-OZ-
Footballguy
We really need to keep in mind that up until recently, few veteran TEs put up large stats.Winslow had 1290/9 in his 2nd season.I could not disagree with this post more. It's easy to list off all the QBs that have done it, all the while not mentioning the TEs that have (which are plentiful) and totally ignoring the fact that there are a lot more highly rated QBs coming out of college than there are highly rated TEs.I assume you meant Marino's record breaking season came in his 2nd year (not Manning). Nice of you to leave out the part where the record breaking TE season also came from a second year guy (Gates for 1000/13 in year #2).I don't know. I agree that it would benefit San Francisco to keep Johnson around to mentor Davis... but at the same time, I also think that no matter what they do, they don't have a prayer this season, so they might as well start planning for the future. I think two or three years from now, Lelie would be more beneficial for the team than Johnson... and acquiring him via trade right now means you have a year to evaluate him before he hits the market, and it also means that you don't have to get into a bidding war to get him.I couldn't agree more. So why is nobody applying this same logic to Davis? Injury prone or not, I don't see the benifit in letting go of Johnson for SF. He's been there and played at an elite level before. SF has invested a good git into Davis and Johnson shold prove helpful to his development.Tight End is generally considered the NFL position that has the steepest learning curve (even above WR), so expecting Scheffler to contribute as a rookie is... overly optimistic.Nope, look at the numbers. Aikman was a pro bowler by his 3rd season. Manning's huge record-breaking season was his second. Peyton Manning had 60+% completion, 4000+ yards, and a positive TD/INT ratio in season #2. Eli had 3700+ yards, saw his ypa jump 1.5 points, and had a positive TD/INT ratio. Brian Griese threw for 3000 yards in his second season, and had the 2nd best TD:INT ratio of all time in his 3rd. Brett Favre was a pro bowler in his second season. Culpepper had a 62% completion rate, 3937 yards, a ridiculous 8.3 ypa, and 33/16 TD/INT spread. Marc Bulger- 3845 yards and 62+% completion rate in year 2. Aaron Brooks- 3832 yards. Bledsoe- 4555 yards and a pro bowl. Carson Palmer- 32/12 TD/Ints, 3836 yards, and serious MVP consideration in his 2nd/3rd season (depending on if you count 2003).History is LITTERED with QBs who all of a sudden get it and are studs within their first two seasons. It's a lot less common from TEs and QBs. I think Shockey was the only rookie TE in the last couple of decades to make any significant impact.Good point, but I totally disagree with it being the NFL position that has the steepest learning curve, isn't that supposed to be QB? Maybe the 2nd toughest, all around.I couldn't agree more. So why is nobody applying this same logic to Davis? Injury prone or not, I don't see the benifit in letting go of Johnson for SF. He's been there and played at an elite level before. SF has invested a good git into Davis and Johnson shold prove helpful to his development.Tight End is generally considered the NFL position that has the steepest learning curve (even above WR), so expecting Scheffler to contribute as a rookie is... overly optimistic.
By year #3 Gonzo was putting up 900/9, which is about equivalent to a 3500/30 season for a QB. Bubba Franks had 9 TDs in year 2. Shockey as you mentioned went for nearly 900yds as a rookie. Randy Mcmichael and Alge Crumpler were putting up top 10 TE numbers by year #2, and Todd Heap was a top 3 TE in his 2nd year in the league. Jason Witten also went for 980/6 (again...huge for a TE) in year #2.
These are all just current guys too, whereas you're going back 23 years for QB examples. To say that the NFL is littered with QBs doing this and TEs are few and far between is absolutely false. Nearly all the TEs worth drafting in FF right now were putting up solid numbers by year #2 or #3. Sure, like you said only one or so was really doing it by year #1, but the same is true for QBs (Roethlisberger).
Mark Bavaro started every game his rookie year and put up 1000 yards in his 2nd year.
FWIW, for both of these, their 2nd year were their best, statwise.