Probably in the minority but I don't think Boykin will carry the type of fantasy impact some are tossing out here. At the end of the day, he is still in a pecking order of
Nelson, Cobb, and possibly a TE and/or Lacy in terms of distribution. I think that equates to inconsistency which, at what will likely end up at Boykin's hyped price, is too much.
THe Packers have had guys in and out of their lineup for two years now so its hard to just look at it and say he will replace Jones because a lot of those games Nelson was out, Finley was out, Cobb was out, or it was before they had Lacy running well.
I think it ends with some promising games but I want to pay the true WR3/flex price and I doubt I can get him for that.
He didnt play early in the season but weeks 7-16 he only had two games of less than 5 catches, he had two games of 100+ yards and three others of 80+ yards, has good size and speed at prototypical #1 WR size. From Weeks 7-16 when he played he was WR21 in my league beating out the likes of Michael Floyd, Torrey Smith and Fitz. Yeah, I roll my eyes at the consistency question and why would they be smoke screening when people with eyes can look at his production and talent.
Oh and he had that consistency with Flynn and Tolzien throwing him the ball, panic away and over think it though, enjoy.
You must be a proud rose-colored glasses-wearing Boykin owner. THe info is right there in front of you.Cobb goes out in game 5. Finley goes out in game 6. THEN, a team without Cobb or Finley (and just getting Lacy in the groove) has a Wr with numbers that go from nothing to notable.
What exactly do you think is going to happen? Cobb AND Nelson AND their Te AND their running game, which they have been starving for and finally have, is going to get pushed to the background so that this guy can get 8-10 targets (so that he can get the 5-8 catches he needs to be CONSISTENTLY fantasy relevant)? C'mon.
He'll have his moments. But it is NOT going to happen consistently and that's the problem. You can't buy him at a Nate Burleson/Lance Moore/Martellius Bennett price and enjoy those random 3-5 games a year where it was good he was a starter in your lineup. You are going to ahve to buy him at a much higher price and you will get burned more often than not, barring an injury to the three guys that are clearly higher in the pecking order in that offense.
And you mention the backup QBs. That should be a BIG RED FLAG. Backup qbs very often find themselves in games throwing to backup WRS because those are the guys THEY KNOW. the guys they practice with and understand the timing.
When Rodgers comes back, he KNOWS Nelson and Cobb, etc. He's not going to have the same kind of immediate, natural love for Boykin that he has for Nelson, Cobb, etc.
You're going to be disappointed if you are hitching your wagon to Boykin thinking he is going to be some surprising darling. enjoy.
In the game with Rodgers at the end of the season: 2 catches/8 yards. Rodgers is not Flynn. Its a different game when all the guys are healthy.
