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Kevin Smith (1 Viewer)

Rock152

Footballguy
What does the future hold for him? I don't think Best will be an every down back and I just got K Smith for basically peanuts in a trade.

Is he a buy low in a dynasty league? I think his price can't be any cheaper - worth the gamble on a young back IMO.

 
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I could easily see Maurice Morris getting more carries than Kevin Smith next year. Morris is healthier and IMO outplayed Kevin Smith last year.

I don't think much of Smith anymore. His style is just too hesitant and he never gets a head of steam of rolling. He is always dancing and he lacks the quickness, acceleration or top end speed to be stopping and starting so much. Even when he gets into open field, he is quickly caught from behind.

 
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I could easily see Maurice Morris getting more carries than Kevin Smith next year. Morris is healthier and IMO outplayed Kevin Smith last year.I don't think much of Smith anymore. His style is just too hesitant and he never gets a head of steam of rolling. He is always dancing and he lacks the quickness, acceleration or top end speed to be stopping and starting so much. Even when he gets into open field, he is quickly caught from behind.
What about 2011 and beyond? K Smith was still the #20 back with 700-800 yards and that's awesome value when you can probably get him for a 3rd-4th rd rookie pick.With K Smith, you'll know he'll be able to handle the load if the primary RB, Best, goes down and that is definitely a possibility.
 
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Anyone else make any recent trades with Smith involved? What is he going for in dynasty? I know Waldman was really high on him coming out. Anyone still a believer in his talent?

 
I wouldn't gamble on Best not being an every down back. From everything I've read, Schwartz and the Lions are ready to give him the ball. I don't why people say he isn't an every down back?

 
Anyone else make any recent trades with Smith involved? What is he going for in dynasty? I know Waldman was really high on him coming out. Anyone still a believer in his talent?
here is one in a contract league league: Slaton (680,000 2years) for Smith & two 3rds (800,000/2 years)
 
I wouldn't gamble on Best not being an every down back. From everything I've read, Schwartz and the Lions are ready to give him the ball. I don't why people say he isn't an every down back?
I think people are saying that because he doesn't have prototypical size. He's fine. May not get 300+ carries but he will be heavily involved in the passing game. Love Best this year and beyond.
 
If you can get a top ranked kicker for Kevin Smith I would do it. He has decent vision but no power, average speed, and goes down when the wind picks up. He is nothing more than an NFL backup at best.

 
I wouldn't gamble on Best not being an every down back. From everything I've read, Schwartz and the Lions are ready to give him the ball. I don't why people say he isn't an every down back?
I think people are saying that because he doesn't have prototypical size. He's fine. May not get 300+ carries but he will be heavily involved in the passing game. Love Best this year and beyond.
Someone had a post on a Lions board about putting to rest the size issue with Best."Best is referred to as undersized by many, and while he does have a small frame, he checked in at the combine at 5′10″ 199 lbs. CJ Spiller came in at 5′11″ 196 lbsChris Johnson weighed in at 5′11″ 197 lbs., Ray Rice was 5′8″ 199 lbs., Felix Jones was 5′10″ 207 lbs and Maurice Jones-Drew was 5′7″ 206 lbs. All four are starting running backs in the NFL that have experienced success. Warrick Dunn played his whole career at around 180 lbs. and held up just fine and Marshall Faulk and Barry Sanders had Hall of Fame careers at 208 lbs."
 
I wouldn't gamble on Best not being an every down back. From everything I've read, Schwartz and the Lions are ready to give him the ball. I don't why people say he isn't an every down back?
I think people are saying that because he doesn't have prototypical size. He's fine. May not get 300+ carries but he will be heavily involved in the passing game. Love Best this year and beyond.
Someone had a post on a Lions board about putting to rest the size issue with Best."Best is referred to as undersized by many, and while he does have a small frame, he checked in at the combine at 5′10″ 199 lbs. CJ Spiller came in at 5′11″ 196 lbsChris Johnson weighed in at 5′11″ 197 lbs., Ray Rice was 5′8″ 199 lbs., Felix Jones was 5′10″ 207 lbs and Maurice Jones-Drew was 5′7″ 206 lbs. All four are starting running backs in the NFL that have experienced success. Warrick Dunn played his whole career at around 180 lbs. and held up just fine and Marshall Faulk and Barry Sanders had Hall of Fame careers at 208 lbs."
Great, now I feel much better. 1. People think Spiller is undersized2. Rice was 2 inches shorter but weighed the same3. Felix is the same height but weighs 8 lbs more4. MJD....3 inches shorter, 7 lbs heavier5. Faulk/Sanders both heavier6. Dunn was never a workhorse RBIn other words, I fail to see how any of that information supports the idea that Best has adequate size.
 
I wouldn't gamble on Best not being an every down back. From everything I've read, Schwartz and the Lions are ready to give him the ball. I don't why people say he isn't an every down back?
I think people are saying that because he doesn't have prototypical size. He's fine. May not get 300+ carries but he will be heavily involved in the passing game. Love Best this year and beyond.
Someone had a post on a Lions board about putting to rest the size issue with Best."Best is referred to as undersized by many, and while he does have a small frame, he checked in at the combine at 5′10″ 199 lbs. CJ Spiller came in at 5′11″ 196 lbsChris Johnson weighed in at 5′11″ 197 lbs., Ray Rice was 5′8″ 199 lbs., Felix Jones was 5′10″ 207 lbs and Maurice Jones-Drew was 5′7″ 206 lbs. All four are starting running backs in the NFL that have experienced success. Warrick Dunn played his whole career at around 180 lbs. and held up just fine and Marshall Faulk and Barry Sanders had Hall of Fame careers at 208 lbs."
Great, now I feel much better. 1. People think Spiller is undersized2. Rice was 2 inches shorter but weighed the same3. Felix is the same height but weighs 8 lbs more4. MJD....3 inches shorter, 7 lbs heavier5. Faulk/Sanders both heavier6. Dunn was never a workhorse RBIn other words, I fail to see how any of that information supports the idea that Best has adequate size.
Brian Westbrook - 5'10", 203Tiki Barber - 5'10", 204Any better?
 
Brian Westbrook - 5'10", 203Tiki Barber - 5'10", 204Any better?
finito - don't take my earlier post the wrong way.....I have pick 1.03 and plan to select Best. IMO he's the clear #3 pick (at worst) behind Matthews and Bryant. I just failed to see how thatguythere's post supported the idea that Best is undersized. It doesn't mean that there are no compelling arguments for why Best can be successful.
 
Just watch the guy (Best) & you'll come away very impressed. Detroit, a team devoid of playmakers outside Calvin, got themselves a steal & absolutely made the right call dealing up to get him.

 
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I like best too. Im gonna keep my fingers crossed and hope Smith gets traded and has a Thomas Jones type of revival later in his career.

 
I really like Jahvid Best, but this thread just confirms to me that he is way overvalued. He is not a sure thing, no matter what Jim Schwartz says in May. Everyone was worried about Best's concussion and other injuries before the draft and almost everyone put him 3rd behind CJ and Mathews. He was drafted 3rd behind CJ and Mathews, to a team with a horrible O-Line. What exactly has changed? Yes, Detroit is improving and they have made some subtle additions to their O-line which should help a bit. But to go from saying Best is an injury risk boom/bust player to saying he's going to be a sure-fire feature back to the point where every other RB on the team is worthless is going too far. Don't get me wrong, I would not pay a ton for Kevin Smith either, but he's absolutely worth as much as other young backups in the league. The guy is a 23 year old RB who can catch and be productive when given the chance...he's worth more than a kicker. If you are buying him hoping he'll become a star then you are on the wrong track and most likely going to overpay, but if you are only paying handcuff price for him then I'd say there's very little risk and at least a fair amount of upside.

 
I really like Jahvid Best, but this thread just confirms to me that he is way overvalued. He is not a sure thing,
I don't see how he's overvalued really. He's at worst the #4 pick in 95% of rookie drafts. At best (no pun intended), he'll go #3 in rookie drafts. [i know I'll take him #3 over Spiller w/o question] If he had a shot of going #1/#2 in rookie drafts, I can maybe see it. But you can probably count on 2 hands how many leagues he's going #1 or #2 in right now.Even if I thought he was the best PPR RB in this draft (which I do), I have no itch to go up to the top 2 rookie picks to secure him (because I won't have to). I've actually have a greater desire to move DOWN to the 4 spot (and picking up a player/pick) and still getting Best. I think there's a much much greater shot now of him going #3 in drafts (post-draft) than there was pre-draft. Spiller was 1 or 2 on most boards pre-draft.

I'm not sold on Spiller being a solid rushing option at the NFL level so Buffalo has little bearing on my view on him. For a lot of people, Buffalo was about as bad of situation as conceivable. Bad team, bad QB, bad offense. I think he can be a heck of a special teams & receiver. I like Fred Jackson quite a bit myself & think he'll be going well for another couple years with the lack of mileage on him.

 
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Ron_Mexico said:
CARLOS609 said:
nlgb1 said:
personally love this guy. think he beats out best.id say 1450/16/60/500/4
I would love to see that prediction become reality
Me too... especially since I picked Kevin smith up in the 20th round of my recent start up dynasty draft.In reality, I'm not expecting a whole lot from him.
i mean i think 1600 is a little crazy...but the man is an elite talent...i could easily see 1400 and 10tds with 400 and 3 to go along with it
 
nlgb1 said:
personally love this guy. think he beats out best.

id say 1450/16/60/500/4
There is absolutely no way this happens barring a miracle recovery from Kevin Smith and a collapse from Jahvid Best. Kevin Smith tore his ACL in December. Torn ACLs generally require 8-10 months of rehab before being fully healed. Everything points to Smith not being back to full strength until mid-season, if everl. I can't imagine Kevin Smith approaching 1600 yards this year or anytime in the future.Jahvid Best was drafted to be the feature back in the offense. They traded up into the 1st round to make sure they get him. It's safe to say Schwartz has a man-crush on Best's talent. "Some people watch adult videos on their computer," Schwartz said. "I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me aroused." Even if Best fails despite being given every opportunity (which I strongly doubt will happen), Smith won't be the feature back. It'll be a RBBC in Detroit. If anyone gets 1600 yards in that offense, it'll be Best.

 
Ron_Mexico said:
CARLOS609 said:
nlgb1 said:
personally love this guy. think he beats out best.id say 1450/16/60/500/4
I would love to see that prediction become reality
Me too... especially since I picked Kevin smith up in the 20th round of my recent start up dynasty draft.In reality, I'm not expecting a whole lot from him.
i mean i think 1600 is a little crazy...but the man is an elite talent...i could easily see 1400 and 10tds with 400 and 3 to go along with it
This is the first time I've seen "Kevin Smith" and "elite talent" in the same sentence, except when people are putting "not" in front of "elite."
 
:excited:
Ron_Mexico said:
CARLOS609 said:
nlgb1 said:
personally love this guy. think he beats out best.id say 1450/16/60/500/4
I would love to see that prediction become reality
Me too... especially since I picked Kevin smith up in the 20th round of my recent start up dynasty draft.In reality, I'm not expecting a whole lot from him.
i mean i think 1600 is a little crazy...but the man is an elite talent...i could easily see 1400 and 10tds with 400 and 3 to go along with it
:popcorn: Elite? wow...I want some of what you are on
 
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The guy was a marginally talented RB before he destroyed his knee. In a recent auction I could have had him for $1 out of a $400 budget, and I didn't even make that move. As far as I am concerned, the guy is done ever being fantasy relevant.

 
The guy was a marginally talented RB before he destroyed his knee. In a recent auction I could have had him for $1 out of a $400 budget, and I didn't even make that move. As far as I am concerned, the guy is done ever being fantasy relevant.
This. I just dropped him to waivers.And the Waldman analysis of K. Smith and my buying into that analysis head-on is why I've knocked the RSP down to 'just another source' level when I research draft picks. Utter fail on K. Smith.
 
I think he could hold some value in the future. I don't like guys with concussion issues (Best) and my guess is that when Smith gets healthy, they are going to split or ride the hot hand, knowing either one has a better chance than average of going down. I look at this as RB1 and RB1A on the Lions for the next few years and both will hold good value at one point or another.

 
I think he could hold some value in the future. I don't like guys with concussion issues (Best) and my guess is that when Smith gets healthy, they are going to split or ride the hot hand, knowing either one has a better chance than average of going down. I look at this as RB1 and RB1A on the Lions for the next few years and both will hold good value at one point or another.
There's no way you really believe that. I'm certain of it.
 
The guy was a marginally talented RB before he destroyed his knee. In a recent auction I could have had him for $1 out of a $400 budget, and I didn't even make that move. As far as I am concerned, the guy is done ever being fantasy relevant.
This. I just dropped him to waivers.And the Waldman analysis of K. Smith and my buying into that analysis head-on is why I've knocked the RSP down to 'just another source' level when I research draft picks. Utter fail on K. Smith.
This is a little harsh don't you think? Waldman had the 2008 class ranked1. Stewart2. Ray Rice3. Mendenhall4. Kev Smith5. Matt Forte6. Xavier Omon7. Felix Jones8. Jamaal Charles9. Tashard Choice10. Cory Boyd11. Darren McFadden12. Chris JOhnson13-19 various scrubs20. Steve SlatonOutside of the low Chris JOhnson ranking, those don't look so bad. Not much you can do about a guy tearing his knee up, impossible to predict unless you wanna point to Kev Smiff's monster workload in college but that's a big leap to me.
 
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The guy was a marginally talented RB before he destroyed his knee. In a recent auction I could have had him for $1 out of a $400 budget, and I didn't even make that move. As far as I am concerned, the guy is done ever being fantasy relevant.
This. I just dropped him to waivers.And the Waldman analysis of K. Smith and my buying into that analysis head-on is why I've knocked the RSP down to 'just another source' level when I research draft picks. Utter fail on K. Smith.
This is a little harsh don't you think? Waldman had the 2008 class ranked1. Stewart2. Ray Rice3. Mendenhall4. Kev Smith5. Matt Forte6. Xavier Omon7. Felix Jones8. Jamaal Charles9. Tashard Choice10. Cory Boyd11. Darren McFadden12. Chris JOhnson13-19 various scrubs20. Steve SlatonOutside of the low Chris JOhnson ranking, those don't look so bad. Not much you can do about a guy tearing his knee up, impossible to predict unless you wanna point to Kev Smiff's monster workload in college but that's a big leap to me.
Didn't say it sucks, but as they say, 'the magic is gone'. I was on the fence with some guys the last few years and went with RSP's sometimes against-the-grain rankings. Things didn't go real well on most of them. WR Jason Hill is another example, but Smith was by far the highest profile (in other words, the highest ADP) decision I had to make. Ultimately the decision on who to draft was mine, so I take full responsibility.It's an entertaining read, is still a valid source of info, but is no longer my primary source. In fact, I didn't even purchase it this year. I can make bad decisions using info from free sources. ;)
 
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The guy was a marginally talented RB before he destroyed his knee. In a recent auction I could have had him for $1 out of a $400 budget, and I didn't even make that move. As far as I am concerned, the guy is done ever being fantasy relevant.
This. I just dropped him to waivers.And the Waldman analysis of K. Smith and my buying into that analysis head-on is why I've knocked the RSP down to 'just another source' level when I research draft picks. Utter fail on K. Smith.
This is a little harsh don't you think? Waldman had the 2008 class ranked1. Stewart2. Ray Rice3. Mendenhall4. Kev Smith5. Matt Forte6. Xavier Omon7. Felix Jones8. Jamaal Charles9. Tashard Choice10. Cory Boyd11. Darren McFadden12. Chris JOhnson13-19 various scrubs20. Steve SlatonOutside of the low Chris JOhnson ranking, those don't look so bad. Not much you can do about a guy tearing his knee up, impossible to predict unless you wanna point to Kev Smiff's monster workload in college but that's a big leap to me.
Xavier Omon ahead of Felix Jones and Jamaal Charles? Cory Boyd ahead of CJ2K, McFadden, and Slaton? I think the world of Waldman's analysis (been reading him for almost a decade now), but this just goes to prove how much of a crapshoot rookies are until we know more about them as NFL entities. I wouldn't pay much attention to any prospect "expert" when it comes to judging talent coming into the league. You're much better off tracking reports out of training camp, listening to beat writers, coaches, teammates, etc.
 
A lot of people here making good predictions with 20/20 hindsight. I would love to see the draft board for some NFL teams during those years--I bet not too many have done as well as Waldman. I agree, with the exception of CJ3, these rankings are dang good. I took Rice and Stewart based on Waldman, and it served me very, very well.

You can't bag on him for Xavier Omon; Waldman is very clear that you have to adjust for the reality of how your draft plays out. If someone wasted a third round pick on Omon, it's no big deal. And if he had gone to a different team, say NO, who knows, he might have been ok. Kevin Smith? Guy suffered an injury. That's hardly a reason to bag on him. If CJ3 had the same injury we might be having this conversation about him.

 
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A lot of people here making good predictions with 20/20 hindsight. I would love to see the draft board for some NFL teams during those years--I bet not too many have done as well as Waldman. I agree, with the exception of CJ3, these rankings are dang good. I took Rice and Stewart based on Waldman, and it served me very, very well.

You can't bag on him for Xavier Omon; Waldman is very clear that you have to adjust for the reality of how your draft plays out. If someone wasted a third round pick on Omon, it's no big deal. And if he had gone to a different team, say NO, who knows, he might have been ok. Kevin Smith? Guy suffered an injury. That's hardly a reason to bag on him. If CJ3 had the same injury we might be having this conversation about him.
Your zest to defend Waldman is noble, and I realize he's a God to you folks on these boards, but to suggest he wasn't wrong about Kevin Smith is silly. The guy was a very average RB before his injury and that's being generous.
 
A lot of people here making good predictions with 20/20 hindsight. I would love to see the draft board for some NFL teams during those years--I bet not too many have done as well as Waldman. I agree, with the exception of CJ3, these rankings are dang good. I took Rice and Stewart based on Waldman, and it served me very, very well.

You can't bag on him for Xavier Omon; Waldman is very clear that you have to adjust for the reality of how your draft plays out. If someone wasted a third round pick on Omon, it's no big deal. And if he had gone to a different team, say NO, who knows, he might have been ok. Kevin Smith? Guy suffered an injury. That's hardly a reason to bag on him. If CJ3 had the same injury we might be having this conversation about him.
Your zest to defend Waldman is noble, and I realize he's a God to you folks on these boards, but to suggest he wasn't wrong about Kevin Smith is silly. The guy was a very average RB before his injury and that's being generous.
I don't remember anyone on the boards here saying Smith was "very average" before his injury.
 
az_prof said:
FavreAndAwayAnIdiot said:
az_prof said:
A lot of people here making good predictions with 20/20 hindsight. I would love to see the draft board for some NFL teams during those years--I bet not too many have done as well as Waldman. I agree, with the exception of CJ3, these rankings are dang good. I took Rice and Stewart based on Waldman, and it served me very, very well.

You can't bag on him for Xavier Omon; Waldman is very clear that you have to adjust for the reality of how your draft plays out. If someone wasted a third round pick on Omon, it's no big deal. And if he had gone to a different team, say NO, who knows, he might have been ok. Kevin Smith? Guy suffered an injury. That's hardly a reason to bag on him. If CJ3 had the same injury we might be having this conversation about him.
Your zest to defend Waldman is noble, and I realize he's a God to you folks on these boards, but to suggest he wasn't wrong about Kevin Smith is silly. The guy was a very average RB before his injury and that's being generous.
I don't remember anyone on the boards here saying Smith was "very average" before his injury.
Plenty of people thought Smith was average. It was a common theme here. I don't remember anyone on the boards saying that he was an ultra-talented stud.
 
az_prof said:
FavreAndAwayAnIdiot said:
az_prof said:
A lot of people here making good predictions with 20/20 hindsight. I would love to see the draft board for some NFL teams during those years--I bet not too many have done as well as Waldman. I agree, with the exception of CJ3, these rankings are dang good. I took Rice and Stewart based on Waldman, and it served me very, very well.

You can't bag on him for Xavier Omon; Waldman is very clear that you have to adjust for the reality of how your draft plays out. If someone wasted a third round pick on Omon, it's no big deal. And if he had gone to a different team, say NO, who knows, he might have been ok. Kevin Smith? Guy suffered an injury. That's hardly a reason to bag on him. If CJ3 had the same injury we might be having this conversation about him.
Your zest to defend Waldman is noble, and I realize he's a God to you folks on these boards, but to suggest he wasn't wrong about Kevin Smith is silly. The guy was a very average RB before his injury and that's being generous.
I don't remember anyone on the boards here saying Smith was "very average" before his injury.
Plenty of people thought Smith was average. It was a common theme here. I don't remember anyone on the boards saying that he was an ultra-talented stud.
Smith has been the very definition of average in his career thus far. Now, I fear he falls into the below average category.
 
Here is what people were saying after his rookie year.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

Like I said, it's easy to play arm chair GM with 20/20 hindsight. If not for the injury, we wouldn't be having this conversation. I don't think he was a great RB but he wasn't as bad a projection as some of you are making out.

Waldman's willingness to go against the grain on McFadden is more indicative of the value of his work. If you had the 1.1 in 2008 and you took his advice, you would have Jonathan Stewart instead of McFadden. There wasn't one prognisticator around who ranked McFadden as low.

No one will hit a home run every time and if you are better than 50% at predicting super stars and duds, then you are doing pretty well.

 
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Here is what people were saying after his rookie year.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

Like I said, it's easy to play arm chair GM with 20/20 hindsight. If not for the injury, we wouldn't be having this conversation. I don't think he was a great RB but he wasn't as bad a projection as some of you are making out.
Thx for posting the links. There were definitely a lot of folks on board the KSmith bandwagon. I stand corrected.
 
Here is what people were saying after his rookie year.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...vin+Smith\

Like I said, it's easy to play arm chair GM with 20/20 hindsight. If not for the injury, we wouldn't be having this conversation. I don't think he was a great RB but he wasn't as bad a projection as some of you are making out.
Thx for posting the links. There were definitely a lot of folks on board the KSmith bandwagon. I stand corrected.
There were plenty on the bandwagon I am sure. I know amongst Lions fans who watched him every week, the thought was and is that he is an average talent.
 

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