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Julius Jones- 2005 version of Willie Green? (1 Viewer)

Bottom line-Jones is elite when healthy and average when not 100%. His problem is staying healthy. I think his 3rd year will be his best.It`s was funny how average barber looked compared to jones in that game vs carolina,barber could`nt carry jone`s jock that day.Just goes to show you how much potential jones has.

 
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Uh, last time I checked 958 yards in 11 games is significantly better than average and border line elite. Nice try though. :loco:
Sorry to bring you back to reality, but these are not borderline elite fantasy numbers, and I'd argue they aren't even significantly better than average:Using decimal scoring:

0-5 points: 2 times

5-10 points: 5 times

10-15 points: 1 time

15-20 points: 2 times

20 + points: 2 times

That's 7 times out of 12 games he was under 10 points.

By the way, he's played in 12 games, not 11.
Sure lets count the time he was in for one play and benched because his ankle was still sore.Even if you use 12 games he still averaged 80 yards per game. LT2 averaged 91.5 this season. 80 is a lot closer to the elite than the 65 an average back gets.

Nice try though. :confused:
Nice try...right back at you. The stats...1... Week 1 @SDG 26 carries

2... Week 2 WAS 22 carries

3... Week 3 @SFO 26 carries

4... Week 4 @OAK 22 carries

5... Week 5 PHI 16 carries

6... Week 10 @PHI 8 carries

7... Week 11 DET 21 carries

8... Week 12 DEN 20 carries

9... Week 13 @NYG 23 carries

10... Week 14 KAN 12 carries

11... Week 15 @WAS 12 carries

12... Week 16 @CAR 34 carries

That would be 12 games of at least 8 carries.

And if you'd like to compare Julius Jones to LT, apples for apples, it's very convenient that you left out touchdowns.

LT 321 carries for 1372 yards, 50 receptions for 366 yards, 19 total touchdowns

JJ 242 carries for 958 yards, 33 receptions for 229 yards, 5 total touchdowns

I'd like my elite back to at least be the goal line back for his team.

 
han round 2. How many clubs did not clearly have a starting RB entering 2005?

I could agree with BGP here as well. I don't feel JJ is seriously challenged by Barber but I could see him slipping as far as the third round.

I think Jones will average 20 carries a game next year. If he manages to shake the Fragile Fred tag and Dallas can shore up the o-line look out.

You could make that IF to a lot of RB's.. If Jordan was always given 20+ carries a game and they had a better O-Line he would be top 5 for sure..
Uh, L.Jordan is #6 in my league standard scoring. Did I miss something? :no:
In rushing YARDS.. I know Jordan is a stud.. I backed him all offseason due to his high opportunity to get receiving yards..
 
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The original title was changed.

It still holds true either way. JJ is leaps and bounds better than Willie Green could ever dream of being. 2005 and before and after.
FYI I never changed the title. Secondly, I am not talking about NFL RB, not fantasy. He is not very impressive, more like average IMO.

 
As a Dallas fan I do not think JJ will reach elite status. Marion B has shown flashes this year as well. You will see a 2 headed rb system for the next few years barring an injury. 2 weeks ago it looked like MB was taking over. This week some are claiming JJ is elite. All this shows me is how inconsistent each rb truly is. They have talent, but they have yet to show the ability to be consistent week to week.

 
I can't believe that someone is actually arguing that JJ had a good year. It's not a good thing when you're talking about 20 TDs for yourself before the season and then you don't hit the endzone for 12 straight weeks. Not even close to a good year for JJ.

 
The original title was changed.

It still holds true either way. JJ is leaps and bounds better than Willie Green could ever dream of being. 2005 and before and after.
FYI I never changed the title. Secondly, I am not talking about NFL RB, not fantasy. He is not very impressive, more like average IMO.
Well whoopdee doo doo. You aren't impressed. Big Surprise there! :rolleyes: The guy could come out and score three TD's and have 250 yards and you'd still be singing the "he's just average," song. Sheesh,what a maroon.

 
The original title was changed.

It still holds true either way. JJ is leaps and bounds better than Willie Green could ever dream of being. 2005 and before and after.
FYI I never changed the title. Secondly, I am not talking about NFL RB, not fantasy. He is not very impressive, more like average IMO.
Well whoopdee doo doo. You aren't impressed. Big Surprise there! :rolleyes: The guy could come out and score three TD's and have 250 yards and you'd still be singing the "he's just average," song. Sheesh,what a maroon.
And the guy could have several more weeks of pure mediocrity and you still wouldn't hop off his jock. Heck, you give ME enough carries and I'll piece together some yardage. To say JJ is elite because he gets loads of carries is ridiculous. If those number of carries are split between him and Barber next year he'll be no better than average. No matter how he turns out in the future, he was a complete bust this year. Bigtime is the only 'maroon' around these parts.

 
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ISnitch, what a dope of a response. A guy gets injured and his backup does an okay job while he's recuperating. This is no more RBBC than it is when Cris Perry spells Rudi.I'll add you to the list of "unable to spot talent hacks," who believe JJ is like Willie Green. I guess when he runs rough shod on ST Louis next week you'll still be in denial and dreaming up some other ridiculous parallel to an average back.

 
ISnitch, what a dope of a response. A guy gets injured and his backup does an okay job while he's recuperating. This is no more RBBC than it is when Cris Perry spells Rudi.

I'll add you to the list of "unable to spot talent hacks," who believe JJ is like Willie Green.

I guess when he runs rough shod on ST Louis next week you'll still be in denial and dreaming up some other ridiculous parallel to an average back.
:no: I take it back, JJ is not an average back...

15 carries for 35 yards...he is a BELOW AVERAGE back.

Nice call Bigtime. I'd say this qualifies for you being o\/\/ned.

Edit: I see you are banned, too bad you won't be back to enjoy eating crow.

 
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Question for you:Which Dallas RB has the most rushing yards in his first 20 games?a) Emmitt Smithb) Tony Dorsettc) Julius Jonesd) Herschel WalkerAnswer: c) Julius Jones

 
Question for you:

Which Dallas RB has the most rushing yards in his first 20 games?

a) Emmitt Smith

b) Tony Dorsett

c) Julius Jones

d) Herschel Walker

Answer: c) Julius Jones
Point being?This thread is discussing the fact that Julius Jones had stud stats near the end of year 1, and his year 2 was non-stud like. Your data does not address the issue that he was not a stud back this year, and thus is "Willie Green" like.

 
Point being that you seem to be trashing a guy who has better numbers in his first 20 games than some of the best RBs in NFL history.Are JJ's numbers this year because he sucks or because he had no blocking? Do you think any RB would have been a "stud" for Dallas this year?

 
ISnitch, what a dope of a response. A guy gets injured and his backup does an okay job while he's recuperating. This is no more RBBC than it is when Cris Perry spells Rudi.

I'll add you to the list of "unable to spot talent hacks," who believe JJ is like Willie Green.

I guess when he runs rough shod on ST Louis next week you'll still be in denial and dreaming up some other ridiculous parallel to an average back.
:no: I take it back, JJ is not an average back...

15 carries for 35 yards...he is a BELOW AVERAGE back.

Nice call Bigtime. I'd say this qualifies for you being o\/\/ned.

Edit: I see you are banned, too bad you won't be back to enjoy eating crow.
And your a moron. Who knows absolutely zero about football.You just come on this board to show your ignorance and piss off people.

And i am not a JJ owner , i am just tired of morons like you.

 
Point being that you seem to be trashing a guy who has better numbers in his first 20 games than some of the best RBs in NFL history.

Are JJ's numbers this year because he sucks or because he had no blocking? Do you think any RB would have been a "stud" for Dallas this year?
Barber looked better than JJ in his time while Jones was hurt.
 
Point being that you seem to be trashing a guy who has better numbers in his first 20 games than some of the best RBs in NFL history.
No one is doubting that he had a great second half of his rookie season. So did Willie Green. JJ's production (like Willie Green's) in his second season fell off substantially. Fact is that he had one nice game out of 12 and averaged less than 4 yards per carry for the year. He also broke 100 once of twelve games with 8 of 12 games having over 20 carries. There is no doubt that he did not come close to expectations.

There passing game was decent with several weapons and his performance was still average. He's done nothing to prove that he is more than average up to this point.

 
ISnitch, what a dope of a response. A guy gets injured and his backup does an okay job while he's recuperating. This is no more RBBC than it is when Cris Perry spells Rudi.

I'll add you to the list of "unable to spot talent hacks," who believe JJ is like Willie Green.

I guess when he runs rough shod on ST Louis next week you'll still be in denial and dreaming up some other ridiculous parallel to an average back.
:no: I take it back, JJ is not an average back...

15 carries for 35 yards...he is a BELOW AVERAGE back.

Nice call Bigtime. I'd say this qualifies for you being o\/\/ned.

Edit: I see you are banned, too bad you won't be back to enjoy eating crow.
And your a moron. Who knows absolutely zero about football.You just come on this board to show your ignorance and piss off people.

And i am not a JJ owner , i am just tired of morons like you.
I would respond by saying that you are not being very "excellent" to me, now are you?
 
Point being that you seem to be trashing a guy who has better numbers in his first 20 games than some of the best RBs in NFL history.
No one is doubting that he had a great second half of his rookie season. So did Willie Green. JJ's production (like Willie Green's) in his second season fell off substantially. Fact is that he had one nice game out of 12 and averaged less than 4 yards per carry for the year. He also broke 100 once of twelve games with 8 of 12 games having over 20 carries. There is no doubt that he did not come close to expectations.

There passing game was decent with several weapons and his performance was still average. He's done nothing to prove that he is more than average up to this point.
lets put the 4 YPC part under a microscope...mike anderson averaged 4.2 YPC... a whopping 3 tenths of a yard better... DAL run blocking was nowhere remotely close to what broncos RBs enjoyed...

edgerrin james had 4.2... peyton manning, marvin harrison & reggie wayne are FAR more distracting to defenses than bledsoe, glenn & keyshawn... not to dis the other cowboys skill position players... they are solid players that performed well... but they aren't even in the same ball park as the colts.

cadillac had best three game start in NFL history (in yards... not YPC)... supposedly a bonafide stud... 4.1 YPC...

steven jackson was 4.1... & defenses have to be concerned with holt, bruce & curtis... one of the best (maybe the best?) trios in the NFL... and he gets to run behind perennial pro bowler orlando pace.

fred taylor is a legit, big time RB... 4.1...

reuben droughns became first CLE RB to get 1,000 yards in forever (silly stat since this incarnation of browns not same as old... now BAL), getting 1,200+... dispelling doubts that he was just a system product of DEN... 4.0...

brian westbrook... one of the most electrifying open field RBs in league... 4.0...

marion barber... sometimes compared to julius... exact same 3.9 YPC...

priest holmes... maybe one of the best NFL RBs ever... certainly would make many top 3-5 lists "today" when healthy... 3.8...

willis mcgahee... looked like franchise RB in 2004... has nice WR duo of eric moulds & lee evans... 3.8...

lamont jordan did well enough that he was viewed as one of the better free agent acquisitions at any position in 2005... WRs include randy moss & jerry porter... 3.8...

deuce mcAllister... a dynamic, do-it-all RB who is one of faster big backs in NFL... 3.6...

kevin jones... more yards than any RB last 7-8 games of 2004... supposedly dangerous WRs in roy williams, charles rogers (didn't even suit up some games AFTER drug suspension) & third top 10 WR mike williams... 3.6...

corey dillon... key piece of the puzzle to pats super bowl win in 2004 & hopes in 2005... 3.5...

jamal lewis... few seasons removed from 2,000+ yard season... supposedly upgraded WR weapons in derrick mason & mark clayton (with todd heap)... 3.4... jonathan ogden USED to be perennial pro bowler but for two seasons appears to be in decline & have eroding skills...

curtis martin... last season's league rushing leader... 3.3...

is there some magical dividing line where any & all RBs with better than 4.0 are great RBs & those under are mediocre... france's feared "maginot" line & kadafi's terror-inducing "line of death" were not as thin as the 4.0 metric determining the greatness (or lack therof) of an NFL RB. :)

maybe it is a little more complicated than that...

when jones got the kind of blocking he enjoyed in 2004, he looked fine... the problem was, that rarely happened...

if jones doesn't make it... it won't be for the same reasons as william green... i appreciate the fact that some are trying to make a comparison... & why they might think this is relevant... but we can just look at their skill sets directly & see they are not the same player...

on simplistic level... both had very good second halfs of rookie season & disappointing soph seasons... a ferarri is kind of like a yugo, too... they have four tires, an engine, a body, a windshield... etc... there are superficial similarities... but obvious the DIFFERENCES between them are more important when you are trying to figure out which is better (not necessarily more affordable or even better value)...

green has sub-standard patience & vision... he doesn't wait for the hole (used to run up his own OL backs) & he doesn't SEE the hole... if you watch julius when he isn't getting tackled 5 yards behind the LOS, he is CLEARLY better than green in these important traits.

green has limitations... it shouldn't go without saying that he might have had other chances to prove himself, but getting busted for pot than getting stabbed by a wacko girlfriend didn't exactly advance his career... perhaps in a power attack like PIT or CAR, his limitations wouldn't be so obvious...

people though thomas jones was a bust after ARI... he had a decent stretch in TB over limited time... now looks like a great RB in CHI... julius could be more talented... he certainly did more in half a season his rookie year than thomas ever did in first few seasons with cards...

jones finished with 993 yards & 218 receiving yards...

in the first month of the season, there is no question that defenses considered him (rightfully so) the focal point of parcell's attack... bledsoe did have a good season, but he was coming off a ho-hum, up & down season (couple, actually) in BUF, & to begin the season you can bet JJ scared DCs more & that is who they schemed for...

than after 5 games, he gets a high ankle sprain... with a severe one, you might as well have broken it... check deuce & martin when they suffered them in recent seasons... i'm guessing there YPC went down afterwards...

than he wasn't at full strength presumably when he came back... so now we are up to about a third of the season he either didn't play or wasn't at full strength... coupled with the sup-par blocking... LT torrin tucker a brutal downgrade from flozell adams, petiti may not have requisite foot speed to be an NFL RT (observation courtesy of cowboy blog's rafael vela), the cowboys were disappointed in center al johnson, gurode already was a bust there & is non-descript guard... rivera was a big disappointment at RG (may have chronic, debilitating back problems & be on downside of career)... JJ didn't get a whole lotta creases in 2005...

put him behind KC or DEN's OL & we wouldn't be having this discussion.

 
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Which Dallas RB has the most rushing yards in his first 20 games?a) Emmitt Smithb) Tony Dorsettc) Julius Jonesd) Herschel Walker
It's almost impossible to dig up the boxscored for individual games from that far back, so IMO a better assemment would be how each player fared on average per game his first two seasons:a) Emmitt Smith 78.1b) Tony Dorsett 77.7c) Julius Jones 86.2d) Herschel Walker 58.1Now let's look at how each did per game per season, his first 3 seasons . . .a) Emmitt Smith 58.6, 97.7, 107.1b) Tony Dorsett 71.9, 82.8, 79.1c) Julius Jones 102.4, 76.4, ???d) Herschel Walker 46.1, 74.3, 94.6Jones will do whatever Jones will do next year, but 76 yards a game is around 1200 rushing yards if he stays at his pace from this year. There were 12 other RB that had that many rushing yards this season, which while solid is not spectacular like many were expecting.Jones needs to stay on the field--which is something that may be presenting as a problem for him.
 
He didn't fall off the map as fast as Green, but this guy still really isn't impressing after what it looked like he'd do after his rookie season. Yes, MB3 taking the goalline touches hurts his fantasy value big, but his running style still does not seem to be all that impressive.

I'll admit that this year he did look a little better and more patient looking to hit the hole, but is he going to sharply decline with a new coaching regime or will he reach what he was expected to be?

 
He didn't fall off the map as fast as Green, but this guy still really isn't impressing after what it looked like he'd do after his rookie season. Yes, MB3 taking the goalline touches hurts his fantasy value big, but his running style still does not seem to be all that impressive.I'll admit that this year he did look a little better and more patient looking to hit the hole, but is he going to sharply decline with a new coaching regime or will he reach what he was expected to be?
This was a pretty solid call.
 
IF Norv Turner becomes the next Cowboy headcoach (he is interviewing todas as per Mike Francesa) then you can see JJ's value (or MB3's) skyrocketing..

all the while Franky Gore will probably come back down to earth with a less RB friendly system

 
IF Norv Turner becomes the next Cowboy headcoach (he is interviewing todas as per Mike Francesa) then you can see JJ's value (or MB3's) skyrocketing..all the while Franky Gore will probably come back down to earth with a less RB friendly system
good point, though i'm not sure how to interpret it...JJ seemingly not as big or strong as some of the workhorse RBs turner has ridden in the past, as HC or OC (emmit smith, stephen davis, ricky wiliams, even gore for that matter)... also, he may not have had the option of a goal line back that seems to be clearly better than the principal RB (if JJ still is... they seem to have complementary skills)...* in other words, in all those other stops, the best back was also the best goal line & short yardage back... that almost certainly not the case in DAL, so if turner does get the gig, we as fantasy prognosticators will be in somewhat uncharted waters in trying to figure out how his previous tendencies will align with seemingly new circumstances? come to think of it, at times during the 06 season, gore WAS pulled at the goal line for michael robinson, with mixed success as a i recall... not sure if that experiment was aborted later in the season, but i think so... with barber clearly being better than JJ for tough inside yards (if not necessarily overall, imo, but i realize that is a hotly disputed & contested issue in the SP), its very possible barber will continue to be a TD vulture in 07, & possibly beyond, depending on status of JJ with team in the future... JJ could of course do better in 07, & maybe even much better, if turner gives him more work in non-short yardage & goal line situations...
 
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