago as in 2004, a year in which Favre threw 30 TDs?Jurb and Pig:I would say if he gets pulled or injured but has more INTs than TDs at the time I lose (and vice versa). Let us sort out verbage too.I would be willing to add to my sig bar:"Brett Favre was washed up two seasons ago and has not been good enough to be a starting QB in the NFL for at least that long."
This would be a sig that went up after this year. So 3 years after what yo are talking about.Two seasons ago as in 2004, a year in which Favre threw 30 TDs?Jurb and Pig:I would say if he gets pulled or injured but has more INTs than TDs at the time I lose (and vice versa). Let us sort out verbage too.I would be willing to add to my sig bar:"Brett Favre was washed up two seasons ago and has not been good enough to be a starting QB in the NFL for at least that long."
I pretty much agree, and I too have my questions about Rodgers at the moment.Every Packer offensive players' value goes down without Favre, as the other options are dismal. I for one am not sure Rogers will ever be chosen as a successor. I suspect they will bring in a veteran.What happened to talking about what happens to Driver & co if Favre goes down?
Makes sense then, thanks.This would be a sig that went up after this year. So 3 years after what yo are talking about.Two seasons ago as in 2004, a year in which Favre threw 30 TDs?Jurb and Pig:I would say if he gets pulled or injured but has more INTs than TDs at the time I lose (and vice versa). Let us sort out verbage too.I would be willing to add to my sig bar:"Brett Favre was washed up two seasons ago and has not been good enough to be a starting QB in the NFL for at least that long."
Interesting. With none of the 8 throwing 20 or more the next season, we could see that change.I think Favre throwing 25+ INTs this year is about as likely as him throwing 13 or fewer. He's topped 20 INTs 5 times in his career, threw 15 or fewer 5 times, and in his almost 14 complete seasons as a starter has averaged 18 a year. With all the changes the past year and this, and if the running game doesn't get going for him, I don't think 20 INTs should be much of a surprize. I currently have him projected at 19, give or take 1 or 2, and I think he'll fall right into that. The one thing I'm happy to hear about this camp so far, and should help eliminate some of Favre's INTs, is that McCarthy has been really getting into Favre about the preventable INTs during 7-on-7 and 11-on-11 drills.I just Ran Stats Dominator to find examples of QB's age 30 or more with 25+ Interceptions in a season since 1980. The list turned up 11 examples:
Thus, 9 of 11 had more INT's than TD's (only Dickey and Ferguson in 1983 had more TD's)In the following year, the TD' to INT ratio for each was:2 Vinny Testaverde 2001 = 15/143 Bobby Hebert 1997 = DNP4 Warren Moon 1987 = 21/185 Tommy Kramer 1986 = 24/106 Lynn Dickey 1984 = 25/19 7 Joe Ferguson 1984 = 12/178 Richard Todd 1984 = 11/199 Brian Sipe 1982 = 4/8 (only played 6 games)10 Lynn Dickey 1981 = 17/1511 Ken Stabler qb 1981 = 14/18Thus, following a 25 INT season NONE of the 8 (not including the incomplete seasons) even threw for 20 INT's in the following season. Additionally:5 threw more TD's than INT's 3 threw more INT's than TD'sI'm not sure what this says, but it does reveal that posting a large number of INT's in back to back seasons is unlikely (using 25 as a high number). It also reveals that while most bounced back to have better seasons, only Kramer in 1986 had a good TD/INT ratio in the following year.I'm sticking with my 24/25 prediction for Brett this year, though a reduction in both numbers makes sense looking at the past examples of 25+ INT's.Code:NAME POS YR AGE EXP G CMP ATT PYD Y/A PTD INT FANT PT 1 Brett Favre qb 2005 36 15 16 372 607 3881 6.39 20 29 251.25 2 Vinny Testaverde qb 2000 37 14 16 328 590 3732 6.33 21 25 248.80 3 Bobby Hebert qb 1996 36 12 14 294 488 3152 6.46 22 25 232.50 4 Warren Moon qb 1986 30 3 15 256 488 3489 7.15 13 26 228.15 5 Tommy Kramer qb 1985 30 9 15 277 506 3522 6.96 19 26 231.50 6 Lynn Dickey qb 1983 34 13 16 289 484 4458 9.21 32 29 341.10 7 Joe Ferguson qb 1983 33 11 16 281 508 2995 5.90 26 25 237.55 8 Richard Todd qb 1983 30 8 16 308 518 3478 6.71 18 26 230.00 9 Brian Sipe qb 1981 32 8 16 313 567 3876 6.84 17 25 258.10 10 Lynn Dickey qb 1980 31 10 16 278 478 3529 7.38 15 25 218.55 11 Ken Stabler qb 1980 35 11 16 293 457 3202 7.01 13 28 181.90
You mean the "Aw hell, I'll just chuck it" plays?Kleck said:The one thing I'm happy to hear about this camp so far, and should help eliminate some of Favre's INTs, is that McCarthy has been really getting into Favre about the preventable INTs during 7-on-7 and 11-on-11 drills.
Pretty much. Basically all the throws where the football is often times turned into a volleyball.You mean the "Aw hell, I'll just chuck it" plays?Kleck said:The one thing I'm happy to hear about this camp so far, and should help eliminate some of Favre's INTs, is that McCarthy has been really getting into Favre about the preventable INTs during 7-on-7 and 11-on-11 drills.
Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 season was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now. Throw Rodgers in now and give him all the snaps and 4-12 might be a gift this year, even with the easier schedule. For someone who seems to know about football, I would never had guessed you could be so off here. You must really be high on Rodgers or something.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.
You weren't supposed to use logic pigskinliquors.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.
You weren't supposed to use logic pigskinliquors.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.

I took jurb's post as him thinking Rodgers could have done better last year with the mess of injuries Green Bay had.Heading into 2006, assuming Rodgers was the starter all of last year, and having Reggie Bush plus an easier schedule, I believe they could be better than 4-12. But that would greatly depend on health, and I don't think it's a stretch by any means that Favre, even with the struggles last year, won't help this team improve from a 4-12 this year either.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.
Please explain.You weren't supposed to use logic pigskinliquors.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.
![]()
You too.TIAYou weren't supposed to use logic pigskinliquors.??? How would having Reggie Bush, and Rodgers with a season under his belt be worse than going 4-12 and watching Favre go through a season like he did last year??Cause 4-12 is so hard to improve on.I prefer realist.In before the reference to "hater"They will all likely improve. Favre is washed up.![]()
at Rodgers being able to make this team better than Favre right now.
![]()
even more if you really believe the 4-12 was all Favre's fault.Throw Rodgers in there from week 1 and Green Bay would have Reggie Bush right now.
I never once said this. Not for last year or even this year coming up. What good is it to GB to go through a 4-12 season with Favre struggling heavily and sitting the "future QB?" I don't like Rodgers and never have. To not see what the guy can do is pretty dumb IMO though. Especially when a team is so out of it and the QB play is poor to begin with.I took jurb's post as him thinking Rodgers could have done better last year with the mess of injuries Green Bay had.
When you said the team would improve with Favre out, I had to assume that you believed Rodgers is better suitable at leading this team than Favre right now. Otherwise, I don't see how they improve.I must be in the minority since pigskin and Big Score agree. I certainly don't see it. I'd just like for someone to explain to me how this team improves with Rodgers as the starter right now.I never once said this. Not for last year or even this year coming up. What good is it to GB to go through a 4-12 season with Favre struggling heavily and sitting the "future QB?" I don't like Rodgers and never have. To not see what the guy can do is pretty dumb IMO though. Especially when a team is so out of it and the QB play is poor to begin with.I took jurb's post as him thinking Rodgers could have done better last year with the mess of injuries Green Bay had.
You should take improve in this sense very loose. How much worse can it get than 4-12, lowest QB rating in the league for starters and 29 INTs? I think GB is a bad team. Nothing other than a total turn around on D will really change that this year IMO. Favre and GB simply can't afford costly turnovers like he made last year if that is the case. The O simply looks awful right now. Driver is a decent WR1, but other than that it's slim. No real RB, patched up Oline and a QB who forces things.I don't see Rodgers as better per say, but if the team is going 4-12, again why not give the 1st rounder some work and see what he has let alone give him so much needed experience?When you said the team would improve with Favre out, you must believe that Rodgers is better suitable at leading this team than Favre right now? If he's not, I don't see how they improve.I must be in the minority since pigskin and Big Score agree. I certainly don't.I never once said this. Not for last year or even this year coming up. What good is it to GB to go through a 4-12 season with Favre struggling heavily and sitting the "future QB?" I don't like Rodgers and never have. To not see what the guy can do is pretty dumb IMO though. Especially when a team is so out of it and the QB play is poor to begin with.I took jurb's post as him thinking Rodgers could have done better last year with the mess of injuries Green Bay had.
I have never thought that Rodgers would have been able to go in there and give the Packers more wins last year than Favre. Please read all my posts, as I can't imagine having said that. I personally believe that the Packers as an organization would be MUCH better off for their FUTURE had Rodgers been given the opportunity to play last year. IF he didn't pan out, they would know at least know that he isn't their future, and could have picked up Leinart this year if they thought he was a better option. IF Rodgers did pan out last year, they would feel a heck of a lot better getting him involved in additional rep's during practice, and in games right now. How (thinking about the franchise and its future) would going 2-14 and getting Bush AND having Rodgers with experience be better than going 4-12, with an aging Favre still implanted in the line-up, and Rodgers still holding a clipboard?When you said the team would improve with Favre out, you must believe that Rodgers is better suitable at leading this team than Favre right now? If he's not, I don't see how they improve. I must be in the minority since pigskin and Big Score agree. I certainly don't.
This is better. I don't think it will take a total turn-around on D to help improve them, just players staying healthy will do wonders.You should take improve in this sense very loose. How much worse can it get than 4-12, lowest QB rating in the league for starters and 29 INTs? I think GB is a bad team. Nothing other than a total turn around on D will really cahnge that this year IMO. Favre and GB sim;y can't afford costly turnovers like he made last year if that is the case. The O simply looks awful right now. Driver is a decent WR1, but other than that it's slim. No real RB, patched up Oline and a QB who forces things.I don't see Rodgers as better per say, but if the team is going 4-12, again why not give the 1st rounder some work and see what he has let alone give him so much needed experience?When you said the team would improve with Favre out, you must believe that Rodgers is better suitable at leading this team than Favre right now? If he's not, I don't see how they improve.I must be in the minority since pigskin and Big Score agree. I certainly don't.I never once said this. Not for last year or even this year coming up. What good is it to GB to go through a 4-12 season with Favre struggling heavily and sitting the "future QB?" I don't like Rodgers and never have. To not see what the guy can do is pretty dumb IMO though. Especially when a team is so out of it and the QB play is poor to begin with.I took jurb's post as him thinking Rodgers could have done better last year with the mess of injuries Green Bay had.
I guess I didn't quite understand the earlier "???" post. My bad.For me, I don't believe in playing for the future and starting your #2 QB ahead of your #1 just so the #2 can gain experience. Play to win even if the season is lost. If the #2 is close to being as good, talented and ready as the #1 then I might reconsider, but all indications last year was that Rodgers was struggling in practice and showed little signs of being what they hoped he would be.![]()
I have never thought that Rodgers would have been able to go in there and give the Packers more wins last year than Favre. Please read all my posts, as I can't imagine having said that. I personally believe that the Packers as an organization would be MUCH better off for their FUTURE had Rodgers been given the opportunity to play last year. IF he didn't pan out, they would know at least know that he isn't their future, and could have picked up Leinart this year if they thought he was a better option. IF Rodgers did pan out last year, they would feel a heck of a lot better getting him involved in additional rep's during practice, and in games right now. How (thinking about the franchise and its future) would going 2-14 and getting Bush AND having Rodgers with experience be better than going 4-12, with an aging Favre still implanted in the line-up, and Rodgers still holding a clipboard?When you said the team would improve with Favre out, you must believe that Rodgers is better suitable at leading this team than Favre right now? If he's not, I don't see how they improve. I must be in the minority since pigskin and Big Score agree. I certainly don't.
Edited to add; that Rodgers could not have done much worse. Read the first post of the followingthread, and let me know, how Favre led that team when they needed it most (he helped put them in situations to win, but today's version of Favre does not take the team on his shoulders and win games): LINK
FYI: I don't think the Packers are that far from being a good team, and good leadership at qb could put them over the hump. Rodgers this year isn't the answer, but with experience = who knows??