Don't see that at all. NE played in a strict 3-4 39% of the time last year. They'll play a hybrid just like last year except they will be a lot more attacking. Thats basically the big change, to attact a lot more and not sit back and let teams pick them apart. Mayo is still the first guy to the ball the majority of the time. He's going to rush a lot more this year, i wouldnt be surprised if he put up a half dozen sacks.At some point Mayo's value takes a hit here. Rotoworld believes he's in for a monster year being utilized as an edge rusher more often. I can't help but think the opposite. I think he dips big time from last years tackle totals.
He's not going to lose 50 tackles over the course of the year. They will only be in the 4-3 part of the time. And when they are he's still the playcaller, will still be near the line of scrimmage and will be well protected to go whereever he wants to go, whether its the ballcarrier or rushing the passer.If last night is any indication he could be in for a huge year. In a half, he had 5 total tackles, 2 sacks, 3 hurries and 2 pass defensed.Well it may depend on league scoring, but I don't see how he can maintain last years tackle levels in this role. If he offsets a sack for every 3 tackles he loses then it's a wash or gain, depending on league scoring systems. But expecting a sack every game is asking for a lot I think.
Oh, theres no way he gets 16 sacks, in no way am i implying that. But if they do use him like they did last night 6-8 is certainly possible. Like you said it depends on league scoring. Add in the additional fumbles and rrecoeveries that typically come from sacks and being around the QB with the ball, and i think his tackles would have to decrease quite a bit for it to be a net negative. Hes still by far their best LBer so the tackle will be there imo. Hes always the first to the ball and thats kinda how they are using him. Free him up to go where the ball is.I don't think he'll lose 50 either. I was just using that as an example.This is preseason so i don't want to read to far either way. But I can't see how he matches last years fantasy numbers with a significant increase of snaps on the outside.2 sacks in one half was huge, but let's see it during the regular season. I think it's a stretch to hope for even 1 sack per game average. Clay Matthews, an elite pass rushing LB, couldn't even do that last year.
If you feel that way, who are the 10 LBs with a safer bet to finish inside the top 10? Willis, Timmons, maybe Beason. Who else is "safer" than Mayo to be top 10 at year end right now?Safe yes. Elite? As in top 3 or 4 LBs? He's being drafted that way, but I think there's a good chance he finishes outside the top 10.
Willis is still a tier among himself imo. I'd still take Mayo over Timmons, who after the first 6 weeks lasts year, wasnt even in the top 20 in most scoring systems.Exactly my point. He's left that upper "sure thing" echelon of Willis & Timmons and now he's in that next tier. There's probably 15-18 LBs that have a reasonable chance of ending up in the top 10. Mayo's smack in the middle of that group. That's my take anyways.
After watching the last two preseason games, he always seems to be around the ball. Maybe the new system is freeing him up to do so (you would think a LB in a 4-3 scheme would be "freed up" more than one in a 3-4 scheme anyway). He had 2 sacks all last season, but he had 2 in just one half the other night. You'd have to think his sack totals will go up. Maybe being around the ball in this new "blitzkrieg" scheme will also help his forced fumble and recovery numbers as well. His tackles will likely decline some (you can't really expect them to improve), and he's a shoe in for a high assisted tackles number. I'm still curious to know the other LBs that you have in his tier. Tulloch who may or may not be 3 down this year? D Ryans in a new scheme? Maybe Hawthorne with Tatupu gone.Exactly my point. He's left that upper "sure thing" echelon of Willis & Timmons and now he's in that next tier. There's probably 15-18 LBs that have a reasonable chance of ending up in the top 10. Mayo's smack in the middle of that group. That's my take anyways.
I just made a move to get Mayo... Jene?I'd love some insight into his play through 3 weeks. Anyone?
Guyton/Spikes....neither are going to be very valuable imo. If anything, I think it bumps Chungs tackle numbers.This is a tough loss for PatsSo who takes his snaps?
As a Spikes owner, I think he will benefit more than chung, especially this week against the NY Jets team that has not established a running game.Guyton/Spikes....neither are going to be very valuable imo. If anything, I think it bumps Chungs tackle numbers.This is a tough loss for PatsSo who takes his snaps?
As a Spikes owner, I think he will benefit moreAs a Spikes owner, I think he will benefit more than chung, especially this week against the NY Jets team that has not established a running game.Guyton/Spikes....neither are going to be very valuable imo. If anything, I think it bumps Chungs tackle numbers.This is a tough loss for PatsSo who takes his snaps?