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Jeopardy Baby, Ooooh-ooh-oooooh (4 Viewers)

I think he looks at things very differently than most players because of his gambling background.  He probably looked at the online archives and determined his odds of getting daily doubles correct, based on a couple hundred of them. Same with finals.  He probably knows that he has a 65% chance (or so) of getting each final right and bets big because that's a better chance of winning than he gets in sports gambling. He probably gets DDs at an even higher percentage and bets accordingly.  He is also more concerned with total dollars won than the normal long-term champion who would be much more likely to bet conservatively with a large lead.  He's going for the money now.  He also knows his weird smile is distracting and confusing to his opponents.

 
worrierking said:
I think he looks at things very differently than most players because of his gambling background.  He probably looked at the online archives and determined his odds of getting daily doubles correct, based on a couple hundred of them. Same with finals.  He probably knows that he has a 65% chance (or so) of getting each final right and bets big because that's a better chance of winning than he gets in sports gambling. He probably gets DDs at an even higher percentage and bets accordingly.  He is also more concerned with total dollars won than the normal long-term champion who would be much more likely to bet conservatively with a large lead.  He's going for the money now.  He also knows his weird smile is distracting and confusing to his opponents.
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yep.  Betting strategy can be just as critical as the knowledge.  This guy gets it.  If you can win the game on a daily double, which will likely be easier than final jeopardy then you do it!  Put that game out of reach.

 
worrierking said:
I think he looks at things very differently than most players because of his gambling background.  He probably looked at the online archives and determined his odds of getting daily doubles correct, based on a couple hundred of them. Same with finals.  He probably knows that he has a 65% chance (or so) of getting each final right and bets big because that's a better chance of winning than he gets in sports gambling. He probably gets DDs at an even higher percentage and bets accordingly.  He is also more concerned with total dollars won than the normal long-term champion who would be much more likely to bet conservatively with a large lead.  He's going for the money now.  He also knows his weird smile is distracting and confusing to his opponents.
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2 weaknesses some otherwise good players have is not betting correctly and being weak in sports categories. He does not have those problems.

 
worrierking said:
I think he looks at things very differently than most players because of his gambling background.  He probably looked at the online archives and determined his odds of getting daily doubles correct, based on a couple hundred of them. Same with finals.  He probably knows that he has a 65% chance (or so) of getting each final right and bets big because that's a better chance of winning than he gets in sports gambling. He probably gets DDs at an even higher percentage and bets accordingly.  He is also more concerned with total dollars won than the normal long-term champion who would be much more likely to bet conservatively with a large lead.  He's going for the money now.  He also knows his weird smile is distracting and confusing to his opponents.
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He does seem to throw others off their game a lot.  In the game where he broke the record, he was out there hunting for the last DD in DJ to put the game completely out of reach, and the woman in the middle kept going for the $400 questions when she got it right, like she was thinking that she could bring it back to a traditional category run type of game.

 
E-Z Glider said:
In addition to crushing the DD's and FJ's...

Holzhauer also excels at an underrated aspect of the game: a firm grasp of what he doesn’t know. In the first four games of his streak, he missed only four of the 133 clues he rang in on. Since Jeopardy! deducts money for incorrect responses, restraint is a virtue.
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How a Professional Gambler broke Jeopardy!
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I did appreciate them ruling his answer of the Battle of Manassas wrong yesterday.  Get those confederate battle names out of here.  (The answer did specify "this creek," so right call anyway, but still brought me joy.)

 
Don Quixote said:
He does seem to throw others off their game a lot.  In the game where he broke the record, he was out there hunting for the last DD in DJ to put the game completely out of reach, and the woman in the middle kept going for the $400 questions when she got it right, like she was thinking that she could bring it back to a traditional category run type of game.
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I've noticed a lot of his opponents have seemed to adopt his strategy, jumping directly to the $1000 or $2000 answers in full categories. It might be a self-defense search for the daily doubles before he can hit them. If you can hit them, even if you don't bet big, you stop him from doing so. The woman last night could have at least prevented a runaway if she had answered the rather easy DD correctly after betting semi-big.

 
Don Quixote said:
He does seem to throw others off their game a lot.  In the game where he broke the record, he was out there hunting for the last DD in DJ to put the game completely out of reach, and the woman in the middle kept going for the $400 questions when she got it right, like she was thinking that she could bring it back to a traditional category run type of game.
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I think hitting a big all-in DD in a close game, like he did early in DJ when he and his opponent were tied at 10k in Game 3, can just be deflating and throw the opponent off his or her game.

 
Shrugs said:
I think hitting a big all-in DD in a close game, like he did early in DJ when he and his opponent were tied at 10k in Game 3, can just be deflating and throw the opponent off his or her game.
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he is definitely a risk taker, but he likely believes he can overcome a loss of DD funds.  

 
Leroy Hoard said:
Sometimes I wonder how many really good players get derailed by someone like this guy.
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Wife and I just watched this one and were talking about this. That girl got up to $14,000 with zero daily doubles, and had no shot at one quarter of what he ended up with. I'd be so pissed.

 
Guy is a machine, unflappable.  The look on the girl's (on the right side) face when he kept beating her to the buzzer was awesome.  She was disgusted.  

They had the all-star draft type tourney a few weeks ago.  He'd be first pick for sure in any future draft.  

 
Jayrok said:
Guy is a machine, unflappable.  The look on the girl's (on the right side) face when he kept beating her to the buzzer was awesome.  She was disgusted.  

They had the all-star draft type tourney a few weeks ago.  He'd be first pick for sure in any future draft.  
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He hasn't even had an average night yet. It's ranged from great to awesome. I wonder how long he lasts?

 
Mr. Mojo said:
He hasn't even had an average night yet. It's ranged from great to awesome. I wonder how long he lasts?
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Last night he missed his first DD and lost 8200 or so.  Seven/eight questions later he was back in the lead.  His goal, obviously, is to find the DDs especially in double J round.  I think the only thing that trips him up (outside of someone new rolling of course) is missing a wager that is too large late in the game and not enough questions left to come back.  

I don't know if he's even missed a question on final J yet.  He's got it right on all the episodes I've watched.  Crazy. 

 
Jayrok said:
Last night he missed his first DD and lost 8200 or so.  Seven/eight questions later he was back in the lead.  His goal, obviously, is to find the DDs especially in double J round.  I think the only thing that trips him up (outside of someone new rolling of course) is missing a wager that is too large late in the game and not enough questions left to come back.  

I don't know if he's even missed a question on final J yet.  He's got it right on all the episodes I've watched.  Crazy. 
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He missed Thursday's FJ (which was actually pretty easy): "This inductee into the Video Hall of Fame sold 17 million copies of a videocassette she released in 1982". He guessed Madonna. It was a runaway (as usual) so it didn't matter.

 
apalmer said:
He missed Thursday's FJ (which was actually pretty easy): "This inductee into the Video Hall of Fame sold 17 million copies of a videocassette she released in 1982". He guessed Madonna. It was a runaway (as usual) so it didn't matter.
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Oh yes, I saw that one.  It was the one time that I knew FJ and he didn't.  Soon as I saw videocassette and 1982 thought of Jane Fonda workout video.  Before their time so Madonna was a decent guess.  

 
chet said:
Is it too early to put him in the same league as Ken and Brad?
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I think we will have to see how long his run lasts and how he goes head to head in the champions tournament for example.  But he is definitely shaping up to be one of the more impressive players i have seen.

 
PinkydaPimp said:
I think we will have to see how long his run lasts and how he goes head to head in the champions tournament for example.  But he is definitely shaping up to be one of the more impressive players i have seen.
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He's already in 2nd place all-time in winnings (not counting tournaments), behind only Jennings.  He's done that in 8 games instead of the 20 or so games the people he just passed played. He's currently averaging about $23,000 more per game than Jennings did. I don't think we need to see anything else.

 
apalmer said:
He's already in 2nd place all-time in winnings (not counting tournaments), behind only Jennings.  He's done that in 8 games instead of the 20 or so games the people he just passed played. He's currently averaging about $23,000 more per game than Jennings did. I don't think we need to see anything else.
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that depends on what you value.  Longevity?  Or earnings.  Jennings goal wasnt to rack up money it was to win.  They approached the game differently.  Granted im still impressed with what he is doing.  But how would that play out head to head?  With stronger competition for example?  Could he get away with going all in like that every day?  would he even find them as often?  I dont know.  will be break kens money or win record?  I dont know. 

Hes still one of the better players we have seen though.

 
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apalmer said:
He's already in 2nd place all-time in winnings (not counting tournaments), behind only Jennings.  He's done that in 8 games instead of the 20 or so games the people he just passed played. He's currently averaging about $23,000 more per game than Jennings did. I don't think we need to see anything else.
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I'd be interested to see him in a tournament to see how'd he do head to head.  They up the difficulty of the questions when you get to the Tournament of Champions, which makes his "go big or go home" approach a bit riskier.

 
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