It's rough. If you go back and look at 2009 and 2010 game logs you see a much more consistent producer than you do right now. Obviously every player may be subject to the potential down weeks (especially TEs).Take Gronkowski as a good example. He's had 3 very good games (Wks 1-3), 2bad games (Wks 4-5), and 1 mediocre game (Wk 6).By comparison, Finley has had 1 very good game (Wk 3), two bad games (Wk 4, 6) and 4 meduicre gamaes (Wk 1, 2, 4, 6).Since all of that is irrelevant in terms of "going forward" the best thing you can do is to look at it to help you try to predict what will happen the rest of the way. In terms of statistical analysis, Gronkowski is averaging about 3.4 more points per game. His standard deviation is also a bit higher, but that' deviating from a higher mean, and it's not significantly higher to suggest anything subsantial.The question really becomes did someone like Gronkowski have his good games early on, thus people view him as better than Finley, while Finley has yet to have his good games, or will he have his good games at all.From watching the Packers it's clear Aaron Rodgers is a communist when it comes to distributing the ball.
Compared to previous years' usage, subjectively I don't feel that Finley is much of a required/planned use as before. Rodgers and the Packers' offense is effective mixing up the targets so if Finley is there he can have good weeks, but I don't think they are as gauranteed as some of us thought coming into the season.I still believe in his talent and skill, but I think Finley owners need to be aware of this. He probably still has a few games were he might win you a week, I'd expect a lot of 5-7 point games the rest of the way as well. I really hope I'm wrong, but absent some sort of attempt to get him more involved (a la Jennings last year) or some philsophical change I don't see Finley justifying his lofty draft pick. And I'm saying that as a Finley owner who took him, even though he really thought Graham was going to go 1,000/10 (yes I said that before the season, and then didn't draft him. Ugh.)
I'd drop him if necessary to fill in a legit scoring position, and would probably chuckle at the mad frenzy to pick him up. Anyone who did would almost certainly start him every week. They'd feel awfully good the one or two more weeks Finley put up giant numbers, but would be fielding a stiff almost every other week. I'll take the reliable receptions and yards. Right now, I regard Finley as no more than a bye week fill-in and injury insurance.I don't see the guy as undroppable at this point, if you're in a league that isn't especially active trade-wise.
If you don't want him, trade him or quit fantasy. Dropping him is sensationally stupid.
