cstu
Footballguy
Let me play devil's advocate for a second and make a case for trading the #2 overall pick for two mid/late 1st round picks. The most obvious issue is the high cost of signing a top pick. While that player is expected to be able to play well, and probably will barring injury, he's still a rookie with no NFL experience. On the other hand, a player drafted at #15 is going to expect a much lower bonus and yet should also be very talented. A late first round pick is also good because there are players who slide to the 2nd round because the good teams with late first rounds picks usually have specific needs they have to fill other than just taking BPA. Take a look at some old drafts at drafthistory.com and look at the players take after pick #25.Not in the habit of quoting myself but...For the sake of discussion and shedding some light on the topic at hand through personal experience as someone that worked in a scouting department and as a player rep I made this point during my reply.The Saints hold the #2 overall pick. A cornerstone, franchise player is available to them. For a minute forget the R. Leaf, A. Smith, C. Enis and other NFL busts. Forget your working knowledge of hindsight. Just for discussion sake agree the #2 is a legit player. That same player is not available this year at 7, 8, 9 nor is his value recouped by pairing picks 15 and 22 or 12 and 31, for example. I have seen the trade value and pick chart. I worked with the damn thing for a couple years. It is a tool used by a GM and or coach to augment their decision. It is not the end all be all.
It is VERY EASY to use hindsight and build an argument for and or against what I wrote. For example, I could dig up every Top 5 pick that had a career longer than the NFL average for his position; that never spent time on the injury report; contributed to the team and had an amazing ROI both on and off the field for the franchise. I could then do the same for players between picks 5-10; 11-15 and so on...Not sure it adds much value, as I forfeited the use of that maxim in the original reply.
An NFL team does not have the luxury of hindsight and to prove a point on why Madden trades do not work in the real football world I suggested the topic be brought along with the same limitation. More picks do not equal more value in an NFL trade. You are not increases your odds of finding the next great player by trading your #2 overall and picking up a pair of picks resting between 15-32. You are decreasing your chances or, at least, that is how a franchise looks at the equation.
Of course, all of this depends on the needs of the team and how much depth there is in the draft but it can make sense to trade a high pick for multiple 1st rounders.